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Thursday July 31 2Q03 GDP: +2.4% Bloomberg BEA Release U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell by 3,000 to 388,000 Last Week Bloomberg The Fed is in a dangerous game with China FT China is a silent but active partner in the Fed's pump-priming... China under more pressure to revalue the yuan Japan Times Asia Debt: Three Gorges Offers China's Longest Corp Bond DJ Cracks of light have appeared in 2003 for non-state companies eager to tap China's debt markets... Treasury Gives Specifics of Record Borrowing Plan WP (Berry) Feels like the summer of '87 CBSM Bond Massacre! SH This is no Drill 321 The sell-off in the bond market is reaching epic proportions...The last time we have seen a rise in yields this far, this fast, was in May 1987... Horse Shoes and Hand Grenades Safe Haven Commodity Costs Soar, but Factories Don't Bustle NY Times (R) Since the overall number of payroll jobs peaked in February 2001, 90 percent of the 2.6 million jobs lost have been in manufacturing. The Nature of Interest Rates & Why it’s Dangerous To Manipulate Them BN Intel CEO says computer spending will remain little changed this year Bloom Intel Celeron price cuts revealed Register AMD drops prices Cnet Powerchip Fannie Mae chief lambastes rival AP Bundesbank Has No Plans to Sell U.S. Agency Bonds Bloomberg The Mouse Roaring at Fannie and Freddie Business Week There's a new kid on the block, and the big boys don't like it one bit... Mortgage boom spurs complaints Contra (WSJ) The growing gap between rich and poor Socialist Worker Online Workers' comp costs could soar Contra Costa Analyst sees flaw in state budget California employers can expect to be jolted by yet another big jump in the cost of a workers' compensation system that is near collapse Pillowtex goes bust, cuts 5,500 N.C. jobs NewsObserver 5 plants closing in largest single job loss in state's history Thomson layoffs early for many Chronicle-Tribune The demand for 25- and 27-inch television picture tubes made at Thomson's Marion base plant is so low that workers would have nothing to do if they came into work Sunbeam to lay off 265, end production at plant Hattiesburg American Lord & Taylor To Fire 3,700 NYP May to close 34 stores to trim costs AP Vivendi misses Reuters Exxon beats - NEM 2Q03 Net Income $90.8 Million Newell Rubbermaid's Q3, 2003 earns to miss forecasts CBSM Accounting woes halt Impath stock trading USA Today Lancer Booked Loans That Hollywood Firms Never Got NY Post NYSE Fines Fleet Trader $175K Total NYP Monthly Disciplinary Report NYSE An Ode To Wall Street’s Odor and Those Making it Stink NYP June data show investors still adding to stock funds Reuters ICI Release US Fares Poorly at WTO Washington Times Futures-trading snafus raise issues about market efficiency MSNBC Trading glitches are a fact of life on Wall Street. Buffett wins battle for Clayton Homes FT IT Spending a Dud, Says Study CFO Major banks pin losses on stockholding declines Japan Times Japan Sells Record Amount of Yen to Protect Exporters Bloomberg Consumers 'complacent' over debt levels Independent Executive under fire as Scots growth shrinks Scotsman Russia Business Week Growing unease in Russia IHT (NYT) Five years after the great ruble crash, the economy is booming. But how much is Russia really changing? Challenges ahead for India's IT boom Asia Times Zimbabwe tackles cash crunch BBC ...long queues outside banks and the widespread hoarding of cash Argentina May Postpone Bondholder Offer on IMF Delay Bloomberg IMF plans hardball for Argentina. . . FT The bosses quit, the workers didn't Our pension mess could be worse Globe & Mail If Canadian companies are looking for a reason to feel superior these days, they can always comfort themselves with the knowledge that the Canadian pension plan mess could be worse. It could be the U.S. pension plan mess. Ex-Scotia broker banned, fined Globe & Mail Directors' gains stir revolt by investors Guardian ICI to cut 1,400 more jobs FT Siemens cuts 2,300 jobs BBC 2000 Big Three losing more money on each vehicle sold due to incentives: study CP World's trigger-happy population keeps growing Asia Times Forget Reissuing Dinars; Let Iraqis Use Dollars Bloomberg
Fed’s Beige Book FED Beige Book optimism unconvincing UPI
Wednesday July 30 Is the US economy being hollowed out? BrookesNews Bang! Refinance boom is dead InMan The Mortgage Bankers Association of America forecasts that mortgage production volume will reach a record $3.39 trillion this year, then plunge to $1.9 trillion next year. Higher Rates Erode Demand for Mortgages Reuters For GM, Mortgages Are the Motor Business Week BOSAP, PPS, and the Productivity Scam Morgan Stanley (Roach) Snow Says U.S. Will Encourage China to Widen Currency Range NYT (R) IMF report cites errors in handling of 3 crises IHT (Bloom) The International Monetary Fund failed to gauge the seriousness of three of the worst capital account crises to erupt in recent years, and made errors in handling the resulting economic spirals in Indonesia, South Korea and Brazil Impediments to Monetary & Fiscal Policy Comstock NASDAQ Rocket: 2003's Greatest Attraction 321Gold Bond yields hit one-year high Reuters Drop in Treasury prices could have wide repercussions for mortgage rates and the economy. Tech jobs moving offshore Reuters Gartner survey says 1 out of 10 tech jobs may be moved overseas as companies opt for cheaper labor. Pay Raises Getting Smaller AP Lodging industry hurting Boston Globe Merrill's No. 2 Executive Makes Abrupt Departure Reuters Escape and Fantasy Russell EWI's Market Watch: Whose Fear Are They Denying -- Yours or THEIRS? EWI Investors turn wary of new Freddie Mac chief Reuters Pier 1 Warns TheStreet Tyco - S&P cuts debt ratings of Schering, Bristol Goodyear Posts Loss - Reader's Digest: Loss, Cuts - Toshiba's shares plunge Is Black-Scholes the Right Option for Options? Bloomberg Soaring debt fuels fear of consumer crisis Times Online Britons rack up record debts BBC Japan's June Industrial Production Unexpectedly Falls 1.2 Percent Bloomberg Malaysia’s first Gold Dinar available to public next week TheStar More companies face dividend dilemma Times Online Trade deficit soars as exports fall The Age Foreign 'crises' show limits of US power CS Monitor
Tuesday July 29 Commentary: Can Cars & Homes Drive The Economic Recovery Alone? NBR Pentagon Terror Futures Market Scrapped Reuters Hijackings Feared U.S. July Consumer Confidence Index Falls to 76.6 From 83.5 Bloom C, JPM agree to pay $255 million over Enron loans CBSM SEC Banks 'were aware of Enron's sham deals' FT Latest Enron autopsy implicates Wall Street FT In monetary terms, the report suggests the banks could have to cough up more to fend off private lawsuits than the $300m that Citi and JP Morgan agreed to pay regulators. Six banks knew... Enron Used World Bank to Avoid Taxes, Get Guatemalan Contract Bloomberg Barclays Denies Cheating Enron Investors Reuters The Quality of Economic Recovery Morgan Stanley (Roach) The Terrible Cost of Government Ron Paul Are Americans too far underwater? CNN/Money Many economists worry Greenspan is painting too rosy a picture of consumer balance sheets -- and, by several measures, they seem to have a point. The Bear's Lair: Second quarter blues UPI Why You Shouldn’t Beleive The New Jobless Stats NYP (Crudele) U.S. Forecasts Net Borrowing of $104 Billion for 3rd Quarter Bloomberg Chain Store Sales Dip, Break 3-Week Run Reuters Banks get housed CNN/Money The big buys banks made in mortgages are coming back to haunt them. Day traders make a comeback USA Today Mutual funds must cease abusive practices, reformers say CBSM To Vanguard founder John Bogle, the mutual-fund industry faces a period of reckoning that goes beyond the reform efforts under way in Congress Californian dreaming brings bankruptcy BBC California Bond Prices Reflect State's Turmoil NYT (R) BMC to cut jobs on back of loss FT Barrick Gold Corp. reports flat second-quarter profits CP White-collar jobs moving abroad CS Monitor Cerberus Capital Decides Against Competing With Buffett Bloomberg Lehman Brothers' top executives have been dumping stock NYP The Earnings Game and Other Bull Markets (The Silver Streak) Financial Sense Silver finally in the bullion rally CBS MarketWatch (Calandra) India’s Consuming Interest in Silver Scotia Mocatta PDF Is Gold Staging Comeback as a ‘Save Haven’ Investment? Arab News Retirement blues Economist CBI As fears grow that America’s pensions rescue fund may itself need rescuing, Britain’s main business organisation predicts that pension-fund deficits will damage economic growth for several years Pension costs rock firms BBC Money-supply growth slows in euro zone IHT (Bloom, AP) Outsourcing: Make Way for China Business Week Moody's Mulls Rating Upgrade on Russia Reuters Ruble Gains on Dollar Dr Doom says it's boomtime here IndiaTimes Japan to raise tariffs on beef and pork imports FT Earnings behind inflation, StatsCan says CP
Monday July 28 Don't Take Our Word For It Cross Currents The Street still plays games with investors MSN (Fleck) Investors still want desperately to believe The Fed chairman made a mess IHT (NYT) (Krugman) Let’s not forget that back in 2001, Greenspan lent crucial political aid to the first Bush tax cut, arguing that such a cut was necessary to prevent, yes, excessive budget surpluses and too rapid a payoff of the federal government’s debt. He should have known better... US buying bubble could burst the world economy Mail & Guardian Keynesian Journalist Gets it Wrong BrookesNews Perspectives on Long-Term Budget Deficits The Brookings Institute GPI offers useful counterpoint to GDP SF Chronicle 'Rebalancing' of the US economy still has a long way to go Independent Cuts in interest rates and taxes have kept the show on the road, but can only defer the inevitable correction Turned on and on by stocks FT During the six weeks following the October 1987 crash 44 per cent of the calls to US-based "1-800 GAMBLER" helpline were from traders. Fear gauge falls USA Today Investors are getting downright cocky about the ongoing rally on Wall Street. Budget Deficits Force Record Government Borrowing Bloomberg “Long-term deficits do affect long-term interest rates” Sir Alan Budget Crises in States Slow an Economic Recovery NYT (R) Over the past two years, the states have gradually cut between $20 billion and $40 billion -- no one knows exactly how much -- from their spending. Billions more in cutbacks are coming in the fiscal year that started July 1. Growing danger to pension plans has government officials worried AZC (NYT) California Senate Passes $70.8 Billion Budget Plan Bloomberg States Face Growing Prison Population AP Homeowners struggle with oversized loans Dallas Morning News For many, the dream of homeownership is turning into a nightmare Real Estate Bubble Theory Shows More Evidence Bloomberg How high is too high? T-Star Amazon: The Coming Crash in the Housing Market ECB Recommends Central Banks Sell U.S. Agency Debt, Person Says B The ECB is eliminating its holdings of debt issued by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, and recommended that its national central banks do the same... At Freddie Mac, It's Hard To Lay Claim to Innocence WP FTI Digs Out The Numbers That Tell the Troubled Tale (Freddie) WP 11,000 Volatile real estate funds no safe haven AP Study: Consumers waste money WSJ Xerox Quarterly Net Profit Slips Reuters CNBC Disclosure Stirs Ethics Debate in Business Media NYT (R) Did Maria Bartiromo operate within the bounds of business journalism ethics when she disclosed in an interview with Citigroup's CEO that she owned 1,000 shares in the company? Grasso Grumble NYP NYSE Threatens Sanctions Against LaBranche Street A floor director who attended the meeting with Grasso said the NYSE was lucky Grasso hadn't left to become Treasury Secretary... "The arrogance was unbelievable," said one person present. There's No Way to Justify These Fees NY Times (R) (Morgenson) An Xtra Connection NYP An Insider’s Guide To Living in Prison NYP WorldCom Confirms Subpoena on MCI Fees Reuters OPEC sees little risk from Iraq as sabotage saps oil production AP Why oil prices will stay high for five years AME Info We are now told that a return to full pre-war production levels is likely by the end of the year, presumably by the same people who thought we would be back to full production by now just a few months ago. Prechter: Is he visionary, or is he a lunatic? WorldNetDaily UK firms 'must add £36bn to pension costs' Times Online Pension system in crisis, 2000, 2001 data show Japan Times A new Red Menace imperils trade, jobs Boston Globe Chinese currency system must face step-by-step liberalization Japan Times Beware: economic spin doctors at work Sydney Morning Herald Investors dump R.P. holdings after mutiny Reuters/ABN-CBN
Weekend Edition (July 26-27) Asset and Debt Deflation in the United States Levy PDF How Far Can Equity Prices Fall? The Fed Abandons Bold Reflationary Measures AEI (Makin) Struggling Team Greenspan/Bernanke Prudent Bear (Noland) Greenscam: The View From Europe Frontline The Amazing Disappearing Tax Revenue WP Bond market cooling optimism in U.S. Montreal Gazette S&P 500 Futures CoT Safe Haven Green shoots FT The bulls tend to value the market on the basis of the "operating" earnings for the S&P 500... Analysts wary as US figures hint at upturn FT Will the US economy soar or belly-flop? FT Broaddus: No 'hard evidence' of U.S. recovery CBS MarketWatch BIS consolidated banking statistics for the first quarter of 2003 BIS Deep in Debt, N.J. Family Robs Bank WP Japan still trapped in deflation Bangkok Post Hostage to an economy teetering on a knife edge Observer
Friday July 25 U.S. June Durable Goods Orders Rise 2.1% Bloomberg Long Live the Output Gap Morgan Stanley (Roach) How much longer can the USA propel the global economy? USA Today Irrational exuberance revisited Economist Recent rises in stockmarkets are not justified by the economic evidence Yes, You Can Time The Market Forbes Bye-Bye, Bargain Refi USA Today Mortgages up for 5th straight week Reuters Price paradox Pioneer Press The battered Japanese economy has been dragged further downward by deflation -- and the same thing could happen in the United States. Japan's bout of deflation moved into its 45th month in June Reuters Dropping the Bonds NY Times (R) (Krugman) I used to be a great admirer of Mr. Greenspan. But something has gone very wrong with the maestro. What Bonds Are Saying Business Week End of the low-rate era? Jubak The spike in rates could be just the beginning of trouble for the bond market if inflation fears erupt Interest rates are as low as can be. So why isn't it working? Independent California's debt 'nearly junk' BBC “This is a very sad day for the state of California” The Scary World Of Commercial Real Estate WP More than 955,000 have lost jobs in mass layoffs this year KC Star BLS Undermining American workers LA Times Record numbers of illegal immigrants are pulling wages down for the poor and pushing taxes higher. U.S. stock funds attracted estimated $20.5 billion in June CBSM PDF Janus investors pull out despite rally RockyMN Outflows at Putnam Worries Arise About Freddie's New CEO WP AT&T Corp. posts profit, cuts 2,900 more jobs Reuters The tragic kingdom (Disney) Economist Hungrgy IBM Trying To Land Customers NY Post Making it easier for its corporate customers to defer payments on big purchases. Gateway posts wider second-quarter loss FT Microsoft ups the R&D ante Goldman Sachs to cut costs by moving abroad Independent Bill to Limit State Probes Of Wall St. Delayed WP Regulators turn their attention to the selling of mutual funds Economist Lawyers scream about ice cream Washington Times Feds: Former 3M Manager Embezzled $1.6M Channel 4000 SEC accuses two of Ponzi scheme RMN SEC raised flags over First Data How Deep Is The Ethics Crisis? Forbes Hoover and the Stability Pact Taipei Times (DeLong) Europe's aversion to deficit spending in a recession is reminiscent of Herbert Hoover's -- and that brought on the Great Depression Soaring sales fan fears over household debt Times Online Unraveling of Germany Inc. gains speed F.A.Z. Pension Problems China won't change currency policy Financial Post Chinese officials hedging their bets over adjusting yuan AFP China's Yuan Fixed-Rate Policy Stirs More Outrage Bloomberg Cash dries up amid pension plan fears Japan Times Defiant Japan to raise beef tariff to 50% Japan Times Suicides over tough economic times hit all-time high in Japan Globe & Mail Suicides caused by distress over economic difficulties rose 16 per cent to 7,940 BOJ's Muto cites side effects of JGB buying Reuters The BOJ currently buys 1.2 trillion yen ($10 billion) of long-term Japanese government bonds every month as part of its "quantitative easing" policy Russian roulette Economist A turning point for emerging-market bonds Volkswagen Profit Falls; ‘Significant' 2003 Drop Seen Bloomberg What's in a name? $1.3bn at Reuters Times Online Travel plunge the worst ever, Fairmont says Toronto Star Great Depression protesters wanted work Vancouver Sun N. Korea Reportedly Preparing to Declare Itself a Nuclear Power CNS Original
Thursday July 24 At the Top of the Heap, eBay Still Must Look Down TheStreet DaimlerChrysler Q2 Profit Tumbles - Energy Costs Hurt International Paper R U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell by 29,000 to 386,000 Last Week Bloom The Dean of Deflation's Damage Control Business Week The Fed governor was obviously sensitive to the sizable spike in Treasury yields in the last week, which appears counter to the Fed's interests of keeping long-term rates down at the moment. Speech: An Unwelcome Fall in Inflation? Bernanke Gold tops $360 after Fed 'zero rates' talk R The Doubting Generation Russell Refinance and die UPI Are economists dull? No, just listen to this. Beware another stock market bubble AJC Is it conceivable that investors are headed for another bubble bath so soon after the stock market collapsed? This stock rally just doesn't seem right Business Times The bull market in bonds is dead and the cult of the equity is back... U.S. pension agency put on risk list Reuters Plans that promise a specific payout at retirement are already $300 billion underfunded and the PBGC is running a $5.4 billion deficit Bond blowup puts U.S. stock investors on guard Reuters Deflating the pundits CBS MarketWatch States deem some tax hikes 'necessary and important' S States Cut Spending Lessons learned about investing Business Journal Lancer’s Casualties NY Post AOL Subscribers Down by 846,000 Washington Post China: The world's next superpower Taipei Times
Wednesday July 23 Bernanke Says Fed Could Cut Rates Further Reuters U.S. dollar falls 1 pct vs Canadian dollar Reuters Dollar Drops INO Gold & Silver Break Higher Kitco Cuban Central Bank Rules Against US Dollar Transactions VOA Freddie Mac Deliberately Fudged Numbers Reuters Boeing Posts a Loss, Cuts 2004 Forecasts Reuters Losing Control Morgan Stanley (Roach) The current rout in the US bond market is starting to reach epic proportions. Federal Reserve Inflation Punishes Saving Ron Paul The Fed takes a dangerous stance FT Greenspan Criticised 'Deficit Spending' and the $ Policy Safe Haven Earnings Management Game Continues On Wall Street CTNow (WSJ) Some Rust Under the Hood of Industrials' Recovery TheStreet Among S&P 500 companies, currency gains accounted for an estimated 2% to 4% of first-quarter earnings and revenue growth and are expected to account for about 2% of second-quarter earnings and revenue growth You are all too optimistic Gold-Eagle (Harris) I've been reading the hundreds of articles spewed forth from Bill Bonner, Dr Kurt Richebacher, David Tice, Mogambo and all the folks at gold-eagle to the Austrian economist down in Alabama at the Ludwig von Mises Institute. I'm becoming convinced that all these folks are hopeless optimists. The Bear's Lair: Lyndon Baines Bush UPI History will judge... Chaos-onomics US corporate majors plan to move 30 lakh jobs overseas B-Line Forrester R Under increasing pressure to cut costs and build global networks, US corporate giants are planning to move about 3.3 million jobs, including highly-paid white-collar ones, to countries including India by 2015. IBM planning overseas job move? Chicago Sun Times Mortgage Applications Fall Reuters MBAA ABC/Money weekly consumer confidence flat Reuters Freddie Mac: 'This is a painful day' Reuters Internal report shows problems with accounting, controls, disclosure and former management. Companies' HMO premiums jump 16% in '02 Detroit News What message is California sending to companies? Get lost! Fortune Kodak's 2nd-Qtr Net Income Falls; Jobs Cuts Planned Bloomberg Kodak cut its profit forecast for the rest of the year and said it will eliminate as many as 6,000 jobs as its consumer-film business shrinks. Siebel Systems to cut work force 9% AP PeopleSoft denies layoff rumors - 180 Snap-on to eliminate 290 jobs in Kenosha JS Online Lucent workers feel future teetering Daily Herald Lucent Posts 13th Straight Quarterly Loss Reuters AMZN - GSK - SGP - LLL AOL Profit Up; SEC Disputes Accounting Reuters UPS/Colgate/Radio Shack Amgen Jacks Up Outlook Dow Jones Ameritrade Raises Guidance - BSX Sun Micro Can't Get Its Two Cents In TheStreet Broadcom Can't Satisfy Bulls Host Marriott reports quarterly loss Reuters Millennium lowers its '03 forecast The downturn in travel failed to show any sign of ending. Kelly Services sees earnings decline 62% Bloomberg Public is Losing Its Taste For Martha Stewart, New Poll Says NYP Time for Apple to Rethink Its Options Business Week Long-Term Capital Case Puts Tax Shelters on Trial WP States' Role In Doubt on Wall Street WP House to Vote Soon on Bill to Affirm Ultimate Power of SEC Senators take issue with WorldCom contract WT Prison term begins today for Waksal AP Abbott to plead guilty, pay more than $600 million in fines AP TC PipeLines, LP Raises Quarterly Distribution to $0.55 per unit Wish List Warren Buffett buys EWM Realtors Miami Herald Dissing dividends CNN/Money Investors say they like dividends, but they don't act like it Depression Lowers Productivity Psychology Today Economists See Euro At $1.50 As US Trade Deficit Adjusts DJ Company profits 'flattered by assumptions on returns' Times Online Argentina's Kirchner Seeks Bush's Help on IMF Loan in U.S. Trip Bloomberg Public debt arbitrage opportunities cause parallel US$ exchange rate recession French Government's Asset Sales May Be Difficult Bloomberg Pension fund laws: onerous, costly, unnecessary Financial Post Canada's Dodge Says Slow Growth May Prompt Rate Cut Bloom Chaos spurs Iraq small business CSM U.S. to Set Up Iraq Bank Saddam's Sons Confirmed Dead, Stocks Rise Fortune The market apparently went up today because Hussein's two sons Uday and Qusay were killed in a firefight in Iraq. That is the world in which we live, folks. Saddam's Sons Report Spurs Dollar's Rally Reuters (WP) U.S. approves $1.6 bln Iraq oil recovery plan Reuters
Tuesday July 22 Too Much Bull For Comfort... Gold-Eagle Rebalancing Delayed Morgan Stanley (Roach) In the end, I worry that a dysfunctional world has opted for a strategy aimed mainly at buying time... US home loan debt issue falls FT Cheap money takes its toll on business FT It's Bond; Falling Bond Daily Standard It's summer, the economy is rejuvenating, and bond traders are learning to hate Alan Greenspan Soaring bond rates harm stocks, some fear USAT Old Dogs, Old Tricks Rockwell (North) Investors are their own worst enemy CBSM Nobel laureate says optimism sabotages performance Deja Vu: Tech Titans Take Money and Run (Again) NY Post Profit-hungry refugees of the old tech bubble are cashing out in droves from the current Nasdaq rally. What's the Story Between the Lines at Fannie Mae? NY Times (R) Some institutional investors and analysts say that Fannie Mae has had billions of dollars of losses the last two years that have been obscured by the complexity of its accounting. Goodwill to All Pieces CFO Are companies properly valuing and assigning acquired intangibles to business units? Back-to-School Sales Are Thin NY Times (R) Survey: Rich not getting richer CNN Report: California housing markets cooling Sacramento Business Journal Ethical' funds: Payoff in doubt IHT Lehman Cash Woes NY Post Lehman Brothers' carefree use of restricted stock has come back to haunt the Wall Street giant, costing the company virtually all of its 2002 cash flow Martha Stewart's lawyers upset about leaks AP Harlan Waksal resigns Simon & Schuster to cut titles, ax 5% of staff NYP Harrah's Profit Slides Amid Travel Slump Reuters IBM execs look to move jobs overseas CNN NYSE Short Interest Declines NYSE How Long Can the Consumer Carry the Economy? Levy (PDF) Sustainable? World bonds down sharply after U.S sell off Reuters Internet investors go all the way to China for latest boom USAT Just this year, Chinese portals Sohu.com, Chinadotcom, Sina and NetEase.com are up 539%, 374%, 346% and 239%, respectively -- making Yahoo's 83% rise and eBay's 62% gain look puny in comparison Yen Weakens Against Dollar on Traders' Concern BOJ May Sell Bloomberg Japan brokerages to show Q1 profit after 02/03 hell Reuters Japan will issue more super-long bonds CBSM Number of unsold homes at 34-month high Guardian Wealthy Canadians' assets decline 11.7% CP
Monday July 21 Lexmark Warns on Profit, Shares Tumble Reuters They're trying to talk us into recovery Telegraph American deficit dependency: kill or cure, the fallout's global Guardian How big is record deficit, and does it really matter? NYT & KR Greenspan's Bond Bubble Has Popped; Time to Move On Bloom America’s Bond bubble: slow leak or big bang? Times Online Bondage OP What the Fed really wants: more inflation MSN (Fleck) Suddenly, Greenspan Is, Well, Mortal NY Times (R) (Morgenson) Sanitizing The Grim News CBPP The Administration's Efforts to Make Harmful Deficits Appear Benign The 1968 and the ‘90s Boom BrookesNews The extent to which media commentators are ignorant of economic history, let alone basic economics, is genuinely staggering. Kindleberger: He wrote the book on financial ups, downs SunSpot At 90, investment titan Templeton still going strong Toronto Star While recent market rises have offered some hope for bear-bashed investors, Templeton isn't buying into it. New Reality Is Leaving Growth in the Mire NY Times (R) Export of tech jobs could imperil U.S. programmers AP More workers struggle to save for retirement AP Despite cuts, 401(k)s are still matchless Baltimore Sun US yet to reap benefits of Bush tax cuts Times Online Figures Don't Lie MotherJones By the numbers alone, the Bush administration's economic policy has been a disaster. And the middle class and poor are paying for the failure. This is the house... Boston Globe . . . that grew from the work, that was driven by rate cuts, that led to more jobs, that kept the economy upright Investors Less Prone to Buy U.S. Debt for 5th Week, Survey Says Bloomberg Balance Sheet Shuffle Proves Costly TheStreet Fin 46 will force U.S. businesses to take millions of dollars in charges in the third quarter... Lancer’s Magic Movie NYP Brokerage firm goes door-to-door Knight Ridder Durban Roodepoort Deep Mulls Massive Closure Mineweb 3M Earnings Up - WMT Sales at High End - Kodak To buy PRWK - HAS - MRK ArvinMeritor Sees Additional Job Cuts Reuters Rivals are ready to take bite out of Apple in online music business this fall R RIAA nails 1,000 music-lovers in 'new Prohibition' jihad Register Hulk Not A Hit NY Daily News Greenspan, Dodge: maestros? Financial Post Recovery in jeopardy, warns BCC Guardian Brown: 'We are close to the waterfall' Times Online ECB's Welteke Sees No Reason to Cut Rates at Moment Bloomberg House price rises 'still slowing' BBC Rates seen at low unless house market crashes Reuters Pound Knocked by Political Woes Reuters Commentary: How China Turns Entrepreneurs into Outlaws BW U.S. still leads in technology, but China picking up speed Seattle Times World Bank: India May Face Medium-Term Fiscal Crisis Dow Jones Long-term chant goes up West Australian Discontent hits Russia and Nigeria FT Prudential poised to cut dividend for first time since 1914 Scotsman UK's Logica to outsource 1,500 jobs to India the inquirer Unions panic as UK call-centre jobs go to Indians Gulf Daily VW Revamps Brazil Ops, 4,000 Jobs to Go Reuters
Greenspan falls victim to his own rate cuts AP
Weekend Edition (July 19-20) Long Way to Go Before Capacity Constraints Cause Bottlenecks Northern Trust Which bubble is likely to burst next? Guardian In effect, investors have mispriced equity risk - only this time it is reflected in company debt, rather than in share prices. Fast cash blows bubbles in the financial air Reuters High rollers gamble on risky areas Globe & Mail House Panel Acts on Pension Calculations NYT (R) If enacted, the bill would allow companies to use a more favorable pension calculation that would save them from having to make tens of billions of dollars in pension contributions over the next three years Pension rules should be overhauled Charlotte Observer Inadequate funding could lead to costly government bailouts Amazing Times Prudent Bear The NASDAQ Echo Bubble Zeal The Most Unlikely Action Frontline All About Greenspan Gold-Eagle (Harris) Popular delusions of the monetary kind Speculative Investor Making the busted bond game work CBSM (Calandra) SEC probes Activision, Acclaim, THQ CBS MarketWatch Wallop in NY Investor Cases Echoes for 1,000 Miles Bloomberg States Back Spitzer NYP Calpers, Calstrs Sue AOL TW for Fraud Reuters Ford May Cut Up to 2,000 Salaried Jobs Reuters GM mortgages more profitable than car sales FT General Motors earned three times as much from selling mortgages as from cars in the second quarter... Chicago Stock Exchange president. COO downsized Reuters List of Freddie Mac Lobbyist Fund-Raisers WP U.S. official backs Japan on the yen IHT Numbers move against Chancellor's public spending gamble Independent Canada's hidden debt Financial Post Dodge cuts economic forecasts Funds miss their target again The Age Triple Suicide Forces Japanese To Face Menace Of Loan Sharks WP Zimbabwe grapples with record inflation AFP Pentagon retaliates against GIs who spoke out on TV U.S. struggling to find replacement troops $387 billion for defense excludes the cost of war Just How Big Is $455 Billion? Newshouse
Weekend Edition (July 19-20) Long Way to Go Before Capacity Constraints Cause Bottlenecks Northern Trust Which bubble is likely to burst next? Guardian In effect, investors have mispriced equity risk - only this time it is reflected in company debt, rather than in share prices. Fast cash blows bubbles in the financial air Reuters High rollers gamble on risky areas Globe & Mail House Panel Acts on Pension Calculations NYT (R) If enacted, the bill would allow companies to use a more favorable pension calculation that would save them from having to make tens of billions of dollars in pension contributions over the next three years Pension rules should be overhauled Charlotte Observer Inadequate funding could lead to costly government bailouts Amazing Times Prudent Bear The NASDAQ Echo Bubble Zeal The Most Unlikely Action Frontline All About Greenspan Gold-Eagle (Harris) Popular delusions of the monetary kind Speculative Investor Making the busted bond game work CBSM (Calandra) SEC probes Activision, Acclaim, THQ CBS MarketWatch Wallop in NY Investor Cases Echoes for 1,000 Miles Bloomberg States Back Spitzer NYP Calpers, Calstrs Sue AOL TW for Fraud Reuters Ford May Cut Up to 2,000 Salaried Jobs Reuters GM mortgages more profitable than car sales FT General Motors earned three times as much from selling mortgages as from cars in the second quarter... Chicago Stock Exchange president. COO downsized Reuters List of Freddie Mac Lobbyist Fund-Raisers WP U.S. official backs Japan on the yen IHT Numbers move against Chancellor's public spending gamble Independent Canada's hidden debt Financial Post Dodge cuts economic forecasts Funds miss their target again The Age Triple Suicide Forces Japanese To Face Menace Of Loan Sharks WP Zimbabwe grapples with record inflation AFP Pentagon retaliates against GIs who spoke out on TV U.S. struggling to find replacement troops $387 billion for defense excludes the cost of war Just How Big Is $455 Billion? Newshouse
Friday July 18 U.S. July UMich sentiment up to 90.3, below consensus CBS U.S. Treasuries Head for Worst Week in 4 Months on Greenspan Bloomberg The Fed Needs the Bond Market's Faith Business Week A communication breakdown between Greenspan & Co. and investors has turned the staid bond market into a maddening mess He's Forever Blowing Bubbles Rockwell (North) How's Business? Morgan Stanley (Roach) The Economy: Place Your Bets Daily Reckoning Wondering where all the Fed's newly created money has gone? Can non-banks create money? BrookesNews Greenspan's words won't solve twin deficits CBS MarketWatch Russell celebrates by selling bonds CBS MarketWatch “The U.S. is heading for maybe the greatest financial mess in world history” Of manias, panics and crashes Economist The work of Charles Kindleberger, who died on July 7th, has never been more pertinent Idea of again issuing 30-year T-bonds gains favor USA Today Interest-rate surge means trouble for mortgages, bond funds Star Tribune The deflation theory has been deflated Recession declared over but tell that to the unemployed KC Star Tech's Floor Increasingly Shaky TheStreet Freddie Regulator Faults Managers, Counsel Reuters Hearing on Monday Execs oppose more pension rules CNN/Money A group representing senior execs is lobbying against FASB's new pension disclosure plan. Next Big U.S. Accounting Scandals Have Started Bloomberg Watch out for the next big U.S. accounting scandals in non-profit, government and quasi-government businesses and organizations Will Congress Let Accounting Fiction Obscure Pension Reality? NYT (R) SEC Has Opened Probe of AMEX NY Post Tenet Hospital in San Diego Indicted Over Kickbacks Bloom Ghosting IndyStar An illegal manipulation of the stock market that is hard to prove... Cisco announces serious flaw in its networking software AP Three big airlines struggle to a profit Toronto Star Banks feel margin squeeze Seattle Times After booming during the economic bust, banks finally appear to be heading for their share of hard times. Enron hit with 'bill' for Jersey donations Star-Ledger Soros Drop$ More into E-tailer Blue-Fly NYP Foreign banks face Japanese tax probe FT Living in exciting times as China mulls currency realignment Independent Darkness falls on Tokyo Economist Moscow tells rich Russians: Don't worry IHT (NYT) Politicians outraged by IMF criticism of state banks F.A.Z. The preliminary snapshot of an IMF report on the German banking system has met with political outrage this week. No market upturn for German giants F.A.Z. Mirant Hits German Banks Swiss Life shuts up shop in UK with loss of 200 jobs Independent Moody's rerating to hit C&W shares Times Online SECP unearths 39 phoney brokerage firms Jang
Thursday July 17 Microsoft misses earnings expectation CBS MarketWatch Initial Jobless Claims Drop, but still stuck above 400K Bloomberg Philadelphia Fed shows manufacturing activity improving FED Why You Should Care About The Bond Market Meltdown NYP (Crudele) Buying bonds suddenly looks like a bad bet if the United States is a driverless car headed down a steep incline. Government deficits must be paid for in the end - with higher interest rates Inde Washington's debt addicts CBS MarketWatch It's easy to see how Washington's free-spending habits are going to undermine the strategies of U.S. investors. Alarms from Uncle Sam's Auditer Business Week David Walker, head of the U.S. General Accounting Office, assails the White House and Congress for spending with no heed for the future The impact of a historic deficit CS Monitor Deficits will weigh heavy on future, economists warn Denver Post How to Balance a $43 Trillion Checkbook AEI Bring Back 30-Year Bond? No Guide From Greenspan NYT (R) Greenspan: Nothing “off the table” MSNBC After bond market rout, Fed chief underscores concern about deflation Alan warns of deficit spending AP Bond turmoil forces Greenspan retreat TO Double bubble to follow Greenspan's dot-com fiasco Taipei Times The Federal Reserve chairman should quit now before the bursting of another bubble does further damage to his reputation Dumping Bonds...or Dumping Gold? Gold-Eagle Where are the bond market vigilantes? Prudent Bear Oh, for those good old days Record Line ... when Republicans cared about reducing the federal budget deficit Strapped local governments put building projects on ice USA Today The Wrecking Crew Forward The World Bank doesn't tell Washington what to do. Just the reverse: Washington does what it wants, hands out goodies to those it favors and sticks others with the tab... California Insurance Guarantee Association headed towards bankruptcy Reuters Happiness Running Pimco (Gross) US consumers need a reality check Business Day We are now in payback time after an abnormal period of prosperity laced with golden promises. Consumers pessimistic on economy AP Recovery: Capital, Yes; Jobs, No CFO Globalization has created a world of problems AJC Adjust? The Great Depression was also an "adjustment." Update on the pensions crisis UPI Damn you, Alan Greenspan! Key US Senator mulls Fannie, Freddie capital Reuters Scandal-Scarred, Citi’s Weill Quits NY Post Banks better watch out CNN/Money Banks' results have been good, but with rates rising there could be trouble ahead. Are Microsoft Options Sellers Being Lowballed? Bloomberg Options Decision Could Muddle Microsoft's Report TheStreet Microsoft Warns of Flaw in Windows Reuters Boeing to cut up to 5,000 more jobs-sources Reuters American Airlines cutting 2,000 jobs Reuters Baxter Says SEC Probing Profit Warnings Reuters Price-sales ratio calculations may clarify earnings, stock's potential Det News Online Trading Returns as Bubble Blues Fade MSNBC Bill Would Put Internet Song Swappers in Jail Reuters Economic Doctrines of Islam Safe Haven Brazil reform doubts sap economic confidence Reuters Taiwan's bond bubble stretched thin FT Greenspan warns China on currency peg FT Property bubble will go the way of the IT bubble Business Report South Africa has well and truly caught the property bug that has been around in countries such as the UK, US and Australia for some time now. Inflation in Zimbabwe surges to 365% FT Growth gone with flying loonie Toronto Star Zarlink Semiconductor Inc. is cutting its workforce by 10% T-Star Iraq’s banks struggle under fire - Literally MSNBC Military admits Iraq becoming 'guerrilla war' Seattle Times Death Toll Surpasses Gulf War I CNN Report: U.S. May Call National Guard for Iraq Duty Reuters
The Alan Greenspan Project rocks on USAT Greenspan vs. Hendrix CNN
Don't be fooled by earnings headlines MSN (Jubak) Wall Street could still do a better job when other options-heavy technology companies report their earnings. But don’t hold your breath. Nokia Warns of Lower Profits, Shares Fall Reuters EMC Profit Rises, Outlook Disappoints Reuters AAPL IBM earnings don't confirm tech recovery USA Today PC sales surge in 2Q03 Investors Cool to EMC's Tepid Outlook TheStreet Ford's 2nd-Qtr Net Drops 27% Bloom GM drives past forecasts CNN/Money Marriott Profit Dips Reuters Kraft prepares for a challenging year FT MO - KO
Wednesday July 16 Greenspan's new new paradigm UPI Confusion reigns as the Fed's Greenspan turns positive Inde Even after the disaster of the unchecked bubble, it is not thought of as proper in respectable circles to criticise the great magician...but has Alan Greenspan utterly lost the plot? - Greenspan and the Virtue of Fantasy TheStreet Gold takes Greenspan-inspired hit CBS Greenspan to Face Senate Questions on Bond Selloff, Deficits Bloomberg Promiscuity In The Pursuit Of Virtue Pimco Pimco's Gross sees bear bond mkt setting in Reuters (CNBC) Five Financial-Market Fallacies NRO Mad dash to buy CNN/Money Low rates and the promise of a profit are feeding a housing frenzy Fitch warns on danger of cuts in investment FT Enron’s bank may apologise Times Online “It will be carefully phrased but it will express contrition along with some sort of culpability.” Finally Someone Says It: Investors Are Responsible for Losses Mises U.S. automakers grapple with health costs IHT (NYT) Mirant chief blames banks for going bust FT Mirant Rattles Energy Investors TS Prospect of break-even no closer for Lucent FT S&P May Cut Reuters Citi to pay $3bn for Sears credit card unit FT S&P Cuts Sears Rating Reuters Ellison Gets 900,000 Stock Options Business Week Layoffs soon to resume at Delta AJC Grandparents help pay for college CBS MarketWatch Nightmare on Wall Street Philly Inquirer Zombie stocks refuse to die, even long after their companies have been buried. Dollar Rises on Greenspan, Speculation BOJ Sells Yen Bloomberg Bid to relax deficit rule is rejected IHT China: The Dream Factory Morgan Stanley Samsung Electronics 2nd-Qtr Profit Falls 41 Percent Bloomberg Bears maul Karachi stock market Jang “Over-exposed punters resorted to hasty selling of leading and second tier stocks to save their skin... market witnessed a virtual rout when aggressive and ferocious bears started rampaging the market mercilessly.” Shares Fall Like 9 Pins S Korea votes for emergency cash BBC Dumping IMF Is a Risk for Asian Debt Markets Bloomberg
Intel earnings rise, beat estimates CBS Motorola posts profit, warns Deficits expected to reach $455B Reuters Democrats and some analysts say that when revenue from Social Security is set aside, the actual deficit could approach $600 billion, or 5.5 % of GDP
Tuesday July 15 Greenspan Testimony FED “The FOMC stands prepared to maintain a highly accommodative stance of policy for as long as needed to promote satisfactory economic performance.” T-Notes Fall Bank of Canada cuts interest rates by 1/4% point BofC Retail sales gain tops forecasts Reuters Merrill Profits Up - J&J Beats - Loral Files for Chapter 11 Merrill Analyst Is Bearish on Second Half TheStreet Global Economics: An Historic Moment? M.Stanley (Roach) Dividend yields at historic lows The Dow Jones Industrial Average must decline below 3,000 to get its dividend yield back to the levels of 1974 and 1982. A Complex System View of Why Stock Markets Crash UCLA (Sornette) U.S. Budget Deficit Is Expected to Exceed $450 Billion DJ (WSJ) Home-sales outlook dips in 2004, 2005 CBS MarketWatch Investors buying beach houses may be in for a burn USA Today Retire Early? Think Again NewsWeek Avoiding pension black holes FT Documents Disclose Wider Pension Deficit NYT (R) United Airlines' pension difficulties may be significantly greater than the airline has disclosed to its investors and employees More pension troubles seen (Canada) Globe & Mail Top firms' pensions 23 trillion in red (Japan) Asahi More in state going bankrupt JS Online The deflation threat to global economy Dawn - Mirant Can't Refinance Debt, Files for Bankruptcy - Bankruptcy Pits Bankers Against Bondholders Bloomberg - List of creditors holding the largest unsecured claims DJ - 10th-largest Chapter 11 bankruptcy Reuters - The Financial Restructuring Mirant - Putting Mirant's Chapter 11 in Context Mirant J.P. Morgan near 2 Enron settlements CBS MarketWatch Fannie Mae To Face Review WP Titanic Concerns Over Freddie Forbes Citigroup doing away with stock options Reuters Fannie Mae Q2 net falls on derivatives CBS MarketWatch Ernst & Young Could Face New Liability in HealthSouth Case Accounting Web Judge Can't Reduce Philip Morris Bond AP Keeping up with Google costs Yahoo $1.6 billion U.S. Toronto Star Wal-Mart chairman sells stock for $110M Bloomberg S. Robson Walton’s first stock sale in almost four years. SEC and Spitzer clash over funds probe FT Buffett rebuffs buffet of bids Bloomberg Northern Border Pipeline Capacity Nearly Sold Out Wish List (TCLP) Asia fills her boots: dollar reserves skyrocket Asia Times At a time when the United States remains tightly focused on its domestic economic problems and its international military adventures of the past two years, Asia has been quietly running up an absolutely staggering surplus of US dollars. Fear of Floating Economist By tying their currencies to the dollar, Asian governments are creating global economic strains The Scapegoating of China Morgan Stanley (Roach) China c. bank raises possibility of yuan reform Reuters More gloom as Scots firms enter recession Scotsman Poll Finds Most People Wary of Bank Accounts Moscow Times The average Russian consumer would much sooner tap the pockets of a family member or friend than use a bank Vietnam executes two over corporate fraud ABC Online Chinese Tycoon Gets 18 Years AP/NYT Air Canada cuts 300 white collar jobs Toronto Star Norwich Union To Cut 900 Jobs Dow Jones North Korea says it's ready to produce nuclear weapons Star T (NYT) Perry Says U.S., N. Korea Are Drifting Toward War Bloomberg (WP)
NYSE Seat Sold for $2 Million NYSE Program Trading Continues To Escalate NYSE
Monday July 14 Citigroup Profit Up - BofA Profit Rises - WMT: July Sales at High End Wall Street great says the market is broken MSN (Fleck) Investing pioneer John Templeton believes there is still huge downside risk to the stock market -- and he's almost as bearish on house prices. There You Go Again? Northern Trust (July 7) If the Fed is providing the financing of leveraged stock purchases of corporations and/or individuals, then stock prices are receiving a bit of an artificial extra boost. Expert: House prices a bubble Daily Record Mortgage rate increases hint of trouble SFC Investors bet on real estate AP 1929-style Stock Exchange crash likely this October 2003? VHeadline Earnings Are Worse Without the Icing NYT (R) (Morgenson) In 1991 the adjusted earnings were roughly 18 percent less than those the companies reported to shareholders...Shifting to 2002, the difference grows vast: earnings adjusted for the funny stuff were 41 percent less than the profits reported to investors. Insider Trades May Point to Rally's Peak Bloomberg Penny Stocks May Be Pound Foolish Hartford Courant It's individuals vs. hedge funds NY Daily News Decline of the Dollar American Conservative Globalization and over-consumption combine to topple America’s strong-dollar tradition The Cost of the U.S. Government is Rising BrookesNews ATR No-jobs scenario for a while: US economist Reuter The States' Dire Straits Business Week There's only so much the federal government and Alan Greenspan can do to help cash-strapped governors balance their budgets Private pension plans in Minnesota coming up short Minnesota Public Radio The Lancer Papers NY Post Lancer was the hedge fund industry's answer to Enron - an out-of-control swindle machine that struggled desperately, month after month and year after year, to hide its losses from investors. Last One Holding WorldCom Stock Is Out WP Many adults are playing a higher-stakes version of hot potato. Freddie Mac to publish its internal report FT Microsoft's Midlife Crisis Business Week Morgan Stanley may face IPO charges Reuters Continental Defers Boeing Deliveries Reuters Boise to buy OfficeMax CBS The White Metal Daily Reckoning Russell Comments Safe Haven I must be the only jerk who still follows the money supply figurers. Or are the figures just too "embarrassing" for others to mention? Revolting Obscene Prophets Thrift Capital Insight The Misleading Nature of Mainstream Economics BrookesNews EU Battles U.S. and Russia on Steel, Silicon Reuters, MT House prices only make us think we are richer Scotsman It is one of the fallacies of our time that property is a great long term investment. That is what the drug of inflation does to perceptions. It creates the phenomenon of "money illusion" - we think we are better off than we are. Euro's rise has run out of steam Times Online All the main economic blocs, America, Japan and the eurozone, are now seeking weaker currencies. They cannot all have their way. China's money supply soars 20.8% IHT China looks upmarket CS Monitor Japan bankruptcies ebbing but remain high amid slowdown AP Canada may still hold millions in secret Confederate gold Ottawa Citizen
Interview With Roach SBS This time it could be the bond bubble India Times Shiller Article IT Economist
Weekend Edition (July 12-13) Poker at the Federal Reserve FrontLine Roach: U.S. growth engine fading CNN North Atlantic Tides Prudent Bear (Noland) Trading the Pure QQQ PCR Zeal The Coming Financial Reality CounterPunch An Interview with Economist Michael Hudson Buy High & Sell Low, A Formula For Success? Cross Currents Are We Listening To The Message Of The Market? Comstock Faster is Not Always Better Mises State loses jobless aid extensions Boston Globe Shun shares for a decade, says market guru Observer Revealed: the great stock market swindle Observer Periodic catastrophic declines that destroy years of accumulated profits are the norm, not the exception U.S. looks overvalued from Europe CBS MarketWatch How hidden risks fostered a crash Financial Post Should pensions invest in equities? FP
Friday July 11, 2003 GE cuts earnings growth targets FT Cigna Cuts June producer price index up 0.5%, but core drifts 0.1% lower Reuters BLS General Electric 2nd-Qtr Profit Falls 14% on Economy Bloomberg Prophet of doom warns of blowout (Roach) Australian “Since the 1990s, the policy response to each asset bubble has guaranteed that it has spread to the next asset class.” Been There, Done That Morgan Stanley (Roach) One On One With William Gross NBR Number Crunchers vs. Recession WP (Berry) “Employment . . . has never been down so much this far into a post-recessionary phase... The current situation makes the early-1990s 'jobless recovery' look like a hiring spree" House Panel Votes to Limit States' Policing of Wall Street NYT (R) Spitzer: "an absolute, outright betrayal of the small investor." Mortgage rates jump in latest week Reuters Stock Options: The Fuzzy New Math Business Week MSFT GM raises $2bn through car loan sale FT Most Enron Creditors to Get 14.4 to 18.3 Cents on Dollar Dow Jones Juniper beats expectations, but warns on Q3 FT Mirant shares dive after report AJC Sprint to shed 100 employees in information technology KC Star Cerberus May Challenge Buffett Bloom $250,000 for a Buffett lunch Ebay Corporate Raider (Heyman) Tries a Moneyless Coup NYT (R) Long-Term Capital's Meriwether Takes on IRS With Long-Shot Bet Feds Charge Lancer With Fraud, Seize Assets NY Post HealthSouth probe reveals further damning email FT Prudential Securities implicated in SEC probe FT Color me (bullish on) Silver Russell Silver: An Undervalued Asset Looking For A Catalyst (July 2) Financial Sense Everybody Is Prodding China to Revalue the Yuan Bloomberg China's exports, production surge more than expected Bloomberg HK warns on property defaults Reuters Schroder urges ECB action over strong euro FT Europe braces for fight over accounting rules IHT (NYT) Confidence poll gives warning New Zealand Herald Canadians up to ears in debt, CIBC says Toronto Star Oracle to double its staff in India FT Federal authorities probe businesses on Iran AP Euro Scheme Makes Money Talk Wired Bush Knew Iraq Info Was False CBS “A Bear Stearns analyst just raised his price target for the 10 REITs despite a run-up in REIT share prices, despite weak property fundamentals, and despite no real evidence of an economic turnaround. None of that matters, the analyst wrote, because stock prices in the group will be supported by money flows into higher yielding instruments.” Can The Rally Survive Earnings Season?
Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan on Natural Gas FED EIA Weekly
Thursday July 10, 2003 Jobless claims rise to 439,000 CNN/Money Import (+0.5%) Export (-0.1%) Cen Wall Street is not Happy About Losing Fisher the Fixer NYP (Crudele) Tech stocks' run renews 'bubble' fears AJC Why the technology bubble burst in 2000 Toronto Star State Budget Gaps May Sink Some Stocks TheStreet Could California Default? Consider the Possibility Bloomberg Giant sucking sound is loss of high-tech jobs from U.S. Arizona Republic 472,000 information technology jobs will move to India alone by 2015. Americans work more than ever Business Week A Reluctant Coming to Grips at Freddie Mac WP Auditors and Financial Restatements Forced the Board to Reassess Its Longtime Executives Real estate recession worsens in Silicon Valley San Jose Business Journal Dot-com bust has freed up freeways Mecury News Real estate funds popular with investors, but risks are high Washington Times Retailers Muddle Through a Soggy June Reuters Auto firm may stop issuing options AP Tech companies snub Microsoft options move Reuters BellSouth to launch cut price DSL service FT SEC May Seek More Shareholder Power Reuters (WSJ) SEC steps up Tenet inquiry Reuters ‘IPO Laddering’ Case Begins With Battle Over Documents NYP UK interest rates cut to 3.5% BBC ECB Holds Steady S. Korea Cuts Interest Rates to Record Amid Recession Bloomberg Stock rebound doesn't mean Japan is out of the woods yet Japan Times (Kyodo) Iraq weapons 'unlikely to be found' BBC
More Optimistic About Economy (Blue Chip) Snow Sees 3% GDP in Second Half
Wednesday July 9, 2003 “For the first time since the 1990s, stocks are doing what Wall Street's top gurus predicted they would do at the start of the year: They're going up...” USAT "We are reflating the bubble." Richard Bernstein Man Who Phased Out 30-Year Bond Quitting Reuters Cisco Says Paper Misinterpreted CEO Reuters Chambers: IT Bounceback Aging Tech Dogs Seek New Tricks TheStreet Funds get caught in a bond bubble bind FT Employment--A Lagging Indicator? Comstock Unemployment at 10.6%? Exposing the Myth Why Isn't More Help Wanted? Business Week America shows the world how to be happy Times Online The public and Wall Street money managers have not learnt much Party Like It's 1999? CFO Bubble Notes from the Field BlackBox Demand for Home Loan Refinancings Drops Reuters Consumer credit rose $7.3 billion in May Reuters FED On Credit Watch NY Post Regulation of the nation's rating agencies may soon change dramatically Cable industry 'is gouging US consumer' FT Price Spike Sets Off Anger USAT Pension Proposal Questioned WP May Hurt Some "You change the assumption rates, you change the rules, then anything could happen" Logitech shares drop on surprise warning FT Board rules options can be easily valued Bloomberg Microsoft Employees To Get Stock, Not Options WP Intel: out of options? Microsoft Action Expected to Speed Change WP Alcoa Profit Slips on Higher Energy Costs Reuters Big Three extend car-buying incentives through July AP Ford May Cut European Production as Sales Decline Bloomberg The California energy crisis claimed another victim Tuesday SF Gate R.J. Reynolds, Brown & Williamson Mull Merger TheStreet McDonald's to Offer More Convenience with Wireless Reuters XO Communications issues 51 pink slips in Spokane Puget Sound How much for a seat at Buffett's buffet? Reuters Calls to state gambling helpline increase sharply Stevens Point Ex-Citigroup Head May Face Charges Reuters (WSJ) Hold the Bubbly, Wall Street TheStreet Some legal experts believe there's a better-than-average chance Merrill Lynch could lose on appeal A tale of Olympian riches and tragedy FT Delinquency in overtime payments at 30-year high Japan Times Japan Govt Opts for Linux for Payroll System Reuters The Russian oligarchs are coming ... but how did they make their money? Inde UK exports to EU slump Reuters Buba's Stark- can't use gold to pay for tax cuts Reuters Germany's Unemployment and Output Gaps Hardly Offer Reassurance on Risk of Deflation AEI Chinese internet groups capitalise on rally FT Chinese firms cash in on online boom BBC An unexpected and partly unexplained boom in share prices has left once-gloomy Chinese internet firms awash with cash. First Financial Fires Citigroup as Share Sale Manager Bloomberg 3i taps appetite for convertible bonds Times Online U.S. and UK take lion's share in Iraq oil tender Reuters White House 'warned over Iraq claim' BBC The CIA warned the US Government that claims about Iraq's nuclear ambitions were not true months before President Bush used them to make his case for war. -- US withheld uranium intelligence from UN FT U.S. Toll in Iraq Nears '91 War Deaths AP
Tuesday July 8, 2003 Double bubble of Fed's own making FT Greenspan should quit while he's ahead Japan Times
H-P and Dell Playing Lowball Poker With PC Prices TheStreet HP Fannie and Freddie: Now Too Big to Regulate TheStreet SEC Looking at Freddie Reserves - Report Reuters Recovery or Boomlet? Mises Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain... Nostalgia won't slay bear market Chicago Tribune Wall St.'s recent gains have provoked optimism about investing; But feeling warm and fuzzy about stocks is not enough. 10 red flags in this bull mania CBS MarketWatch Do we have to learn the same lesson twice? If This Is a Bull, Buyer Beware WP ’Bubble II' in Stocks Is Risk to Be Reckoned With Bloomberg A little-noticed guilty party in the stockmarket's boom and bust Economist The Bear's Lair: So where's the growth? UPI Margin debt shot up in May CBS MarketWatch Is it bullish or bearish that total margin debt in May had its biggest one-month increase since the top of the Internet bubble in early 2000? The Hidden Dangers of Debt Fortune Companies using today's low rates to juggle their loan payments may just be buying time. Wi-Fi hot spots building up steam, but critics see another telecom bubble SFG Stockholders Must OK Option Plans, SEC Orders Smart Pros (CST) Corporations await Bush pension plan NYT Deficit bonds gaining favor Sacramento Bee State's Manufacturers Call For Help Fighting Foreign Rivals Courant Chain Store Sales Rise as Summer Arrives Reuters MCI warns on targets until 2005 - Schering warns - G-P to trim '04 tech budge Bankrupt telecom firm says profits will fall short for 3 years EMC to buy Legato for $1.3B - Yellow Corp. acquiring Roadway for $966 million GM Extends Its Incentives Program Reuters HealthSouth: Bankruptcy not imminent AP Moody's considers lowering Liberty Media's rating to junk Bloomberg Rangers, Stars owner in technical default AP Happy Days Here Again? CFO Conference Board Gold mining companies may lose their shine FT Next, let's turn to the precious metals Russell Central Gold-Trust Closes IPO of NA’s First Gold Bullion Trust Units PR Wither Japan! Safe Haven Japan's money supply growth near record low in June as lending slumps AFP Mexican Bonds Post Biggest One-Day Loss in 4 Years Bloomberg Bonds ditched on road to recovery SMH Bond markets have taken a beating in the past three weeks... Manufacturing gloom adds to pressure for rate cut Guardian Lake Technology axes staff, looks to Asia SMH Saddam bank notes to be phased out by early 2004 AP Bread shoots to $1,000 a loaf ZWNews
Monday July 7, 2003 Deflation fears mean bond sell-off may be premature Independent The Fed may eventually have to put its money where its mouth is (or was). U.S. current account deficit last big bubble Financial Post 'In two to three years it could come to a dollar crisis' Worriers see bond bubble AJC This summer, bonds make analysts sweat DFP A Runious New Rally NY Post (Byron) Don’t you just love how folks keep insisting that the Federal Reserve's 13th straight rate cut in the last two years is finally going to turn the economy around and make everything terrific again? Flashpoint? Morgan Stanley Bubble troubles The Oregonian Journal of Finance ($) Tulipmania and The Dot Com Myth Brookesnews Junk-bond chasers eye yields, downplay risks CS Monitor Burrowing Deeper Into Debt Morgan Stanley Can -- or will -- consumers keep spending? AP Debt Increase Etherzone “Aren't recessions normally periods where the excesses of the previous boom are purged? Not this time around" Car buyers burned by negative equity USA Today Long-term unemployment downsizes lifestyles, hopes AP More Tales of Bear-Market Education WP A Bear Market in B-School Applications Business Week As the likelihood of a hot job fades, so does the MBA's allure Market for 'bulletin board' stocks launched FT Microsoft dividend hike sparks speculation Bloomberg Citigroup Leads Record $2.1 Trillion in Worldwide Bond Sales Bloomberg Wal-Mart, Searching for Bargains, Fuels U.S.-China Trade Gap Bloomberg Ericsson Chairman Says Market Still Weak Reuters Northern bank lays off 100 - Layoff angers Madrigal staff - 120 Raising the Bar on Off-Balance-Sheet Finance TheStreet Fears increase about £100bn of Treasury off-balance-sheet risk Times Online Tough future for German banks AFP Yes, Italians should speak up Independent The Deloitte report suggests that deflation will arrive in Germany late this year and persist for much of 2004. Solbes adds to eurozone gloom FT “When we predicted 1 per cent growth in April we warned of risks to the downside and the upside. The downside risks have materialised" U.K. Business Leaders Press BOE for Rate Reduction Bloomberg Yield surge concerns Shiokawa Japan Times Japan's Bond Bubble Isn't Bursting -- Yet Bloomberg IMF backs stronger Chinese currency This is London Chinese Yuan Forwards Gain After European Officials' Criticism Bloomberg Singapore Is World's Fastest Growing IPO Market Reuters Keynes is not answer to Asia’s Woes Brookenews
Monday July 7, 2003 Deflation fears mean bond sell-off may be premature Independent The Fed may eventually have to put its money where its mouth is (or was). U.S. current account deficit last big bubble Financial Post 'In two to three years it could come to a dollar crisis' Worriers see bond bubble AJC This summer, bonds make analysts sweat DFP A Runious New Rally NY Post (Byron) Don’t you just love how folks keep insisting that the Federal Reserve's 13th straight rate cut in the last two years is finally going to turn the economy around and make everything terrific again? Flashpoint? Morgan Stanley Bubble troubles The Oregonian Journal of Finance ($) Tulipmania and The Dot Com Myth Brookesnews Junk-bond chasers eye yields, downplay risks CS Monitor Burrowing Deeper Into Debt Morgan Stanley Can -- or will -- consumers keep spending? AP Debt Increase Etherzone “Aren't recessions normally periods where the excesses of the previous boom are purged? Not this time around" Car buyers burned by negative equity USA Today Long-term unemployment downsizes lifestyles, hopes AP More Tales of Bear-Market Education WP A Bear Market in B-School Applications Business Week As the likelihood of a hot job fades, so does the MBA's allure Market for 'bulletin board' stocks launched FT Microsoft dividend hike sparks speculation Bloomberg Citigroup Leads Record $2.1 Trillion in Worldwide Bond Sales Bloomberg Wal-Mart, Searching for Bargains, Fuels U.S.-China Trade Gap Bloomberg Ericsson Chairman Says Market Still Weak Reuters Northern bank lays off 100 - Layoff angers Madrigal staff - 120 Raising the Bar on Off-Balance-Sheet Finance TheStreet Fears increase about £100bn of Treasury off-balance-sheet risk Times Online Tough future for German banks AFP Yes, Italians should speak up Independent The Deloitte report suggests that deflation will arrive in Germany late this year and persist for much of 2004. Solbes adds to eurozone gloom FT “When we predicted 1 per cent growth in April we warned of risks to the downside and the upside. The downside risks have materialised" U.K. Business Leaders Press BOE for Rate Reduction Bloomberg Yield surge concerns Shiokawa Japan Times Japan's Bond Bubble Isn't Bursting -- Yet Bloomberg IMF backs stronger Chinese currency This is London Chinese Yuan Forwards Gain After European Officials' Criticism Bloomberg Singapore Is World's Fastest Growing IPO Market Reuters Keynes is not answer to Asia’s Woes Brookenews
Weekend Edition (July 4-6) The Ultimate Balancing Act? Contrary Investor Hedge Funds Can Be Fool’s Gold on Wall St. NY Post Will Debt Put Dent in Spending? NYP Consumers used to curb their spending when things were really tough...This downturn has been the first since 1949 without at least one quarter where spending fell. Study: Job Flexibility Damping Hiring Reuters PDF File Will earnings season kill the rally? CBS MarketWatch Sector-by-sector preview of Q2 results, Q3 outlooks Greenspan, Dead Cats Behind Nikkei's Rally Bloomberg Ignore the arm-waving: IT still smells MSN (Fleck) The fact is, companies are still delaying projects or canceling them outright. That -- plus overly bullish investor sentiment -- could set up a stock fallback soon. Boom in shares, bonds paradoxical New Zealand Herald Bursting the housing bubble LDNews As America goes further and further into debt, there are consequences. Has the U.S. lost its manufacturing edge? St.Louis Post-Dispatch Wisdom of Jesse Livermore 4 Zeal It's Going to be a Fascinating Second Half Prudent Bear (Noland) Some Wall Street experts say talk of a bull market is BS AP Stock options are back Mecury News For the first time in years, Silicon Valley is buzzing again about stock options. In earnings-warning season, excuses count MSN Insider Trading on Top 9 Nasdaq Stocks Cross Currents (Chart) Techs still don't yield CNN/Money Microsoft eyes $10 billion payout FT Dell to drop prisons as sites for recycling IHT (NYT) A Conversation With Ken Goldstein Smart Money SEC launches Cablevision probe FT The Bankers' Bankers Meet Capital Insight Triennial C-Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity BIS Sinking US dollar 'could drag world under' Observer BIS warns banks on hidden credit derivatives dangers Reuters (June 30) Laptop selling faster than desktop computers AP Fuel Cell Laptop Euro Zone Unlikely to Grow in'03 -Solbes Reuters House-price growth cools as equity withdrawal soars Independent Fear that millions could plunge into negative equity if the housing market crashes. ECB head hints of no rate change in July, scolds France, Germany AFP German Factory Orders Declined in May Bloomberg Goldman Says Yuan Undervalued as Much as 15 Percent Bloomberg China called on to raise yuan's value AP China To Launch Spot Silver Trading In Shanghai July 8 Reuters Japan's leading index points to contraction Taipei Times Bank of Japan faces bond buyback IHT (Bloomberg) Sweden's Riksbank Unexpectedly Cuts Benchmark Rate Bloomberg Our economy's in for `very rough ride' Toronto Star Currency free ride is over as manufacturers face double whammy The Age Thai Military Bank To Cut Rates By 25-50 Bps Monday Dow Jones Canada loses money selling off gold reserves Globe & Mail Air Canada investors cling to fantasy Globe & Mail Reaction to job news is bearish CBS MarketWatch
Thursday July 3 Fears that bond bubble 'has passed its peak' FT CBOT Probes Big Error in Dow Futures Reuters Boston Scientific Warns - Siebel warns - Tweeter Warns - Oil Up on Nigeria Economics and Measurement Mises California is not alone in its delinquency Economist Service Sector Surges in June ISM Payrolls Fell 30,000 in June; Jobless Rate Rose to 6.4% BLS Bloomberg Will the job market ever get better? CNN/Money Laid off and in a lurch MSNBC Bush’s Record on Jobs: Risking Unhappy Comparisons NY Times (R) For George Bush, the race has begun to escape comparisons to Herbert Hoover. Debts could swallow up tax cut cash USA Today Global View: The unstimulating economy UPI SEC's Financial Reports Found to Be Inadequate WP The agency's financial reports "are not presented in accordance with applicable federal accounting requirements" Market fate in our stars or ourselves? CBS (Eliades/Crawford) Investors will happily delude themselves Seattle PI Surprise rate cuts boost stocks: Study Reuters (Bernanke & Kuttner) UBS Analyst Resigns Over E-Mail WP UBS analyst Howard G. Capek wrote to an acquaintance that HealthSouth was "a mess" and that he would not "own a share" of the firm. Judge Gives Wall Street Second Win in Civil Lawsuits NYP Invesco Cuts Back Mutual Fund Managers Reuters Baxter to lay off 2,500; profit forecast cut SunSpot AT&T Wireless to cut hundreds Seattle PI Insightful Corp. cuts 22 GM, Siemens Led Record Quarter in Convertible Sales Bloomberg Ford CEO gets options worth $1.2 million Note Microsoft May Move US Contact Centre Jobs To India EFE (Bloom) 2 Credit Card Firms Offer 0% `For Life' On Balance Transfers WSJ California faces credit downgrade Reuters Moody's, S&P warn of cut because of stalemate in closing $38B budget shortfall. Utility bills to soar in N. Ariz. Arizona Republic U.S., industry brace for mass hacker attacks AP Greenspan Visits Philly Fed for Exhibit AP The buck stops -- with gold WorldNetDaily The Bear is Dead, You Say? Droke Japanese Bond Plunge Will End on Deflation, BOJ, Investors Say Bloomberg Govt needs to cope with weak bond market Yomiuri The real bond bubble CNN/Money The big rise in Japanese rates could have major implications. Duisenberg Silences ECB Rate Cut Talk Reuters German government bunds FT (Lex) Fears over raised retirement age prompt wave of attacks by unions/business Inde Can Russia Defuse Its Pension Time Bomb? Business Week HSBC blames red tape and NICs for 1,400 job cuts Times Online BE to shift HQ again and cut 200 Scots jobs Scotsman Auto market `is in the toilet' Toronto Star Loonie Leaps Full Cent OSC misses Mafia connection Toronto Star International Air Traffic Drops 21% in May IATA Iraqi crude won’t flow fast enough to cut oil prices Times Online
California tops broke US states list Courier Mail
Wednesday July 2 Challenger: June U.S. job cuts lowest since 2000 Reuters California tops broke US states list Courier Mail The richest US state, California, has officially gone broke, topping a long blacklist of cash-strapped US states that could drag down the recovery of the world's biggest economy. 6 States Fail to Agree on Budgets WP Budgets prompt refrain: 'We ran out of money' USA Today States are cutting their workforces for the first time since 1997. Some Long-Term Budget Forecasts Worsen AP CBPP Federal Pension Provider Overwhelmed WP The federal agency charged with ensuring that workers from bankrupt companies get their pensions has been forced to take over a record number of plans and now faces a $5.4 billion deficit, the largest in its history. Massive Restructuring, Moderate Deflation Morgan Stanley It will get ugly when the bond bubble finally bursts Buffalo News Housing Shows Cracks in Foundation Bloomberg Mortgage borrowing rose $723 billion (annualized) in the first quarter of 2003, according to the Fed's Flow of Funds report. That compares with an increase of $667 billion in 2002 and $375 billion in the boom year of 1999. Market Eye: Absent growth UPI Mortgage activity climbs Reuters MBAA Last fling for refi Evidence of market manipulation CBS MarketWatch Is the stock market being manipulated? Currency Valuations and Protectionism Comstock Dollar May Extend Slide This Year as Recovery Falters Bloomberg Auto sales unimpressive in June Reuters Frenzied discounting Beacon Journal Out on the Street NY Post The business of selling, trading and underwriting stocks has been decimated - and there are still more job cuts on the horizon. Verizon Set To Take $3B Charge WP BA furious over 'junk' credit rating Independent Can you give credit to Standard & Poor's ratings? Independent Bayer: Moody's downgrade incomprehensible Bayer (June 13) More layoffs announced at Georgetown Steel AP Prison layoffs begin today Daily Record 68 PCS employees Another season in scandal hell CNBC Judges Reject Suits Blaming Analysts for Losses NY Times (R) Investors eager to take on risk were to blame for their own stock market losses IRS Closes Door on Controversial Tax Shelter AccountingWeb And So It Goes. . . Russell Downbeat Governor fuels rate cut hopes Times Online 'Economic crisis' forces German call for lower rates Guardian China seeks to ease pressure for revaluation FT Six years after crisis, Asia both learns and forgets Reuters Ahold Raises Error Total to $1.1 Billion WP Gucci profits crash to earth BBC
Will the market be right this time? Globe & Mail
Tuesday July 1 Jobs Market Stuck in the Doldrums Reuters American Lays Off 3,100 Flight Attendants Reuters Manufacturing in U.S. Unexpectedly Contracts Bloomberg ISM Echoes of '99 Euphoria Set Off Alarm Bells Hoovers (AJC) "It has become clear that some stock buyers already have forgotten the lessons of the long bear market." Plunging interest rates alarm critics Mecury News What the Fed is trying to get is the upside of the cycle without the downside Kindred Spirits Morgan Stanley (Roach) Most are quick to dismiss comparisons between America and Japan. Even bear markets bounce CBS (Prudent Bear - Tice) April 1993: “Analysts now think the Nikkei will head toward 21,000 before long.” Values still matter and it's no different this time CBS MarketWatch Our proprietary Blue Chip Trend Verifier indicator is flashing a warning light. It is as overvalued now as it was in 2000, 1987 and 1973. All Aboard the Hope Express! Oregon Magazine “In 1982, stocks sold at 7.9 times earnings, yielded 6.3%, were priced at less than one times book value and one-third of sales.” Bond funds risk a time bomb Philly Inquirer Rule to Add $400 Billion to S&P 500 Books Reuters Interpretation 46 (PDF) Chain Store Sales Fall Over the Week Reuters Trash Company Cuts 600 Jobs The Ledger Disney Lays Off 100 More layoffs expected at UT-Houston Houston Chronicle Tobacco Production Lowest Since 1874 AP S&P cuts RJ Reynolds Tobacco debt ratings to junk Reuters Qwest workers' retirement plummets Rocky Mountain News Insurance Firm in 9-11 Claims Ordered To Liquidate Dow Jones Freddie Mac Says Portfolio Grew in May Reuters Freddie and Fannie can survive a collapse in home prices - OHFEO - PDF Read This if you Want To Save Money on Your Mortgage NYP (Crudele) States borrow record amounts USA Today Nanny States Do Not Work! Sierra Times California is tip of much greater iceberg U.S. indictment in short-selling case USA Today Former broker sentence in mortgage scheme AP Investors gain stock-option clout Seattle Times (Bloom) Shoppers shrug off slowdown with credit card spree Guardian A widely-predicted cut in interest rates by the Bank of England could tempt consumers to pile up even more debt, and make the inevitable downward correction more painful. UK House prices stagnate BBC Japanese Business Confidence Unexpectedly Rises, Tankan Shows Bloomberg Janapense Pension funds caught in the country's woes Hoovers (FT) China faces more pressure to lift curbs on yuan Business Times Japan joins US in calling for increased flexibility Mexico's lost decade NYT (R) (FT) Dodge must lower rates to avert a recession Globe & Mail Alstom Reveals Accounting Errors at Unit Reuters Network Rail to axe 2,000 jobs Guardian
A Vietnamese man who used cow fat and paint to pass off a lump of iron as valuable black bronze found buyers -- but was paid $64,000 in counterfeit bills. Reuters
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