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Thursday September 30 Gold futures rise to five-month high CBSM Nigeria concerns push oil to $50 Reuters Putting the World to Rights Again Morgan Stanley (Roach) Rato says willing to look at revaluing IMF gold Reuters Help-Wanted Index is Unchanged CB Chicago business grows at faster clip cbsm Consumer Spending Unchanged; Personal Incomes Up 0.4% Bloomberg BEA Jobless claims jump by 18,000 CNN 30-year mortgage rates edge higher CNN Are Corporate Bonds Contradicting Treasuries? Bloomberg Schaeffer on Charts: How Low Can it Go? Schaeffers Decline in corporate borrowing helps keep interest rates low EPI Does THIS Make You Want to Buy Stocks? Elliott Wave The Dark Side of Alan Greenspan TexasH Mr. Bailout Mises Goldman sees metals boom going on CBSM Mining executives disagree on state of gold market Reuters Gold Still "Ultimate Insurance" Gold-Eagle Gold rush as mainland banks jump retail queue Standard Without waiting for Beijing's approval, several banks have begun retailing gold bars to investors eager to seek alternatives to China's relatively low interest rate returns and battered stock markets. Heating Costs for Natural Gas to Jump AP Clearing Out Fannie's 'Phantoms' CS Monitor A Fannie smacking Pitt TR The Fannie Mae mess is one for the books TheStreet Fannie Mae Bonds May Fall on Report of Criminal Investigation Bloomberg SEC Review of Lender's Accounting Continues WP IBM to take $320m charge FT GM aims for further cost cuts across company FT Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx AP Belo to Cut 250 Jobs, Mostly in Dallas AP Is Pension Insurance the Next S&L Crisis? CATO The hazards of some home-equity loans MSN Some home owners struggle as real estate market booms Chicago Tribune All in the Family CFO FIN 46 made companies admit paternity of special purpose entities. But it also resulted in some surprise adoptions... Stock funds finish Q3 in the red CBSM The fabulous fifth CBSM (Brimelow) Going Down With the Dollar CEPR PDF The Cost to Developing Countries of a Declining Dollar Foreign debt rises due to policy changes China Daily Some say yuan peg may yield to politics ITH (BL) IMF delivers triple whammy to Chancellor's forecasts Times Online Warning of big fall in house prices Guardian Consumer confidence dives as interest rate rises bite Guardian Bank of England Sets Pace on World Interest Rates Bloomberg French banks accused of overcharging IHT (BL) Canadian economy falls short Globe & Mail
Wednesday September 29 U.S. stocks turn higher on surprise in crude supplies CBSM Weekly Petroleum Status Report EIA U.S. Economy Grew at 3.3% Rate in the Second Quarter Bloomberg BEA Haute Con Job Pimco (Gross) U.S. Notes Decline on View Yields Don't Reflect Growth Outlook Bloomberg Dollar Falls; Fed's Hoenig Says Lower Currency Helps Trade Gap Bloomberg Crude Trades Near Record on Concern Supplies May Fall BL Is there life after $50 a barrel? How oil prices affect economy S "This is a Saudi misstep; Aramco [the Saudi national oil company] said earlier that the additional production wouldn't be on line until the end of the year" High oil prices could throw global economy into recession ABC High oil prices may economy, won't cause recession: “experts” “Every 10 dollars in (crude oil prices) drains as much as 0.5 percent from GDP growth and every penny at the pumps siphons more than one billion dollars from household cash flow." Bubble in crude? CNN Motorists Could Face $2/gal Gasoline Soon Reuters Three steps and a stumble CSBM (Kellner) Three increases in the federal funds rate and three straight drops in the index of leading economic indicators spell trouble for both the stock market and for the U.S. economy. Earnings Forecasts: Gathering Clouds CFO An analyst predicts a "tsunami" of downward revisions in cyclical stocks. Bluster and Debt Fill the Sails of the USS Macroeconomy PBear Correction? What Correction? Cross Currents In the Face of Bad News, the Stock Market... Did What? Elliott Wave Rate Drop Boosts Bond Issuance CFO Health costs rising faster than incomes, study says USAT The Truth About Jobs CNN U.S. airlines bracing for turbulent season IHT (NYT) Fannie Mae Whistleblower to Testify Reuters Fannie Mae Restatement May Be on Tap CFO S&P Keeps Watch CBSM Home Loans May Get Scarce NYP Coke chief warns turnround will take 2 years FT SEC accuses former NextCard execs of fraud AP Cardinal to Delay Filing Annual Report CFO Hockey Team's Accounting Questioned CFO Starbucks to boost coffee prices in U.S. AP Computer Associates to Cut 800 Jobs AP BofA adopts VoIP to cut costs FT Women Learned To Syffer Sleazy Side of Wall Street NYP (Crudele) George Soros Bankrolls Voter Hunt in Swing States Bloomberg Hedge fund bets boost foreign exchange turnover Times Online C-Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Activity in April 2004 BIS Bailouts or Bail-ins? Responding to Financial Crises in Emerging Economies I This is the most intelligent and comprehensive analysis yet of how the international community should respond to financial crises. . . The IMF Con Paul Call to cut greenback in Beijing coffers DJ FX Trading Asia Times End to deflation may be near Yomiuri Paris warns oil price could hit French growth AFP Middle Eastern markets boom on the back of oil price surge FT Shell closes Nigerian oil pump station Business Report Oct 1: “All Out War” China eyeing investment in Alberta oil sands Globe & Mail On top down under Economist Dotcom dream ends for Thorn EMI research venture Guardian Corrupt brokerage exec gets 11 years Japan Times Asia Power -- China Joins Japan at G-7 Table Bloomberg China finds itself in the odd position of being an underdog, but one with lots of leverage. US to press China on currency fluctuation at G7 meeting: Snow AFP
Tuesday September 28 Moody's Puts Fannie on Watch TheStreet Motorola to cut 1,000 jobs Reuters Delta Air to Cut Pay 10 Percent for Most Workers Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Falls for Second Consecutive Month in September CB U.S. chain store sales mixed in latest week Reuters NY crude tops $50 in late trade CBSM The threat of $50 Oil workers threatened in Nigeria BBC OPEC head says no plans to meet CBSM Cartel can't do anything to curb crude prices -report Saudi Arabia to Up Production Capacity AP Diesel fuel prices follow oil uphill USAT Unchartered Energy Sea Simmons PDF The US as a Net Debtor: Sustainability of US External Imbalances NYU PDF Collision Course Morgan Stanley (Roach) Crisis looms due to weak dollar China Daily Hedge Fund Manager Opinion - The Housing Bubble HedgeCo Is This House Worth $1.2 Million? Fortune Schaeffer on Charts: Why Worry? Schaeffers Large "Divergence," Large Move to Come? Elliott Wave Pensions grounded? Boston Globe Fuzzy Numbers Business Week Despite the reforms, corporate profits can be as distorted and confusing as ever. Here's how the game is played The Top 5 Turnaround Busts Business Week Airbus CEO Accuses Boeing of 'Untruths' AP The SEC's Proposal for Regulating Hedge Funds AEI Recent fiscal policy in selected industrial countries BIS New mortgages fall as housing market stumbles Times Online Australia at the forefront of housing bubble WSWS Sky-high real estate may be making resurgence in Hong Kong AP The management's hand in China's stock market CE Deutsche Bank under investigation BBC The Dow Closes Below 10,000 TheStreet
Monday September 27 Crude Oil Jumps to Record $49.47 on Threat to Nigerian Supply Bloomberg Opec 'is losing power to control oil prices' Gulf News Sales of New Homes Rebound, But Underlying Trend Is Soft NT PDF Watch out for the hurricane named Fannie MSN (Fleck) Buy and Hold? Cross Currents Valuations and Risk-Adjusted Returns Hussman Investors Try to Gauge Consumer Jitters AP Risks faced by the global economy Business Line Look Both Ways: A Bearish Fed? CFO Treasury bond yields puzzle investors FT Signals mixed on US interest rates CS Monitor Banks Start Courting Savers Again Wall Street Journal Pricey home, dicey mortgage CS Monitor “People act like we're going to run out of homes - if they don't buy now they'll be left out forever...†Valley housing market cools slightly Desert Sun Even at 0%, 6-year car loan could be bad idea USAT It's a shock to the consumer: 'Wait, I've been making payments three years, and now you're telling me I still owe more than the vehicle's worth'? The Democrats, social security and the equity premium puzzle Brookesnews 43% exhaust benefits before finding work JS Online Nanotech and the pitfalls of specialty funds MSN Beware of investing in the hot new thing. Remember the Internet fund craze? Commerce One: Poster child for dot-com collapses ComputerWorld Fannie Mae Directors Agree to Correct Accounting Treatments Bloomberg Analysts' magic valuation formula is a hoax MSN If the hedge won't grow it gets the chop Guardian Martha Plays Flipper NY Post Exposing Execs' "Stealth" Compensation Business Week Thousands allege firm ran a scam Miami Herald Hurricane Jeanne May Cost Insurers Up to $14 Billion, Rivaling Charley BL Gas Prices Jump As Ivan Disrupts Supply AP Gold May Rise on Concern Oil Will Spur Inflation, Survey Says Bloomberg Edgy Gold Investors Looking for Comfort Reuters Japan's Nikkei Set for Longest Losing Streak Since Dec. 2002 Bloomberg German Business Confidence Falls, Suggesting Slowdown Bloomberg Wittgenstein has the answer to house prices Independent Myths of the Asian economic crisis still dominate Brookesnews As Japan recovers, rates may thwart debt plans B Zero interest rates Asahi Mexico Raises Interest Rates for 6th Time This Year Bloomberg Commodities ride China's coattails NYT China goes global to feed its resource appetite Globe & Mail China issues more than 700 million bank cards People’s Daily Putin Says State Firms Can Buy Yukos Assets Moscow Times Financial regulator doubles total fines Times Online Lawsuits hit non-US companies FT
Weekend Edition (Sept 25-26) Jeanne leaves Floridians powerless CNN Wall Street awaits oil impact on quarterly earnings AP Soaring Oil Prices Undermine Market WP Needed: three 1-billion-barrel oil banks HChron Is The World Facing a 3rd Oil Shock? IEA PDF Natural Gas Price Likely To Increase NYP Oil prices put shares over a $50 barrel Daily Telegraph Reading Fannie Mae's Scary Cookbook NYT (Morgenson) (R) Fannie Mae Scandal is Democrats Enron NYP The New Silicon Valley: A Dog-Eat-Dog World NY Times (R) Running Money Mauldin The Trial and Tribulations of Risk Intermediation Folly PBear (Noland) Amazing SPX Complacency Zeal The Aden Forecast (on Gold) Howe The Disastrous History of Money : Part 5 - Credit Tustain Does anyone want U.S. exports? Norris Tax Breaks Don't Boost Investment: Study CFO How -- and When -- to Be A Contrarian Elliott Wave US regulator says Fannie Mae resisted probe-report Reuters Why Are Rating Companies Surprised by Bad News? Bloomberg US protests Jakartas action on Newmont FTGG Google Conforms to Chinese Censorship Reuters Wal-Mart Holds Sales View for September Reuters Silicon Valley jobs recovery to take until 2010 Reuters Hedge Funds Ponder New Ways to Make Money Reuters Oil prices dash airlines' hopes for profitability Globe &Mail
Friday September 24 Crude Oil Rises to Record Close of $48.88 as Ivan Cuts Supplies Bloomberg Freddie Mac Cuts 2003 Profit Reuters FM Orders to U.S. Factories for Big-Ticket Goods Drop in August AP Census Searching for Growth Morgan Stanley (Roach) Technical Indicators Breaking Down Comstock Schaeffer on Charts: It's All Relative Schaeffers Had it [the Dow] been trading at its normal relationship to the SPX over the past 20 years, the DJIA would currently be sitting below 9000. Do you suppose this would have put a damper on the "bull market is back" talk? The Great Inflation Financial Sense Part 1 The Nature of Money Bonds Looking for Love in All the Wrong Places Bloomberg (Baum) Inflation - From Fear to Complacency MS (Berner) Tired bull approaches a birthday Norris Five horsemen of the apocalypse Mineweb The $300 billion bonanza Economist What might oil producers do with all that extra cash? Presentation: Running Out of Gas CIBC PDF Does the Fed Control Interest Rates? Elliott Wave Presidents Team Finds a Way To Spend More AP The fourth tax cut bill in as many years Inventory to Drive 2005 Downturn Electronic News IC Insights Philips Lowers Chip Sales Forecast on Waning Demand Bloomberg General Motors Fears Health Costs Might Swamp It Bloomberg Cadbury Says Annual Results to Be at Low End of Range Bloomberg Regulators May Oust Fannie Management AP Kicked in the Fannie CBSM Critics say mortgage giants grew too big and too fast WP Insurers hit by storm costs CBSM $ Converium Seeks Lifeline From Buffett $ Wall Street Journal ($) CHR US Airways to seek 'interim relief' order WT SBC fails to find buyers for $1bn rural phone lines FT Morningstar Says SEC Is Investigating Incorrect Data for Fund Bloomberg GE settles with SEC over disclosure of Welch perks IHT (BL) SEC Mulls New Charges against AIG CFO Proposed Bailout of Trump Casinos Shelved AP Wall Street Dip Trouble For NY NYP Once valued at $20 billion, dot-com darling poised to go out of business AP Forbes List Has Most Billionaires Ever AP Forbes Program Trading Averaged 59.8% of NYSE Volume during Sep. 13-17 NYSE Book Except: The Death of Demand Inform IT Amazon Is Market Demand the Lifeblood of Capitalism? The ambition of many generations that pushed for more has unwittingly killed demand. The lifeblood of capitalism is dead, the victim of hundreds of years of progress. A century ago expectations were low and sacrifice was high. Now... Who hurts if China breaks? CNN Most analysts think the economy will land softly. It had better -- an awful lot is riding on it. China to discuss currency policy with G7 nations Xinhau China clamps down on rogue steel mills FT Dead firms walking Economist Japan's unproductive service industries are holding back its improving economy from achieving even better performance EU looking into Greek debt figures IHT German banks see rift with EU IHT Property shares rocked by double profits warning Telegprah Internet brokers come bearing gifts Asahi China's new wealth clashes with party-boss influence CS Monitor China's tripling gold demand WND Europe's central banks ready to offload gold R/Bvom Last tranche of gold sales Swiss
More rate hikes in the pipeline: FOMC CBSM August FOMC Minutes
Thursday September 23 30-year mortgage rate at a five-month low AP Oil Prices Climb Despite Gov't Statement AP Gold climbs back to a three-week high CBSM Kitco Leading Index Falls Again for the 3rd Consecutive Month Conference Board Jobless Claims Rose by 14K to 350K Last Week on Hurricanes Bloomberg Oil dips on U.S. reserve requests Reuters Dont Worry, Heres Why I am Sure Stocks Will Rebound NYP (Crudele) The Fearful Economy CATO The Recovery AEI (Makin) Three Years On The Dollar Cycle Reaches Dornbusch's Stage 2 DeLong 'Little hope on Wall Street' Times Online “To say that Wall Street is in the doldrums is the understatement of the year.” Three Financials Behaving Badly Fool Zombie investors haunt America Farrell The Bond Market Is Headed for a Rude Awakening Bloomberg History Shows That Rallies Often Flag In Their Third Years Business Week Monetary Policy In The Holiday Season Since 1980 NT PDF Republicans Push Ahead to Extend Tax Cuts AP Annual unemployment insurance exhaustion rate at highest level in 60Y EPI Latest Corporate Bankruptcy Strategy a Death Knell for Pensions? Wharton New blow to airline sector FT Airlines.org The performance of the struggling US airline industry in August was far worse than analysts had expected There's buzz about Oprah's big car giveaway, but not about Pontiac G6 Det FP GM was split on Oprah deal; some tried to stop costly car giveaway Crains GM Three-Day Deal Offers Six-Year 0% Financing Forbes IBC: Who Was and Was Not "Surprised"... and Why Elliott Wave SEC to Investigate Lender Fannie Mae Forbes Blanchard Files Class Action Suit Against Barrick, JPM GATA SaveGold Merrill executive denies sex bias Reuters Former Computer Associates CEO Indicted TheStreet NYSE Announces a $19M Agreement with M.Stanley NYSE Short Interest Up Rumsfeld Sold Stakes in Pentagon Contractors Reuters Tech execs fly in to lobby Senate on accounting change SF Chronicle Rule Could Force Early Asset Booking CFO IMF: Hedge Funds Can Do More To ‘De-Mystify' Industry Compliance IMF The poor man's gold, silver expected to shine Globe & Mail China overtakes United States as top destination for foreign investment AFP Germans accelerate stock withdrawals Reuters/B Japanese return to stocks Has Britains Bubble Burst? Mirror Household credit a risk: RBA TheAustralian IMF: World Housing Prices May Fall as Interest Rates Rise BL IMF Report Land price rises seen propping economy Asahi The average residential land price in Tokyo's eight central wards as of July 1 rose 0.3 percent from a year earlier, posting the first rise in 17 years Plan to sell mortgage backed securities Standard It's the first time that Hong Kong retail investors have the chance to invest in Hong Kong dollar denominated MBS Oil's not well for Shell directors Times Online New Charges Filed Against Berezovsky Moscow Times Iran defiant on nuclear work AFP Report: NK readying missile test AP As Inflation Bubbles Up, Stocks Fall TheStreet
Wednesday September 22 Stocks Take a Pounding - Treasurys rally after breaching 4% - Oil Tops $48 Twisting the Yield Curve Without Even Trying Bloomberg Big Tobacco Disputes Conspiracy Claim AP Troubled Yukos cuts production Reuters Oil climbs CBSM DOE Supply Situation ~ Text PFC Energy’s Global Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids Supply ForecastPDFLink From ODAC (Thanks L.K.) New Forecast: Oil Supply-Demand Tipping Point Within A Decade Peaking of World Oil Production (June 14) SAIC PDF Oil: It’s Supply And Demand, Stupid! PBear Fannie Mae Says Regulator Finds Accounting Missteps Bloomberg FNM “The matters detailed in this report are serious and raise doubts concerning the validity of previously reported financial results†The Economy: Does it Have Traction or is it in Traction? Comstock Inscrutable Greenspan MoneyWeb Fed Now Focuses on How Fast, How Far for Rates Berry Dollar Trades Near 1-Month Low Versus Euro After Fed Statement Bloomberg Money funds may finally hit 1% CBSM The bond markets speak Economist Bonds and 'flation Saville Dow Theory doldrums? CBSM (Brimelow) Richard Russell growls about divergence and non-confirmations. Prediction: The future of the USA stock market UCLA (Sornette) Gold Being Thwarted Schaeffers Aden Sisters San Diego's Sea of Fiscal Woes Business Week The city's pension fund is more than $1 billion short, its bond rating has been downgraded -- and none of the remedies is pretty San Diego Report Depicts Public Pension Meltdown Bloomberg Help me make it through the Notch View From Silicon Valley Strong Wall Street earnings mask a deeper malaise IHT (NYT) Morgan Misses CBSM Bear Stearns Q3 net falls Wendy's Cuts 2004 Profit Outlook Reuters FedEx in Line ~ Cisco Cut Twinkies, Wonder Bread Maker Reportedly Files for Bankruptcy Protection AP General Motors to cut 3,000 European jobs - report Reuters Disney Board Wants An Eisner Successor By June NYP Caterpillar's Big Trucks Roll as Brazil Fills China Metal Needs Bloomberg Komatsu has so many orders that the usual delivery time of three to four months for a mining truck now stands at nine to 11 months Credibility is to Journalism as Money Is to the Stock Market Elliott Wave Push to Block Stock Options Rule Renewed AP Morningstar rating plan sparks controversy FT Brokers versus advisers SF Chronicle What's the difference between a broker and an investment adviser? That's the question at the heart of a rule the Securities and Exchange Commission proposed almost five years ago but has never acted upon, even though it affects legions of investors. Rose admits to 'dismal' M&S sales Guardian Russia: Some worry economic boom can't be sustained CNBC Top Executive of Yukos Enterprise Gunned Down in South Russia Mosnews Yukos called to honour oil commitments People’s Daily Citibank in Japan: Crime and punishment Asia Times Jeanne blamed for 700 deaths in Haiti CNN
Tuesday September 21 FOMC Statement FED 25 bp rate hike Lucent Cutting Retiree Benefits Again Reuters Aug. Housing Starts Rise 0.6% to 2 Million Pace Bloomberg Census General Mills Misses Reuters Goldman ~ Lehman Marts Give Bronx Cheer to Fed Chief Greenspan NYP When will the Fed catch its breath? CNN Death, taxes...and a quarter-point Fed rate hike Reassessing the outlook for US yields RBC PDF So what are the lessons for today? Well, for the 19th century UK, substitute the present-day US, and for Germany, China. (p7) Greenspan, bond market file for divorce CBSM Greenspan gambling on economic growth Newsday pro and anti-Greenspan pundits do agree on one thing - a big chunk of the 78-year-old chairman's 17-year Fed legacy is riding on his latest bet. After He Steps Down, Who Will Step Up? WP Low credit card rates getting rare USA Today ‘Comrade' Faber Says China Will Save the Dollar BL Faber Speaks “We'll choose the perfect timing when geopolitical tensions are such that they're very conducive to have an economic crisis in the U.S. We'll also suffer, but far less than the Western world.†I.M.F. Chief Sees Potential Hazard in U.S. Fiscal Policies NY Times “We believe such a large imbalance is a risk not only for the United States economy, but for the world economy†Occasional Report: Should You Act on US Current Account Fears? CIBC PDF Weimar and Wall Street Mises Closer To The Cliff Rostenko Lack Of Parallel To 1970 Decade Gold-Eagle Welcome to the bankruptcy economy MSN (Jubak) Politics & the Market: A "Clear-Cut" Link? Elliott Wave Developers Consider Rules to Keep Speculators Out of Housing Market News10 There are fears that the practice is artificially accelerating the upward spiral for home prices in Sacramento Analysts: 2005 could be a winner USAT Apparently tired of explaining why the market has stalled this year, Wall Street gurus have started sending reports to clients listing reasons why stocks are likely to spike higher in 2005. A Make-or-Break Week for Semiconductors Shaeffers Silicon Storage Cuts 3Q Earnings Outlook AP Regulators Find Evidence of Earnings Manipulation at Fannie Mae AP Fannie Mae's Board Briefed on Troubles WP Financier was grim reaper: Market-timing crime profited after 9/11 BHerald The Pressing Need for Corporate Pension Reform AEI Battle Heats Up Over Stock-Option Rules AP Hardly Ready for Sarbanes-Oxley Business Week International Accounting Standards AEI The Committee urges the SEC, and if necessary the U.S. Congress, to address this issue now before a financial reporting war breaks out between the United States and the European Union. Precious Metals Consensus Comparables Aegis BOJ to end scheme for buying shares from banks Reuters Asia powers global growth, but the risks are many IHT (Bloomberg) China: A Major Correction Ahead Morgan Stanley (Xie) Mortgage lending falls to two-year low Times Online An empty pot of pension gold Times Online China's foreign trade to reach 1 trillion US dollars in 2004 People’s Daily China import wave jams ports, rail Globe & Mail Some companies are even starting to reassess their decision to buy cheap merchandise from China, looking for alternative supply sources because of the clogged routes... Ouch: Households savings drop for 4th year in a row Asahi (Japan) Bankruptcies rise to record level Swiss Info Hardie probe slams executives ABC Time to Call a Boom a Bubble, And Wonder What Will Pop It All Africa Al Qaeda seen planning for 'spectacular' attack UPI
Treasury pressing China to float yuan UPI
Monday September 20 Builder Confidence Down, But Not Out In September NAHB Don't confuse a stock with a business CBSM When I worked at TheStreet.com, Jim Cramer and I had a running disagreement: He said stocks don't lie. I said they did. This came to a head... HP Buys Back $1.3B, Announces Plan to Buy Back $3B More Reuters Colgate-Palmolive warns ~ PMC-Sierra warns ~ NYT Warns ~ Oil Above $46 Wall St. Worried About Fed’s Rate-Hike Religion NYP Berry Low interest rates begin to fade away Det FP Inside the Fed's Head TheStreet Analysts' opinions on rates varied, altering USAT Economic Risks are Increasing Hussman This four-indicator combination has appeared immediately preceding or very shortly following the start of past U.S. recessions. False signals are rare Under tech’s hood, things don’t look so good MSN (Fleck) The chip industry says the soft patch is just a one-quarter event. But if 'absolutely everyone' is saying the same thing, odds are the problems are deeper than that. Why 2004 is unlikely to become another 1994 Independent (King) There can be no soft landing Guardian The bullishness of that [IMF[ assessment virtually guarantees that something is about to go wrong soon... Is the huge U.S. deficit sustainable after all? IHT (NYT) "The counterweight is that the United States and its main trading partners have a vested interest in the status quo." When Politics Matter Morgan Stanley (Roach Richard Berner The Bush economic boom is going to teach us another lesson Brookesnews Presidents Don't Pull All the Strings WSJ A Reality Check on the Global `747 Economy' Bloomberg The Booming Economy? Chapman As Income Gap Widens, Uncertainty Spreads WP Stock market crashes and free markets Brookesnews Veteran letter editors remain cautious CBSM Samsung sees chip growth halving CBSM Another blow for Citigroup FT First Enron Criminal Trial Begins Today CFO Merrill, Stung by Gordon, Chases Goldman in Energy Bloomberg Hot Stock is All Wet NYP (Byron) Lifespan crisis hits supersize America Guardian Gold May Gain as Hedge Against Rising Oil Prices, Survey Shows Bloomberg Argentina Replaces Half of Central Bank's Board Bloomberg The peso tumbled as much as 1.1 percent as analysts said Kirchner is replacing half of the bank's board so he can have more control over its decisions Yukos Slashes Exports to China Moscow Times Sakakibara warns of Japan fiscal crisis CBSM 'Mr. Yen' also weighs in on China's yuan peg to the dollar Japan struggles to find itself after Lost Decade CBSM The monetisation of Japan’s government debt BIS PDF Record 25 million Japanese over 65 Japan Times Hardie may face US charges Sunday Times Unilever Cuts Profit Forecasts on Sluggish Sales Bloomberg Classic guerrilla war forming in Iraq CS Monitor
Weekend Edition (Sept 18-19) Step Right Up and Beat the Numbers NYT (R) (Morgenson) Amazing, isn't it, how investors still reward companies for pulling out all the stops to meet or exceed the financial results they promised? Storm-Tested Wall Street Set for Earnings Reuters Lack of Wall Street sage adds to market funk? USAT Paper:US Airways Loses Loans for 100 Jets Reuters The defaults may force a taxpayer bailout of the privately funded entity NY Post House of the Rising Sum Washington Post China, Storms, Oil Send Building Costs Through the Roof Is it high time for reality check? Boston Globe Developers, analysts disagree over whether there's a bubble ready to pop in the local housing market A smoke ring? That'll cost you $280 billion Economist The federal government launches its lawyers against the United States' leading cigarette makers Complacency and the Rain Dance for Money PBear Greenspan's Legacy? Worldwide Debt Folly Financial Sense The Zero Bound Dilemma Mauldin A Case of Panic Now, Not Later Smithers Stock market returns over the next 10 years or so are set to be very poor. Q2 2004 “Flow of Funds†PBear (Noland) Tactical Gold Trends 2 Zeal Have Gold Traders Stopped Watching Inflation? Bloomberg What really drives the Gold Price? FSO FBI: Mortgage Fraud Is Rampant in U.S. AP FBI Bubble trouble Money Magazine Real estate will make you rich, eh? If everyone thinks so, how can it be true? Homeowners should not think they're bubbleproof Globe & Mail (Free Reg) Investing: Hedging in a bubble IHT (BL) The Paralysis of Choice? Elliott Wave Is it too far-fetched to suggest that, when faced with 8,300 choices, investors would rather do nothing, and in their paralysis cling to the hope that the bull market will come back? The Week Ahead: Globalization and Oil Demand CIBC PDF The US Outlook IIE PDF Growth has slowed because of high oil prices and a weak labor market, but it should continue. How much slack remains in the economy? Weekly Leading Index, Sentiment Slip ECRI (Reuters) Job growth lags Bush Administration projections in 48 states JobWatch Wal-Mart Backs Sept. Sales Targets Reuters Legal Advice Faulted in Late Trading TheStreet S&P warns UK banks at risk from economic slowdown Scotsman Cloak of confidence may not ward off crisis Guardian Yen Declines for 3rd Week in 4; Japan May Resume Currency Sales Bloomberg
Friday September 17 Consumer sentiment slips in September CBSM Complacency and the Rain Dance for Money PBear Crude Oil Gains as Storm Jeanne May Disrupt U.S. Gulf Output Bloomberg Jaguar to Cut 1,150 Jobs Reuters Cisco Downgraded - Ebay Downgraded Dollar on Hold as Doubts Grow Over Fed Reuters CBOT Fed Watch - September 2004 CBOT Productivity Endgame? Morgan Stanley (Roach) End of the Soft Patch? Comstock Days of 20% Profit Growth Are Over TheStreet It could take four years for stock valuations to drop WSJ To get to the point where stocks are reasonably valued, I figure we will have to wait until May 2008. The American consumer will decide how fast the world begins to slow down Inde California home sales were down in August, but prices hit record high AP DQ The chronic problem of declining health coverage EPI Retirees want their money back Beacan J Chip tool orders fall in August CBSM Shipments drop for first time in 14 months Ford Boosts Profit Outlook Reuters Judge Says Microsoft to Pay $112 Million AP Delta auditor issues Chapter 11 warning Accounting Age Schwab Says Customer Stock Trading Down Reuters Texas Instruments approves $1B stock buyback AP Citigroup Ordered to Suspend Four Japanese Branches After Breaching Rules B The suspension starts on Sept. 29 and lasts for one year Hedge Funds To SEC: Who Made You Boss? NYP MFA Hedge Fund Short-Sale Tactic Faces Uncertain Future TheStreet Automakers sweeten car lease deals WSJ All this comes at a time when industry auto sales have been softening during the past few months, on signs of a weakening economy. New Pickup Makes Hummer Look Rather Puny AP Edwards Mocks Cheney for EBay Comment Guardian “He said people are selling a lot of stuff on eBay. When we count the bake sales and lemonade stands, we'll have a roaring economy'' Here's what happens if you don't play the credit gam HC Currency Crisis Means Bull Market for Gold & Silver 321 A Scary Vision sH Japanese Bonds Rise as US Reports Increase Concern Exports to Slow BL Potential Roadblocks For China's Economy  Forbes Brazil 17% Interest Rate ‘Not That High,' Levy Says Bloomberg German August Producer Prices Rise Most in 3 Years Bloomberg New textile rules a boon for India, China - or not Asia Times Tesco poised to sell mortgages with groceries Times Online Prison call for Japan executive IHT (BL) EBay China site ready for Friday launch People’s Daily US says invasion was legal BBC Annan Says Illegal BBC Bush rejects bleak Iraq intelligence assessment FT Far graver than Vietnam Guardian U.S. Inspector: Iraq Had No WMD AP U.S. Says New Images Show Iran Plans Nuclear Bomb Reuters Ivan skirts Gulf's oil 'refinery row' USAT Insured losses from Ivan could hit $7 billion Reuters Ivan Leaves About 1.6 Mln Without Power in U.S. South Bloomberg
US Treasury's Snow repeats support of strong dollar Reuters
Thursday September 16 Gramlich: Oil Shocks and Monetary Policy FED Philadelphia Fed Index Falls To 13.4 PFed August Consumer Prices Rise 0.1%; Core Up 0.1% Bloomberg BLS Initial Jobless Claims Rose 16,000 to 333,000 Last Week Hurricane Ivan Slams U.S. Gulf Coast, Kills Two R Oil Rises on Concern Ivan May Cut Inventories Bloom Ivan's dollar punch getting stronger CNN Ivan Menaces Alabama Cotton, Peanut Crops AP Ivan could be terrible for agriculture CBSM Web Cam from Cape San Blas Lumber prices continue to soar JS Online Storm surge AP The run at hardware stores for plywood and generators during the past month of hurricanes in the South has left manufacturers scrambling to meet the disaster-related demand Warnings pile up: Estimates 'got too high' USAT Nortel Cuts 3rd-Quarter Revenue Target Reuters Nortel EDS: U.S. Air Bankruptcy to Cut Its Profits Reuters Worries About A Slower Second Half Are Growing AP Goldilocks Economy It Ain't. So What's Missing? Bloomberg (Baum) Global financial system is shock-proof, says IMF Guardian “While it is obviously feasible that one or the other financial institution, such as a hedge fund or even a bank, might succumb to serious mistakes in risk management or to outright fraud, such incidents should be isolated cases with limited, if any, contagion to the system as a whole.â€Â IMF Report ~ PDF Study Finds U.S. Companies Shifting Profits Overseas ABS (NYT) What If $110,000,000 is the Payment You Don't Make? Elliott Wave The Ratings Game AEI You cannot be widely accepted by the predominant users unless you are an NRSRO, but you cannot become an NRSRO unless you are already widely accepted! Time is Money North Delta fuels fears of bankruptcy FT Tech Can't Sidestep Latest Land Mine TheStreet Crunch Time for the Semis Schaeffers Domestic auto market share under 60% USAT Forces of Nature Eating into Restaurants’ Profits NYP In recent weeks, butter prices tripled, fresh berries have quadrupled and even ordinary rice is up 37 percent for the year. Double-digit hikes also hit prices of turkey and beef, as well as a wide range of produce, such as red-leaf lettuce, up 60 percent Barrick Gold ratings put under review Globe & Mail I.B.M. Shrugs Off Loss of a Service Contract It Once Flaunted NYT (Morgenson) Coke Leaves a Bad Taste on the Street BW S&P Downgrades KO BW Privatizing Fannie, Freddie, and the Federal Home Loan Banks AEI PDF Just How Risky Are Fannie and Freddie? Business Week Pimco Advisers in Second Settlement Street Schwab Settles AW Citigroup, 3 Others Face SEC Bonds Probe Reuters Fleming, Suppliers Settle with SEC CFO IRS's Scott Predicts $100 Mln in Muni Bond Penalties Bloomberg Infineon fined $160m for chip price-fixing FT DoJ has been investigating the D-Ram market for over 2-years. Blodget on Martha Slate MarthaTalks.com Hedge funds' returns tumble FT Trading Places: QQQ Jumping From AMEX to NAS NYP FASB Hears New Options Approach CFO America loves to hate dastardly CEOs USAT Gold prices may increase, says GFMS BR GMFS Highlights PDF Central Banks To Announce Gold Sales GAM PDF The Federal Reserve Board: Its Origins, History, and Current Strategy Howe Emerging Markets Vulnerable to Fed Rate Increase, Fitch Says Bloomberg On Track for Strong Growth in 2004 But Worries About 2005 IIE Brazil Raises Benchmark Lending Rate to 16.25 Percent Bloomberg SNB Raises Key Interest Rate as Economy Recovers Bloomberg Japan Bailout Agency to Audit Daiei Books, People Say Bloomberg Report: Japan May Sanction Citibank Reuters Inflation headache for bankers China Daily "The negative real interest rates have fuelled a bubble in the property market" Auto output forecast drops sharply China Daily Venezuela says oil prices could hit $100 a barrel AP House prices? In Italy, too, people talk of little else New Statement
Wednesday September 15 Industrial Output, New York Index Rise Bloomberg Martha Stewart Ready for Jail TheStreet Hurricane Ivan packing 160-mph winds as it nears U.S. CBSM Oil rises on inventory drain CNN OPEC to boost oil production AP Industrial Production up 0.1% FED Mortgage Applications Fell Last Week Reuters Dollar Stalls as Focus Shifts to Fed Reuters The Myth of Negative Sentiment Comstock Technology Stocks Getting Squeezed Schaeffers Phase One Of Fed Tightening Is Nearing An End NT Fed Will Lift Key Rate in Sept, Nov, Economists Say BL CBOT Fed Watch CBOT 6% for No Change versus 94% for +25 bps U.S. economy still soft: Rosenberg Globe & Mail “I can't find a time when the Greenspan Fed was tightening in this sort of environment†Second-guessing the Fed CNN Has the economy's 'soft patch' passed? Is inflation about to pop? The bond market doesn't think so. U.S. Treasurys Nearing A Critical Point BCA Is Inflation Truly a Threat? G. Shilling You Call That a "Security"?? Elliott Wave Kingdom of the Rain Safe Haven Back And Boring As Ever... Rostenko The (vast and unappreciated) role of luck in investing Blodget What's Next For Auto Incentives? Will GM Pay You To Take A Car? NT Current Account Deficit Largest On Record GM Chief: Auto Maker Seeks to Cut Costs AP Ford to close Jaguar plant Reuters Bush's agenda could top $3 trillion WP Washington State: Voters to Face $1 Billion Sales Tax Hike ATR Fed up with pension defaults USAT The Coming Pensions Crunch Business Week High-Tech Market Has Lost 400,000 Jobs AP Watch for Those Late-Summer ''Delayoffs'' CFO These are real job losses, not theoretical future hires Big Problems at Coca-Cola TheStreet KO Chips' Flavor Isn't Lasting TheStreet Celestica profit warning surprises markets Globe & Mail Cisco Systems and Hewlett-Packard are two of Celestica's largest clients. Investors choose to ignore warnings CBSM It's almost as if Enron and Worldcom never happened. Levi's tries to sew recovery together KR SEC Censures Schwab on Late Trading TheStreet Former Broker Pleads Guilty to Cheating Clients Out of Millions of Dollars AP Small investors get no respect on Wall Street USAT Market caters to the wealthy while nickle-and-diming small investors Soros Investment Officer Goldfield Leaves to Start His Own Firm BL Shell inquiry widens as attention turns to executives Times Online Price of gold manipulated, Embry says Financial Post Central banks dumping: Sprott manager ruffling feathers on Bay Street again Defined Contribution Plans Increase Retirement Age NCPA Flat period 'may persist into 2005' FR Merrill: Money managers sit tight G&M Global stocks could show little change in the next six to nine months, following historical trends, according to Goldman Sachs & Co strategists Homeowners told house prices could fall by 30% Guardian Nickell Speech China Will Probably Lift Interest Rates This Year, Survey Shows Bloomberg China executes bank staff for fraud Reuters China executed four people, including employees of two of its Big Four state-owned banks, for fraud totaling $15 million A$ climbs above US70¢ Financial Review SESC targets Citibank over bond misdeeds Japan Times US appears headed for showdown with Iran over nuclear issue AFP
Foreign governments finance a growing share of U.S. trade deficit EPI Asian governments made 80.7% of all government purchases of U.S. assets in the first half of 2004 Getting Sucked Into the Trade Gap Business Week Record Deficit for a Crucial Trade Figure NYT (R) "I really believe we have a disaster scenario in the making" Growth outside US too slow: Snow Dow Jones
Tuesday September 14 Direct Hit by Ivan Could Sink New Orleans AP Bill Gross: “At 4.15 percent, it's fully priced†Bloomberg Crude Oil Rises on Hurricane Ivan Bloomberg OPEC members Split Reuters It's the oil, stupid CNN/Money GM, 'Oprah' team up to give away cars Det FP U.S. August Retail Sales Decline 0.3% Bloomberg Census U.S. current account deficit tops $166 bln CBSM Record reading grows nearly 13% from Q1 Dollar Declines as U.S. Trade Deficit Swells, Retail Sales Drop BL Foolish Fed Yielded To Politics Over Economics NYP (Crudele) Fooled by the Numbers Mises Good News, Bears? Schaeffers Stocks are poised to reverse lower, they want to reverse lower, and frankly, I think they need to reverse lower to shake some of these happy-go-lucky bulls out of their fantasy land. Housing market leveling off due to high prices, more inventory SanDiego Source U.S. Fourth-Quarter Hiring Plans Little Changed, Manpower Says Bloomberg Saudi Minister Says Oil Markets Are Well Supplied Bloomberg The Incredible Lightness of Being OPEC Business Week Pension Agency May Go Broke by 2020 Reuters US Airways to Skip Pension Payment Reuters Outstanding Flight Operations During First Day Of Chapter 11 US Airways Deny US airlines their Chapter 11 life support Independent On Capitol hill and beyond, the airline lobby remains a remarkably powerful force. "Bearish" AFTER a Stock Loses Most of Its Value? Elliott Wave Disney Dissidents Want Eisner Gone Sooner AP LSI Cuts 3Q Revenue, Profit Views Reuters Krispy Kreme quarterly report delayed AP Office Depot warns of earnings miss CBSM Cardinal delays results, warns on early '05 Reuters Pimco reaches SEC settlement FT Black sues Toronto magazine Toronto Star Citigroup apologises for controversial bond trades FT NASD Expands 529 Plan Probe TheStreet Economics of NHL lockout CS Monitor Wall Street confronts a different depression NYT A survey conducted in 2000 - the only known study of its kind - concluded that 23 percent of brokers and traders at seven of the largest firms on Wall Street suffered from clinical depression, a rate far above the national average of 7 percent. Hedge funds may be too hot NYD Pension-fund billions for hedge funds CBS Schaeffer on Charts: A Golden Opportunity? Schaeffer Italy cenbank says no plans to sell gold reserves Reuters Dutch to sell 150 tonnes of gold in coming years Reuters Financial Stability Forum held its Twelfth Meeting BIS China seen entering already brutal DRAM market CBSM Plus Four of 10 chip firms out by 2014, says Gartner CEO: Nortel Can Compete With China Rivals AP "Our (industry's) strength in North America, is that we have a sense of [accounting?] creativity and innovation that you don't find elsewhere" Multinationals setting up shop in China to tap scientific brainpower JS (NYT) German Investor Confidence Falls to 15-Month Low on Oil Price, Job Concern BL Hedging Currency Risk: Billion-Dollar Question For European Investors ING Emerging Markets Absorb Surge In Bond Supply With Shrug Dow Jones India's Playing ‘Musical Chairs' With Inflation Bloomberg China's banking industry faces four major problems People’s Daily Gas shortage threatens blackouts this winter, warns Tullow Independent Argentina Rejects Request to Negotiate BL Argentina up against the ropes FT Moscow weighs ruble priorities AP/R More Searches Conducted in Moscow Office of Yukos Mosnews Putin to strengthen Kremlin’s control FT
Monday September 13 U.S. deficit at record high with a month left Reuters Treasury Dept Oil Prices Jump on Fears of Ivan's Path AP The Bear's Lair: Where will we be in 2008 UPI Dollar Drops; Fed's Bies Says There's `No Urgency' to Lift Rate Bloomberg “We're not hitting all cylinders yet, and that gives us a little bit of time.'' Time Inconsistency Hussman The 'recovery' is living on borrowed time MSN (Fleck) The US economy is the next 9/11 Faber The Corporate Paradox Morgan Sranley (Roach) How much to put in stocks? Try zero. CS Monitor Housing market has all the classic 'bubble' characteristics Pioneer Press If the comparison between home and rent prices were to revert to what is typical, Rosenberg says, home prices would drop 15 percent next year or stagnate through 2011. Chart of the Month Cross Currents Keep an eye on the yield curve CBSM (Brimelow) Could the flattening yield curve signal a problem? US Airways Joins United in Bankruptcy; Delta Could Follow NYT With pensions teetering, benefits disappear AP Other companies are closely watching what would be the largest corporate pension default ever in the United States, some likely pondering scrapping their own funds to help remedy their financial ailments... Rubin criticizes Bush's fiscal policy CBSM Not a murmur as America's budget deficit soars Times Online Offshore: U.S. workers face job drain The C-Enquirer Pensions 'to pour $250bn into hedge funds' FT Some funds are still backing managers against investors' wishes Morgenson The votes were secret, so funds could side with management and know that none of their clients would be the wiser. Until now. Companies End ‘Poison Pill' Defenses Amid Shareholder Ire Bloomberg A record 31 companies, including Raytheon Co. and Staples Inc., abandoned anti-takeover defenses, spurred by shareholders who say they hurt investors. "Beware of the End of the World (Wide Web)," Says Intel Forbes New vehicle sales hit the skids Newsday Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Paid Less as IPOs Stall Bloomberg Fears over independent research Times Online Greased Lightning NYP (Byron) One Month As Public Company Long Enough to Be A 'Scam. . . FWire The Big Sandy Slate Obscure economic indicators, Part 4: Central Appalachian Coal Futures Opec's new price shock Guardian Producers to send warning to consumers and companies $50 Oil: A Spreading Slick of Pain Business Week Asians Would Conquer Europeans With a G-4 Bloomberg China's August Inflation Stays at 5.3%, a 7-Year High B China Eyes More Measures to Slow Economy AP India raises cash-reserve rule for banks IHT (BL) India: Lots Of Bull In The Stock Markets Financial Express Canadian Economy strains against production limits Globe & Mail How industry could gain in a post-oil economy Independent (King) Atomic Activity in North Korea Raises Concerns NYT North Korea in mushroom cloud riddle Guardian At Least 80 Civilians Die in Iraqi Violence WP
Weekend Edition (Sept 11-12) US Airways Files for Chapter 11, Its 2nd Bankruptcy Since '02 Bloomberg Rosy outlook from Greenspan fails to sway many economists AFP Speeches ignore impending U.S. debt disaster SF Gate No mention of fiscal gap estimated as high as $72 trillion Credit risks creep into housing market NCTImes Hedge funds: a bubble set to burst? Stuff.co.nz Day of Reckoning Near for Some Airlines AP 9/11 observances planned CNN The Week Ahead: Gaining Traction or In Traction?  CIBC PDF The Problem of French Landscapers Mauldin Bubble Bubble Mortgage Trouble PBear (Noland) Tactical Silver Trends ZEA The Dow Report -- Dangerous Times Financial Sense Yes, But What are They DOING With Earnings? Elliott Wave Investors edgy on earnings Reuters Going with the (Free-cash) Flow CFO Housing bubble building? MSNBC Home-price gains likely to cool soon R (BL) Mortgage lender under scrutiny Det FP Nortel hires consulting firm Toronto Star Qwest to pay $250m to settle with SEC FT Newsday Circ Cut By 100,000 NYP Audit Bureau Fails Big Test NYP Suddenly, It's AMD Inside Business Week US Airways Circles Bankruptcy Court TheStreet Book Review: Rome Wasn't Burnt In A Day TownHall Amazon Link The Real Deal on How Politicians, Bureaucrats, and Other Washington Barbarians are Bankrupting America EU delays action on deficit-busters IHT Pension crisis set to force up retirement age Scotsman Housing crisis to deepen as builders down tool Times Online “Armageddon August†on high streets has continued into September China's imports to hit one trillion US dollars by 2010:minister People’s Daily After Olympics, Greece Counts Cost of Economic Losses Scotsman Hurricane Ivan slams into Jamaica BBC
Friday September 10 Spinning Its Wheels Morgan Stanley (Roach) Pianalto: Current Fed Funds rate must rise WT Deep in Debt, Deep in Danger Sennholz The Dishonesty Thing NYT (R) (Krugman) Producer Prices in U.S. Unexpectedly Fall 0.1%, Core Rate Declines BL BLS U.S. Trade Gap Narrows to $50.1 Billion as Exports Increase, Imports Fall BL The risks ahead for the world economy Economist 5 major risks threaten the world economy. 3 entre on the United States The Bear's Lair: Growth that's no fun UPI The sun also sets Economist Never before have real house prices been rising so fast in so many countries Market in Topping Process Comstoc``````````k Waning Strength Schaeffers Federated's Lehman Shuns U.S. Stocks as His Fund Beats S&P 500 Bloomberg Steven Lehman is avoiding the U.S. stock market in his $1.7 billion Federated Market Opportunity Fund because he says equity prices may be lower 10 years from now. How Many Economists Does It Take to Use a Map? Elliott Wave Health Care Premiums Jump 11.2 Percent AP Fourth Consecutive Year of Double-Digit Increases Salary Increases at Record Lows -- Moderate Improvement Projected in 05 Hewitt How long will the world's oil last? MSNBC House votes to block OT rules Reuters EDS Expects to Cut Up to 20,000 Jobs Reuters US Airways Seen as Likely to Declare Bankruptcy NYT Alaska Airlines to Cut Nearly 900 Jobs Reuters Frontier Trims Flight Schedule by 13 Pct. AP US airline industry in tailspin to disaster Independent What Intel’s 5 big problems mean for tech MSN (Jubak) Cisco sees more rivals from Asia IHT (BL) GM eyes economy, more cost cuts CNN/Money No. 1 automaker says it doesn't see things getting better, may have to tighten belts even more. Program Trading Averaged 59.4% of Volume during Aug. 30-Sep. 3 NYSE A New NYSE: The Winners and Losers Wall St & Technology Will courts kill Big 4 audit firms? Norris Bear’s Spector: $160M Pay Day NYP Feds Chase Tomo NYP Eisner to Step Down as CEO in 2006 -WSJ Reuters Hurricanes a boon for some businesses AP China Bashing 2004 IIE PDF Evaluation of the most contentious trade disputes between China and the United States Is China replacing America? PhilStar Japan Unexpectedly Lowers 2Q Growth Estimate; Stocks, Yen Drop BL Core machinery orders slipped 11.3% in July Japan Times China's Industrial Output Has Smallest Gain in a Year BL China may replace Canada as top U.S. trading partner Toronto Star Stocks plunge to five-year low China Daily Sina: Risky business in China CNN Chinese officials embezzling billions, fleeing the country Knight Ridder China's factories face labour shortage Straits Times A Chinese Puzzle Surprising Shortage of Workers WSJ Scores of slaves sustain Brazil's export market Knight Ridder Australia: Economist warns of recession ABC A Real Estate Boomlet in Latin America Wharton Experts keep calm as house prices plummet SurreyOnline NZX cracks whip to reassure investors New Zealand Herald The stock exchange has demanded broking firms sign statutory declarations and arrange external audits of their client fund accounts to reassure investors that Access Brokerage's financial meltdown is an isolated incident...â€ÂAnd if it shows that someone's not [in balance] then we will go in like a grizzly bear." Investors need faith as broker goes under Stuff.co.nz Khodorkovsky Says He Regrets Nothing, Expects to Lose Yukos Moscow Times Mitsubishi Tokyo Offers $6.4 Billion Bailout for UFJ to Head Off Rival Bid BL Blind man has insight on Arizona real estate Arizona BG
“It was an extremely ugly auction. And that's something nobody wants to see, not the Street and certainly not Treasury given the amount of borrowing they have to doâ€Â Reuters
Thursday September 9 Alcoa Warns 3Q to Miss Analyst Views AP Alcoa “...market softness in the automotive, packaging and European end markets will affect the third quarter results...†Chipmakers cut 3Q sales targets due to weak demand CBSM Mitsubishi to Cut 1,200 Jobs at Ill. Plant AP U.S. Treasuries Fall After Demand at Government Auction Drops BL Crude Oil Jumps as Report Shows Supplies Declined More Than Forecast BL Dollar Nurses Post-Greenspan Loss Reuters U.S. Economic Growth Estimates Lowered by Economists for the 2nd Half BL Between Greenspan Lines Is Concern TheStreet The Great Macro Profit Illusion Richebacher Of Course Investors Can Beat the Market Mises House OK's Disclosure of Pension Info Reuters Newmont Responds to New York Times PRNews US Airways Eyes Chapter 11 USAT Coca-Cola Enterprises Cuts 2004 Outlook AP Delta to cut up to 7,000 jobs, bankruptcy 'a real possibility' AP Franks Nursery & Crafts files for Chapter 11 Det FP FNCN 85-Year Old lassy Formal Wear declares bankruptcy Globe & Mail Chico's FAS, Inc. Updates September Sales Trend Reuters Haverty Furniture Reports Sales for August PRN Bear Stearns Bulls Shrug Off SEC Probe TheStreet Change of guard in BMC finance HC Typical of Enron Houston Chronicle Request for a $25 million bonus is another unseemly attempt by executives to transfer company assets to their own pockets. U.S. group to petition Bush on China yuan - report CBSM China warns U.S. over textile limits NYT Brazil wins trade battle - report CBSM Nikkei Ends Down 1 Percent After Surprisingly Weak Data Reuters China's Economic Data May Send Mixed Signals to Policy Makers Bloomberg Too much red tape leaves Brazil's economy lagging Miami Herald Korea braces for short-term IT slowdown Korea Herald VW Says 30,000 Jobs at Risk if Talks Fail Reuters Deadly car bomb rocks Jakarta CNN
Wednesday September 8 Consumer Borrowing Jumps by Largest Amount Since January Reuters Texas Instruments Trims Revenue Estimates Reuters Dethroning the dollar CBSM The U.S. dollar is moving closer to surrendering its status as the world's benchmark currency. Quattrone Gets 18 Months for Obstruction of Justice Quattrone: “I humbly ask that you show mercy and compassion for me and my family†Judge: “There's $50 million of assets out there to take care of Mrs. Quattrone and $26 million to take care of Cristina in some trust fund†Fed’s Beige Book FED Economic activity continued to expand in late July and August, although several districts indicated that the pace had slowed since their last reports GM Hikes Incentives After Weak Sales Reuters “Some dealers said that they have too many of GM's 2004 models sitting unsold on their lots and are reluctant to take more deliveries.†Wal-Mart CEO: Consumers Affected by Gas AP Retail Conference Testimony - Chairman Alan Greenspan Fed Dollar Falls Vs Euro R “The most recent data suggest that, on the whole, the expansion has regained some traction.†Francis, Late Holiday Hit Chain Sales Reuters Mortgage Applications at 4-Month High MBA U.S. mortgage delinquencies up, foreclosures down Reuters MBA Stocks sweat it out CNN/Money Futures point to lower open as worry pervades tech sector; Fed chief's House testimony awaited. Greenspan Likely to Repeat Optimism on Economy Berry Dollar Halts Decline Versus Euro Ahead of Testimony BL Dangerous Trends: The Growth of Debt in the U.S. Economy Baker PDF Wall Street in Dreamland Forbes The financial world remains, alas, dangerously divorced from economic reality. The speculative fever of the 1990s persists to this day. Watch out. Ignore the Hype: Employment Still Weak Comstock Finding reasons to rally G&M (Ingram) UCLA report: U.S. economy to grow at moderate pace AP UCLA "We don't see any significant chance of the economy picking up the way Wall Street and Washington are calling for" IMF director: U.S. should cut deficit Reuters Everything (Un)Hinges On The US Consumer PBear (Auerback) Pension security growing concern AP Privatization will sabotage Wall Street CBSM Wall Street's blind, obsessive greed and stupidity constantly amaze me... The fundamentals tell a different story -- a scary one Fortune (Intro Only) “The market isn't acting rationally. It's now an emotion-driven market where people are buying on the expectation of future appreciation." Fleeting deduction could fuel fourth quarter TheStreet A potential surge in orders may hit late in the fourth quarter, as management rushes to take advantage of this rule before its expiration. Selling Reprieve for Tech Likely Temporary TheStreet Memory superhighway Economist Intel’s wobbles, frothy multiples and the (umpteenth) commoditisation of new technologies IT Job Market Grows But Outlook Shaky Reuters Inventory Glut May Hurt Big Three Earnings Forbes Ford's Hazelwood plant will end 2nd shift Jan. 3 Post-Dispatch Delta to Cut up to 7,000 Jobs to Reduce Costs, Grinstein Says Bloomberg US Airways' Numbers May Not Fly BW Quattrone fate hangs on perjury allegations NYT Invesco, AIM settle fraud charges CBSM AFC Sues Arthur Andersen CFO Newmont illegally disposed of mine waste, Indonesia says Denver P Crude Oil Falls as Purmono Says OPEC Can Boost Output Capacity Bloomberg Oils Rebound Shaeffers Before you put money into a 529 college savings plan, do your homework DetFP World Faces a New Domino Effect From China Bloomberg Chinese stocks risky until hot economy cools CBSM The China Factor Hook EU growth hit by slow spending IHT Pensions shambles that no one wants to grip Independent Bank of Canada raises overnight rate by 1/4 point BofC Central bank governor: interest change up to figures for August People’s Daily Terror Won’t Affect Russia’s Credit Rating -- S&P MosNews Fewer Asians live on less than $1 a day CS Monitor Scorching House Prices Spark Bubble Fears All Africa Setback for GM in Chinese piracy case FT Debt load may weigh on China Netcom IPO Bloomberg Investec's former tax chief is jailed for fraud Times Online The death of cash Mecury News
Tuesday September 7 Federal Deficit Reality -- Part II Gillespie Job reduction announcements increased 6.6% in Aug to a 6-month high CBS CBO Projects $442 Billion Federal Deficit Reuters CBO Helicopter Money Hussman Global: Rebalancing or Relapse? Morgan Stanley (Roach) United States: The Growth Conundrum MS (Berner) Bond slump shows fragility of US recovery Independent (King) Boasting About Job Growth A Dangerous Game For GOP NYP (Crudele) Tech: Back to Earth with a Thud Business Week Intel's warning of below-expectations earnings banished the last, fading hopes of an industrywide boom Deflation Delayed is not Deflation Denied! 321 Uncertainty rules as historically bad month begins AP Home-Price Rise May Slow, Hurting Confidence in Economy B Pricey areas may be first victims Sign On S Booming U.S. housing market cools Globe & Mail Speculators reselling condos raise fears of an unstable market S-California Region Sees More Homes on the Market LAT (R) The supply of homes for sale had more than doubled to 22 weeks at the end of August, compared with nine weeks in 2003 Land boom can go with wind Miami Herald Images of potential buyers camping out in front of the sales office in downtown Hollywood are a spooky reprise of the long lines of buyers photographed outside real estate offices in the early 1920s. Home-sale frenzy baffling Arizona Republic Tax Break May Be Hiding In Your Home WSJ Economists take bleak view on global growth The Standard Is outsourcing hollowing out the US economy? Brookesnews Despite a growing economy, real wages are dropping as are benefits Duluth Editorial: Pensions/Minneapolis faces a crisis Star Tribune Colorado: Economic recovery lagging Rocky MN Chipmakers Feel an Unseasonable Chill BW Intel, NSM, ASML cut CBSM Allstate, Ace Face Less-Than-Expected Storm Losses Bloomberg ALL Six Flags under pressure TheDeal Perle says now that he was misled by Black NYT U.S. Army to rebid giant Halliburton contract - WSJ Reuters Former Merrill Lynch banker seeks millions G&M Funds opt for the quick sale strategy FT ‘Buy and hold’ is being increasingly abandoned by the professionals, with US mutual funds holding stocks for an average of just 10 months, a record low. Big hedge fund inflows give cause for concern FT Time To Hedge On Hedge Funds? Business Week Hedge Fund fees under attack again as returns falter Hedgeco Hedge funds helped fuel oil price stampede, BIS says Bloomberg BIS Quarterly Review ~ International Banking and Market Developments BIS China to Let Individuals Trade in Gold AP China may triple gold demand Shanghai Daily Gold May Rise on Oil-Cost Risk to Growth, Survey Says BL The resignation of Bundesbank President Ernst Welteke in April may have made Germany's plans to sell 600 tons of gold less likely... Gold producers cut hedging, bullish on price Mining Weekly Barrick sees gold hitting 1998 highs MW Buffett revealed Business Standard Book: The Real Warren Buffett Excerpt: The State of Working America 2004-05 EPI ($) Europe is reaching crisis point Observer Japan's foreign reserves hit record high in August AFP China's advantage in low labor cost will remain in coming decade, report PDaily Shops blame rate rises for sales fall Guardian "These figures should sound warning bells even in the usually deaf ears of the MPC that the consumer economy is increasingly fragile in the crucial run-up to Christmas and cannot sustain another rise in interest rates." Paris warns retailers over discounts Bloomberg U.S. Real Estate Investors Eye Mexico Reuters Korean Economy, a Replay of Japanese Recession in the 1990s? Donga Weather can prove to be hot commodity Chicago Tribune "Interest rates have Alan Greenspan - We have Mother Nature.†$9 Trillion Didn't End Poverty -- What to Do? CATO Building a better toilet: inventors are still fixated NYT
Weekend Edition (Sept 4-6) America's next shock may be debt, not oil NYT Gross In 1929 speech, Babson College founder warns of stock market crash MetroN Saudi cut sees oil price ease Times Online Barreling toward disaster SF Gate Frances Seen Less Costly Than Feared Reuters Weakening Frances pushes inland CNN Frances Roars Into Fla., Cuts Power to 2M AP Storms Could Destroy Fla. Citrus Industry AP Is Business Spending Really Going Up? AP Slowing Housing Market May Stir Inflation Reuters As rising interest rates help cool the housing market and the rents start heating up, inflation, as measured by the CPI, will go from being understated to being overstated. Finally, a way to short the bubble Globe & Mail Playing the U.S. housing market may no longer require actually buying a home “Girlie-Man’ Market Spooks Investors NYP Blazing U.S. Profit Growth to Cool Reuters Single Derivative Investing Mauldin September Option Advisor Commentary: What Fear? Schaeffers Gold Bulls' Three Stages Zeal Silver Poised to Skyrocket 321 Central Banks May Sell Less Gold Than Planned UBS PDF Credit Bubble Bulletin PBear (Noland) Medicare premiums to jump 17% Reuters HHS Baby Boomers and Their Retirement Plans: 'Groupthink' and the Stocks-for-Retirement Cycle Parker Cantor Fitzgerald Sues Saudis for Losses Reuters Black: State of Denial NYP Costco's Move Into Coffins Wakes Up A Struggling Industry IBD Continental stops paying pensions Reuters Brewers Toast Price Hikes, But Not Demand Reuters China's Great Depression Financial Sense Housing boom over as Halifax reports first fall for 2 years Independent Experts warn of house price plunge Times Online Middle classes fall for the new “superloans†Times Online â€Armageddon August†spooks the high street Times Online Alitalia Reportedly to Cut 5,000 Jobs Reuters
US Payrolls: Still Not Good Enough CIBC PDF Payrolls up, but growth remains moderate EPI The share of the adult population in the labor force fell slightly last month from 66.2% to 66.0%, and remains 1.1 percentage points below its level at the end of the last expansion in March 2001 Labor Daze -- The August 2004 Employment Situation Northern Trust Service-Sector Growth Slows to a 2004 Low ISM
Friday September 3 Intel Does a Job on Tech Stocks TheStreet 3Com Lowers Revenue Forecast, Shares Drop Reuters U.S. Economy Adds 144K Jobs in August Bloomberg BLS Global: Confessions of an Economic Girlie-Man Morgan Stanley (Roach) US Earnings Deceleration: Home Grown or Global? MS (Berner) Watch for the US pre-election rally! Faber Economic Cycle Peaking? Comstock It could take 4 years to see cheap stocks again WSJ (Clements) The God Must Be Crazy Tech Central Somewhere along the story line, my lifeguard [Mr. Greenspan] seems to have turned into a kind of tired Arthur Miller Narcissus, increasingly entranced by his own reflection among the crests of speculative bubbles and the valleys of soft spots. The Herd Instinct The Inquirer Between 2001 and 2003 property taxes rose an av. of 10% nationwide WSJ Fund buying continues to slow CBSM TT: “Buying interest is slower than at any time in the last decade†What Keeps a Grand Pooh-Bah Up at Night? Elliott Wave Weak Wage Growth Signals Risk to Spending Reuters The Missing Shoppers NewsWeek Intel Forecast Raises Concern Chip Demand Faltering Bloomberg Intel proves tech bears right CBSM Kmart stock surge angers ex-investors DetNews Johnson Matthey plans to close UK gold refinery FT Continental lays off more workers HC New Canadian Hedge Fund offers 100% capital guarantee HedgeCo Chamber sues SEC over mutual funds rule FT USChamber The Chamber of Commerce has for the first time sued the Securities and Exchange Commission... US politicians are bankrupting America's future IIE PDF “We shall not pass our problems on to the next generation.â€Â Well who the hell do we think were passing them onto? Amazon:Running On Empty: How The Democratic and Republican Parties Are Bankrupting Our Future and What Americans Can Do About It The 25 percent scandal: Survey: Most shrug off investing revelations BHerald Survey: Financial Executives Support Stock Option Expensing Accountingweb Yukos warns of civil unrest after state freezes salary payments Tele Yukos Statement Yukos “...the uninterrupted supply of fuel and petroleum products to over 40 regions of the Russian Federation will be jeopardized.†Russia raises YUKOS's 2001 back-tax bill to $4 bln Reuters UK house prices go into reverse BBC Australia: Housing market bubble losing air PM Rates will rise, says former governor The Age New battle over Chinese textiles NYT $400,000-a-month flat rent heralds return of crazy days Standard Indian Prices Rose 8.17%, More Than Analysts Forecast Bloomberg Argentina Bonds Rise on Expectations of Higher Default Payment Bloomberg GM Daewoo, Ssangyong cutting rates Korea Herald Argentine Companies Step Up Borrowing Against Assets Bloomberg South Korean Banker Faces Regulator's Wrath Bloomberg Text of President Bush's speech at the Republican convention KCS In Defense of Empires AEI PDF
Frances cost could hit record $35B CNN Early estimate would make storm No. 1 U.S. catastrophe in history Will insurers suffer "The Big One"? IJ Insurers say they'll handle double hit AP
Thursday September 2 Intel Cuts Revenue Outlook, Shares Fall Reuters Intel Intel Corporation expects revenue for the third quarter to be between $8.3 billion and $8.6 billion, as compared to the previous range of $8.6 billion to $9.2 B... Norris: Uncle Sam is source of wage boost IHT US Companies Speed Up Buyback Pace AP “Maybe it's just something they do because there isn't anything else to be done with the cash.†U.S. July factory orders up 1.3% Census U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose 19,000 Last Week to 362,000 Bloomberg Productivity Grows 2.5 Percent in Spring Reuters BLS Crude oil futures keep big gains FT YUKOS Warns of Cut After Funds Seized Reuters Retailers Post Disappointing August Sales AP Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Limited Brands and Costco Wholesale Corp. were among the companies issuing reports of sluggish sales Thursday Wal-Mart cuts Q3 net, sales forecast CBSM Housing inflation remains in force Mecury News -- House Price Index Shows Largest 1-Year Increase Sine 1970s OFHEO PDF The devil's in the job report details CBSM George and the Jobs Report Business Week Bush Has a Lot Riding On Friday's Report NYP (Crudele) Wall Street is ex pecting the government tomorrow to report a big jump in employment in August. I think. The Twin Deficits: Myths and Truths Mises Bull awakens from longest funk since '48 USAT What Went Wrong? Claremont Institute A review of Rethinking the Great Depression, by Gene Smiley Girlie-men economics era dawns CBSM Cement prices rising as region facing a shortage Cincinnati Post Intel Skeptics Ponder Top-Line Confession TheStreet Nortel Results Delayed Until End October Reuters Halliburton Uncovers Bribe Plan Reuters Commerce Bank Probed by NASD Over Contributions for Bond Deals Bloomberg Ken Lay cries foul play CNN Is China's GDP Just ‘An Accounting Artifact'? Bloomberg China's central banker warns on capital flows Bloomberg Asia/Pacific: Declining Profits Ahead Morgan Stanley (Xie) German Unemployment Increases Most in Five Months Bloomberg Australian House Prices Drop, Building Approvals Fall Bloomberg British watchdog scrutinizes UFJ over earnings oddities Asahi Bank of Ireland Is Fined for Breach AP Bank of Ireland Fined Is for Breaching Money-Laundering Safeguards
General Motors and Ford Motor have announced that they plan to cut car and truck production in the fourth quarter by as much as 7 percent because vehicles are piling up unsold in inventory. NYT
Wendesday September 1 GM Sets Lower Production Target Reuters GM Ford Reports Sales Drop, Cuts Production AP Oil Surges After U.S. Reports Supplies Fell More Than Expected Bloomberg Mortgage Applications Down MBAA August ISM Manufacturing Index Falls to 59 From 62 BL ISM July Construction Spending Rose 0.4% to Record $997.2 Bln BL Census Philosopher’s Stone Pimco (Gross) Of Scalloped Potatoes and Coconut Cream Pie Pimco (McCulley) Over A Barrel Contrary Investor Economic Expansion Significantly Below Average Comstock Bonds Won't Get Off Stage TheStreet Surprising Strength USAT Gross told Bloomberg on Tuesday that the market now expects only one more quarter-point hike from the Fed for the considerable future. Are Fund Mangers in "Duck and Cover" from the Stock Market? Elliott Wave S&P 500 Real Earnings Yield (Chart) COD 'Ownership Society's' bogus balance sheet CBSM (Farrell) Axioms of the Global Economic Order Droke Daughty - Market Manipulated? Older homeowners turn to reverse mortgages for retirement funds SacBee The number of reverse mortgages has risen from fewer than 8,200 in 2001 to 21,600 last year. At the current pace, the number should almost double this year to nearly 40,000... Fall From Frugality Puts San Diego on Fiscal Brink LA Times Inquiry accuses Black of $400m 'theft' TOnline Painting it Black Ingram Spitzer warns “arrogant†GSK over trials FT Court to Freddie Mac: pay ex-CEO Reuters SEC fines 3 in Invesco market timing Denver Post United looks at cutting 6,000 more jobs FT Fiat announces temporary closure of two factories AP Bombardier likely headed to junk by Moody's Reuters Google may not be evil, but it's not investor friendly, either AP Schaeffer on Charts: A Euro Sandwich Schaeffers Joint BIS-IMF-OECD-World Bank statistics on external debt BIS Trade partners get OK to attack dumping law USAT European Economies: Manufacturing Slowed in August on Oil Gains Bloomberg Fear of house price fall as home loans plunge Times Online Are UK house prices closer to crashing? BBC Predicting the next housing market crash is in danger of toppling football as the UK's favourite pastime. Pensions' love affair with stocks in question Reuters CDA: Export Bonanza Keys Hearty GDP Gain CIBC PDF Toothless SESC rues failure to protect investors Japan Times Watchdog watches cheats go scot-free, little guys get hurt Exotic debt traders turn to Cuba FT Hooters sets its eyes on India MSNBC
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