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Weekend Edition (Oct 30-31) PART 1: Follies of fiddling with the yuan Asia Times Premise #3: A Falling Dollar Mauldin Easy Liquidity PBear (Noland) Valuation Wave Reversion 4 Zeal Trading Places Financial Sense Reserve Accumulation: Implications for Global Capital Flows and Financial Markets NYF The large share of dollar assets among reserve holdings has made foreign central banks important players in U.S. financial markets The dismal failure of central bank monetary policy Asia Times GDP growth fueled by consumer debt, defense spending EPI Analysts Fear Tight Oil Supplies for Years AP Further Confirmation the Price of the Average American Home has Peaked FS Are we experiencing a 'bubble' in housing? KR The Week Ahead: After November 2nd CIBC PDF Could October's Poor Return Affect the Election? Schaeffers Politics, Presidents, and Jobs FallSt (EW) Dow Points To Kerry? CNN Study says if the Dow drops more than 0.5% in the month before the election, incumbents lose. Bin Laden: Al Qaeda motivated to strike U.S. again CNN Wal-Mart Says October U.S. Sales Rise 2.8 Percent, Within Its Projection BL Black to step down as chief of Hollinger Inc. BL Buffett targets California workers' comp market CBSM Fundamentals good for gold price - AngloGold Mineweb Cheney oil firm faces UK inquiry Guardian Mortgage approval fall points to rate standstill Times Online The dollar and the yuan 1 Asia Times China's Interest Rate Move Will Shake Yuan Peg BL The China question: Catch up or surpass? IHT Central bank chief gives yen a boost Bloomberg
'29 set precedent for pessimism AP
Friday October 29 Black Tuesday remembered MSNBC Wisdom Gained From Great Crash Of 1929 Still Rings True IBD Deflation's Silent Scream Forbes Chicago Purchasing Index Unexpectedly Jumps BL Mich Oct. consumer sentiment revised to 91.7 vs 87.5 CBSM U.S. Third-Quarter Gross Domestic Product Grew at 3.7% Rate BL BEA Oil Prices Ease Further Amid China Moves AP Still No End to the Soft Patch Comstock The wolf at the door Economist A further steep decline in the dollar seems inevitable NY Fed-Slower cenbank buying would hit dlr, rates Reuters Greenspan: Playing the Fool Or the Scoundrel? WP Greenspan, not a sturdy, floppy-eared workmate 321 More Americans deeper in debt WP Fannie Mae fallout could be huge Seattle PI Troubling trends on Wall Street KC Star U.S. Companies Less Upbeat in Third Quarter, NABE Survey Says Bloomberg $200 Oil? It Could Be Asia's Gift to World Bloomberg Welcome to the risk economy MSN (Jubak) Outsourcing going on awfully close to home HC Rising Stocks, Impotent Uncertainty? Elliott Wave CNNfn will shut down after 9 years AP Computer Companies -- An Illusion of Heady Growth Bloomberg GM and Ford face 'junk' status FT GM to Idle 5 Plans, 10,300 Workers AP Uncertainty still reigns at Delta AP Fuel prices reach skies Newsday Bristol-Myers Squibb Net Slumps TheStreet FBI probing Halliburton AP Spitzer says Marsh could face penalty 'far higher' than $500m AP 15 Ex-Brokers Accused of Misleading Action AP Professor dissects dot-com failures Hedge Funds Are Scapegoats for Waning Volatility Bloomberg By the numbers: Gold's link to dollar CBSM Nov. 2 Looms Large for Dividend Stocks TheStreet Is Electoral Uncertainty Adding To The Dollars Woes? PBear (Auerback) The Coming World Crisis in Water and What We Can Do About It Financial S China's Surprise - Marriage of Convenience Enters Rocky Phase NT PDF Interest rate rise by China has West confused Times Online When Will China Revalue the Yuan? North Asian currencies rise on renminbi reval talk FT China interest rate rise sparks metals concerns FT China rate hike won't hit metals: Analysts MC UK lending growth slows dramatically in Sept AFX New mortgages hit four-year low BBC Fears growing for big drops in house prices Guardian Inflation Rate in Europe Climbed to 2.5 Percent in October on Oil Surge BL Retail sales chalk up second straight month of decline Japan Times Fear of new Shell reserves downgrade Times Online NEC cuts its forecast for 2004 Bloomberg
Wall Street Crash: 75 years on BBC Timeline The Day The '20s Died Forbes Black Tuesday Remembered Forbes Lessons from 1929 CNN Could 1929 happen again? AP The stock market crash that also hit Switzerland Swiss Info
Thursday October 28 China Raises Interest Rates for First Time in Nine Years to Curb Inflation BL U.S. Material Stocks Fall After China's Rate Rise BL Dollar gains, falls as China hike mulled CBSM U.S. initial jobless claims rise 20,000 CBSM Tipping Over Pimco (Gross) 'Certifiable lunatic' runs market today Farrell Yet millions let this fruitcake manage their portfolios! Jim Rogers' Home Truths Business Week The New Deal Hook Moneyization, Part Two Schmidt Semper Paratus Financial Sense GDP Report is the Last Big Stat Before The Election NYP (Crudele) View from Silicon Valley - Building inventory and building fabs FallSt Opponents draw battle lines at Fed China Daily A Producers Perspective on the Oil Industry Al-Husseini Speech PDFSlides Oil price history points to recession ahead Reuters OPEC to U.S. - Use Emergency Oil Reserves Reuters Whatâs really behind surging gas prices MSN Fuel may be last nail in airline coffin PTR Snazzier houses bring energy crisis home to middle class CS Monitor Rising Stocks, Impotent Uncertainty? Elliott Wave Buffett to buy Lloyd's underwriter for a pound Telegraph U.S. investors lower view of funds after scandal Reuters Weathering Earnings on the Dow Schaeffers Options Would Have Sunk eBay Profit 43% TheStreet LSI Logic Cuts Jobs, Misses Estimates TheStreet Ask Jeeves Sags on Shortfall TheStreet Biogen Earnings Fall JDS Warns of Sales Slowdown TheStreet Mixed fortunes for consumer goods giants FT Nortel's Numbers: Soon, Maybe Business Week KPMG's Work Delays EDS Filing CFO Kroll executives held in Brasil Telecom probe FT A Schaeffer's Gold Follow-Up: VXO Lows Schaeffers Cracking the Insurance Biz Wide Open Business Week Anthem Subpoenaed in Insurance Probe CFO Investors going for gold as a safe bet TheStandard The Role of Gold in a South African Investment Portfolio WGC PDF Japan output takes unexpected dip Reuters Mortgage approvals slump by 30% as repossessions rise Guardian Many experts think prices could tumble by 20%-30% over the next year or two to bring them back into line with their long-run average Swiss pension funds have right to cut payment Bloomberg The state's pension response is barking Times Online After the credit splurge, a savings surge Guardian Will Cuba's dollar ban backfire? IHT Weak dollar and slow U.S. sales hurt Honda NYT Probe body formed to dig into alleged scam by bank Daily Star Seibu stock scandal deepens by decades Japan Times Update on an old warning: Beware the coming shortages CSM Book: Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update Amazon
Wednesday October 27 Crude Oil Tumbles From Record on Larger-Than-Expected Gain in Stockpiles BL U.S. stocks surge as crude slides below $53 CBSM Durables Orders Rise 0.2% as Business Investment Increases BL Census Mortgage Applications Fall Last Week Reuters The Cause and Perils of Inflation Mackinac Is America Losing Its Edge? Froeign Affairs For 50 years, the United States has maintained its economic edge by being better and faster than any other country at inventing and exploiting new technologies. Today, however, its dominance is starting to slip, as Asian countries pour resources into R&D and challenge America's traditional role in the global economy. Forget deficits -- think government grab Brimelow We have it on the word of Vice President Cheney that federal budget deficits don't matter -- Reagan proved that. Cheney'd better be right. The parable of the cats Economist Why greenback looks decidedly shaky now Business Times Dollar calm in eye of storm AFP Oil Holds Above $55, Braced for Winter Reuters In oil's wake ... recession? Reuters Oil thirst 'makes Middle East crucial' TO World Energy Outlook Chinas energy gap TO Oil prices to cool off EU growth IHT Green Energy Gets More Attention AP Book: The Oil Factor Am Asian goods are backing up in U.S. ports NYT Port of Long Beach Statistics POLB Worlds largest container crane PD Small businesses increase inventories, but hiring lags BJ NFIB No Worry of the Housing Bubble - Shall We Trust Greenspan OPJ No Need to "Imagine" How Bad the Greenback Looks Elliott Wave Five years later, Class of 1999 still recovering from dashed dreams AP Divided SEC Votes to Subject Hedge Funds to Oversight Bloomberg The new SEC rule, which won't take effect until 2006, requires managers that run hedge funds with at least 15 U.S. clients and $30 million in assets to register as an investment adviser with the SEC Senate Stock Trading PB (WSJ) The researchers say senators' uncanny ability to know when to buy or sell their shares seems to stem from having access to information that other investors wouldn't have. The Cozy Ties Of Marsh May Be Hard To Untangle NYT (Morgenson) Insurance for Suckers Slate ATA Files for Bankruptcy Protection AP EDS offers 9,200 early retirement Reuters Shopping.com s shares soar 60% in market debut AP Unlike that giddy era, investors are demanding profits from Internet companies, as well as robust revenue growth...Shopping.com lost $6.6 million through the first half of this year Google Investors Revel in Stock's Success AP When eBay deal gets ugly, who pays? CNN Asia gold eases slightly, Japan seeks bullion Reuters Japanese investors have been visiting major bullion houses in Tokyo in the past few days to buy gold "to preserve the value of the assets rather than for short-term speculation" No delay in launch of NYSE gold-backed ETF-Thain Reuters America's Addiction to Asian Credit Texas HR Bubbles in China's real estate sector remains Peoples Daily An Extended Vacation for the Bank of Japan Bloomberg Manufacturing confidence plunges Times Online Risk norms for home, consumer loan to avoid asset bubble: RBI Business India Is the ongoing boom in real estate a bubble? Financial Express Canada's Dodge Says Interest Rates Will Rise Again Bloomberg China slashes US decision to put quota on socks Peoples Daily Ruble Keeps on Climbing Moscow Times A rare glimpse into the world of 'white diamonds' CS Monitor
Tuesday October 26 Consumer Confidence Declines as October Index Falls to 92.8 From 96.7 B Inflation-Induced Valuation Errors in the Stock Market SF Fed PDF Stocks' '90s excesses not worked off yet Brimelow P Pulling Together Three Bearish Stock Themes Gillespie Government Debt- The Greatest Threat to National Security Paul World waits for post-election deal on US deficit NZHerald The next US president will inherit the nation's biggest overdraft on record and may have little choice but to marshal support from the world's top economic powers to avoid a destabilising payments crisis. $ at 8-Month Low Versus Euro BL $ fall lands hard in Europe IHT Dangers of a diving dollar This is London 105 Seen To Be The Pain Threshold for the Japanese Daily FX Cuba Moves to Stop Trade in U.S. Dollars Reuters A$ at Highest in Six Months Bloomberg Loonie Surges CP Daily Forex Commentary Asia Times Concern over the potential for US asset revulsion is building. Gold is at its shiniest in 16 years NS Gold To Keep Rising Regardless Of Who Takes White House DJ Next best thing to real gold on offer at JSE Business Day On Monday, however, SA will become the third country after the UK and Australia to see the launch of the latest way to invest in gold... Gold is back in favour among Indian consumers BIndia Fed Will Raise Rates in December, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Say BL Fed chair: Don't worry, be happy Telegraph Calling a Technical Schaeffers Instant Replay, From Five Years Ago? Elliott Wave The 'sad story' of the current employment picture EPI Big mortgage can bite buyer KR Debt could exceed later sale price Previously owned homes not staying long in market AP Home prices decline for 1st time since '93 Detroit News â...And if prices donât rebound, many who viewed their homes as canât-lose investments that could lead to a more expensive home and fill their retirement kitty may have to reevaluateâ Report: California foreclosures poised for 2005 increase East Bay BT Venture capital slows in third quarter CBSM Spitzer mentor takes over at Marsh Times Online California launches Sallie Mae investigation FT SEC Probing Pension Consultants CFO Ovitz âgiven incentives to failâ FT GM's 'Wild West' Cut NYT Is General Motors jilting Germany for Poland because of the war in Iraq? Citigroup to pay $250,000 to close hedge funds case AP Galvin accuses Franklin Templeton of failing to admit wrongdoing AP Flextronics Guidance Leaves Traders Cold TS United to outsource 650 jobs RockyMN Shares in nut firm crushed CBSM Wild Oats drops 18% R Has Cisco lost its luster? CNN Google market value eclipses Yahoo FT A debt to the past Times Union Echoes of The Crash Times Union Crash 101 Sara 3 Women Recall Historical Struggles Utica The Crash of 29 PBS By November GE had fallen from 396 to 168, the Radio Corporation of America from 101 to 28 and American Telephone and Telegraph from 304 to 197. Hundreds of area residents rushed to sell their stocks. Brokers were in a panic. China: $1.1T in trade volume this year, with a US$10B surplus Peopleâs Daily China enters peak period of trade disputes Peopleâs Daily Concerns over more expensive housing Peopleâs Daily Hurdles to monetary union cited Standard Citigroup publicly apologises to Japan FT Citigroup CEO says trust bank to be shut down Japan Times Disasters come at a bad time for Japan economy: analysts AFP BOJ sees deflationary pressure easing in FY05 Asahi Outlook for prices 'very uncertain' Guardian Indian Central Bank Raises Key Rate to Curb Prices BL Pension Bill 'leaves investors at risk' Times Online Increasing number of staff leave regulator Times Online Russia's relapse Washington Times As Winston Churchill once said: "I cannot forecast to you the action of Russia," he declared. "It is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." Monday October 25 Existing-home sales rise 3.1% in September USAT Dollar drops to 8-month low vs. euro CBSM NY Gold Ends Near $430 Bush or Kerry, dollar's likely direction is down CBSM Central Bank begins supporting dollar RosBus The spooky week ahead CNN/Money Dollar May Fall as Survey Shows Traders Increasingly Bearish on Currency BL The greenback could be on the edge of a cliff FT Greenback may dive 20-30% in two years BT Get Used to the I Word Again Forex Asia gold at 6-month high, nearly hits $430/oz Reuters Crude Trades Near Record on Concern Chinese Demand is Straining Supply BL Norwegian oil production faces total paralysis after lock-out threat AFP Oil: The Bush Premium CATO Survey: Gasoline tops $2 a gallon Reuters Can The U.S. Stock Market Crash Again? Forbes Economic Confidence Among Affluent Sees First Major Decline... PRN The overall score for the October McDonald Financial Group Affluent Consumer Confidence Index was 48 out of 100 -- a 13-point decrease since July Cracked Facade Morgan Stanley (Roach) Americans living on borrowed time Guardian Listen to the Markets AEI (Makin) PDF The unusual landscape in global markets and the global economy is a broad manifestation of excess capacity in the traded-goods sector. It represents a classic post-investment bubble scenario. Law of Large Numbers Hussman Inflation or Deflation? Cross Currents Is the Commodity Price Bubble Finally Bursting? Bloomberg Insurance mess may ignite bigger problems MSN (Fleck) Marsh chief on brink The insurance scandal is another strong signal that our financial system is vulnerable to serious disruptions. The next 18 months could be dangerous ones. Hedge funds - weapons of financial destruction Times Online SEC prepares to vote on hedge fund registration FT Warnings of Google bubble NYT The cheerleading for Google from the analysts at leading brokerage firms is starting to sound a lot like the days of the dotcom bubble... GOOG: Cramer Asks Why not $500? TheStreet SEC Pounces on Ford and GM, the 800-Pound Gorillas Bloomberg Army Faces Probe on No-Bid Deals With KBR AP Halliburton may keep disputed money Reuters Closer scrutiny ahead for U.S. papers NYT Phantom Financials NYP (Byron) The notion that the investing public is well served by Reg D is preposterous. A new multi-billion- dollar penny stock ploy is spreading through Wall Street, and the SEC seems for the most part to be sleeping right through it. The 2004 Nobel prize in economics: getting it wrong Brookesnews How Human Behavior Drives Investment Activity Wharton China's Coming Financial Crisis Business Week And thanks to its quasi-socialist goverment, the budding superpower is ill-equipped to handle this almost inevitable bust Lies, damn lies and Chinese statistics Asia Times Tokyo Stocks Plunge in Morning Trading AP A Chinese Pebble Beach or Universal Studios? Bloomberg US brand giants suffer a sales slump in 'old Europe' FT As night follows day, causality is a problem Independent (King) The strength of retail sales seem to be more a consequence of falling prices than a cause of higher prices Ruble Tops 29 to the Dollar for First Time in 4 Months Moscow Times Not in bull's roar of 20s, bear in mind Australian Israeli dot.coms - recovering and flourishing Haaretz Textile companies face new obstacles China Daily New bank notes could draw underground cash into the light Japan Times Once-mighty Seibu group crumbles Japan Today Couple face Ł384,000 debt over Ł5,750 loan Times Online
Weekend Edition (Oct 23-24) Fed's Bies Criticizes Lawmakers' Lack of Spending Discipline Bloomberg The Bottom Right Hand Corner Mauldin The Dollar, Financial Profits and Reflation PBear (Noland) Trading HUI Volume Zeal Two Fed Officials Hint At A Policy Pause NT PDF Google options soar, investors bet on stock swings Reuters American Airlines to Lay Off Up to 1,100 Reuters Report: Delta could file bankruptcy soon Reuters Gold: China Inc. Ing Hooters Opens First Restaurant in China AP Wal-Mart traffic back above '03 level CBSM Central Bank stops supporting dollar NewsfromRussia
Friday October 22 Blue chips end at year low CBSM Crude closes above $55 for first time ever Natural gas up 21% for the week Bush Signs $136B Corporate Tax Cut Bill Reuters Oil bubbles near $55 Reuters Is it time for dollar to fall in Asia? Norris $ Heads for Worst Week in 5 Months on Growth Concern Fed's Yellen-Fed may need to modify rate plans Reuters Yellen said the U.S. dollar has remained "relatively high despite our large and growing trade deficit." Japan to take action if currencies deviate Reuters Euro gains on dollar on ministers' remarks AFP US, Germany swap war differences for $ concerns R Lehman, Most Accurate Forecaster, Predicts Dollar Will Weaken Bloomberg âBond yields are signaling more strongly than at any time this year that there will be a possible break lower in the dollarâ Dollar slide sparks intervention speculation FT The BoJ on Thursday contacted several major banks to ask who they were buying yen on behalf of - a possible prelude to renewed intervention. Oil and the Economy: A Slippery Slope ~ Another Kind of Brake CIBC PDFs Heating oil futures set records AP Schaeffer on Charts: Commodity Corner Schaeffers What's the Answer for High Gasoline Prices? Nothing CATO The Perils of Circular Thinking Morgan Stanley (Roach) The Coming Fiscal Crisis Comstock Charts Suggest Something Big is About To Happen FS Meltdown Dead Ahead? Prediction: The future of the USA stock market Sornette October Spells U.S. Stock Crashes -- and Rebounds Bloomberg Slowdown Signals Accelerate ~ The Baton Remains Unclaimed TheStreet A Time-Honored Privilege Falls to Black Magic Elliott Wave Microsoft's Beat Loses Luster TheStreet KO Amazon Flunks the Growth Test TS Google doubles sales and profit CBSM Prudential: Google Target $200 Yahoo CEO Semel sells 900,000 shares CBSM Sears Trims Holiday View TheStreet Black & Decker to lay off 330 workers at Fayetteville plant AP Freescale will cut 1,000 to streamline AP Troubled quarter for U.S. drug makers AP/Reuters Agony for Merck as lawsuits mount and profits fall Times Online Insurance Scandal: Just how rotten? Economist Credit protection costs rise on Spitzer worries FT âIt's clear that the insurance business is not the same as it was two weeks ago,â one derivatives trader said. Record Labels Said to Be Next on Spitzer List for Scrutiny NYT Boeing Discloses SEC Request, Defends Pension Accounting AP E&Y Warns of Independence Conflict CFO Qwest Fraud Became Like `Heroin' Addiction, SEC Says Bloomberg WorldCom Whistleblower to Be Inducted Into Hall of Fame for CPAs Smart Pros David-Weill and Wasserstein clash on Lazard IPO FT Citigroup Says SEC Considering Action Against Former Fund Exec Jones BL IPOs at the Crossroads CFO Less Cash in Their Pockets EPI Trends in Incomes, Wages, Taxes, and Health Spending of Middle-Income Families, 2000-03 US Election Holds Big Sway Over Gold Prices Dow Jones U.K. Economy Grows 0.4 Percent, Slowest Pace Since First Quarter of 2003 BL China's Economic Growth Slows to 9.1% as Government Curbs Lending BL China set to buy up Canada's resources Globe & Mail BHP 'selling everything' it can make to China IHT (BL) VW commences China car loans BL China pours more money overseas PD Oil and Water, Japan and China Morgan Stanley (Feldman) Dark clouds are descending over Asia's dynamism Taipei Times Thaksin's Tiff With the Thai Bank Governor Bloomberg The idea is to reduce the central bank governor's authority... Charity warns of debt problem crisis Guardian 'Plumber' escapes jail term Guardian Barclays faces call for City inquiry over German bank's losses Independent Singapore Fines GIC Staff For Insider Trading Dow Jones Hardie knew of asbestos danger 40 years ago: former manager ABC
Dow Closes in on Potential Support Schaeffers
Thursday October 21 Mortgage rates continue to fall AP Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Jumps to 28.5 Bloomberg PFed Leading Economic Indicators Fall 0.1% in Fourth Monthly Drop BL CB U.S. initial jobless claims fall 25,000 CBSM Dollar Adjustment: How Far? Against What? IIE PDF No one doubts that adjustment will eventually happen. The sooner it starts, the less the chance that it will take a catastrophic form. If and when the worst happens, the world will surely not look back forgivingly at the present generation of officials who told themselves reassuring stories about the omniscience of markets while allowing the disequilibria to explode $A Stronger ~ Loonie tops 80 ~ $ to 3-M low vs Yen ~ 8-M Against Euro Understanding Interest Rates in the Age of Paper Money PB (Duncan) Dour Days for the Dollar Schaeffers End the Rate Increases AEI (Makin) Gold Is Flashing Warnings Business Week $3 Trillion = 50%! ...Solution Goldenbar The South Sea Bubble and Law's Mississippi Scheme Faber Saville Frozen by oil-price fears Economist Energy: The Gathering Storm IIE PDF Verleger predicts oil prices will rise to $60-70 per barrel over the next 2-years Crude Will Hit "$60 Before $40" Business Week Boone Pickens expects "$10 natural gas" probably within "four months" Natural Gas Soars Past $7.50; Broker Eyes $8.00 Business Wire Winter home heating costs to rise $106-$253 Det FP Whirlpool to raise prices by 5-10% ~ Timken to Increase Tool Steel Prices Home prices hit new high - again Sac Bee New Global "Soft Patch" or the Beginning of a "Deep Murky Swamp"? Roubini The effect of oil shocks has been underestimated in terms of their impact in the past; and they may be underestimated again today by central bankers and wishful thinkers Striking Gold In Commodities Business Week The money is pouring in...investors have about $25 billion committed to tracking the performance of the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. That's triple the $8 billion investors benchmarked to the index in 2000. "Commodities have been accepted as an asset class" High five? CBSM It appears increasingly certain that 2004 will go down in the history books as a dismal year for the stock market Health care: U.S. spends more, gets less EPI eBay Doesn't Quell Fears About Growth TheStreet Corning Trims Fourth-Quarter View TheStreet Hurricane Losses Batter Allstate Earnings AP Big 3 Airlines Report Combined $906M Loss AP American to lay off workers, ground planes after new loss KR ATA: Cash Crunch Worsened in Past Months AP Embraer Cuts Plane Delivery Forecasts for 2004, 2005 Bloomberg Huffy Files for Chapter 11, Buyer Emerges AP GM to Lay Off 900 at Pontiac Plant AP Unifi to Cut 490 Jobs at Ex-DuPont Plant AP Microsoft's growth problem CNN/Money AT&T Has Loss of $7.12 Billion on Network Writedown; Sales Fall 12 Percent BL Washington Mutual profit falls on mortgage slump Reuters Countrywide results spark mortgage-sector selloff Reuters Homebuilders Are Stretched Thin Business Week Ex-SEC chief marks scandal Boston Herald Forget Enron, WorldCom or mutual funds. The crisis enveloping the insurance industry is âthe scandal of the decade, without a question'' and âdwarfs anything we've seen thus far.'' Are Health Insurers Next for Spitzer? CFO Eliot Spitzer's next target CBSM Finding fraud like shooting fish in a barrel Marsh woes deepen after credit lines are threatened Independent Liberty Mutual receives subpoena CBSM AIG subject of criminal probe CNN Two Very Fashionable Frauds Mises Qwest to Pay $250M Fraud Settlement AP Martha Stewart's lawyers file appeal CNN Martha stirs up tasty prison treats CNN KPMG fined record $10M Reuters Ex-natural gas traders plead guilty to making false reports AP Chiron's vaccine debacle lingers WT The Mystery Man Who Runs CDC-Systems NYP Bumper Crop of Corporate Probes CFO California insurance crackdown FT Internal Rate of Return: A Cautionary Tale CFO Rating Companies Lifting Veil on Muni Swap Risks BL Oil leap 'will hit European growth' Times Online 'Significant' rise in debt woes BBC French Sept Consumer Spending Unexpectedly Falls on Oil Price, Jobs BL The dangers of gross domestic politics IHT (BL) Stagflation Forcing Korea to Face Reality Bloomberg Fears over Chinese demand hit Corus Times Online Brazil Raises Benchmark Interest Rate for Second Month to Curb Inflation BL Juncker, Sarkozy Lead EU in Playing Down Risks of Euro's Rise BL First fall in loans since 2000 shows bubble has burst iCWales German state banks to repay E3 billion in illegal subsidies IHT Europe's Watchdogs May Expose Bond-Price Secrets BL U.S. Watching Yugansk Sale Moscow Times EU sues Britain on behalf of 'booze cruisers' IHT
Greenspan shrugs off other experts' worries Financial Standard Greenspan Whistling Past Any Worries TheStreet At the current pace of sales, nearly one in 10 homes in the U.S. will be sold this year, the highest turnover ratio ever... Financials Wobble as Chips Prop Up Comp TheStreet Alan Greenspan may not be worried about consumer debt, but evidence is piling up that he ought to be.
Wednesday October 20 Gold Rallies to Highest in More Than 6 Months in New York as Dollar SlidesBL US Treasury chief seeks to bolster dollar FT Oil Prices Briefly Top $55 Per Barrel AP Oil $55; distillate, gas inventories fall CBSM Dollar Broadly Weak on Econ Worries Reuters Gold Jumps Crude price up slightly as market braces for U.S. oil stockpile data CP If Humans Only Had One Hand Hussman Managing It Forward Pimco (McCulley) Pessimism about global economic outlook grows FT Why Wall Street Hates the "S" Word Blodget The real reason there are so few "sell" ratings Congress Should Abolish the Federal Debt Limit Berry Cover note Economist New Yorkâs combative attorney-general, Eliot Spitzer, has a new target: Americaâs insurers and insurance brokers Investors Are Losing Ground as Insurance Inquiries Expand Morgenson U.S. insurance inquiry widening NYT/Reuters ING subpoenaed in Spitzer probe CBSM SEC sets its sights on Fannie Mae Globe & Mail Top US companies seen losing blns in '05 cash flow Reuters Motorola Fails to Impress TheStreet JPMorgan Chase Earnings Decline 13% on Bank One Acquisition Costs BL Pfizer's Earnings Rise BL GM auto dealerships offer buy-one-get-one-free deal FT GM strike leads to parts shortage BBC GM, Ford Among Firms in Accounting Probe AP Citigroup's Maughan, Two Executives Leave After Regulators Shut Japan Unit BL Investors in Parmalat sue banks and auditors Reuters Quattrone wins reprieve from jail BBC Enron founder Lay to face two trials AP Economic Puzzles (Japan and US) G-E China's Economy Is Slowing, Even If It's Not Bloomberg China demand contributes to high oil prices PM Sluggish growth projected for Germany IHT ÂŁ1bn cash call shocks Pru investors Guardian
Tuesday October 19 Greenspan: Don't Fear U.S. Household Debt, Home Prices Reuters Speech Fed's Olson sees no U.S. housing price 'bubble' Reuters Consumer Prices Rise 0.2% BL BLS  Housing starts slow Reuters PDF Chain Store Sales Mixed in Oct 16 Week Ă Reuters Crude Oil Falls For a 2nd Day Amid Concern Prices May Cut Demand BL Consumer Prices Rise 0.2% BL BLS  Housing starts slow Reuters PDF Crude Oil Falls For a 2nd Day Amid Concern Prices May Cut Demand BL Frozen by oil-price fears Economist Gasoline tops $2 a gallon USAT Rising natural gas prices squeezing facilities operators ACBJ Greenspan's 2010 Space Odyssey With Oil Futures Baum Global: Asiaâs Own Agenda Morgan Stanley (Roach) Crossroads for Confidence Berner Echoes of Black Monday Macleans It's market crash season -- and it looks like we're due for a big one What to Expect When We're Expecting Earnings Schaeffers The Kindness of Strangers Richebacher Dow Transports & Globalization Curveballs Willie Mortgage monster scares market Australian There is a volcano rumbling in the US, with many praying it does not erupt A Simple, Fool-Proof Plan Thatâll Save Our Economy NYP (Crudele) Who Cares If Markets Are "Efficient"? Elliott Wave IBM's Bottom Line Delivers TheStreet Texas Instruments beats, warns G&M Continental posts Q3 loss on oil CBSM AMTD - EMC - F - FON - MO - MCD Chip tool orders drop in September CBSM Key ratio drops below parity for first time in 2004 Intel Cuts Prices on Laptop Computer Chips Reuters MCI Planning to Write Down Phone Assets NYT Star Gas down on Pacific Exchange; warns of bankruptcy AP Delphi: SEC probes firm's pension records AP Why Leapfrog warning is no surprise CBSM Toy Makers Brace for Soft Holiday Season AP Signs point to so-so holiday for tech sales this year USAT Stock analyst accused of trying to extort from restaurant chain AP US insurance brokers may have to repay incentives FT Marsh's Disputed Payments Were $845 Million Last Year Bloomberg Ex-PeopleSoft CEO to get $18 mln in severance-source Reuters Slow U.S. Growth Sends Commerce Giants to China Newsweek Talk Is Getting Very Cheap Newsweek Asians are buying U.S. data networks at fire-sale prices, pushing rates down and political tensions up Private Investors Abroad Cut Their Investments in the U.S. NYT "Foreign central banks saved the dollar from disaster" Dollar's demise is bingo for bullion Guardian Next Gold Bull Wave is Around the Corner SH BofC raises overnight rate target by 1/4% Point BofC House prices fall fastest since 1995 Times Online Commodity prices sting Chinese exporters FT China's Sept. Car Output Falls, 1st Drop Since 2001 Bloomberg Oil shortages spread amid speculation The Standard Rising Oil Prices Bode Well for Gulf Stock Markets Arab News Bangalore's outsourcing flood Reuters BOJ considered effects of IT slump Japan Times Business 'breaking pensions pact' BBC Insurance scandal spreads to Britain Independent Switzerland Cuts 2005 Growth Forecast on Oil-Price Surge, Global Slowdown BL HK property bounce will not last: Morgan Stanley Xinhuanet Xie Royal Group Shares Fall 13% on Fraud Investigation Bloomberg G.M. Workers in Germany Protest Job Cuts a 3rd Day NY Times Fuel cost woes hit Qantas Advertiser Nigerian scam fools financial adviser SMH
Monday October 18 Dollar stumbles on U.S. asset flows data Reuters Report: Tech job cuts soar Reuters Challenger says cuts up 60% in 3Q, tech companies have no hiring plans. Crude Oil Rises to a Record Above $55 on U.S. Supply Concern Bloomberg Chicago Board of Trade's Dan Says Oil May Rise to $75 a Barrel BL Oil Prices 'Heading for 60 Dollars A Barrel' Scotsman Heating costs through the roof RegisterC Winter Forecast Far From Cozy BW How market risks can make losers of us all Scotsman Seventy-five years on from the anniversary of the Wall Street crash next week, we have come to look on equity markets as essentially tamed beasts -- Book: The Misbehavior of Markets Amazon Intel: All risk, no reward MSN (Fleck) More tough sledding? CNN Rising oil, mixed economic news and key earnings misses have punished stocks. Get ready for more. More than a third of S&P 500 to report this week TheStreet Fed Debates Policy for Post-Greenspan Era Reuters Consumer Sentiment and the Stock Market... SH Pumped-Up Pension Plays? Business Week Regulators are investigating how some companies tinker with retiree accounting Writing is on wall: Sell art now before bubble bursts NYT Finger points at the broker barons ~ Analysts warn on insurer bonds FT Marsh & McLennan Postpones Investor Conference Call BW Rite Aid Exec, 76, Gets 10 Years in Prison CFO Seoul to investigate Citigroup operations FT Thomson gets SEC subpoena G&M Harmony Bids $8.2 Billion for Gold Fields to Create Biggest Gold Company BL 3M Warns on Its Full-Year Earnings AP Mattel Posts Lower 3Q Profits, Sales AP Hazbro Warns Report: Housing Industry Set for Trouble Reuters Delphi Reports $114 Million Loss in 3Q AP Its Credit is built ford tough AP TravelZooâs Skidoo NYP (Byron) Election Jitters Strangling Markets NYP Market may foretell result of election Harding 368 Economists Against Kerrynomics NRO The bubbling up of Austrian analyses FT Gold is eternal wealth Russell Taylor On The Markets & Gold G-E Central bank gold sales 'not daunting' Business Day Investors pay out for early warnings on companies FT Dollar May Drop; Oil Price Gains Threaten U.S. Growth BL Bundesbank Says German Economic Growth Slowed in 3rd Quarter BL Trichet May Find European Central Bank Over a Barrel With Oil BL Housing market 'suffers worst slowdown for a year' Independent Just a bit of inflation could burst this property bubble Guardian Oil, gas and steel costs could derail recovery, warns CBI Independent A New Deal on jobs, so what about pensions? Independent (King) Bank offers guarantee for mutual funds China DailyĂ SPDB Sainsbury's 'faces ĂÂŁ630m shortfall after fund move' Times Online Royal Mail forced to reissue its pension statements for 120,000 Times Online Commentary: Daiei of the living dead IHT (BL) Richard C. Koo/Japanese economy still needs `intensive care' Asahi Canada deals blow to cheap US drug imports FT South African gold groups poised for merger Guardian Many Cubans can't afford gasprices KR
Weekend Edition (Oct 16-17) Premise #2: The Muddle Through Era Mauldin Happy? Two-year Anniversary PBear (Noland) Peter Bernstein interview CNN People seldom worry until the stuff hits the fan Trading HUI Parabolas Zeal Dr. Richebacher Investigates... FSA Past-Due Bill Capital Hill Blue A bursting bubble blew U.S. jobs away IHT (Norris) U.S. insurance industry reels as Spitzer takes it to task ~ Exec Pleads Guilty The Newest C.S.I. Spinoff: Copper Scene Investigation Elliott Wave The hunt for rent View From SV 'Fiscal timebomb' for US airlines BBC Wal-Mart reports drop in shoppers CBSM Leviâs Deal To Sell Dockers Collapses Over Price NYP Martha: No more money, please! CNN âThe camp is fine; it is pretty much what I anticipated. The best news -- everyone is nice -- both the officials and my fellow inmates. I have adjusted and am very busy. The camp is like an old-fashioned college campus -- without the freedom, of course.â MarthaTalks China's Industrial Boom Is Inflating Commodity Prices NYT Despite prices, a rush into China NYT Are Middle East economies back to the 1970s again? AME Department store sales slide 5.1% Japan Times General Motors Opel Plant Halted by Wildcat Strike Over Jobs BL German Recovery Running Out of Steam? Global Insight
Friday October 15 US Treasury misses deadline on forex report ReutersĂ US Treasury Greenspan Says Oil Unlikely to Trigger Inflation BloombergĂ Speech U.S. consumer sentiment sinks to 18-Month Low CBSM Charles Schwab posts Q3 net loss CBSM U.S. Sept. industrial production up 0.1% CBSM FED Retail Sales in U.S. Rise 1.5% BL Census -Ă PPI up 0.1% BLSĂ Bloom Recap U.S. Oct. Empire State index falls to 17.4 CBSM NYF Gold sits tight in Europe awaiting data, Greenspan Reuters U.S. Economy Questions Paralyze Dollar Reuters Global: Productivity Convergence? Morgan Stanley (Roach) The US Dollar and Global Imbalance MS (Xie) Crude Oil Hugs Milestone $55 Mark AP WSJ: $50 oil cuts half-point from GDP CNN Oil prices have yet to reach peak, Opec warns Times Online Why the rude oil prices? CS Monitor Expert cautions spike in gas may stick around BND 2004 Deficit Hits Record $214 Billion AFP Why 2004 is Not Like 1994 Comstock Recession and stock market declines in 2005? Seeking Alpha Jobs: The Lull Will Linger BWeekĂ US Employment Quality Index CIBC PDF Complacency plagues newsletters CBSM America's bond markets are due for scrutiny -- and competition Economist Housing Bubbles Are Not Like Stock Bubbles Always On SEC probing pension fund assumptions -- report CBSM Will Fed Keep Inflation Low When Greenspan Exits? BL (Berry) People Stopped Picking Their Own Mutual Funds Bloomberg Can Trade Deficit News "Disappoint" the Dollar? Elliott Wave Spitzer takes on ââŹËcorruptââŹâ˘ US insurers FT ââŹĹIf the practices identified in our suit are as widespread as they appear to be, then the industry's fundamental business model needs major corrective action and reform.ââŹÂĂ Spitzer Text World's biggest i-broker accused of taking $800m kickbacks TO Schaeffer on Charts: Staying Off Drugs Schaeffers Icahn Launches Proxy Fight Against Mylan TheStreet Intel decides speed matters less these days, kills 4GHz Pentium TheRegister Union: US Airways Seeks 1982 Pay Levels AP Delta Air Lines Sees Loss Mushrooming Reuters Up to 7,000 job cuts Sprint Says It Will Cut 700 Jobs, Take 3rd-Qtr Charge BL Flu-Shot Maker Faces Federal Probes CFO Morgan Stanley to Restate Some Results Dow Jones Copper hit by funds, not fundamentals Reuters SEC Chief Lashes Out at Reform Opponents AP Silver futures turnover on MCX surpasses TOCOM Business Line Gold to offer value over the next few week, Merrills AIR Prospects are good if you can strike gold Scotsman ECB's Trichet Says Growth Risks Increasing on Record Oil Costs BL French minister says oil price could cut growth by 0.5 pct AFP Business confidence takes sharp tumble Times Online Consumers turn pessimistic in Japan IHT (Bloomberg) China to be No.2 economic entity by 2020 PeopleââŹâ˘s Daily WEF Yukos unit ââŹĹto be sold for knock-downââŹÂ FT Yukos Shares Drop 11% BL Perils that lie in risk management This is London Head of Troubled Japanese Retailer Resigns AP Legal blow prompts Bayer warning on settlements Times Online Debt survey worries bankruptcy lawyer OTT BJ China Power trades higher than IPO price on Hong Kong debut AFP
U.S. Debt Ceiling: Bush Administration Seeks to Raise It Once Again NYT Since Mr. Bush took office in January 2001, the federal debt has increased about 40 percent, or $2.1 trillion, to $7.4 trillion.ĂÂ To the Penny
Thursday October 14 Wall Street stumbles to new lows CBSM Spitzer: Insurance Scheme Rigged Bids AP AIG Sees 2004 Storm Losses Up to $515M AP Mortgage rates sink on jobs report CNN U.S. dangerously close to debt limit Reuters The Treasury Department suspended investments in a federal employee pension fund Thursday to keep the government below its borrowing limit Crude Oil Rises After Report of Heating Oil Inventory Decline BL U.S. August Trade Deficit Grows to $54 Bln BL Census ~ $ Declines Jobless claims rise in latest week CBSM Oil Breaks Back Through $54 Barrier on New Supply Fears AP Gas prices drive past $2 a gallon Herald Tribune Heating oil prices reach record, up 24% in month USAT Ominous: The US deficit vs the dollar Asia Times Financials are the largest sector, but headwinds are growing Hussman Let The Facts Speak For Themselves, Mr. Kudlow Northern Trust PDF Chart of the Month: Dollar Cost Averaging Cross Currents Labor Does Phone-Work Favor For Prez on Jobs Report NYP (Crudele) According to UBS Ltd., liquidity in U.S. mutual funds has dropped to just 3.9 percent -- which the investment firm says is an all-time low. A 100-year bear market? CBSM (Farrell) The worst kind of debt: Charging the groceries MSN High credit card bills common among college students DM A Hard-to-Swallow Lesson on Pensions NYT The budget arithmetic test EPI Dow Crawls Back To 10,000 Financial Sense McTeer had some interesting comments on Monday about the current account deficit, capital flows and the U.S. dollar....Just two days later we get the following report: McTeer may leave for Texas A&M post Reuters Does the Money Reflect the Value of the Achievement? Elliott Wave Candidates avoid deficit talk MSNBC Stocks and the Coming Electoral Chaos Dow's Decline Points to Possible Kerry Victory Bloomberg Buy America II: The First Show Drops Appel U.S. CEOs' Confidence Slips Further Reuters CB Citigroup, Bank of America Beat Estimates AP Why Intel's inventory really rose CBSM SanDisk Misses CBSM Ford's $108 Billion of Bonds Skid to the Junkyard Bloomberg General Motors to Cut 12,000 Jobs - GM Misses, Warns BL Nokia profits drop as prices cut Reuters Allstate: $1B in hurricane payouts Reuters Wal-Mart warns it could shut its unionized store in Quebec Globe & Mail SEC seals settlement with Ahold AP/R Street Giants Face Suits Over Rigged IPOs NYP SEC Paper Chase NYP SEC probes Chiron over flu vaccine problems FT A.G. Edwards Broker Sanctioned for Market-Timing TheStreet Martha's Prison Diaries NYM FASB delays stock options expensing rule FT Cracking Down on Deferred Compensation Business Week Hedge funds get look from many investors DS Investing clubs keep the faith ST Gold vs. the USDX: The No Conviction Condition RBCĂ PDF At $400/ounce, gold demand needs only to expand by 2.3% to absorb additional CBGA sales GFMS PDF Gold - Still Missing From Most Investors' Radar Grandich Gold & Silver glitters on MCX II Police extend jail time of Newmont managers Mineweb Sept. 11 coin sale halted AP Spitzer: âIt is a shameless attempt to profit from a national tragedyâ New coal miners are desperately needed AP JPMorgan says shift in yuan is likely Bloomberg Metal prices punish Asia stocks Reuters Copper Buckles FT Dr. Copper G-E French investors quit stocks Bloomberg UK pension funds sidle up to derivatives Reuters Robust derivatives services in sight China Weekly India is world's 3rd best FDI destination Rediff Emerging market debt hits record levels FT S&P: $114Bln Hidden From Shareholders Moscow Times Survey: Russia a World Leader in Corruption MT Russia plans big Yukos sale Reuters Climbing rates worry Canadians with debt CP House Prices -- The Worst Is Yet To Come Scoop Denmark warns EU over IAS 39 FT U.S. textile industry petitions protection AP The Textile Crisis NCTO
Wednesday October 13 Crude Oil Declines on IEA Forecast That Demand Growth Will Slow BL IEA Con Job Redux PIMCOÂ (Gross) A Federal Inflation Conspiracy? Business Week Many unhappy returns Economist While rich-world investors struggle to make decent returns, investors from emerging markets are lending to America as never before A return to gas lines and rationing? CNN Ripple effects of rising fiscal woes in Washington CS Monitor U.S. 4th-Qtr Economic Growth to Cool on Oil Prices, Survey Says Bloomberg Taylor On The Markets & Gold G-E The Lobster Trap of Central Banking North Mortgage Applications Fall Last Week Reuters How Housing Has a Hand in Rates Business Week Autos industry braces for disappointing results FT Merrillâs Earns it Buy âUglyâ Revenue NYPÂ HDI ~ MCD Intelâs profit margins squeezed FT Yahoo Profit Triples on Google Stake Sale ASML warns of slowdown in chip sector FT Philips Sees Waning Demand TS Mystery Firms Hit Pink Sheets NYP (Byron) The company has never filed paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission enabling its stock to be legally traded on the public market. Adelphia Claims Top $3 Trillion CFO Fannie's Hedging Deals Look Thorny TheStreet Fannie Mae told to keep papers for probe AP CEOs âguardedly optimisticâ about economy FT The Business Council published an embarrassing correction on Tuesday to a survey of its members' outlook on the US economy. Bank chief warns of inflation rise and joblessness Times Online Italian Industrial Production Unexpectedly Falls Amid Surge in Oil Price BL Is India Facing Argentina-Like Debt Crisis? Bloomberg Britain's Jobless Rate at 20-Year Low AP Single currency, but many prices Times Online SAFE: rumors of RMB exchange rate rise groundless PD The IMF and Oil Prices Tech Central Oil prices put growth in danger, agency says NYT Nigerian Union Threatens Oil Industry Reuters
Tuesday October 12 $54 Breached CBSM Just how high will oil prices go? AME (Faber) Chart Readers Say $70 Just Around the Corner Reuters North Sea oil soars to record as shortages fear grows Times Online Oil-shocked into recession? CNNÂ Snow Job Rostenko Do stocks and oil mix? Global: Danger Zone Morgan Stanley (Roach) Erase Debt Now. (Lose Your House Later.) NY Times Doubts over Fed plans push yen up on dollar R/B More hikes coming CNN Banks And Buttheads D-Reckoning Retail spending dips, crimping the economy CS Monitor Senate passes $136B corporate tax bill AP Pension Promise No Guarantee of Security WP General Motors to axe 12,000 jobs in Europe FT Global Crossing shares drop on fears over financing DJ Philips sees flat chip sales in Q4 CBSM Earnings Season Means Excuse Season As Well Schaeffers Inside the culture and collapse of Enron CS Monitor Ex-Merrill Lynch Exec Declines Testimony AP Feds Took A Dive in Diva Ink Expert Case NYP KPMG Pays $115 Million to Settle Suit CFO The Missing Link Elliott Wave Mundell: A World Currency in the Long Run AGIÂ CS Monitor Bretton Woods 2? Roubini Blog Tokyo Stocks Plunge; Dollar Down Vs. Yen (10:54 PM) AP Japan's Bonds Gain for 3rd Day; Slower US Jobs Growth May Sap Exports BL Japan's Falling Wages Slow Consumer Spending, Economy's Engine BL German October Investor Confidence Declines to 16-Month Low BL Blair oblivious to unfolding pension crisis Times Online Increased pensions costs are hitting British companies Scotsman Central Bank Lets Ruble Rise Moscow Times Yukos Ordered to Pay $1.4Bln Moscow Times Sainsbury's credit rating nears junk Times Online Royal & Sun moves 1,100 jobs to India Guardian
Monday October 11 Crude Rises to Record for Fifth Day on Concern About Shortfall in U.S. Bloom Earnings Shortfalls Hussman The Case for Rate Hikes: Did the Fed Prematurely Raise Rates? Levy The frantic search for a silver lining MSN (Fleck) Weak micro- and macroeconomic data continue to pile up, yet contorted rationalizations regarding oil, stocks and real estate continue unabated. Eventual lunch bill may spell end to dollar's dominance Times Online Imagine a place where you could spend far more than you earned for years without consequence. Imagine a place where you could pay your way by writing cheques that nobody would bother to cash. Welcome to America, today. John Dessauer's dollar dance CBSM Central bankers need to learn new tricks Independent (King) Bull Market Fading ~ Tech stuck in neutral ~ A warning of lower returns CBSM Baby boomers face retirement challenges NWITimes Candidates Mum on Possible Housing Bubble NYP Retail equity trading expected to remain sluggish FT Fannie Mae survives attack FT LCD glut drives LG Philips profits down 15% Reuters SunTrust Banks to Restate 2-Quarters of Earnings for Loan-Loss Allowance BL Value investor on the brink FT Bear Stearns Probes Executives Over Fund Trades, Records Show Bloomberg Pink-Sheets Bluster NYP (Byron) The stocks themselves -- representing equity stakes in seemingly worthless shell companies -- are trading at a combined market value of more than $1.3 billion on the so-called pink sheets market. Top oil groups fail to recoup exploration costs FT Venezuela raises oil drilling tax BBC Getting a measure of the impact of rising oil FT Snow Expects Arab Help Against Oil Prices AP Kuwaitis, Saudis pledge oil help CBSM Saudi Arabia bitter over global taste for sweet and not sour oil TO Analyst: Gas Prices Jump With Oil Prices AP Gold May Climb. . . Bloomberg Gold price forecast for 2005 Kitco Platinum at $1,000 not inconceivable -- Virtual Metals Mineweb Surging demand keeps coal hot TheAustralian Singapore Economy Unexpectedly Shrinks Annual 2.3% in Third Quarter BL Can India Hold Off the âBond Vigilantes?' Bloomberg The Japanese economy: what needs to be done Brookesnews Nigeria fuel price strike starts BBC Leaked figures 'show pension gap' BBC Millions face pensions misery Guardian Forecasting is defunct as a means of shaping monetary policy Guardian Japanese retail investors buy China Power IPO Peopleâs Daily AIM faces revamp in crackdown on risky flotations Times Online ABN Amro set to enter China's futures market FT Exxon, Chevron named in Iraqi probe CNN/M Chavez may sue Venezuela cenbank over forex profits Reuters Such threats from the leader of the world's No. 5 oil exporter alarm some foreign investors, although most have become accustomed to Chavez's revolutionary rhetoric and his frequent tirades against free-market capitalism. 40 tons of gold smuggled out yearly Pretoria News
Weekend Edition (Oct 9-10) Oil Casts Long Shadow on Bull Market AP U.S. Forecasters Fret About Oil Hit Reuters Restructuring Gurus See Day of Reckoning Reuters Teetering With Economic Imbalances WP Elections, Recessions and the Economy Mauldin The Election & the Metals Markets Aden Trading the Oil Bull Zeal SEC Probes Krispyâs Books NYP Citigroup hits back at Parmalat over debt NYT Cloudy Days on Wall Street Weiss Dollar Has Biggest Weekly Drop Against the Yen Since August Bloomberg Chinese mainland's foreign exchange reserve exceeds US$470.639 bln PDaily LG Shows It Makes Sense to Manufacture in India Bloomberg
Friday October 8 Economy Adds 96,000 Jobs; U-Rate 5.4% Bloom BLS - Bears Awake Fed says weaker dollar needed to address deficit Reuters $ Weakens âOver time, there is only one direction for the dollar to go -- lowerâ Crude Oil May Rise From Record on Supply Concern, Survey Shows Bloomberg $50-plus oil drags on economy CS Monitor Global: Canary in the Coal Mine Morgan Stanley (Roach) Evidence Indicates Soft Patch Continuing Comstock CIBC sees fewer Fed rate hikes G&M CIBC ReportPDF Twin Peaks CIBC PDF Whatever these central banks thought was a neutral interest rate setting when oil was $30 a barrel is surely hundreds of basis points lower when oil is trading at over $50 per barrel A New Productivity Paradox Business 2.0 The government's data says Americans are working fewer hours. But you're still staying at the office every night. What gives? US pension agency chief warns of solvency risk Reuters US: Debt Limit Update Morgan Stanley Meditations on Hedonics Financial Sense Berry just claimed that the biggest bond trader on the planet was clueless and the most clueless central banker on the planet was not. He might want to rethink this stance The Bear's Lair: The Moral Hazard merchant UPI We're in mass denial of long-term-care reality Chicago Sun Times Hedge Funds: The taming of the shrewd Economist AT&T Cuts 7,400 Jobs, Asset Value by $11B AP Alcoa Earnings Miss Lowered Forecasts Schaeffers Writedown Hammers Corning - Manhattan Associates Warns TheStreet Smith Barney sees Delta bankruptcy soon Reuters ÂŁ33 billion wiped off shares in drug giants Times Online KMPG Agrees to Pay $115M to Settle Suit AP Companies lay blame all around Norris Parmalat's Trustee Sues Bank of America AP Martha reports to prison CNN Sentinel funds fined in timing case CBSM Forecast gets the gold bull bellowingBusiness Day We are now in the aftermath of the third stock-market bubble. The chart shows that, for history to repeat itself, gold could go to $5,600/oz. CBOT enters metals futures FT Key gauge signals economic contraction JapanT Forex reserves hit record A key gauge of the current state of Japan's economy plunged below the boom-or-bust line of 50 percent in August for the first decline in 16 months ECB warns on impact of oil price IHT India May Have a Bill Gross Before China Bloomberg Japan slaps a ban on UFJ Bank IHT (NYT) City hits at Whitehead Mann over grim news on trading Times Online Standard Life reneges on payouts Guardian Bombardier to cut 2,000 jobs Globe & Mail Trio Of Deadly Explosions In Egypt AP
'Mother of all bubbles' warning on house prices Guardian Prices could slump by 30% before they return to their long-term average, a leading economist has warned. Review: No sign of an apocalypse now FT Book: Bubbles and How to Survive Them Amazon (Not listed yet)
Thursday October 7 New York Crude Oil Soars to Record $53 on Winter Supply Concern BL Commodities Index Rises to 23-Year High as Demand Surges for Oil, Metals BL U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell to Lowest in a Month Bloomberg B of A layoffs represent 2.5% of total workforce CBSM Sept. Jobs Numbers Could Hurt Bush White House NYP (Crudele) Survey: CEOs bearish on 2005 growth Reuters How High Will Oil Prices Climb? Faber Heatâs On Oil Price Reuters 60 dollars a barrel within reach if winter is colder than expected AFP Prospects and Policies for the U.S. Economy: Why Net Exports Must Now Be the Motor for U.S. Growth Levy Credit Default Swaps: Who's Doing What? CFO Oct 1: Default Swap Faults Critics worry that the asymmetry inherent in credit default swaps contains the potential for serious abuse U.S. Treasurys: Is A Bear Market Underway? BCA Economic Reports: Things You've Suspected but Were Afraid to Ask! - GDP G Son of âa day late and a dollar shortâ FS Stock, Bond, Vix Ratios Turn Down.... Safe Haven Retail Braces for Another Tough Month TheStreet When the Chips Are Down ... Schaeffers Ex-Fannie Mae Accountant Admits Concerns AP Misconduct? It's Only Half the Story.... Elliott Wave AIG: Why the Feds Are Playing Hardball Business Week How Serious Was the Fraud at Computer Associates? Wharton Stern to Sirius: S&P Is Unimpressed Business Week After the gold rush CNN Asia/Pacific: More Inflation Scares Ahead Morgan Stanley (Xie) China's oil demand unlikely to decline Peopleâs Daily IEA estimates Chinese and Indian demand will grow 970,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year -- nearly 40 per cent of total world growth. Guess Whoâs Coming To Dinner? PBear (Auerback) Further rate rises in balance as factories stall again Independent Analyst predicts housing crash Times Online Rising oil price usually means recession. So why are share markets up? Inde Bull run? Investors, be cautious! Rediff Chipmakers locked in battle at nanometer level Asahi FSA targets UFJ over attempts to block inspections Japan Times Spanish bank chief to face tax trial IHT (BL) Iraq Audits Expose Poor Controls CFO
Wednesday October 6 Gold edges up before oil and jobs data CBSM Copper at 9-year high, silver soars; demand seen strong Oil Scales $52 on Winter Fuel Fears Reuters From boom to bust, eventually TT (Shiller) Watch out, homeowners: prices of homes in the world's most glamorous cities are getting ready to crumple Housing Troubles Would Crimp Fed's Plans TheStreet Fears about Fannie Newsday Fannie Mae fallout could trickle down Fannie Mae's Raines `Strongly' Disagrees With Regulator Report Bloomberg Oil Surge From Ivan Pushes Heating Costs to Record Bloomberg Pump Dreams New Yorker (Thanks L.K.) NA not building up energy reserves fast enough: EnCana CEO CP Over a barrel CBSM (Kellner) Snow, Clement Miss Mark on Oil-Price Speculation B loom High energy prices sting low-income Americans the hardest AP Inflation Lurks Smart M (Atteberry) The 'Peak Oil' cult FP Utility Players Schaeffers Gas companies probed for âmarket abuseâ FT Debt Ceiling Could Be Hit This Month AP Illegal end of quarter portfolio pumping CBSM (Hulbert) Wal-Mart Sees Profit at Low End of Range TheStreet Kodak cuts 600 jobs and shuts two plants as digital toll rises Independent Starbucks vs. Its Addicts Slate Soros spins off three of his firm's businesses Times Online Insiders Turn Bearish in September Thomson The SEC Flexes Its New Muscle CFO Tanker freight rates may come under pressure Business Times US confronts sudden flu vaccine shortage FT Boomers neglect financial planning CBSM Gold may be the best investment option today AME Dollar index suggests gold at $500 MineWeb Is Your Job Coming to India? Get Used to It Bloomberg Finance Ministry to cut government bond issues Japan Tims Fears over digital sector, personal consumption cloud outlook Japan Times Foreign banks lose taste for Japan, pack bags for home Asahi Japan: Will New Banknotes Have a 'New Currency' Effect? Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse warns growth will slow in 2005 Swiss Info Bond holdings to hurt Big Four if rates rise Standard From "bicycle kingdom" to world's fastest-growing auto market Peopleâs Daily Banks caught napping in real estate scam SMH French finance chief declares 'love' for US AFP Austria weighs in with new, 68-pound coin AP http://www.bigphilcoin.com/ Mundell: âThe world needs a common currency beyond each national one," and gold fills the bill.
Tuesday October 5 Report: U.S. job cuts at eight-month high in Sept. Reuters White House sees broad jobs revision Reuters Report: Council says up to 384,000 more jobs may have been created from March '03 to March '04. US service sector slows in September Reuters ISM Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan FED Gold, silver futures near 6-month highs CBSM Crude Oil Prices Surge to All-Time High AP Crude Rises to Near a Record Bloomberg Will Oil Prices Peak at $50? Berner The inevitable rebalancing of the US economy NT PDF Economic Limits to Empire AEI (Lachman) True stream of public debt runs deep UPS (Burns) How U.S. Income Tax Cuts Are Really Tax Increases Bloomberg Looser lending blamed as foreclosures rise DMN Most and least expensive housing markets CNN Soaring costs of senior care USAT Unexpected obstacles stunt profit growth USAT The earnings deceleration that's been feared for months may be worse than originally thought Advanced Micro Guidance Gone in a Flash TheStreet Pulte warns on Q3 earnings, cites Las Vegas Reuters AT&T Tremors Grow Stronger as Cuts Loom TheStreet Yahoo!, Google Face Rising Expectations TheStreet Wall Street Bonus Increases May Be Limited by Revenue Decline BL Morgan Stanley sues card issuers Times Online A Whole New World for Big Plastic Business Week Schwab Cuts Trading Fees Again, Stock Off Reuters Cheney, Halliburton and the Stock Market Tech Central Protecting Martha will be hard: Guard Globe & Mail PeopleSoft chief accused of âmisleading investorsâ FT Why Fannie Maeâs Boss Wants John Kerry To Win NYP (Crudele) SEC considering civil action against AIG FT Genentech Receives U.S. Subpoena in Rituxan Marketing Probe BL Central Bank Gold Sales to Cease? GoldSeek Neither Here Nor There Rostenko China: The Final Frenzy Morgan Stanley (Xie) From Mumbai to Pune Morgan Stanley (Roach) Fed, Not G-7, May Decide China's Move on Yuan Bloomberg Funds: U.S. economy tops list of Asia funds' concerns Reuters/AFX Korean Banks Struggle With Basel Accord, Standard & Poor's Says BL Murder Trial Starts for Ex-Yukos Security Boss Moscow Times Paper: Putin Aide Took Iraqi Oil Cash Moscow Times Italy gears up for Parmalat trial BBC FT says broker's claims are 'vexatious' Guardian Crushing news for HK bank customers BBC Security deposit boxes full of valuables sent to a scrap yard, destroyed 'World Bank' Bidding Starts at 30 Cents on eBay Reuters
Fed's Santomero: Rates have a way to go Reuters
Monday October 4 Factory Orders Drop Despite Expectations AP U.S. gasoline pump price highest since mid-June Reuters Hidden debt poses long-term threat USAT This hidden debt equals $473,456 per household, dwarfing the $84,454 each household owes in personal debt. The government's inflation con job MSN (Fleck) They tell us prices are under control and 'prove' it with cynical manipulation of data. Thatââs why fixed-income investments like bonds offer little value Paying the Fiddler Hussman Citigroup's Yamada, Top Technical Analyst, Sees Dow Falling Bloomberg More Pain Ahead for Stocks? Business Week Market hits 'lower lows, lower highs' PP The Coming Week: Reality Check TheStreet Doomsday for the green back? DeLong If international currency speculators get the scent of near-inevitable profits from an ongoing dollar decline in their nostrils, all Asian central banks together will not be able to keep the dollar high. Some stocks are cheap for a reason CBSM More Americans are becoming house-poor Chicago Tribune Keynesian policies are back in vogue BrookesNews There's a difference between unemployment, underemployment SF Chronicle United's pension woes: sign of bigger issue CS Monitor Interest rates push US drivers into cheaper cars FT As gas prices soar, truckers battle record costs CS Monitor NASDAQ Plans Leap From OTCBB to Guess What, NASDAQ FW Citigroupâs woes worsen as Korea launches probe FT Citigroup apologised for executing a huge trade in European government bonds in August... Gagging The Market NYP (Byron) Gold geezers pleased but patient CBSM Gold May Exceed 15-Year High as Dollar Falls Against The Euro Bloomberg Hedge funds face sharp fall in returns FT Hedge funds to come under closer scrutiny Guardian Sugar business sours as U.S. goes diet crazy USAT China holds firm over yuan reform BBC $ Rises China must slow down Toronto Sun China's thirst for oil BBC Soaring Chinese demand drives mining boom FT Chinese official warns of risks facing world economy Peopleâs Daily Brown sounds warning on might of China and India Times Online Why Japan is the world's economic barometer Inde (King) Why Asia Doesn't Have a Greenspan or Trichet Bloomberg Real estate price decline spurs fear of wider effect JoongAnd Daily Comparisons of the situation in Korea with that of Japan in 1991 IMF failing to agree on debt plan BBC 'Where did the $2.6bn go? Times Online UK metal brokers accused of rogue trade complicity Guardian Hamanaka had been one of Sumitomo's star traders, known as "Mr Five Per Cent" for the proportion of the copper market he would corner on occasion. Barclays denies 'fleecing' clients Guardian OSC wants funds to make restitution Globe & Mail Australian Stocks continue record-breaking run AAP
Global economic headwind poses a risk, says IMF BR "It [US current account deficit] can't go on forever and at some point the imbalances will resolve themselves. The issue we all face is how to operate a financial system and an economic system that will cause those imbalances to be corrected without a major disruption."
Weekend Edition (Oct 2-3) China not showing cards on dollar peg CBSM No timetable set, despite weekend of pressure The Week Ahead: Following the Bouncing Ball CIBC The Outer Limits? Contrary Investor Horse Racing and the CIA Mauldin Relativity Zeal How the GSEs ruined yoga PBear Asian Doubts Regarding the Dollar North October Option Advisor Commentary: "High Risk" Schaeffers Wal-Mart sales at low end of forecast Reuters
Friday October 1 Ford Reports Disappointing U.S. Sales AP Auto Sales Overview Bloom GM, Ford Raise U.S. Sales Incentives Reuters Oil near $50, eyes Nigeria delta truce Reuters Gold prices turn higher, end up 3% for the week AFX CBSM Manufacturing Slows In September ISM Construction spending hits record R Nortel Firing 3,250 TheStreet Oracle jumps on PeopleSoft bid hopes CBSM China Meets the G-7 Morgan Stanley (Roach) Happy Anniversary, Mr. Market Forbes (Grant) Recovery Fading, Structural Issues Remain Welling âWarning to fully invested equities bulls: Reading this interview could raise your blood pressureâ The dragon and the eagle Economist American consumers and Chinese producers have led a global boom. China is creating genuine wealth, but America's binge is based partly on an illusion Fannie Mae: The Tip of the Iceberg? Comstock At A Time Least Expected, Resisting the Irresistible Elliott Wave Earnings Quality: The Best And The Worst Forbes Soaring Steel Price Stings Makers of Auto Parts Bloomberg Higher prices for scrap, steel hurting auto parts makers G&M Did More Imported Steel Help? (from July 28) CITAC Raw steel production utilization rate running above 90% Steel BlueScope Steel CEO sees no drop in steel prices Stuff Steel-hungry dragon to boost Indian bottomline FExpress BHP to Sell Most of New Nickel Production to China Bloomberg Gold, resource funds outperform in Q3 CBSM Russell on Gold Chipmakers act fast to cut inventories FT Lazard Asks Partners to Take Pay Cut Before IPO, People Say Bloomberg Big Funds Say Ouch to Merck's Misery TheStreet AP ~ NYP Lawson Meets Lowered Targets, Plans Layoff TheStreet Fresh Del Monte Falls on Warning TheStreet SEC Charges Ex-CFO with Insider Trading CFO Raymond James brokerage charged with fraud Reuters Hedge Fund Boss Busted For Fraud NY Post Can Hedge Funds Survive Onslaught of Bureaucrats? Bloomberg Microsoft asks for delay in sanctions IHT Stock Options: The Lying Liars Who Donât Want Them Expensed Weeden PDF Greenspan: The Man Who Does the Opposite SH May 11, 2004: Back to the '70s CNN China recommits to flexible yuan CBSM IMF: 'China must move toward currency flexibility' AFP Japan says yuan policy up to China ahead of G7 Reuters U.S. Pressures China Over Currency AP Snow to Be Tough China runs its own race Australian Chinese car dealers are embedding secret computer chips in their vehicles so they can use global positioning systems to trace buyers who stop car loan repayments...It's one of the more obscure reasons why the G7 finance ministers meeting Chinese officials in Washington today may not get the answers on the Chinese economy they are hoping for. Japanese Manufacturers' Confidence Increases to 13-Y High BL 4.8% AP Euro zone in states of change IHT (Norris) State's data inadequate, pensions adviser says Times Online The numbers game that doesn't add up Times Online New Zealand: Bear market risk greater, says broker National Business Review Watchdog concluded UFJ tried to hide bad loan data Asahi FSA sees Citigroup probe over by year end Reuters Venezuela's Ramirez: High oil prices for 2005 PWorld Bush's Lead in Futures Markets Similar to Gore's Edge in 2000 Bloom
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