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Weekend Edition (June 21-22, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Global Insights Stock market comeback faces triple threat MW Warren Makes a Bet Mauldin Good Inflation? Noland The Fed Unreserved Schiff If the Fed Is So Easy, Why Is the Growth in Money & Credit Aggregates So Weak? Kasriel P Price Increases Put Pressure on the Fed NYT (Norris) Can the Fed Answer All the Alarms? NYT (Stein) Cash Out Of Luck? Pretti Soros predictis a "superbubble" WSJ He has cried wolf many times, but this time George Soros says the beast is really upon us. Technicians see Wall Street on thin ice Reuters The Hindenburg Omen: Crash Signal In Play Seeking Alpha Is the stock market headed for a crash? MSN Revisiting Wall Street's Bias! Harding Falling knives are always the sharpest Scotsman Market Perspective: Stocks Held Hostage by Triple Threat Schwab Banks Trimming Limits for Many on Credit Cards NYT 8 Reasons You Should Not Expect an Inheritance NYT Predicting the Housing Future: Los Angeles and Orange Counties Dr. HB New Study: European Housing Bubble Makes U.S.'s Look Tame EW Speculative Bubbles and Overreaction to Technological Innovation FRBSF (Lansing) Robert Mundell - An Economist Who Matters WSJ SLV Silver ETF Zeal Government Is Sued Over Seizure of Liberty Dollars NY Sun Saudi Arabia to produce more oil CNN The country's petroleum minister, Ali I. Al-Naimi, said that the increase will take place in July. Oil prices soar ahead of Saudi summit Telegraph Oil summit to urge financial market transparency Reuters Other OPEC members may join Saudi oil output hike Reuters Travelers Shift to Rail as Cost of Fuel Rises NYT Security fears over food and fuel crisis FT India’s Growth Outstrips Crops NYT MBIA Says Downgrade Triggers $7.4 Billion in Payments, Collateral Postings BL How Big a Payday for the Pay Consultants? NYT (Morgenson) Financial squeeze tightens for Ford Det News Shareholders take brunt of banks' capital raising AP Gates without Microsoft Fortune Higher airfares change the way business travels MW What Happens if We’re Wrong? NYT The rise and fall of China's stock market Toronto Star Chinese equities have lost the equivalent of almost $1.74 trillion (U.S.) in value this year alone. HBOS shares fall below rights issue price Times Online FSA crackdown on short-selling fails to prevent shares in the bank slipping below the rights issue price amid new regime BCE Wins Canada Supreme Court Approval for $51.3 Billion Leveraged Buyout BL The New Stagflation BMO Focus PDF The Week Ahead: Reversal of Fortunes CIBC PDF Japan's Five-Year Notes Post Biggest Weekly Gain in 10 Months BL U.K. Two-Year Government Bonds Have Weekly Gain on Interest Rate Outlook BL Anatomy of bear markets Business Standard Blacks under pressure as insurers cut back on credit cover for retailers Independent Sony shareholders let CEO keep pay secret AFP SESC pushes for record fine against IHI Asahi Martian Ice Discovered Beneath Red Soil, NASA Says BL
Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - 20-27 June 2008 Danske PDFs Fed to Markets: You Didn't Take Seriously Our Recent Hawkish Comments, Did You? NTP New Europe Weekly: Central bank credibility - if you don’t have it, build it Danske PDF
Friday June 20, 2008 Stocks in U.S. Decline to Lowest Level in Three Months on Higher Oil Price BL Yields on MBIA-Insured Short-Term Muni Debt Almost Double to 9% After Cuts BL Mexico's Central Bank Unexpectedly Raises Benchmark Lending Rate to 7.75% BL Gold: Don't count on $1,000 CNN Crude Oil Advances on Weaker Dollar, Report of Israeli Military Exercises BL A new House effort vs. oil trading CNN Democratic Congressmen say they'll take another stab at closing loopholes that allow unbridled 'speculation.' UBS Analyst Cuts Estimates on Fannie Mae AP Large U.S. Bank Stocks in Capitulation Mode: Merrill Reuters Energy-Book Frenzy Is a Sign of Speculation in Oil Markets, Birinyi Says BL Treasuries Gain as Traders Scale Back Bets on Fed Interest-Rate Increases BL Moody's Cuts MBIA, Ambac Reuters The end of MBIA and Ambac? FTA Merrill May Issue Profit Warning CNBC Ford, GM financial arms may incur writedowns R U.S. House Approves Iraq, Afghanistan War Funds, Extended Jobless Benefits BLWhite House threatens veto of foreclosure rescue Is the LEI Biased Upwards Because of Mammoth Decline in Fed Treasury Holdings Kasriel P Dr. Frankenstein Brews Inflation Expectations Baum This superbear is a long way from bottom MoneyWeek Stock-market towel hasn't been thrown in yet Hulbert America still has a big current-account deficit. So is the dollar too dear? Economist US Current Account - Still A Drag On The Dollar Merk Back to the 1970s? Schwab Another season of stagflation may lie ahead. Exploding commodity prices signal future inflation VOX Will The FOMC Take The Fork In The Road? Barron’s While the Fed frets over inflation, the fuel for higher prices may be drying up. Inflation out of control! What to do … M&M Inflation hits hard in Hawaii Which is a greater evil, inflation or recession? Times (G. Baker) Global - Inflation expectations monitor Danske PDF Can the U.S. Bring Jobs Back from China? Business Week On the trail of the next big bubble LA Times Death of America's Suburbs Is Greatly Exaggerated Mysak State and Local Finance and the Storm Surge of the Housing Bust RGE Rough patch, downturn, or sideways waffle: They all spell recession CS Monitor States Feel the Pinch From U.S. Slowdown WSJ (Complete via Google) NGA PR Economy has some states tangled in 'dire' financial snares USAT In weak economy, forgoing $4 lattes for home brews AP Retailers try to thrive... More consumers, workers shoplift as economy slows USAT Winnebago net tumbles 73 percent on dismal sales Reuters Bubbles, risk, crunch and war Asia Times Are We Too Gloomy? BIG Picture Smoking and Mirroring Panzner Steve Keen Implementing monetary policy in the 2000s: operating procedures in Asia and beyond BIS U.S. Financial Data, June 19 Issue FRBSL Oil Steve Forbes Driller Instinct NYT (Krugman) "It's the Speculators" Goldberg Blaming speculators is fun, easy and wrong Reuters (Saft) Panic petrol buying in China as prices rise 18% Times Online Six million could fall into fuel poverty trap Times Online Here's the drill: Deep-sea oil is plentiful, hard to get; see video USAT Big Oil Gives Montana The Brush Crudele Gold May Rise to $5,000 on Inflation, Schroder Says BL Not All Metals are Created Equal - Metals Review for 2008 and 2009 (Part I) Lee Another dry-bulk fleet owner seeks to float Finance Asia Commodity Pits Driving Monetary Policy BCA Research Money magnet Economist Playing the commodities boom, Brazilian-style Chavez Threatens to Stop Oil to Europe Reuters Big brokers threatened by crackdown on shadow banking system MW Regulators eye $10 trillion market that boomed outside traditional banking Sachs appeal Economist Regulation may hurt Goldman Sachs more than the markets seem able to Bear Stearns H-Fund Prosecutors Reveal `Lot of Evidence' in Fraud Case BL Two Sides to Story Define Wall Street in Cioffi's Tale at Bear BL Prosecutors allege that Tannin, in an April 2007 e-mail to Cioffi, wrote that the “subprime market looks pretty damn ugly'' and could be “toast.'' Cioffi Fund Hoisted in Vodka Toast With Tannin Began Stearns Endgame BL “Matt said it's either a meltdown or the greatest buying opportunity ever. I'm learning towards the former.” Question of an Asset’s Value Short Selling - Nasty, brutish and short Economist A Tale of One City, Two Troubled Banks WSJ At Yahoo, the Exodus Continues NYT As BCE ruling nears, stakes have never been higher G&M Biding time, REIT investors wait for market to rebound P&I WaMu Slashes 1,200 Jobs TheStreet Credit Suisse under fire over trading system Yomiuri Deloitte Is Protected in "Insolvency" Ruling CFO Convicted hedge fund swindler on the lam G&M Sullivan Ouster Shows Insurance Beats Securities as Most Perilous for CEOs BL UBS Unit Helped U.S. Clients Hide $20 Billion in Assets, Birkenfeld Says BL The FDIC's Suspicious Marketing Campaign Roseman No longer just goodies for the top 1% ATimes The Trillion Dollar Meltdown Amazon Obama and McCain Spout Economic Nonsense WSJ Bond Sales Soar in Europe as Companies Plan for Worsening Credit Markets BL CDS report: Monoline fear drives Crossover through 500bp FTA India's inflation rate surges to 11.05 pct, 13-year peak AFP Canadian CPI: Heading Towards 3% CIBC PDF G-8 Dithers While the US Dawdles Asia Sentinel China Debunks `Domino Theory' in World Markets Pesek China and the business cycle EconBroswer Could the phenomenal growth train get derailed? HBOS warns of sharper fall in house prices Times Will someone please shut HBOS up Inde John Lewis sales drop signals income hit Telegraph Prime Minister Putin Primes the Pump Spiegel Facebook targets China, world's biggest Web market Reuters Australia's fourth-richest man charged with lying over cartel AFP U.S. says exercise by Israel seemed directed at Iran IHT Iran Would Respond to Any Attack by Israel With `Heavy Blow,' Cleric Says BL
Thursday June 19, 2008 A Kind Word for Inflation McCulley Crime and delusion on Wall Street Fortune Coming soon to a docket near you: The first criminal case of the credit crunch. Mortgage fraud probe nets hundreds CNN RCMP charge former Nortel executives G&M BCE Appeal Decision: Friday FP Voters Fed Up With Free-Market Capitalism Kass Fuel Protests Spread, China to Increase Prices Reuters Oil Tumbles Citigroup Will Have `Substantial' Further CDO Writedowns, Crittenden Says BL Centex exec: "No one who was unemployed ever bought a house” Huntsman shares tumble 40% on deal troubles MW Manufacturing in Philadelphia Area Contracts; Leading Indicators Increase BL Business Outlook Survey ~ Leading Indicators ~ Jobless Claims Decline The Choking Point? Puplava Market Opinions Grim as Dow Dips Below 12,000 NY Sun Goldilocks Dumps King, Rejects Ben, Beds Trichet Gilbert Almost a third of CEOs expect to cut jobs AP Did the Fed go too far? CNN With Bernanke & Co. likely to keep rates steady next week, some argue the economy is worse off because of the Fed's previous big rate cuts. A Brave New World for Financial Regulation SEC’s Cox Fed Lays Plans for Investment-Bank Aid When Credit Window Shuts BL Paulson To Urge New Fed Powers WP “Our nation has come to expect the Federal Reserve to step in to avert events that pose unacceptable systemic risk” NYT: Although the speech acknowledges the Fed's role in intervening in moments of turmoil, Paulson also criticizes the idea that markets should expect the Fed to bail out any institution considered too big to fail. Why the Fed will not raise interest rates Cumberland Economy Slowing in U.S. While Prices Surge Isn't Your Father's Stagflation BL Michigan economy setbacks: Job losses, auto sales Det News Ackman targets another bond insurer Fortune Fallout From Bad Loans Rocks Regional Banks NYT A Home Price Firewall WP (Feldstein) Rising mortgage rates add to housing woes CS Monitor Baker: “It is virtually certain that price declines will continue through 2008 and into 2009.” Brace for other shoe to drop in mortgage mess SBJ Borrowers one tier above subprime could produce next wave of defaults Investment in U.S. commercial real estate falls 70% LA Times HBOS Says U.K. House Prices to Fall as Much as 9% in 2008, Bad Loans Rise BL FSA rejects 'American imperialism' Times Online The Financial Services Authority said that it could veto American efforts to impose regulation on the London oil market Commodities Continue to Power Ahead BMO PDF Deals with Iraq are set to bring oil giants back IHT Four Western oil companies are in the final stages of negotiations this month on contracts that will return them to Iraq, 36 years after losing their oil concession to nationalization as Saddam Hussein rose to power. Not everyone joining herd of oil bulls Brimelow House Democrats call for nationalization of refineries FOX McCain calls for building 45 new nuclear reactors AP Dearth of Ships Delays Drilling of Offshore Oil NYT Free Trade in Food Is `On the Ropes' Amid Shortages, Price Rise BL European Leaders Tinker With Treaty as Soaring Fuel Prices Spur Protesters BL Rogue London trader loses $120 million Times Online The markdown is thought to relate to short-term trading in credit index options that may date back as far as last year. Circuit City 1Q Loss Widens, Weak Forecast AP Kerkorian's Tracinda Buys 40.8 Million More Ford Shares; Stake Is Now 6.5% BL GM Suspends Large-Truck Program, Reassigns Engineers in Fuel-Economy Shift BL Fears Buffett is backing Inbev bid for Budweiser has St Louis up in arms Independent Microsoft's bad moves suggest bad advice MW Hexion Sues Huntsman to End Merger NYT Dealbook Huntsman Criticizes Hexion Attempt to Withdraw $10.6 Billion Buyout Offer BL Hedge Funds Hire From Wall Street as Jobs Disappear, Compensation Declines BL Why Paul Miller in Virginia Is Smartest of Wall Street's Top Stock Pickers BL Popping the Tuition Bubble AEI Between 1989 and 2005, college costs had increased at double the rate of inflation. Former Bear Stearns Fund Managers Cioffi, Tannin Arrested in Fraud Probe BL Asia and Global Stagflation VOX Fund managers pull out of China and India at a record pace Ambrose Evans-Pritchard A Partnership of Equals: How Washington Should Respond to China’s Economic Challenge iie U.K. Retail Sales Unexpectedly Rose in May by Most in at Least Two Decades BL Gieve quits as Darling unveils Bank shake-up Telegraph Lesson of the 1970s is raise interest rates Warner China, US to talk for investment accord China Daily Indonesia issues its biggest ever US dollar bond Finance Asia Inflation Wallops Low-Income Koreans Chosun IHI may face record fine of 1.6 billion yen over accounts Yomiuri
Wednesday June 18, 2008 Bush: Lift ban on offshore drilling CNN 'Our nation must produce more oil, and we must start now," Obama: NAFTA not so bad after all Fortune Fitch: Credit risks rising for food, agribusiness sectors MW FedEx Report: “The operating environment for fiscal 2009 is expected to be very difficult...” Survey shows fund managers at their most negative in a decade MW “A net 61% of fund managers believe that the global economy will weaken over the next year, up from 39% taking this view in May.” RBS issues global stock and credit crash alert Ambrose Evans-Pritchard “A very nasty period is soon to be upon us - be prepared” Fed's Bear Stearns Books Look Prime for Cooking BL The Federal Reserve is just days away from completing the financing for its bailout of Bear Stearns Cos., after which the central bank will have another big decision to make: how to account for it. N.Y. Fed's private OTC actions under fire Reuters “The Federal Reserve seems to think it can engage in rule making in secret only with the industry” Recipe for market meltdown Harrison The Road To Revulsion Investor Insight Weary Americans can't fight global inflation Reuters (Saft) Why We're Gloomier Than The Economy WP (Irwin) Economic outlook "subprime," no recession: report Reuters Inflation Promises a Belt-Tightening Era YALE Global Vaporizing jobs and surging fuel prices may just be the beginning of bigger problems for the US and global economy The American Consumer: Stronger Now, Weaker Later Berner Central bank body warns of Great Depression Banking Times Now’s The Time For You To Take Out That Loan Crudele Bond yields spiking on inflation fears CNN Fed: On the horns of a dilemma Wachovia PDF Bernanke May Regret Rate Cuts as Inflation Rises, Lawson Says BL Numbers and greed without limit Mogambo FX Strategy - USD: Flow of funds update, Q1 08 Danske PDF Accountability and Oversight of US Exchange Rate Policy Peterson Institute Monetary Trends, July Issue FRBSL Mortgage refinancing at 2008 low CNN MBA Paulson & Co. Founder Says Bank Writedowns, Losses May Reach $1.3 Trillion BL More big bank dividend cuts lie ahead Fortune MBIA Debt Is Setting Up a Quandary NYT (Morgenson) Will regulators will let MBIA, the big bond insurance company, renege on a promise to shore up a crucial unit with $900 million in capital? Morgan Stanley Earnings Plunge 57% as Trading Declined BL Fifth Third Will Raise $2 Billion Selling Shares, Assets, Reduce Dividend BL Thornburg Survival in Doubt, Gets SEC Subpoenas Reuters Surging U.K. Swap Rates Threaten Housing `Crash’ Gilbert When Builders Go Broke Business Week Avoiding a Lennar meltdown SFBG Why Real Estate Market Is Nowhere Near a Bottom Baum California Home Market Shows `First Signs' of Recovery, UCLA Report Shows BL Revisiting the Last California H-Slump: How bad are Things Currently for Housing? Mybudget Chuck Prince Finds Selling Greenwich Home No Easier Than Managing Subprime BL Gold futures rise to trade above $893 an ounce MW Congress takes aim at oil speculators CNN Are Speculators Driving Commodity Prices Higher? Merrill PDF Are oil speculators driving up gas prices? Star-telegram US watchdog wants City to tighten oil rules Times Online CFTC The CFTC announced new rules for contracts on the London oil market, without the Financial Service Authority's approval Myth-makers caught short in oil speculation Asia Times World Crude Production Has Peaked: Pickens Reuters Hit by fuel prices motorists look to alternatives Reuters When Gas Stations Run Out of Gas Business Week Consumers aren't the only ones getting squeezed at the pump. Many gas station owners can't afford to buy gas either Bush, Following McCain, Presses Congress to End Offshore Oil Drilling Ban BL Empty Shelves, Empty Bellies Huffington Post FedEx steers outlook sharply lower after swinging to loss MW OfficeMax eliminating 2,700 store positions Chicago Tribune U.S. Defaults Keep Soaring CFO Buffett's Berkshire May Bank $600 Million Gain From Anheuser-Busch Sale BL Cerberus Rues Chrysler Cash Consumption as Nardelli Fails to Arrest Losses BL Toyota Cuts Tundra Output Again as Truck Sales Slow BL The man who beat the SEC Fortune Astonishing Sentence, Astonishing Scam CFO Tokyo adds to gains; Shanghai reverses earlier loss, jumps 5% MW Chinese Stock Fall Will Not Persist: Senior Adviser Reuters Inflation ties China government's hands as stocks slide Reuters The bear market may also be damaging China's long-term drive to develop its stock market into an active, stable funding source for companies. Investors Seek Asian Options to Costly China NYT U.S. Tells China Subprime Woes Are No Reason to Keep Markets Closed NYT BoE letter puts the brakes on rate rises Telegraph Bank vows to bring inflation under control, but it may be too late for the Government Inde Some Bank of England policymakers considered rate rise Reuters Europe’s Ivory Tower Politics Merk Housebuilders scream for help after losing their 'one-way' bet Telegraph Deflation generation fears price rises Yomiuri How Much is That Steel Mill in the Window? Asia Sentinel National hubris can drive companies in developing countries to pay more than they should for developed-country assets
Tuesday June 17, 2008 U.S. Stocks Fall After Goldman Says Banks May Have to Raise More Capital BL Big three central banks tone down rate hike threats Reuters Kuwait Minister Says Oil Price Is Too High, Should Be Near $100 a Barrel BL Goldman Sachs 2Q Beats Wall Street Expectations AP Iran withdraws $75 billion from Europe: report Reuters Housing Starts in U.S. Fell 3.3% Last Month to 975,000 Pace, 17-Year Low BL Census U.S. Producer Prices Increased 1.4% in May, More Than Economists Estimated BL BLS Current account deficit widens to $176.4 billion BEA U.S. FDIC-insured institutions paying price NB Financial PDF Morgan Stanley warning as ECB fights Federal Reserve Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Fed mood tilts away from rate hike bets WSJ Inflation Creation No Solution Barron’s What the Fed must do next Kellner After limiting money-supply growth to fight inflation, Fed should pull significant dollars out of circulation. Beware of the inflation dragon KC Star Sustainable Improvement or False Dawn? Berner & Cho Paulson's China Talks Shift to Focus on Energy as Yuan Rises BL Booming, China Faults U.S. Policy on the Economy NYT Americans once scolded the Chinese on mismanaging their economy. But in recent weeks, the fingers have been wagging in the other direction. US, China firms sign whopping 13.6 billion dollar deals AFP A phantom increase in income Mogambo The Fed and the strong dollar policy Asia Times (Lui) Understaffed Fed raises worries CS Monitor Tent City, U.S.A. Mish Bankruptcy rising among seniors USAT 11 reasons passive investors let Wall Street steal their money Farrell Goldman deal could point way for SIVs FT (Free Reg) Reorganisation of the structured investment vehicle is set to be just the first of a number of deals that could see about $18bn worth of SIV assets restructured in the coming months. More big bank dividend cuts lie ahead CNN OSFI head grilled over role in ABCP meltdown FP Builders grim on housing market CNN NAHB Recession fears after housing bubble burst WP How the bust sparked a panic in Florida and felled a storied bank Cities sue, invest to stem foreclosures AP Senators deny deals from Countrywide WP Senators As Confused Borrowers? Don't Insult Our Intelligence CNBC NAR overstated Jersey home sales CNBC The Post Misses the Housing Bubble Yet Again Baker Hope Now tries to speed home foreclosure aid process USAT Housing woes hit community banks LA Times Bonds Beat Brownstones as New York Real Estate Cools Mysak Want to sell your South Florida home? Be realistic Sun-Sentinel One Year of Inventory and 27 Percent Annual Drop for Southern California Dr. HB A Hidden Silver Default? Butler Silver In For A Bumpy Ride UBS A Monumental Petro-Wealth Transfer Morgan Stanley (Jen) Revolution as hydrogen-fuel cars roll off production line in Japan Scotsman Petrol pricey? Japanese invent car that runs on water Reuters Video Shoppers set to count rising cost of bananas Times Online Shakeout roils hedge-fund world WSJ Just a few years ago, traders found it relatively easy to quit Wall Street jobs, hang out a hedge-fund shingle and cash in. Investors beat down the doors with eagerness reminiscent of the late-1990s dot-com frenzy... Europe Regulator Targets Rating Agencies CFO Square milk and mulch from old tires Fortune Broadcom ex-CEO pleads not guilty in criminal cases Reuters Feds: 'Suicide is painless' swindler didn't jump AP An investor's classic shows its value again FT The biggest event in the world of investment publishing this year looks certain to be the re-publication of a book that came out almost three-quarters of a century ago. Who will crash the economy? Blog Inflation rises to 16-year high of 3.3% Times Online German Investor Confidence Dropped to 15-Year Low in June, ZEW Index Shows BL Hang Around 73 Years for Final Check From India BL China Factory Investment Rises 25.6% - Yuan Advances 20% Since End of Dollar Peg BL Families in a fix as the crunch gets worse Times Online High street banks, which have been battered by the credit crunch, are asking shareholders for extra cash to plug the gaps Fixed mortgage rates hit ten-year high ThisisMoney Baltics - The Euro at the End of the Tunnel Morgan Stanley Short-selling changes could be first of many in the City, says Darling Guardian Worries Mount Over Korea Becoming Debtor Nation Chosun China's massive postquake tasks CS Monitor
Monday June 16, 2008 Treasury's TIC Data Shows Solid Foreign Investment RTT Treasury Oil Hits Record Near $140 a Barrel on Dollar AP McClatchy Will Cut 1,400 Jobs, 10% of Its Workforce, as Advertising Slumps BL Monday Morning Outlook: Is Another Positive Expiration Week on Tap? Schaeffers Treasurys advance after New York manufacturing worsens MW Fed to Markets: "We Ain't Got To Show You No Stinking Credibility" Hussman The Fed's chief still doesn't get it MSN (Fleck) The Fed Doesn't Raise Novak Has the American Dream Become a Fairy Tale? Yahoo Our Tarnished Titans WP Troubled Waters Barron’s Eleven of Wall Street's most insightful investment experts weigh in on the uncertain prospects for the economy, stocks, bonds, commodities and more Stocks in U.S. Show Negative Return as Inflation Erases Profits BL Bear Market Worsens as Yields Fail to Match Inflation BL For the longest period since 1980, U.S. inflation has been higher than what investors earn on 10-year notes, a sign that yields have further to rise. Bubble alert! Bond Market Could Be Next Bubble To Burst Crudele We must be cruel to be kind to save the world from a longer-term headache King Deflation rather than inflation could soon be our big worry Telegraph Our lousy monetary policy and economic commentary Jackson Greenback: flab and flex Financial Post Watanabe, Former Japan Finance Official, Says Dollar Intervention Possible BL Fiscal Poison Pill NYT (Krugman) While plenty of people are pawning items, hardly anybody is buying NewsObserver Credit crisis far from over Reuters “Who would have considered that the Fed (would) aggressively cut rates, and in addition to that, create all these special facilities for the investment and securities industry, and yet we're still in the state that we're in?” Deja vu: Summer credit worries on Wall Street AP Lehman Brothers Reduced Mortgage Assets to $64.7 Billion in Second Quarter BL HBOS under pressure over property loans Times Barclays seeks to raise £4bn FT Credit Crisis Crushing UK Banks Market Oracle Investors hit $10bn loss in US financials FT State hit in Bear Stearns collapse Det FP AIG replaces CEO Sullivan amid subprime woes Reuters Has the credit crunch hit your home equity line? CS Monitor Credit Squeezes Tropicana in Las Vegas Where Memory of Elvis Isn't Helping BL Oil falls, Saudi pushing output to highest since '81 Reuters High oil prices are based on fundamentals not speculative bubbles Telegraph Learning From the Oil Shock Newsweek The world may have arrived at the equivalent of Peak Oil. Old fields are in decline, while governments limit new oil projects Gazprom CEO's $250 Oil Forecast Brings Doom Only Options Traders Can Love BL Hong Kong aims to create oil futures market: financial secretary AFP Commodities speculators have a new darling: dandelions BL Corn Jumps to Record as Floods in Midwest Threaten U.S. Crops; Soybeans Up BL High Food Prices `Are Here to Stay,' Nestle Forecasts BL Kellogg effectively raises prices on some cereals Reuters Farmland rush hits the U.S. midwest FP Price jolt: Electricity bills going up, up, up USAT Steel costs bring surcharges Crain’s Auto suppliers brace for hit of up to $250 a ton Thieves are finding ingenious ways to steal gas from stations, pumps—and your car NewsW Who knew $3.90 gas smells so sweet? Det FP Drivers Head To Mexico For Cheaper Gas AP Nearly Half of Wall St. Bank Profits Are Gone NYT Analysts see lower Q2 earnings at investment banks Dow Jones Lehman's Fuld, `Credibility on the Line,' May Face Wary Shareholders Today BL InBev warns Bud against Corona deal BL Pension schemes to ‘pull $175bn out of equities’ Financial News Icahn says Yahoo-Google ad deal has merit Reuters Icahn lambastes corporate culture, CEOs AP The Icahn that many never see MW Lieberman Makes Risky Bet in Speculation-Ban Bid BL REIT investments up this year despite weak housing market BSun REIT Watch - June 08 Japan police arrest 4 in Lehman loan scam case Dow Jones Charges May Come Against Ex-Bear Stearns Execs Reuters Shanghai and Hong Kong snap long weak spell MW UK faces toughest year since 1992 Telegraph CBI warns that growth will slow as the housing market reaches tipping point. Will second round effects be the ECB's WMD? Reuters (Saft) Inflation in Asia to rise, may endanger growth: ADB AFP Industrial output up 16% in May Xinhua Insolvency creeps towards dot-com crash level Times Malaysian PM warns of 'disaster' unless inflation tackled Thomson Derivatives diary: Beginning of the last bear market Economic Times Purchase of Theme Song, a Staple of Canadian Culture, Upsets Hockey Fans NYT
G8 frets over commodity shock, shrinks from action Reuters
Weekend Edition (June 14-15, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Global Insight G-8 concerned about rising oil prices AP G8 split over cause of record oil prices Times Paulson, Lagarde, Kudrin Express Support for `Strong' Dollar at G-8 Talks BL Whip Inflation Now Mauldin SPX Bear Downleg Zeal Stage II Predicaments Noland Swenlin Harding House Prices, the Wealth Effect and the Cash-in-Hand Effect Kasriel PDF The Recession Continues NTrust PDF America, The Unaffordable Forbes The Bubble WP How homeowners, speculators and Wall Street dealmakers rode a wave of easy money with crippling consequences. Two Bubbles, Two Paths NYT Geithner Gets It Right Lenzner What Next for the Dollar? The Role of Foreigners VOX Did Large Recalls of Chinese Consumer Goods Lower U.S. Imports from China? FRBSF U.S. Financial Data, June 13 Issue FRBSL Barclays looks to Asia to raise £4 billion Times Move is the latest in a series of capital raisings around the world by banks that have been hit hard by the credit crisis The worst may be behind for Wall Street - or not AP Lehman and the liars Asia Times Stage 2 of the Mortgage Collapse: $500B in Pay Option ARMs Meet the Piper in 08 Dr. HB Gas prices hit another record CNN Plan Would Lift Saudi Oil Output to Highest Ever NYT Some investors doubt that Saudi Arabia has the capacity to increase its production beyond its current levels. Oil: Has The Mania Arrived? BCA Research The cost of the next barrel G&M IMF says will probe oil market, role of speculators AFP The Farmer, the Baker, the Banker and the H edge Fund Manager Spiegel Oil traders fear for London's position Times Online Capitulation Among the Oil Shorts? To 'World's first' superconducting car Asahi Approve This Deal, or Else NYT (Morgenson) Microsoft Offered $35 a Share for $8 Billion Yahoo Stake, Search Purchase BL Debt Picture Clouds Private Equity CFO Ford tells union more cuts needed as market slumps AP The Search for a Missing Trader Goes Global NYT Your Money: A Primer for Young People Starting Their First Job NYT Stocks see the largest weekly fall since '96 China Daily Mayhem all round Asia Times Yuan's rise on trade-weighted basis not rapid enough: US AFP New global crisis: inflation from Asia Jubak City shocked by FSA plan to crack down on short selling Independent Though it suspects abuse, the FSA is not launching an investigation into shorting during rights issues, effectively imposing an amnesty that gives investors a week to clear their positions. Ireland's vote leaves the euro in limbo yet again Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Uh Oh…The Price Is Still Wrong BMO Focus PDF The Week Ahead: Shots Across the Bow CIBC PDF Livedoor told to pay 9.5 bil. yen compensation Yomiuri Burnt Babcock faces fire sale Australian B&B may be forced into a potentially massive fire sale of global infrastructure assets Endemol lenders try to offload debt Times
Week In Review Northern Trust PDF Fed talks tough -- and hopes that's all it has to do LA Times Repeat something enough and people might actually begin to believe it's true. Corporate Bond Yields Hit Six-Year High CFO Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - June 13-20, 2008 Danske PDFs
Friday June 13, 2008 Wall Street ends turbulent week with sharp gains AP Greenspan Says Financial Markets Show `Pronounced Turnaround' Since March BL Ethanol Plants Shut on Record Corn Price: Citi Reuters Oil Falls as Saudi Arabia's al-Naimi Says Meeting Will `Stabilize' Prices BL Consumer Prices in U.S. Rose 0.6% in May, Topping Forecast, on Fuel Costs BL BLS Commodity prices threaten growth, G8 to warn Reuters Dollar Heads for Biggest Weekly Advance Since 2004 Before G-8 BL “There are suggestions left, right and center that there will be intervention. Everyone is looking for an extension of this move.” Dollar grabs spotlight at G8 inflation talks Reuters Treasury Two-Year Notes Head for Biggest Weekly Loss Since 1982 BL The new stagflation: an Asian export FT (Roach) The Return of the Hawks Morgan Stanley Will the new stagflation persist? EDC Inflation watch: Get used to high prices CNN Raising rates would be crazy, forecaster says MW “I'm baffled by them [Fed officials]. They should just shut up” Fed, ECB Risk 1987 Rerun With Policy Drift Sesit Not only did their [Fed and ECB] communication skills leave much to be desired, their policy coordination would have done the Keystone Cops proud. The ECB Calls Bernanke’s Bluff Dorsch The Hawkish Illusion: Calling Bernanke’s Bluff Merk Market Has Irrational Expectations for the Fed Baum Bernanke, Paulson called to testify on regulation Reuters Investment firms borrow at steady pace from Fed, banks cut back AP U.S. Financial Crisis Has Given Capitalism A Black Eye NPQ Moody's Will Change Municipal Bond Ratings After Pressure From Regulators BL Investment Bulletin Bedlam PDF The Macleans.ca Interview: George Soros Macleans Robert Rubin is NOT a Free Trader (but plays one in the NYT) Baker A boom amid the bust Economist Can the success of money funds last? U.S. Financial Data, June 12 Issue FRBSL 73,000 homes lost to foreclosure in May CNN Filings for the month jumped by 48% Housing Chartbook: June 2008 Wachovia PDF The counterparty's over Economist Brokers may now be a bigger risk The credit crunch causes emerging markets to take stock Economist Merrill Likely to Raise Capital, Post Loss: Lehman Analyst Reuters Goldman Sachs, Banks to Sell `Big Brother' Buyout Loans at 27.5% Discount BL As Banks Shun Loans, Hedge Funds Move In NYT Yahoo Is `Damaged Goods' After Jerry Yang Fails to Revive Microsoft Deal BL Microsoft Bid for Yahoo Probed by SEC Dorfman Good Times Left Lehman Unprepared for the Bad NYT (Norris) Lehman's Callan: Spotlight to Footnote CFO Hands off our Bud Economist Never mind the Chinese - here come the Belgians Americans rally round Anheuser-Busch after takeover bid AFP Anheuser seeks out a Mexican ally WSJ Brewer discusses possible combination With Modelo to thwart bid from InBev. The Coming Euroinvasion Foreign Policy First they came for the iPods. Then the Europeans snatched up condos in Manhattan. Now they’re coming for the companies. Investors Want Transparency From Brokers TheStreet S&P, Following Moody's, Finds Errors in CPDO Ratings Models BL Gannett Freeze May Spread Pension Chill CFO Women at Top Find Wall Street `Takes No Prisoners' in Cruz, Callan Ousters BL Cook Pine Buys Distressed Debt After Betting Against U.S. Mortgage Market BL Man Questioned in Fund Manager's Disappearance CNBC Downtown Washington Area Loses Power; White House Using Backup Generators BL Crude's 697% Rally Passes Dot.Com Craze as Economy Spurs `Bubble' Worries BL “There's nothing different between this mania, the dot-com mania, the real estate mania, the Dow Jones mania of the 1920s, the South Sea bubble and the Dutch tulip-bulb mania...” Quo Vadis Energy? (Will Dawn Follow Darkness As Twilight Of Energy Fades?) Simmons P Congress wary of oil-market speculation CS Monitor A Bull Market Sees the Worst in Speculators NYT OPEC cuts oil demand forecast G&M US watchdog wants curbs on City oil trading Times Online Will the Hunts buy silver again after selling Hunt Petroleum? ArabianMoney Dines down ... but not out? Brimelow Hong Kong stocks lose ground for fourth day MW Emerging markets face inflation meltdown Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Russia, Brazil, India, Vietnam, South Africa, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Chile - among others - have all had to raise interest rates or tighten monetary policy in recent days. Most are still behind the curve. Indian inflation at 7-year high BBC China CPI rises 7.7% in May Xinhua Yuan breaks 6.91-mark to hit new high China Retail Sales Rise 21.6% as Earthquake, Stocks Fail to Cool Spending BL The Geopolitics Of China Outside The Box Bank of Japan plays down oil threat as it keeps rates at 0.5% MW BOJ Is Fake Hawk in Inflation Fight of Fed, ECB Pesek Now that Japan is getting a little inflation, officials don't like it much better than deflation. Russians Mine for Gold in Hong Kong Asia Sentinel FSA to force short-seller disclosure to stop 'abuse' Times Retailers are latest to feel wrath of markets as sales slide Independent Litterbin of last resort Economist The assets being dumped on the ECB do not look very recyclable Ireland faces two-year recession, ex-central banker says Indpendent.ie Argentine debt surge raises spectre of default FT Argentina's debt levels are now higher than they were when it crashed into the biggest sovereign debt default in history in 2001 Flaherty Says Canada May Consider Creating Sovereign Fund With Oil Assets BL Babcock & Brown Shares Dive as Debt Review Sparks `Crisis of Confidence' BL Former Samsung boss goes on trial for tax evasion AFP Arctic sea ice melting faster than expected CS Monitor US Urges Support for Global Warming Fund AP Free-Trade Era May Be Near End as Job, Food, Growth Concerns Fuel Backlash BL
Thursday June 12, 2008 Yahoo, Google Reach Non-Exclusive Search Ad Deal Reuters Yahoo ends all talks with Microsoft, shares plunge AP Lehman's Latest Wild Card Barron’s U.S. Stocks Rebound From Two-Month Low on Retail Sales; Wal-Mart Advances BL Retail Sales in U.S. Rose 1% in May, Twice as Much as Economists Forecast BL Census U.S. jobless claims jump in latest week MW DOL Continuing claims highest since February 2004 U.S. import prices climb 2.3% in May MW BLS Fed's Plosser: Keep Close Watch On Inflation CNBC Inflation Forecasts Raised in US, Europe, UK Reuters Tough love from Bernanke Fortune Bernanke aggravates trade deficit risks Morici Can Bernanke Talk the Talk and Walk the Walk? Fool Everyone's Singing the Same Song Puplava Inflation Expectations, Market Forecast of Federal Funds Rate, and History NTrust PDF Economy slipping into recession Reuters Interview Oil, Unemployment Will Limit Economic Rebound in Coming Year, Survey Shows BL Not the Worst of All Financial Worlds, But Bad Enough Barron’s The Return of Stagflation? RealClearPolitics Dramatic retest of March lows looming Hulbert The Crack Up Boom, Part II Andros A National Political Brownout, Part I Faber Dope, Dollars, Gold & Deficits Ash Next up - the credit default swap crisis Asia Times Thornburg Reports Loss of $3.31 Billion on Real Estate-Related Writedowns BL Citigroup Will Shut Down Old Lane Hedge Fund as Investors Withdraw Money BL Home price drop means $4 trillion in lost capital Reuters Banks in turmoil as HBOS flounders Times Online Lehman Could Be In Hot Water Forbes FBI Shifts Agents From Financial Cases to Bolster Attack on Mortgage Fraud BL Billionaire Lampert bets on housing rebound Fortune `Dirt Bonds' Soil Oppenheimer in California Gambits Gone Awry BL Obama's big fat Countrywide mess Loenard Gold slips 1.5 pct on firm dollar, softer oil Reuters Gold Will Recover Stronger And Faster Than Ever Embry PDF Crude Oil Falls as Gains in Dollar Reduces Appeal of Commodity Investments BL Oil is too important to leave to market forces Times Online Forget oil, look at paper Australian Corn Climbs to Record on U.S. Floods; Soybeans Advance to Three-Month High BL Squeezing the most out of a gallon CS Monitor Putting Loin-Cloth On The Naked Bogeyman Fekete Venezuela's Chavez predicts oil could reach $200 a barrel AP InBev courts Anheuser-Busch Reuters Mining Unseats Financial-Services Industry as Biggest Driver of Global M&A BL KeyCorp Will Raise $1.5 Billion in Capital, Cut Quarterly Dividend by 50% BL Hedge-Fund Fraud Convict May Have Faked Suicide AP Hedge Funds Can Vote at CSX Meeting NYT Altria Getting Snuffed as Investors Lose Confidence in Smokeless Strategy BL Size surprise: Consumers pay as grocery portions get smaller USAT Thousands who earn $200,000+ avoid paying income tax USAT Shanghai index below 3,000 as region faces sell-off MW The return of stagflation is an international phenomenon Telegraph Producer price index up 8.2% in May Xinhua Liquidity Grows at Fastest Pace in 9 Years Korea Times India Rate Increase Shows Even BRICs May Slow as Inflation Fight Spreads BL Mideast credit-card market booms Gulf News First-time buyer loans slump 36% as deposits jump Times Online Iceland has worst GDP contraction in almost 5 yrs Reuters China Is Nowhere Close to Victory on Inflation Mukherjee China's Tectonic Shift FEER OTC market central to Tianjin's development China Daily A Bet On Chinese Investors Growing Up Forbes “Chinese investors are increasingly turning their attention to fundamentals ”Doom and gloom' talk could tip us into recession, warns Brown aide TisMoney Asian Hedge Fund Assets Drop 10% Asian Investor Ahmadinejad Says Bush Administration Can't Hurt Iran BL
Wednesday June 11, 2008 U.S. stocks fall sharply as crude surge resumes MW WaMu denies regulatory move rumors as shares fall Reuters Consumers pinched by high food, energy costs: Fed Reuters Beige Book Oil Prices Soar After Energy Department Report AP Bond Investors Forecast Higher Yields, Falling Dollar as Inflation Rises BL Russian Tycoon Buys Stakes in Western Banks: Paper CNBC Global Confidence Declines as Central Banks Signal Higher Interest Rates BL Infectious Exuberance Atlantic (Shiller) Financial bubbles are like epidemics— and we should treat them both the same way. Market Mood Swings From `Om' to OMG! and Back Baum The Double-Dip Supply Shock Berner Bernanke Attempts to Prop Up Dollar, but Is Incorrect About Assessment of Economy NT P Liquidity, Real Assets and the Fed/ECB Endurance BBH Global Junk Bond Default Rate Doubled in First Five Months RRecap Ups & Downs at S&P: Stark Edge to Downs CFO Indicators show record lows in potential upgrades, with record highs in downgrade-ready entities. Back to the Future—in 1987? Barron’s The Truth Is No Bull Kass Three tips for a tough tape Harrison Can the president do more about the economy? Newsweek (Gross) Inflation's bite worsens around world WSJ Hold CBs to account for high inflation FT Inflation and commodities Lex Fed hammers home message against inflation Reuters Concerns on Economy Are Shifting to Inflation NYT In the past 48 hours, Wall Street has issued a sobering message: The days of easy money from the Federal Reserve are nearly over. 75 bps Fed hike seen by year-end Reuters Small Bank Credit Woes Begin to Show TheStreet The Anatomy of a Sick Bank! Boombust Blog Banks face $10bn monolines charges FT Crunch forces lending rethink at HSBC Thisismoney RBS sees no immediate end to credit crunch Times Libor Overhaul May Fail to Restore Investor Confidence in Benchmark Rate BL Calls to regulate brokerages like banks MW Mortgage Bonds Resume Stumble; Some Debt Nears BL For this broker, foreclosures spell boom CNN Bad loans turn into game of hot potato DetNews Foreclosure Nation: More Like Foreclosure States Dr. HB FHA chief balks at taking on more bad loans CNN Chrysler Bldg. on the Block NYP Gold futures rise, as U.S. dollar falls vs. rivals MW Contrarians continue to be concerned about gold Hulbert Inflation fears may push gold back to $1,000 G&M Commodities boom as credit goes bust Finance Asia Hot commodities Fortune One enlightened observer who's not worried about a commodities collapse is Jim Rogers... CFTC in talks to plug the 'London loophole' FT Gazprom predicts oil will reach $250 FT BP chairman rejects "apocalyptic" talk of $250 oil Reuters Still Petro-dollars RGE Why higher prices are here to stay Jubak Gas price 'bubble' could burst this summer Mecury News Carmakers can't keep up with buyers' hunger for hybrids USAT Corn prices surge to record high BBC Short-Covering Fuels Nickel UBS Empty oceans, Part 1: How technology bested oceans' bounty CS Monitor 2 ~ 3 InBev-Anheuser deal may stir up China beer boom Reuters Feds accuse CompuCredit of deceiving customers USAT Stocks Buffett Would Love Kiplinger Portfolio Spotlight: T. Boone Pickens TheStreet Health insurance falling short CS Monitor Widow of Enron's Lay forks over condo dues in lawsuit USAT 2 New-Style Candidates Hit Old Notes on Economy NYT Japan's Wholesale Prices Climb at the Fastest Pace in 27 Years BL GDP Revised Higher Paulson, Bernanke Meet Chinese Inflation Wall Pesek Facing inflation, Asia gets more aggressive CS Monitor Inflation-hit Vietnam hikes rates, slightly devalues dong AFP Canada: It's all about inflation now, folks! Globe & Mail New warning over French inflation BBC New Zealand Home Sales Drop to 16-Year Low, Prices Decline on Record Rates BL Australia's Consumer Confidence Slumps to 16-Year Low on Record Oil Prices BL Housebuilders have lost billions in value Telegraph Brokers said there was no end in sight to the collapse in the housing market Investors fear 1990s repeat as U.K. builders slump MW 'Innocent' will lose homes, King warns Independent Credit crunch to continue while tensions mount with Darling March to the middle: Merkel celebrates Germany’s social market model FT President Bush regrets his legacy as man who wanted war Times
Tuesday June 10, 2008 More financial land mines ahead CNN Gold futures fall sharply as dollar rises vs. rivals MW Dollar Climbs to Three-Month High as Bernanke Sees Lower Risks to Economy BL Pushing for a Fed rate hike...now CNN There is a small, but growing, school of Fed watchers who think the Fed should shock the markets and raise rates at its next meeting. Saudis Boost Oil Output: Ministry Sources CNBC U.S. Trade Gap Widened in April on Record Petroleum Imports BL Census Bank of Canada keeps overnight rate target at 3 per cent BOC G&M Lackluster prospects for job applicants, Manpower says MW Small business optimism index hits 28-year low Reuters Stress over debt taking toll on health AP Treasuries Tumble After Bernanke Fans Speculation Interest Rates to Rise BL Bernanke Will `Strongly Resist' Any Surge in U.S. Inflation Expectations B Speech Bush leads calls to revive slumping dollar Times Online Exclusive Intervention, Other Tools On Table for Dollar WSJ (Complete via Google jump) Rising Energy Prices and the Falling Dollar Paul The Weak-Dollar Threat to World Order WSJ Chinese official urges US to stabilize dollar Xinhua “We hope the US will not tell us this time as they did in the early 1970s to the Europeans, to say that 'it is our currency, but, it is your problem'” Bernanke Jeopardizes Dollar Merk How Bernanke's Banker Rescue Spells Their Demise Lewis Bad times get worse for Ben Asia Times America is addicted to bubbles Miami Herald Marc Faber Says Oil, Stocks, Real Estate Are Overvalued Bloomberg Audio The Reverse Wealth Effect Ciovacco Capital PDF If only this were the '70s Kellner Commentary: Stagflation is back, but the outlook is grimmer this time World Bank Cuts Global Economic Growth Forecasts, Citing Oil, Food Prices BL Hudoff Discusses the Outlook for the High Yield Bond Market PIMCO Economic and Financial Outlook - Summer 2008 NB Financial PDF Out of Control, Pt 2 Cornerstone Farrell's solution for decade of stagflation MW It's Only Going to Get Worse AEI (Lindsey) Credit crisis end still not in sight: Crandall Reuters Write-Down Panic Over UBS Forbes Ambac, MBIA Finally Have Their `Peggy Lee Moment' Mysak Asset-Backed Market Depreciates With SEC Drive to Impose `Scarlet Letters' BL Banking... the worst may be yet to come Independent Regional banks face bankruptcy risk Reuters “The subprime error will go down as one of the biggest mistakes ever. What we haven't even seen yet is the regional bank problem coming home to roost.” Lehman intensifies crisis jitters ~ New Jersey gambles on Lehman's credit crisis Star-Ledger Get used to underwriting big lenders FT The central bankers, and, by extension, taxpayers, will be underwriting the present system for some time. Housing crunch hits the high end CNN The Next Real Estate Crisis Business Week By April, 2009, hundreds of thousands of option ARM mortgages will begin resetting, bringing on a fresh wave of foreclosures Real estate: Miami's once-hot market leaves owners scorched USAT Tony Roma's succumbs to slow economy Modbee Libor to Be Set by More Banks as BBA Boosts Scrutiny BL It's Your Loss. (Maybe.) Now Explain It. CFO Fed, Banks Agree Default-Swap Changes to Reduce Risk BL Derivatives Trading Is Scrutinized NYT Gannett to take $2.5B to $3B write-down AP Buffett's big bet Fortune The celebrated investor wagers a tidy sum that even carefully chosen hedge funds won't return more than the market over time. Banking Lessons from Buffett MorningStar Apple announces faster, cheaper iPhone Fortune Tomatoes pulled off shelves amid salmonella scare AP Spitzer Mulls Starting Vulture Fund NY Sun Police Investigating Possible Suicide by Hedge Fund Cheat ABC Gold slips as market eyes possible U.S. rate hike Reuters Platinum Drops Some Liquidation In Gold UBS How Safe Is My Gold? Mish Gold May Rise Past $1,100 an Ounce in 2008, GFMS's Walker Says BL Crude Oil Advances $3 a Barrel as Citigroup, Merrill Lynch Raise Forecasts BL What Mr. Crude Oil Sees Ahead Barron’s IEA cuts forecast of global demand for oil products MW Where is oil’s choke point? MoneyWeb 'We Need to Give up the Oil and Gas Drug' Spiegel Gasoline still dirt cheap in the USA iTulip Worries Mount as Farmers Push for Big Harvest NYT Corn Damage Spreads as Storms in Iowa, Illinois Cut Yields, Raise Prices BL China's key stock index plunges 7.7 pct AP China takes aim at inflation, speculative fund flows MW Central bank hikes banks' reserve ratio requirements by 100 basis points Yuan breaks 6.92-mark to hit new high Xinhua Japanese Lessons for China’s Currency Project Syndicate House sales slump to 30-year low Times Online Figures raise fears the downturn in the housing market could turn into a crash Housebuilders pounded on slowdown Telegraph Barratt, Persimmon and Redrow shares hit as British house buyers evaporate. Thousands facing negative equity BBC Eurozone clash over ECB rate rise stance Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Production costs to tip UK into 'stagflation' ThisisMoney Back To The 70s Bank of England Governor Mervyn King raises stagflation spectre Telegraph Why it's still not safe to go back in the water MoneyWeek There have been twenty one occasions since the end of the first World War when the UK stock market fell by at least 3.5% in the first five months of the year, a bear market was running in twenty of those twenty one years. Scandinavian Inflation Accelerates, Raising Prospects for Rate Increases BL Sweden’s Central Bank Dumps Inflation Gauge WSJ Blog Carney May Lower Canadian Rate to 2.75%, Then Join King, Bernanke in Pause BL Math Gap Will Widen India's Rich-Poor Divide BL German Corporate Spying Scandal Widens Spiegel Talks to keep U.S. troops in Iraq provoke ire CS Monitor Raising the Stakes for Afghanistan CFR
Monday June 9, 2008 Treasury Two-Year Notes Fall Most Since 1996 on Rate-Increase Speculation BL Paulson Says Intervention in the Currency Markets Is Never `Off the Table' BL Oil Drops $4 as Saudi Minister Al-Naimi Calls Crude Price `Not Justified' BL Citigroup, Merrill, UBS Facing More Writedowns, Oppenheimer's Whitney Says BL April Pending Home Sales Unexpectedly Rise 6.3 Pct AP Does the Government Manipulate Economic Data? Fox Morning Outlook: Is the Market on the Verge of a Significant Shift in Direction? Schaeffers Additional Panic Selling Is Feared Dorfman “We're in what could be the worst and longest bear market in history." Lehman Has $2.8 Billion Loss, Seeks $6 Billion From New Stock; Shares Fall BL Moody's downgrades Lehman to negative from stable MW The Fed's Policy Rule: Regret-Minimax Hussman The Fed can no longer save us from the consequences of debt Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Any tilt to monetary tightening is a dangerous gamble at this delicate juncture. The world is facing an almighty clash between two opposing storm systems. The mounting dangers of central banks' high-wire act King 'Deleveraging' haunts central bankers FT (Tett) Of all the bad economic data, the cost of food and oil need the Fed's urgent attention CSM Fed Feint on Rates Fails to Persuade Goldman, Lehman BL We can reduce risk in the financial system Geithner Geithner urges global bank framework Why It’s Worse Than You Think Newsweek Trends in Key Recession Indicators Econbrowser Do you fear that your financial hopes are fading? Get in line USAT Wealth Evaporates in U.S. as Fuel Prices Clobber McMansions, SUV Makers BL Recipe for National Insolvency Smith Blog Bush Says `Strong Dollar' in Nation's Interest, Seeks Aid for Afghanistan BL Fed Not in It to Back a `Strong Dollar' Policy Berry Ken Rogoff is also confused by the US policy towards dollar pegs Setser Exchange Traded Derivatives Rise 30% to $692 Trillion BL BIS Qarterly Review Bob Doll Sees Credit Crisis Lasting 2 to 4 Years CNBC Consumers face tougher time getting loans as bank crisis spreads McClatchy Funding imbalance linked to market tensions FT Crisis shifts to regional lenders FT Developer LandSource seeks bankruptcy protection Reuters Ratings blow to US insurers puts $13b bonds at risk SMH Foreclosure epidemic: The hidden victims Chicago Tribune 10 Percent Unemployment in California: Which Counties are Hurting the Most Dr. HB Housing Bubble Didn't Burst Everywhere in U.S. BLWall Street Banks Land First Blow in Battle for Clearing Derivative Trades BL SEC May Ban Moody's, S&P, Fitch From Consulting on Structured Finance Debt BL Lehman close to raising more than $5 billion WSJ Big shareholders rebel at AIG WSJ All Together Now? New Yorker Tax havens in U.S. cross hairs CS Monitor People vs. Dinosaurs NYT (Friedman) “I’d short Ahmadinejad and go long Warren Buffett.” Supercomputer sets record IHT Does gold price surge signal war is near? Brimelow Oil Is Likely to Hit $150 This Summer Reuters OPEC sees no need to pump more after price surge Reuters The oil price bubble and monetary policy Shostak Don't blame developing economies for oil hikes Xinhua Rural U.S. Takes Worst Hit as Gas Tops $4 Average NYT The rise and fall of the SUV Toronto Star Ethanol Stocks Are Poised to Refuel Barron’s Corn Rises to Record on U.S. Midwest Flooding; Soybeans, Wheat, Rice Gain BL U.K. Producer Prices Rise Twice as Fast as Forecast, Reach Two-Decade High BL Two thirds believe 'country is in recession' Times Online Britons face drop in living standards Telegraph Traders predict house prices will fall by 50% in four years Guardian Homes crunch: Revenge of the gazunderer ThisisMoney Sun sets on Spain's building frenzy Guardian The euro is a half-baked currency that will crumble under pressure Telegraph After ten years the euro is facing up to its first serious test Asia’s new export: rampant inflation FT China mega-construction IPO plan spooks A-share investors MW Japan firms borrow more to cover materials costs Reuters Sensex slips below 15K, Nifty at fresh 2008 low India Times Russia's Raiders Business Week Companies are paying public officials to raid the offices of business rivals and subject them to criminal investigations. Gazprom Wants to Build Pipeline From Alaska Moscow Times GCC economy set to exceed $1tr mark Arab News False Disclosures Stymie Kosdaq Korea Times Hyundai Building $3,500 Budget Car Chosun
Weekend Edition (June 7-8, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Global Insight Dollar fate in focus before G8 Reuters Coming Week: There Will Be Blood TheStreet When Bubbles Collide Mauldin Overview: Central bank rhetoric jolts hopes of cuts FT This Global Show Must Go On NYT Q1 2008 Flow of Funds Noland Inflation One-Year Ahead Merk The Fed’s Strong Dollar Policy Schiff Fed on Hold as Far as the Eye Can See Northern Trust PDF Fed's Bullard: Fed must tackle inflation this year Reuters It's not a dollar crisis, it's a gold crisis Fekete Containerized horror Mogambo Market Perspective: When Will the Oil Bubble Burst? Schwab Let's Get Real! Harding U.S. Recovery: The Shape(s) of Things to Come BMO Focus PDF Teens in U.S. Find Summer Jobs Elusive as Shops, Restaurants Fire Workers BL Hard to find a job, but not an internship CNN U.S. Financial Data, June 6 Issue FRBSL Russia blames U.S. for global financial crisis Reuters Credit crisis still not behind Wall Street AP Citigroup pulls out of the UK mortgage market Times Companies to appeal ABCP ruling in bid to sue sellers FP Shrinking Lines of Credit NYT Slideshow: Celebrities Face Foreclosure of Their Homes CNBC Credit Crunch Watch Oxford PDF There are signs that this easing in stress may be coming to an end Pay It Back if You Didn’t Earn It NYT (Morgenson) Bank of America Is Firm on Countrywide Buyout NYT (Morgenson) FTC opens formal probe of Intel chip business AP Wal-Mart Benefits as Economic Slump Boosts Demand for Its Discounted Goods BL Some Bombs in Buffett's Book Kass When You Weren’t Looking, They Were Working NYT (Stein) Gas price record reaches $4 a gallon CNN Oil hike sparks 'serious concern' BBC Energy chief: Flat production behind oil prices AP Oil Prices Raise the Cost of Making a Range of Goods NYT Industrial nations vow to fight high oil AP Asia Governments Step Up Economic Relief Measures as Oil Soars to a Record BL John Kilduff, Energy Analyst at MF Global Offers An Outlook on Oil NBR Transcript Gaming Oil Corrections Zeal Why oil prices will tank Fortune UK inflation expectations for next 50 years soar Telegraph BoE: Stubborn As Economy Melts BCA Research Australian House Prices Drop Most in Five Years on Higher Interest Rates BL Don't drive yuan underground: Yam Standard
Global fears push oil price to new records Telegraph Dow crashes 400 points as US jobless rate climbs and prospects of war in Middle East grow, sparking worries of 1970s-style crisis Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - June 4 - 13, 2008 Danske PDFs
Friday June 6, 2008 Oil prices surge almost $11 and punch stocks hard; Dow off 395 USAT Silver as the value play on metals MW A laggard till now, silver could jump to $50 an ounce in coming years. Oil Soars to Record $138.54 a Barrel on Weaker Dollar, $150 Price Outlook BL Icahn Tells Yahoo Company Should Be Sold to Microsoft for $34.375 a Share BL Corporate America is getting nervous CNN Treasurys advance after May unemployment rate jumps to 5.5% MW Dollar Falls U.S. Payrolls Fall; Jobless Rate of 5.5% Biggest Increase in Two Decades BL BLS Ed McMahon talks about possible home foreclosure AP It's The Housing Market, Stupid! Comstock Fed Governors Openly Question Bernanke's Competence Mish Lacker amplifies Volcker; moral hazard fears WSJ Dollar dilemmas Economist The ECB at ten Does the new dollar policy make sense? The Fed's dollar defense Barr China's Finance Ministry Urges U.S. to Bolster Dollar BL “We have conveyed to the U.S. government that a strong U.S. dollar is in the interest of the U.S. economy” Dollar Policy for Dummies, Dimwits and Dolts Baum Government Conspiracy Theories and Your Money Seeking Alpha Out of the frying pan Economist And into the line of fire of those keen to constrain Wall Street's free-wheeling ways Bond timers are bearish Hulbert The latest gas pain: More job losses Money pressures pile up on the U.S. consumer CS Monitor Banks vs. Consumers (Guess Who Wins) Business Week The US Housing Bust and Soaring Oil Prices: CEPS (Click ‘Download PDF for Free’) PDF What next for the world economy? Research Quarterly SIFMA PDF Capital Market issuance reaches $1.43 trillion in 1Q08 G-8 to Press China, India to Accept Watchdog for Energy Use as Prices Jump BL The credit crunch looks far from over Economist Many hoped that the Bear Stearns bail-out in mid-March would prove the climactic event of the subprime crisis. Fed Official: More Bank Losses, Writedowns Loom CFO Companies trying to obtain credit may soon find an even more unfriendly environment. Lenders dumping bad loans at discount; regulators see losses continuing WSJ ...some winning bids were only about 20 cents on the dollar. MGIC, PMI Downgraded by Fitch on Poor Underwriting BL Lehman Brothers May Raise Capital Level by Up to $5 Billion, Person Says BL Subprime costs Japan's banks $US8bn Reuters Citigroup to close Japan moneylending outlets Reuters Flaherty to meet with Canadian banks again over credit crisis CP Homebuilding JP Morgan PDF Commentary, Lack of Reinvestment Back Our Outlook for More Softening Housing Pain Hits Prime Borrowers WSJ Foreclosures Increase As Troubles Worsen Outside of Subprime Trail of Bad Loans Leads to the Couple Next Door NYT (Norris) Nearly 1 in 10 Homeowners Face Loan Problems NYT 3 Captivating Housing Stories Dr. HB Guardians aid in search for delinquent borrowers Daily BR Frank-Dodd Rescue Prolongs Housing Slump by Postponing Prospect of Default BL Pee Wee's Grill Failure Sends Ripples to Roto-Rooter, Bimbo Bakeries, GM BL The rating agencies have got off lightly from regulation—so far Economist Rating Companies Are Easy Target for Eager Gunners Mysak Analysts Lose 17% for Broker Stocks Investors; Moszkowski, Bhatia Stumble BL AIG faces SEC probe on subprime mortgage contracts Reuters National City under U.S. regulatory scrutiny: report Reuters Indictment: Broadcom Ex-CEO Built Drug Warehouse AP Bits, Bands and Books NYT (Krugman) Wealthy Americans Under Scrutiny in UBS Case NYT Will the wisdom of Warren Buffett translate into German? Spectator The Web 2.0-defying logic of Drudge Fortune Gold ETFs Lose Traction UBS Oil above $130 on weak dollar, Israel comments Reuters Investors' Growing Appetite for Oil Evades Market Limits WP Forget IF there's speculation in commodities. Ask "WHY?" Larson How about oil at $75 a barrel? G&M Oil to hit $400 a barrel by 2018 Asian Investor And other forecasts by the former deputy chief of staff of the US military... IEA urges $45-trillion ‘energy revolution’ G&M IEA Cars in Russia - Crisis? What oil crisis? Economist Hyundai starts building Russian plant AP Canada's job market stalls G&M Dollar Peg Should Be Buried to Beat Inflation BL It's time for emerging-market countries to ditch Bretton Woods II Why the dollar still reigns in Chavez's Venezuela MW Turkish Bonds, Stocks, Currency Decline After Court Upholds Headscarf Ban BL Zimbabwe's currency crashes, prices rocket Reuters Probe as finance officials found to take payments from cab drivers AFP Revealed: Secret plan to keep Iraq under US control Independent No secret deal on pact with Iraq, U.S. says Reuters U.S. Security Agreements and Iraq CFR Iraq May Request Extension For U.S. WP Bush Inflated Threat From Iraq's Banned Weapons, Report Says WP
U.S. Household Net Worth Down Again HAVER
Thursday June 5, 2008 Fed officials split on Fed's role as market savior Reuters Crude futures up over $5 to close at highest level in a week MW UBS to Close Municipal Bond Business, Fire 280 Employees After Sale Fails BL MBIA, Ambac Have AAA Insurance Financial-Strength Ratings Lowered by S&P BL Lacker Says Fed Lending to Securities Firms May Sow Seeds of Future Crises BL Speech Home foreclosures set record in first quarter AP MBA July euro-zone rate hike called possible MW U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Fell 18,000 to 357,000 Last Week BL Will the Credit Crunch Lead to Recession? Resource Investor Bernanke puts problems in '70s perspective - Bernanke to Grads: No Repeat of '70s - Text Newfound savings penchant could retard growth Reuters The Outlook for Money and Securitization Markets Berner A Bummer Summer for Job-Seeking Teens WP Time to Put Investment Banking Back in Its Box Gilbert Lazard CEO: Wall St. excesses were 'uncontrolled' Reuters Howling at the moon Mogambo A Record Tax Hike IBD The Senate's new $3 trillion budget fails to extend President Bush's tax cuts. If this isn't fixed, we'll soon face the largest tax hike in our history. Senator Warns of a ‘Crisis’ in Pentagon Cost Overruns NYT Yard sale for cash-strapped states CS Monitor After years of out-of-control spending states are facing $40B in red ink Cigarette pack tax hike of $1.25 in effect Tuesday Newsday Financial institutions have obligations too Gulf News According to Merrill Lynch, the US Treasury gave GCC countries the green light to make changes to currency exchange rates, pegged to the US dollar Oil Currency Hypocrisy NY Sun (Rogoff) Does it make sense for Hank Paulson to be touring the Middle East supporting the region's hard dollar exchange-rate pegs, while the Bush administration simultaneously blasts Asian countries for not letting their currencies appreciate faster against the dollar? Greenspan, `Master of Garblements,' Fares Poorly in Book on Fed Baum -- Deception and Abuse at the Fed Amazon Greenspan’s Bubbles Finance Asia PDF They really haven’t helped the US – or the world US Won't Match Japan's '90s Slump: Fed's Lockhart Reuters Spendthrift Boomers Face Perilous Retirement: McKinsey WSJ Blog Moody's warns it may downgrade Aaa ratings of Ambac, MBIA MW MBIA, Ambac Signal They May Give Up Aaa Battle After Moody's Threatens Cut BL Lehman Faces No Pressure From Fed, SEC to Raise Funds, U.S. Official Says BL Broker Default Risk BeSpoke Canadian Banks head back to the debt markets Globe & Mail Drake to shut remaining funds after big falls FT More Financial Turmoil Big Picture Commercial Real Estate Chartbook: June 2008 Wachovia PDF Housing Supply Declines in May WSJ McMahon fighting foreclosure on Beverly Hills home AP Doing The Housing Math on the Ed McMahon Home MyBudget360 Will the Housing Slump Reach Manhattan? Reuters The Panglossian World of Finance VOX Painful period of global financial de-leveraging to result in slower growth AME Gold slips to 3-week low as dollar firms Reuters Crude oil: Rounding up the bad guys CNN Catastrophic water shortage 'to be biggest world risk' Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Food Is Gold, and Investors Pour Billions Into Farming NYT Beyond gasoline: Prices surge for oil-based goods CS Monitor Energy Lessons NYT (Cohen) Ice Cream Shortages May Be Next Spiegel Commodities 'dominate' FTSE 100 BBC HSBC wins China approval for Shanghai gold trading Reuters Wal-Mart’s Detractors Come In From the Cold NYT Wal-Mart same-store sales up 3.9% Fidelity in new round of layoffs Boston Globe Continental Airlines to cut 3,000 jobs, capacity USAT Summer airfares double, triple, quadruple USAT Banking Index: Broken & Far Away From Support Trader’s Narrative Warren Buffett hones rock-star status USAT Seth Klarman: Second Coming of Benjamin Graham? Seeking Alpha One vote that Obama definitely won't get Brimelow Clinton promises to "strongly support" Obama Reuters Bank of England holds interest rates at 5% Times Online Indonesia Raises Key Rate as Asia Battles Inflation BL New Zealand's Bollard Expects to Cut Key Rate From 8.25% Later This Year BL Swiss Inflation Problem Brewing? BCAR Reserve Bank will raise rates if rupee fall more-UBS Reuters Canadian Dollar Falls Most in Five Weeks on Rate Speculation BL Housing market shows signs of meltdown Reuters UK home prices 'fell 2.4% in May' BBC Housing industry renews call for interest rate cut Guardian Crash: The housing crisis is just beginning NewStatesman Up to a million headed for negative equity FT Advisor Building company to sack hundreds BBC Builders facing cash calls as sales slump Independent That sinking feeling Guardian King May Be More Irritant Than Ally for Brown in Second Term at BOE's Helm BL India's Future Rides on 76-Year-Old `Metro Man' BL The Asian Navigator Merrill PDF Opes director recanted fraud claim Australian Hoaxers Hamper U.K. Insider-Trade Probe With Phony Phone Calls to Brokers BL Insider trading probe into B&B slide Telegraph Time overdue for a world currency Asia Times
Wednesday June 4, 2008 Bernanke Calls U.S. Inflation Level `Significantly Higher' Than Fed Wants BL Service Industries in U.S. Grew Last Month at Faster Pace Than Estimated BL ISM Productivity revised up to 2.6% in first quarter MW BLS ADP: Private-sector jobs add 40,000 in May MW Layoffs rise 15 pct in May vs April: survey Reuters Obama makes history - wins Democratic nomination ~ Speech Text Obama, McCain's budget and tax proposals Reuters Game on: McCain-Obama on economy CNN McCain’s ‘Change’ Speech Newsweek The Absolute Return Letter - June 2008 ARP PDF “...the point completely missed by everyone, including Masters himself, is that index funds and ETFs are only half the story...” Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's smart intervention Times Federal Reserve must act quickly if recession clouds lift Times U.S. dollar faces threats to its reign CS Monitor War spending, trade deficits, and devaluation against foreign currencies weigh on the greenback. Mortgaging America LA Times Investment funds run by foreign governments are keeping the U.S. afloat. The Stock Market's Secular Trend Saville State bankruptcy filings jump 27.2 percent in first quarter Chicago Tribune Old industrial economies face triple trouble: OECD G&M OECD Economic Outlook No. 83 U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline 15.3% to the Lowest Level in Six Years BL CDS report: Bad things come to those who wait FT Alphaville The credit bears were licking their chops on Wednesday as resurging problems for banks punctured hopes that the worst of the credit crisis was over. Interest Rate Derivatives Signal That Banks' Credit Woes Likely to Worsen BL Banks have a capital problem CNN Lehman Denies Fed Borrowing, Says Cash Holdings Rose BL Lehman Puts, Default Swaps Show Investors Bet on Further Decline in Shares BL Sub-prime fallout extends to banks in eastern Germany LA Times Estimated losses could hit $69 billion, with taxpayers picking up the tab for nearly half that amount. Worst impact of credit crisis yet to come icWales Nordic banks warn of credit crisis threat FT “The turmoil has ... spread to new assets, markets and participants. The uncertainty ... will probably persist for a long time to come...” Return of the Credit Crisis – Did It Ever Leave? Barbera Homebuilders offer bleak outlook and post losses AP U.S. home builders face off with foreclosures Reuters “In some regions, the supply coming to the market from home builders is now smaller than the supply coming from foreclosures” Downsizing the American home Fortune Foreclosures lead a town's downturn LA Times Could 50% of All Homes End Up in Foreclosure? Smith Blog Dr. HB Developers scrap $5 billion Las Vegas casino project MW Fallout from credit crisis puts kibosh on Strip casino development. Oil Dips Below $124 on Concern Over Economy AP The Coming Oil Investment Boom WSJ Is oil the next 'bubble' to pop? WSJ The Oil-Price Bubble Mises The London-Dubai loophole Leonard A growing share of the business of trading U.S. contracts for crude oil futures on U.S. soil is conducted on U.S. computer terminals that are operated by foreign-owned exchanges that are not required to conform to U.S. regulations. Commodity Monthly: Divergent picture Danske PDF Dollar and Commodity Prices BBH No recession for $crap metal industry Boston Herald Malaysia raises fuel prices 40% AP UN says solving food crisis could cost $30 billion IHT Leaders at UN food summit tone down menu over fears of hypocrisy Times To Cope With Oil Shock, Emulate Japan YALE Global Kuwait considering bigger Citi, Merrill stakes Reuters Banks fear new $5,000bn balance burden FT Accounting changes could force US banks to take thousands of billions of dollars back on to their balance sheets in the coming months Fliers in for pain as airlines pack it in USAT Reports: United to Ground 737s, 747s to Save Fuel AP Icahn steps up campaign to oust Yahoo board ~ Yahoo sets August 1 date showdown Borders to axe 275 jobs AP Rating Agencies in Sights of New SEC? CFO Bond-Rating Shifts Loom In Settlement WSJ (Complete via Google jump) The three major bond-rating firms are set to overhaul the way they collect fees Useful dos and don’ts for fast economic growth FT (Wolf) SUV Drivers Looking To Downsize Are Hitting Financial Roadblocks NBR Service sector cuts jobs amid soaring costs ~ Consumer confidence 'worst for four years' European companies hit harder than US rivals FT Japan Capital Spending Falls as Profit Plunges 17.5% BL Why all the fuss about the Bank's deputy? Inflation is the enemy now, not the crunch Inde Bollard May Drive New Zealand Into a Recession by Refusing to Reduce Rates BL Housebuilders crumble as analysts wield the axe Times Asian Economic Miracle Is at Risk All Over Again Pesek The Impact of Capital Inflows on Emerging East Asian Economies: ADB PDF Is Too Much Money Chasing Too Little Good? Asia to overtake US gaming revenues by 2012: survey AFP China builds plant to turn coal into barrels of oil Reuters
Tuesday June 3, 2008 Soros: Oil Price Crash Not Imminent Despite Bubble Reuters Factory Orders in the U.S. Unexpectedly Jump 1.1% on Demand for Petroleum BL Census Dollar Rebounds After Bernanke Says Fed Keeping Eye on Currency BL Gold Drops Bernanke signals discomfort with weak dollar MW Speech “We are attentive to the implications of changes in the value of the dollar for inflation and inflation expectations...” The Mean Season Outside The Box Buffett vs. Bernanke Lowenstein Extending discount window a threat to markets Morici Stagflation recipe missing one key ingredient Reuters U.S. Inflation: Diverging From Expectations BCA Research Bernanke Optimism on Growth Rebound, Inflation Dashed by Oil-Price Surge BL Sweden in 1990s and United States today: a recovery slow and steady NB Financial PDF FX Strategy - IMM positioning: Only small changes in speculative positions Danske PDF Preservation of Principal Is Paramount Lamont Banking On a Bearish Future Kass Sell in May and Go Away? Saut 20 reasons new megabubble pops in 2011 Farrell Few heed warnings of financial disaster Toldeo Blade Second Great Depression in Detroit Nystrom America's recession could slip into depression WaldoCounty Congress, Regulators Target `Bad' Speculation Baum Too Soon to Breathe Easy Fed Lockhart Executive Ousters, Rating Cuts May Signal Longer Slump at Mortgage Lenders BL Now lenders are facing HELOC hell Financial Week Credit Hurricane To Make Landfall Minyanville Bradford & Bingley Forced to Buy Almost $4 Billion of Mortgages From GMAC BL Northern Rock was a warm-up for this woeful tale Telegraph Gloom deepens as lending slumps and borrowers fall into arrears Times Online Lehman may raise up to $4 billion capital Reuters Wachovia's Ouster of Thompson May Foretell More Losses, Takeover Attempts BL Kill the Q: Subprimes Head for Balance Sheets CFO FASB will this week propose that banks ditch the "lockboxes" that hold securitized assets. Credit card companies are sending out less direct mail to consumers AP Toll Brothers Reports Third Straight Loss as Sales of New U.S. Homes Slump BL Lenders foot the bill for abandoned homes CNN Rising rates? Not too late to refi CNN Housing affordability back to pre-bubble levels CNN Housing market may turn more quickly than you expect Kellner In Escondido: Buy one (house), get one free LA Times Las Vegas-style mortgage fraud spreading across country USAT Hammered by the housing slump AP Crude Oil Declines as Asian Governments Try to Damp Demand BL Pickens: Speculation a `Scapegoat' for Oil Prices BL Video CFTC Probe a `Waste of Time' Gartman on oil: 'Look out below' LAT Blog The great oil swindle: How much did the Fed really know? Whitney OECD boss hails high oil prices BBC Chemical Reaction: Oil's Ripple Effect CFO Drivers putting less gas in tank, then running out AP Buyers turn on a dime to go for small cars as gas prices rise USAT Oil-price supernova spurs search for alternatives Reuters IEA head urges "revolution" to fight oil crisis Reuters Two Cheers for the Blessing of High Oil Prices Stelzer Aluminum Traders See Shortage by 2013 as Power Runs Out at Mines, Smelters BL Squeeze is on as interest grows in solar sector FT Briefing: Lessons from past food crises CS Monitor GM, Motorola, New York Times Burn Through Cash Flow With Dividend Payouts BL GM Will Close Four Truck Factories in Shift to Small Cars, May Drop Hummer BL GM to slash 1,000 jobs at Oshawa plant G&M GM seen cutting deeper Casino Bonds Crush Herbst, Harrah's as Apollo Suffers With Recession Debt BL Apollo unit halts cash payouts FT Venture capitalists go beyond borders USAT Hyundai chief handed 3-year suspended sentence Reuters Grasso’s Grit May Win After All NYT Milberg Weiss top gun sentenced AP Nassim Nicholas Taleb: the prophet of boom and doom Times Online China's forex reserves expand by about 100 million dollars every hour AFP At 1.76 trillion dollars, China's reserves are now larger than those of Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and Hong Kong combined. China Central Bank Dismisses Threat of `Hard Landing' From U.S. Slowdown BL Japan: US$1.5 Trillion GPIF Reform and Outflows from Japan Jen ETFs - Further sophistication fuels investor demand DB Research PDF Real Estate Boom in Cambodia's Capital Business Week A derivatives scam? JPC probe needed Rediff OMX Nordic trading hit by severe delays MW Indefensible spending LA Times America's massive military budget is irrational, costly and dangerous.
Monday June 2, 2008 Lehman, Merrill, Morgan Stanley Debt Ratings Are Cut by S&P; Shares Drop BL ISM Manufacturing Index Shrinks Less Than Forecast, But Still Below 50 BL ISM Construction spending in U.S. falls again G&M PDF Housing Bubbles Collapse Inward S&P PDF Canadian Consumer confidence plunges G&M Wachovia Ousts Thompson on Writedowns, Share Plunge BL Monday Morning Outlook: An Ominous VIX Futures Curve Bodes Ill for stocks Schaeffers Bond sell-off in focus Reuters Government bond prices tumble False Dawn AEI (Makin) The bursting of every bubble is followed by statements suggesting that the worst is over and that the real economy will be unharmed... The Many Faces Of Inflation Contrary Investor A Return of That ’70s Show? NYT (Krugman) Wall Street Decides to Close Its Ears and Hum Hussman Paulson committed to dollar as reserve currency Reuters Paulson Finds Fed Won't Help With One-Year T-Bills BL The Fed is selling Treasury bills at the fastest pace since it was founded in 1913 The Fed embraces inflation MSN (Fleck) A top Fed official warns of the hazards of printing money to solve economic problems. He's right -- and yet the nation's central bank keeps running the press at top speed. The Fed’s year of living dangerously FT How the next president will change the Fed CNN The gods of greed Guardian The Gods That Failed Amazon They promised economic stability, order and prosperity. But instead the world's bankers have delivered chaos, debt and uncertainty Debt is the financial systems carbon-dioxide Keen Blog Roger Cohen: The world is upside down IHT Unprecedented debt isn't the only problem Brimelow Pinched Consumers Scramble for Cash WSJ Consumer spending won't save the US economy Jackson Six out of Ten Consumers Now Believe U.S. Is In a Recession Business Wire State jobless benefits reserves low Stateline More than a dozen states would be hard-pressed to provide unemployment benefits if the economy tailspins into a full-blown recession and more workers get pink slips. Six principles for a new regulatory order FT (Summers) Argentine alert as inflation's spectre stalks half the world Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Argentina is defaulting on its sovereign debt yet again, this time by stealth. Wealthier Portensos with a nose for trouble are pulling their savings out of Buenos Aires banks. Asset-Backed Bond Sales Slump in Europe as Delinquencies Soar BL Euro, Pound Fall on Speculation Debt-Market Losses Spreading Across Europe BL Why does the spread between LIBOR and expected future policy rates persist? VOX College-Loan Market Is Getting Its Own Bailout Wasik Student Loans Start to Bypass 2-Year Colleges NYT Number of Foreclosed Homes Keeps Rising WSJ Real Homes of Genius: Today we Salute you East Los Angeles Dr. HB The market turns cold in a desert boomtown LA Times House of pain JS Online Gold Longs Were Large UBS Gold May Decline as U.S. Rate Outlook Boosts Dollar BL Hedge Funds Cut Bets on Higher Oil as Crude Hit Record, CFTC Probe Began BL Fear of Sapped Demand Pushes Oil Below $127 AP Investors pile up commodities, shun dollars Burns Commodity Snapshot Bespoke Candy companies blame higher prices on hedge funds WSJ Funding bonanza for oil-from-algae firm Guardian Japan's platinum offsets shortage WSJ Wall Street Says -2 + -2 = 4 as Liabilities Get New Bond Math BL “They can post substantial gains as a result of a decline in their own creditworthiness” The Downside of a Grand Illusion Barron’s (Complte via Google jump) In 2007's fourth quarter and this year's first, Street firms reported big gains related to the widening of their debt spreads. Airline Industry May Report $6.1 Billion Loss on Fuel, Economy, IATA Says BL Auto Sales in U.S. Likely Fell in May on Shunned Pickups, SUVs BL Toyota fears slowdown in truck and SUV markets will hit sales FT General Motors share price could triple: Barron's Reuters Wachovia board forces out CEO Ken Thompson AP Sharper Image stores to be closed and liquidated Reuters Pensions' Dollars Shorted by Hedge Funds Have History on Side BL Lawsuit provides a rare glimpse at credit default swaps IHT (Morgenson) After Financier’s Death, Suit Against Union Lives On NYT We must keep our heads, even if others lose theirs King U.K. Mortgage Approvals Drop to Lowest in Nine Years, Factory Growth Slows BL Inflation crashes party as euro ministers meet Reuters ECB, Battling Faster Inflation, May Not Lower Rates This Year BL China Leads Asia in Retreat From Inflation Battle, Risking a Hard Landing BL China's economy to grow moderately slower in 2008 Xinhua Inflation could push pensions back into the red Independent Bradford & Bingley profits warning hammers British bank shares Telegraph One million families facing negative equity by 09 Mail Online Unsafe as Houses Price Blog Save us from our 20-year debt torment ThisisMoney Tense stand-off over Bank of England deputy Times Online Beijing airport raises $300 million in fresh capital Finance Asia Insurance deficit worsens plight of China's quake victims AFP Introducing the world's strongest currency: The shekel Haaretz
Weekend Edition (May 31-June, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events GInsight June could be crazy month for stocks AP US Treasury chief: no 'quick fix' on oil AP The Problem with the Euro Mauldin Market Outlook: Purple Haze Merk CNNMoney.com’s ‘Depression Comparisons Misguided’ Shows It’s Imminent Lamont Permabear Schiff's Worst-Case Scenario U.S. News Don’t Be Afraid, Buy Gold Schiff Just The Facts Noland Inflation Did Not Suddenly Disappear! Harding US staring at double-dip recession as calls for higher interest rates grow Telegraph Investment Bulletin Bedlam PDF The bubble of all US bubbles Asia Times Springtime For Kondratieff? WSJ Blog Exchange Rates Since the Last Global Financial Crisis: PIMCO What My Crystal Ball Didn’t Tell Me in 1998 Greenspan doesn't expect more market "bubbles" Reuters Greenspan sees lower oil - temporarily Gazette It’s Easier to Be Green if It Also Saves Money NYT (Norris) Many consumers spend early rebates on soaring cost of living USAT Property Pain Past, Present And Future For U.S. Banks Forbes A Real Estate Deal Seen From 2 Sides NYT Lose Homes, Pay More Tax NYT Credit Crunch Watch Oxford PDF Billionaire Olenicoff, Tied to UBS Probe, Hid Money Offshore, Records Show BL Silver Stocks 2 Zeal Exchanges act to curb oil price profiteering Telegraph The New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) and ICE Futures Europe in London, the former International Petroleum Exchange, have now tripled "margin calls" for some contracts. CFTC Probes Cotton Market After Price Surged, Plunged in March, People Say BL Commodity Policies Set for Revision NYT Regulator will unveil early next week a set of policy changes to address public and political concerns that market malfunctions may be contributing to rising food and energy prices... CFTC Chairman Walter Lukken Offers His Ideas About Rising Oil Prices NBR ECB's Draghi Says Record Oil Prices Are Dictating Level of Borrowing Costs BL Oil Can't Rise Forever, So It Stops Barron’s The end of the oil stock rally Jubak Oil bubble could prove threat to pension funds Reuters Column: Institutional money drives up commodities AP Who is responsible for the global food crisis? G&M Food prices will ease but not return to good old days Australian OECD The Energy Challenge: Mounting Costs Slow the Push for Clean Coal NYT Silverjet grounded by high fuel costs Times Silverjet collapse leaves thousands stranded Saudi Arabia Won't End Currency Peg, Revalue Riyal, Finance Minister Says BL Japan recession a risk, credit crisis drags on-Roach Reuters Does GDP Matter? BMO Weekly Focus PDF Why long-term investors are pulling out of the eurozone Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Economic climate index dips in April Xinhua Fed's rate cuts 'add to inflationary pressure' China Daily Hong Kong’s REITS and Wrongs Asia Sentinel TNK-BP director quits amid spy claims Times
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