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Thursday January 31 Stocks in U.S. Rally After MBIA Says It Expects to Keep AAA Credit Rating BL Gold futures end slightly higher MW Mortgages: U.S. mortgage rates reverse course, rising in wake of Fed cut MW MBIA CEO decries "fear mongering" Reuters MBIA Call Moody's boosts subprime loss estimate up to 85 pct Reuters Bristol-Myers Posts Loss as Subprime Investments Overshadow Plavix Gains BL Defaults on Privately Insured Mortgages Rise 37%, Industry Report Shows BL Corporate Credit-Default Risk Soars on MBIA Loss, S&P's Subprime Review BL MBIA: Another morning, another monoline crisis... FT Alphaville U.S. December Personal Spending Increases 0.2%, Slowest Pace in Six Months BL BEA Jobless claims increase of 69,000 DOL Largest increase since September 2005 MW Employment cost index up 0.8% in fourth quarter, as expected MW It's Confirmed!! The Fed Follows the Market!! EW Fed stays aggressive Ip BL Federal Reserve Tries to Polish Tarnished Image Baum Rate cuts consign gradualism to history FT Age of Dissent Rolls In Reuters “Greenspan has left the building. What now distinguishes Bernanke is his abandonment of Fed gradualism.” Fed May Be Raising Rates Before Summer's Over Berry 90 minutes of fame Hulbert Stock Market to the Fed: “It’s Insolvency, not Just Illiquidity, Stupid!” Roubini Mortgage rates could rise, not fall, after Fed move MW Monetary Policy: Go It Alone NY Sun Investors Want More Cuts AP The NZealand dollar was the biggest beneficiary of the Fed rate cut Westpac PDF It's the Housing Market Deflation WP (Bill Gross) US Q4 GDP: How Long Can the Consumer Hang On? CIBC PDF 2008: The great slowdown ANZ PDF You call this a recession? Finance Asia (S&P) Two Billionaires Describe Our Outlook Lamont Survey: CFOs' Economic Confidence Plummets 19% From One Year Ago FEI 'It's going to be much worse' Fortune Famed investor Jim Rogers sees hard times ahead for the United States - and a big opportunity looming in China. Lex: Counting the world’s assets FT SWFs: Different money, different rules Summers Qatar considers dropping dollar peg FT SWFs may erode US$ further Oxford Economics PDF Monthly FX Outlook CIBC PDF It's the Dollar, Stupid (and Taxes, Too) Steve Forbes Greenspan: Good chance of U.S. recession Reuters State figures say recession Palm Beach Post Recession looms Boston Herald The Recession? WallStrip Video Buy America! Mother Jones (Flash Cartoon) Mortgage-related bank losses to top $265-billion: S&P G&M The credit rating agency also said it is considering slashing its rating on more than $500-billion of investments tied to bad mortgage loans. MBIA Posts Biggest Loss, Considers New Capital Plans BL PR Bond Insurers Face Downgrade Despite Call for Delay CNBC Fabian Says Bond Insurers Face `Severe' Downgrade Risk BL Video Regulators should halt bond insurer dividends: Ackman Reuters Data and the valuation models that Pershing used posted publicly - Link Ackman Devoured 140,000 Pages, Fought 5 Years to Show `MBIA Was Never AAA' BL Bond insurers' possible downgrade spurs market angst Reuters Next Big Crisis Could Involve Bond Insurers NY Sun The Bond Insurers Bail-Out Fund CSF Blog Buffett poised to cash in on bond insurer woes Reuters Big Japanese banks' subprime losses seen at $4.7 billion MW Japan's Mizuho sees soaring subprime losses: reports AFP Property Crunch Could Whack Brit Banks Spiegel The US subprime crisis is putting the brakes on Britain's commercial property boom, driving down real estate values and putting banks in jeopardy. Canadian commercial mortgage market faces shortfall G&M Pulte Homes 4Q Loss Widens Amid Slowdown AP Will crisis reshape mortgage industry? Seattle PI Subprime Lenders Get Big Accounting Break at SEC BL Just when it seemed as if the mortgage mess had hit a new low, now comes this: The Securities and Exchange Commission's staff has granted the subprime-lending industry a huge exemption from the normal rules for off-balance- sheet accounting. Financial firms sweat out the earnings season USAT Wall Street Blocked By Buyout Debt WP Banks Find Few Takers for Loans Funding Deals Deephaven Capital Shuts a Hedge Fund as Leveraged Buyout Prospects Dry Up BL Jitters accompany Amazon's outlook MW Starbucks cautious on 2008, closing 100 stores Reuters Ann Taylor cutting back Fortune Google Faces Downturn Debut TheStreet Higher Volatility Traced to SEC Rule NY Sun Volatility Now in the Danger Zone Lencrest P Rocky Markets Hit Pension Funds Hard CFO During the first month of 2008 American pension funds have lost $110 billion, shedding up to 8 percent of their value... SEC Cracks Down on "Creative Writing" CFO 'Next Enron' Could Be in Public Sector, ERC Survey Finds FEI Kerviel made millions from mortgage meltdown G&M Rogue trader strikes chord for fans of the little guy Toronto Star Inspector Clouseau Finds Rat at SocGen Baum Russia's billionaires join next big gold rush Reuters OPEC says more oil won't help world economy G&M Oil may hit $70 as weaker economy lowers demand MW Oil scarcity has 'snuck up on us', expert says ABC Dr. Buckee says the cost of a barrel of oil could reach as high as $200 by the third or fourth quarters of this year Oilwatch Monthly - January 2008 Oil Drum Americans fear $4 gas CNN Next round of gas hikes won’t be due to oil AP Farmers Wonder if Boom In Grain Prices Is a Bubble WSJ (Free via Google jump) Ingredient costs hit Kraft, Kellogg in bottom line Reuters Ahead of the Bell: Agriculture Prices AP Zinc May Soon Follow Ali UBS Barrick trades a pile of gold for 10 years of tires G&M The tires retail for as much as $60,000 apiece, but the global shortage has seen them sell for as much as $300,000 each in Internet auctions As China chills, metals heat up G&M Stocks in Europe Fall, Capping Worst January for Stoxx 600; ING, Axa Drop BL Asia gripped by volatility after Fed rate cut, close mixed MW Japan Wages Fall 1.9%, Fastest Pace in Three Years, as Bonuses Are Slashed BL European Confidence Drops; Inflation Rate Advances to 14-Year High of 3.2% BL Nationwide says house prices fell 0.1% FT European Perspectives - The Cash Machine is Broken PIMCO U.S. Subprime Loan Turmoil and Japanese Credit Markets (Vol. 2) PIMCO Badawi's State Of Euphoria Asia Sentinel It’s whistling past the graveyard to think that Malaysia is going to escape a US downturn unscathed China's Reserves Fit Harvard Linguist's Law BL Inflation makes its way to China Taipei Times China Overheating Indicator - January 2008 DB Research PDF Yuan Rises, Set for Biggest Monthly Gain Since End of Link to U.S. Dollar BL The relationship between developed and emerging markets Yam Best Value BRIC Stocks TheStreet Canadian economic growth slows G&M Canadian Exporters More Brave than Resilient EDC Banks put squeeze on Tricom Australian Egypt has only 40 pct Internet after cable fault Reuters Internet outages disrupt Mideast, Gulf USAT Former Macau minister jailed for 27 years for graft AFP Waving Goodbye to Hegemony NYT
Wednesday January 30 U.S. Stocks Decline, Reversing Fed Rate-Cut Rally, on Bond Insurer Concern BL Bond Insurer FGIC Has Rating Cut by Fitch After Failure to Raise Capital BL Bond Insurer Woes to Hit Three Banks Most TheStreet MBIA, Ambac Face $11.6 Billion of Losses on Loan Guarantees, Ackman Says BL Dollar lower vs. most rivals after Fed's half-point rate cuts - Gold Surges - Hallelujah! Cramer Fed Lowers Rate Half Percentage Point, Says `Downside Risks' Remain BL Text As US recession looms, yield curve looks prescient Reuters Merrill downgraded on bond insurers, subprime MW Merrill Plans to Exit CDO, Structured-Credit Businesses, Chief Thain Says BL Morgan Stanley Writes Down SIVs After Helping Its Money Funds BL Behind Weak GDP: Inventory Liquidation WSJ Blog U.S. Economy Grew at a 0.6% Rate in Fourth Quarter, Slower Than Estimated BL BEA ADP report says US added 130,000 private jobs in January CNN Dollar eases ahead of Fed decision FT The Fed is between a rock & a hard place Crudele For Fed, It's Not Clear-Cut WP Bernanke’s reflation gamble may work too well FT Fed’s Issue on Rates: How Low? NYT The Failure of Inflation Targeting Merk Financial Derivatives Emerge as Global Economic Threat Chosun A failure of central banking Asia Times Bank Reserves Go Negative Mish The $1.4 Trillion Question Atlantic The Chinese are subsidizing the American way of life. Are we playing them for suckers—or are they playing us? What We’re In For: Projected Economic Impact of the Next Recession CEPR PDF Junk Bond Rising Spreads Signal Worst Bust Since 2001 BL The pain may only get worse. Speculative-grade borrowers made up the majority of U.S. corporate debtors for the first time last year Spend, Spend, Spend That Rebate? John Q. Public Just Isn't Buying It WP Clothes, food could get smaller slice of rebates MW Economists see consumers paying down debt; card issuers could benefit New Stimulus Plan May Spur Conflict WSJ Dear Policymakers: Time to Start Managing the Dollar for Canadians Hahn PDF Mortgage applications near 4-year high: MBA Reuters Bond Insurers May Lose AAA Ratings Before a Bailout BL Japan's banks poised to target western rivals FT “Now it is our turn to do in the US, what [US banks] did in Japan in the 1990s” Japanese bank SMFG sees profits tumble AFP UBS expects record loss of $11.45-billion AP Legg Mason Net Falls 11% on Costs to Shield Investors From Subprime Losses BL ECB aid to Spanish banks matches Rock rescue Telegraph Plans for a new system for failing banks Times Online Psst. Wanna Buy A House? Norris Blog Whose Fault Is This? Newsweek The mortgage industry defends itself. 'Million homeowners' face loan struggle Times Investors Look to Profit From Others' Misfortune WSJ Yahoo Forecasts Revenue Below Some Analyst Estimates; Will Cut 1,000 Jobs BL UPS Posts $2.58 Billion Loss on Pension Costs; Forecast Misses Estimates BL CFO optimism plunges on recession fears Reuters GM CFO says U.S. auto prices could rise significantly AP Inflating the bubble? LA Times Why should Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae guarantee home loans bigger than $600,000? Does this increase the likelihood that public money will be used to bail out lenders? Wal-Mart chops prices in bid to lure shoppers CNN Tiger's Julian Robertson roars again Fortune Veteran bear finding bargains in battered stock market Brimelow High anxiety for 401(k) investors LA Times Inner Life of Jerome Kerviel, Accidental Rogue Lewis SocGen's Rogue Trader Didn't Blindside Everyone Gilbert Beyond Bank’s $7 Billion Loss, Fear of More NYT Former Bayou CFO gets 20 years CNN Basis hedge fund valued at 2 cents in dollar FT FBI is probing 14 companies over loans AP Gold, platinum off record highs, eyes on Fed Reuters Silver Jumps to Highest Since 1980 on U.S. Interest Rates BL These days, nothing surprises me Russell OPEC Won't Raise Quota, May Consider Cut, Qatar Says Weather Chills China's Economy Business Week Economies of China and India are not invulnerable Guardian Tycoon lowers lofty stocks target Standard Lee: "I am not the genuine 'God of Stocks.' I am only a fake please don't call me that any more. I am just a simple investor." Japan Factory Output Growth Misses Estimates; Companies to Cut Production BL House prices to fall 10%, says shares guru ThisisMoney Canadian business confidence sinks to nine-year low Globe & Mail South Korea: Business Confidence Worsens Amid Subprime Woes Korea Times Global Complications for Sovereign Wealth Funds Asia Sentinel India Eases Rules to Attract More Overseas Investment BL Suharto's Corrupt Legacy Lives On in Indonesia Pesek Criminal charges eyed for fake reports Asahi Mervyn King Appointed Bank of England Governor for a Second Five-Year Term BL Man Builds Himself a Billion Dollar Home ABC
Thursday January 24 Bond Insurer Bailout Faces Hurdles TheStreet Bond insurers fall; N.Y. regulator sounds cautious on bailout MW “These are complicated issues involving a number of parties, and any effective plan will take some time to finalize” Morgan Stanley to Cut 1,000 Asset Management, Brokerage Jobs, Person Says BL Gold soars nearly 3% to trade above $900 an ounce MW Mortgage rates fall even more Bank Rate Deal Reached on Tax Rebates for Stimulus AP Crude trims gains as U.S. inventories up more than expected MW Existing-Home Sales Fall More Than Forecast; Median Price Down 6% - NAR ~ JClaims Bank of America Says $230 Billion High-Yield Debt Backlog Isn't Shrinking BL Wealth Funds Urged in Davos to Disclose More on Actions or Face U.S. Wrath BL Faith In The Fed: The Last Bubble To Pop Mish A Fear That the Cure Could Be Poison NYT Ben Bernanke had a disaster to prevent Evans-Pritchard Fed cuts give strapped homeowners some breathing room MW Market Bloodbath Highlights Cracks in Capitalism Gilbert Grantham Says Shun Stocks, Shift to Cash Amid Crisis BL U.S. may have tough medicine to swallow if economic relief efforts don't work LA Times The foolishness of economic 'stimulus' CS Monitor May Not Be Enough DMN How Real Was the Prosperity? Business Week Forbes Says U.S. Dollar Policy Amounts to `Zimbabwe Economics' BL The dollar’s time has come Finance Asia The more the storm clouds gather over the world economy, the stronger the sun shines on the dollar. FX Crossroads: USD, recessions, and Fed easing cycles Danske PDF Euro Rises as ECB's Weber Dismisses Rate-Cut Speculation BL The Last Two Equity Market Corrections and the Fed Northern Trust PDF Recalibrating the Forecast BMO PDF Asset Markets: Discounting A Recession BCA Research US recession will trigger global slump Times Online Recession 2008: How bad it can get CNN Here comes the bear CNN Wall Street's recent successes will fade with recession Weidner PPT Emerges From Shadows Ackerman Another Kind of Decoupling Krauss Next on the Worry List: Shaky Insurers of Bonds NYT FT Recap Dinallo called Wall Street executives on Tuesday to set up the meeting...He led the session on Wednesday and suggested that the group move in as little as 48 hours to get a deal done ahead of any downgrading... Mortgage Insurers Lifted, But Default Fears Persist WSJ Super insurance-commisioner-man to the rescue! Leonard Fannie Faces Trouble From Mortgage Insurers TheStreet Why banks can’t afford to save the bond insurers MoneyWeek Billionaire to rescue US insurer ThisisMoney Within the next two weeks? Corporate Default Risk Declines on MBIA, Ambac Bailout Talks BL Freddie Mac Dec Total Upaid Principal Balance Rose To $720.8 Billion DJ SocGen uncovers €5bn fraud FT Previous major trading scandals Reuters The rogue trader - likely to trigger comparisons with the UK's Nick Leeson, who caused the collapse of Barings Bank - had "deep knowledge" of risk-control procedures from his time at the bank's middle-office activities, which allowed him to conceal his positions. Foreclosures Prompt Cities to Make Plea for Aid NYT Four Key Indicators Showing that this Recession will be Led by Housing MyBudget360 Bank of America Seeks to Raise $6 Billion in Offering of Preferred Shares BL Betting against the BoA - Countrywide deal Fortune Citigroup cuts London jobs on UK recession fears Times Bank of America Cuts 25% of Stock Analysts at Securities Unit, People Say BL Ford trims loss, says new job cuts ahead CNN Steve Jobs' selloff pain: $1 billion Fortune Baidu aims to take on Google and Yahoo in Japan Reuters Goodwill hunting FT Dear Rich People … Slate All you wealthy Americans, stop complaining and save the economy! Favorite Myths of Stockbrokers North In Taxing Illegal Drugs, the Trouble Comes in Collecting NYT Gold prices push through $900 G&M Gold and the Fed's Crystal-Meth Hit Ash Copper Inventories Low UBS Copper tracks equities higher to trade back above 7,000 usd mark Thomson Bakers blasted for raising too much dough Standard Potash Corp. hits profit record FP European Stocks Rally Most Since 2003; UBS, Axa, Nokia Advance BL Japanese Stocks Gain on Possible Bailout of U.S. Bond Insurers BL China's Economy Expands 11.2%, Supporting Global Growth as U.S. Slows BL Fed's Panicked Rate Cut Puts Spotlight on BOJ Pesek Japan Export Growth Cools for a Second Month on U.S. BL Japan feels the chill as it peers nervously down slippery slope of economic decline Times Europe and Asia face hard landings as bubbles burst Telegraph Behind Market Turmoil, Europe is Weakening Spiegel Australian Dollar Rises; U.S. Stocks Surge Boosts Carry Trade Confidence BL Hong Kong's Bureaucrats Amass a Huge Windfall Asia Sentinel Newspapers thriving? Yes – in Asia CS Monitor
Wedneday January 23 U.S. stocks rise again, led by financials MW New York Regulators, Banks Meet on Plan to Raise Capital for Bond Insurers BL Fitch places AmeriCredit Corp. on Rating Watch Negative MW Kass: Two Solutions to What Ails the Market TheStreet Economic recession unlikely: Congressional Budget Office Reuters CBO Two-Year Yields Fall to Lowest Since '04 on Speculation Over More Fed Cuts BL Sallie Mae Has $1.6 Billion Loss as Borrowing Costs Climb, Subsidies Drop BL Citigroup's Sue-Me Game of Chicken May Double Enron Creditors' $13 Billion BL Investors exiting stock funds are urged to wait Reuters Davos: On the cusp of economic history IHT Something in the air? WSJ Panic at Davos! Slate (Gross) The global financial meltdown intrudes on the World Economic Forum. Traders see Fed rate cut as sign it is spooked FT Fed Risks Fueling More Asset Bubbles With Rate Cut, Economists Say BL Bad Economics Saville Is the Fed a Paper Tiger? Big Picture The financial turmoil is like an elephant in a dark room FT (Wolf) The Fed’s emergency interest cut: There’s a new sheriff in town VOX Why the Fed can't save us Sloan Only When the Bubble Bursts Pearlstein Bernanke and company are using up their limited ammunition, but genuine problems remain with the low dollar and U.S. debt Markets Force Fed to Make a Big, Risky Rate Cut Berry Greenspan Put Is Dead. Long Live Greenspan Put Baum Did Greenspan sell out investors? G&M Who can save America? Independent The worst market crisis in 60 years FT (Soros) “It's basically the end of a 60-year period of continuing credit expansion based on the dollar as the reserve currency” Capitalism's Enemies Within Samuelson Reflation without Representation Janszen After years of spending, U.S. faces an economic bill IHT (NYT) The recent financial turmoil has many causes, but they are tied to a basic fear that some of the economic successes of the last generation may yet turn out to be a mirage. Bush May Leave Ballooning Deficit, Curbing Successor's Programs BL On the federal deficit, candidates stay mostly vague CS Monitor Funny money: the perils of printing T-bills Finance Asia If people are kind enough to lend you very cheap money, why bother working too hard for it America will soon seem like fond Hollywood memory The Herald Surely you don't mean to tell me that we are run by people with buckets of borrowed money? We might as well be Americans. Ariz.: State's Spendable Cash Dwindling AP Billion-dollar deficits in California, NYork and Arizona haven’t stopped governors... Stateline ABN Leads Stocks Bears as MFS Sees No Repeat of '03 BL Stock Breakdown Heralds Bear Market and Raises Recession Fears Wachovia PDF Stocks Need to Drop 4% More to Price in U.S. Recession, Strategists Say BL Stocks show classic bear signals WSJ Brushing a bear Seattle Times Apocalypse postponed? Hulbert Economic Charts and a Brief History Lesson Schaeffers Five reasons for optimism Harrison FX Trading – Earth to ECB…Come in ECB! Black Swan Currency Undervaluation and Sovereign Wealth Funds: IIE PDF A New Role for the World Trade Organization Credit Crisis First Pacific Advisors LCC AIG to Bail Out $2.2 Billion Nightingale Structured Vehicle, Moody's Says BL Rate cut triggered by fear of bond insurance collapse Times Will spreads narrow? BCA R Lex: Monoline bail-out FT Bond insurance crisis looms on Wall Street G&M Ambac, MBIA Lust for CDO Returns Undercut AAA Success BL Hard Times From The Financial Fallout Wachovia PDF Fannie, Freddie May Face $16 Billion Losses, Credit Suisse Says BL Bank of China denies subprime worries as trading suspended AFP PDF File China banking regulator forms subprime task force: report MW Snow Says Banks Must `Purge' Loans Before LBOs Resume BL Merrill Lynch says U.S. nationwide home prices may fall 30% MW Stunning jump in foreclosures SF Chronicle A failing grade in subprime literacy Leonard Who Cut the Rates? California Dreaming and Double-Speak Housing Dr. HB U.S. housing downturn much like tech crash Financial Post U.S. lenders cut deals to avoid foreclosure crisis Reuters Motorola's Woes Continue Street More than 50 percent chance of U.S. recession: Coca-Cola Reuters H&R Block plans more job cuts Reuters Glum North Americans weigh down CEO hopes MW Buffett buys 3% of Swiss Re FT Chinese whispers lift Prudential Guardian Fortress Calls in MFS Loan NY DealBook How to protect your portfolio with Band-Aids and booze G&M Bayou Co-Founder Gets 4 1/4 Year Sentence for Fraud BL Exclusive: Interview with Ravi "The Great Depression of 1990" Batra Infectious Greed The Paulonomics Factor Luskin Ron Paul can’t win, but he could make a real difference in the economics debate. Oil, Copper Fall, Corn Down for Sixth Day on Slowdown Risk After Fed Cut BL What the US rate cuts mean for gold MoneyWeek Oil battles gold for investment supremacy Mogambo One Last Bubble...in Gold? Denning If you simply must buy gold stocks, then heed these tips G&M Commodity Boom Over For Now Mish Fortis Asian Metals Monthly ~ The Silver Book Fortis PDF China Base Demand Strong UBS In oil-rich Alaska, an energy crunch CS Monitor A shortage of natural gas besets the state's most populous area. In rural outposts, energy costs spike. London falls as relief at US rate cut wanes Times Online German is the first to go Bespoke Hong Kong rockets on Fed; buyers back in Tokyo, Shanghai MW Sensex recovers 864 points on Fed cut, remains wary Hindustan Times Lex: Chinese stocks FT ECB to Fight Inflation After Fed Rate Cut to Avert Recession, Trichet Says BL U.K. Economy Grew 0.6% in Fourth Quarter, Slowest Pace in More Than a Year BL European Services Growth Slows by Most Since 2003, PMI Shows BL Fed rate cut comes too late for Asian IPOs Finance Asia Forget the 'R' word Toronto Sun Flaherty and McGuinty are in denial if they think a couple of rate cuts will save the economy Rates pain to last two years: Swan Australian
Brokers drown sorrows after fall Australian “Stockbrokers admitted to being "shell-shocked, exhausted, depressed" as they came to grips last night with the fourth-biggest fall in Australian share market history.”
Tuesday January 22 Bank of America, Wachovia Profits Slump Amid Subprime Mortgage Writedowns BL Apple earnings climb 58%, but outlook disappoints MW Texas Instruments Profit Gains 13% on Increased Mobile-Phone Chip Demand BL Down, but not out MW The CBOE Market Volatility Index Tags a New Annual High Schaeffers Company Default Risk Increases After Federal Reserve's Emergency Rate Cut BL Gold reverses losses to trade up 1% as dollar falls MW U.K. stocks close higher, recoup half of Monday's losses MW Europe blames market turmoil on US fiscal policy FT Global Decoupling Myth Shattered In Equity Selloff Mish Bush Open to Changes in Economic Stimulus Plan CNBC Momentum builds for stimulus package MW Bush was readying for his afternoon meeting with top lawmakers just hours after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates UBS, Bank of America Recommend Buying Stocks During `Panicked' Correction BL Ambac Has $3.26B Loss, Talks to `Potential Parties' After Downgrade BL Target Warns Ambac's Downgrade Doesn't Mean End of Bond Insurers Mysak Paulson Says US Economy Remains Resilient CNBC U.S. stock futures skid lower as Fed fails to calm market MW Economists, investors confident more easing is in the pipeline Fed funds futures now point to a 2% Federal funds by September Housing Bubble Explodes: Fed Rushes for Fire Extinguisher Baker Bernanke presses the panic button Salon Gross Calls Fed Cuts `Sad Testament' to the State of U.S. Economy Bernanke Acts! FED Canada Joins In The Act! BOC For Canada, the effects of the weaker U.S. economic outlook will lead to additional downward pressure on export growth. ECB, BOE May Be Forced to Follow Fed Cut, Economists Say BL Before Fed Cut: Markets expect wallop today USAT Until recent days, most Fed watchers expected Bernanke's next move would be a half-point rate cut. But trading in futures markets indicates a 72% chance of a three-quarter-point cut, which would be the largest one-day move since 1984. Markets Plummet National Post Stock Tumble Drives 43 Benchmarks Into Bear Market BL Several similarities between today's market and 1987 Crash MW To Some, the Widening Crisis Seems Driven by Fear, Not Facts NYT Blood on The Street NYP "In all my years in financial services, I have never seen it this bad. I have owners of small firms calling me up saying their liabilities now exceed their assets, which means by law they are required to close down.” Pimco’s McCulley calls for Fed cut ‘Now’ Lanser A Mixed Bag of Market Conditions Hussman The decoupling theory will be severely tested during 2008 NB Financial PDF More Room to Fall Pearlstein All this talk of "decoupling" may have been a bit premature. Words From The Wise Outside The Box Global economic crisis 'serious': IMF Chief AP Lehman Brothers says US one shock away from a recession Thomson Recession ahead? Many feel pain AP The snare of stimulus Hutchinson Tax Rebates May Be Used To Cut Debt This Time WSJ Wisconsin tax shortfall may threaten state services JSOnline Ron Paul blames Federal Reserve for weakening economy AP Bank of America Earnings Decline 95% After $5.3 Billion Mortgage Writedown BL Asia-Pacific Company Bond Risk Rises on U.S. Recession Concerns BL 8 Norwegian Towns In Crisis After Illegal Subprime Deals Dow Jones Feeling Misled on Home Price, Buyers Are Suing Their Agent NYT If Everyone’s Finger-Pointing, Who’s to Blame? NYT Housing crashes through floor Chicago Business J&J Earnings Increase 9.2% on Sales of Consumer Brands Bought From Pfizer BL Dupont Wall St's earnings outlook darkens: survey Reuters Reports: Yahoo mulling major layoffs AP Fearing Recession, Law Firms Tighten Belts NY Sun Toyota Falls Most in Seven Years on Recession Concern AP Investment Bulletin Bedlam PDF Happy (?) Anniversary Nadler On this, the 28th anniversary of the first record price set by gold, the price of the metal is trading curiously (dangerously?) close to the very levels achieved on that historic day... 2008: A Golden Year? UniCredit PDF Download Corn Drops Most in 3 Months, Oil Falls on Slowdown BL Shanghai index down 7.2%, Hang Seng crashes China Daily Japanese Stocks Plunge in Biggest Two-Day Rout in 17 Years BL $110bn evaporates in market bloodbath Australian Australian stocks fell more than 7 per cent, the biggest rout since October 1987. Gulf leads biggest Arab stock rout since 2006 crash Reuters Warning of more turmoil as markets slump Times Online FTSE 100 suffers biggest one-day fall Telegraph Flashing red Economist Why markets in Asia and Europe are tumbling Canadian stocks ravaged Globe & Mail “To think that the United States and the developed world can have a slowdown and it will not have any impact on emerging markets is really ridiculous. A big part of this correction is the world waking up to that reality.” Flash Comment - Global - More uncertainty in financial markets Danske PDF Experts Warn of Stock Market Hysteria Spiegel Share site crashes theAge Thousands of panicked retail investors overwhelmed the Commsec site, crashing the system as the sharemarket opened today. Slump in margin finance orders reflects sentiment Standard Margin orders for the four current initial public offerings continue to wane Investors Turning to Bank Deposits on Stock Corrections Korea Times Bank of Japan Keeps Key Interest Rate at 0.5% as Growth Misses Forecasts BL Framing current events about the global economic and geopolitical system Fabius Maximus
Monday January 22 Global anxiety takes toll on TSX Globe & Mail Stocks Plummet in Germany, Hong Kong, India, Brazil in Rout BL “It's the worst I've ever seen. The financial system is in terrible shape, and no one knows where this will end.” How a French banker's comments derailed stocks MW U.S. markets closed in observance of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day U.S. stock futures point to major decline on re-open MW US warning signs point toward a deep recession WSJ The U.S. has suffered recessions only twice in the past quarter century and both were short and mild. There are good reasons to fear that the looming recession, if it arrives, could be worse. A depleted Fed plugs away USAT “Unfortunately, what this package does is underline the fact that the US economy is in a bad shape and, inevitably, it may come across as panic." Australian Will the cure be worse than the disease? Fortune McHugh They may be paving the way for a bigger calamity down the road. The Panic Stage WSJ No logic in market madness MSN (Fleck) Day of reckoning in the US glasshouse Times Online (Stiglitz) Is the US economy in recession? Jackson Without savings there can be no economic growth Jackson What a Recession Could Mean to You WSK (Ip) Avoiding The Abyss Newsweek (Biggs) Bulls' fear factor grows Brimelow Will the U.S. Recession be Associated with Deflation or Inflation (i.e. Stagflation)? Roubini On the Risks of “Stag-deflation” rather than “Stagflation” Banks' woes may result in big recession JS Online Trichet, Summers See Less Optimism After Complacency BL Sovereign wealth rules FT Sovereign wealth funds warping market, pose insider-trading hazard Japan Times If the West denies chances to emerging countries, it will only end in tears King MBIA: Priced for Catastrophe Barron’s Municipal borrowers bypass troubled insurers FT Corporate Default Risk in Europe Soars to Record After Ambac Rating Is Cut BL Bank of China to announce more subprime damage MW Writedown fears push Chinese banks lower G&M WestLB to lose $1.5 bln, may write off $1.5 bln MW German Banks Flag More Write-downs Panic selling shuts £2bn fund Guardian Fears that other funds are at risk Rock to be told to take deal or else Times Northern Rock shares surge on bid hopes There’s a serious risk ‘the global credit crisis’ will get worse Livemint (Das Q&A) How we cashed in before the housing crash LA Times Region's Home Prices Continue To Fall; Some Pockets Thrive WP Homebuyers need higher credit scores, richer assets for loans Pittsburg TR Real Estate's Perfect Storm Cleveland Plain Dealer General Electric Considers Offer for Spanish Real Estate Company Colonial BL Rio falls after no higher bid emerges Reuters Burned but Bullish at Citigroup NYT Wolseley profits fall 25% on poor US market Times Online Los Angeles Editor Ousted After Resisting Job Cuts NYT Gold hits 11-day low as euro weakens vs dlr Reuters GLD Sword Double-Edged UBS The world melts for gold WSJ Gold-bug fever is spreading Bloomberg: “Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators decreased their net-long position in New York crude-oil futures in the week ended Jan. 15” Oil falls below $89 on economy concerns AP Food price inflation is here to stay, warns chief of PepsiCo Times Copper May Decline for First Time Since 2001 on Slowing U.S., China Demand BL US Recession Fears Sink Global Markets AP Europe Enters First Bear Since 03 as Stocks Fall Around the World BL Financials in freefall; Societe Generale, BNP hammered MW US recession fears wipe £57bn from London shares Times Australian stocks close lower for an 11th session Australian Challenger falls on crash Black Monday for Chinese stocks, down 5% China Daily Markets crash, Sensex down 1,600 - Biggest intra-day fall ever - Bears loom large Dong IPO Postponed by Denmark on Stock Market Decline BL European Economy Takes Hit From U.S. Slowdown, Prompting ECB Rate-Cut Bets BL Banks are making borrowing harder, industrial production is shrinking and investor confidence is waning UK public finances in record shortfall FT Investors pour cash into emerging markets FT US investors last year put a record $40bn into emerging markets funds - almost double the amount of last year - while they pulled net $57bn from US, Europe and Japan funds. Companies are caught in 'perfect storm' in Japanese market Times Online By some estimates, as many as 47 per cent of listed Japanese companies have a market capitalisation lower than their book value Euro at risk from Europe's own economic storm Evans-Pritchard Euro Set for Dollar-Like Swoon as Wages Brake Growth BL It's only a matter of time before the euro starts to imitate the dollar Euro tumbles as equities sink FT NZ Dollar Declines as U.S. Concerns Spur Exit From Carry Trade BL Chinese feel pain as Beijing revalues currency AFP China Real Estate Brokers Face Slowdown AP One of China's biggest real estate agencies has shuttered dozens of outlets in Shanghai and other cities, leaving behind angry customers and employees, following an ill-timed expansion just as the market was peaking. Several other agencies also have closed down or scaled back. Reliance Power prices record IPO at top Finance Asia Is the U.S. housing mess headed our way? G&M Economic Prospects in 2008: An Antipodean View Reserve Bank of Australia Dubai real estate soon to be the most expensive in the world? AME The Construction Site Called Saudi Arabia NYT Pandemic Risk Is Now at an Unprecedented Level BL
Weekend Edition (Jan 19-20) Key Data Releases and Events ~ Coming Week: Upside Down ~ Economy: How bad? More BLS BS Mauldin PDF Job Data Passes Threshold Where Recessions Dwell NYT (Norris) Playing catch up State Street PDF Is Stagflation Next? BMO Focus PDF Daisy-Chain Noland Are We In a Bear Market? Harding 2007 Review and Current Outlook A Bernstein Politics trumps economics in Bush stimulus Stelzer Odds are, U.S. is in a recession MW Commentary: Three of 5 indicators flashing warning signs for growth More than 3 out of 4 Americans believe a recession has already started or will hit in '08 AP Nasdaq Historical Bear Markets Bespoke Blog Seeking Tools to Calm a Market NYT Dow 6,000 or Dow 14,000? It depends on whom you ask. Bear country seen looming below Dow 12,000 Reuters Economic strategy feels close to crash Delware Online Foreigners Buy Stakes in the U.S. at a Record Pace NYT Last year, foreign investors poured a record $414 billion into securing stakes in American companies, factories and other properties through private deals and purchases of publicly traded stock. That was up 90 percent from the previous year... Baltic woes Economist The fall of a shipping index portends trouble Higher U.S. I-Yields Won't Allow Continued Large U.S. Current Account Deficit NBER (Pg. 3) The next banking crisis on the way Jubak Write-downs for high-risk, high-yield corporate debt, known as 'junk,' could dwarf losses in the mortgage mess. Ambac Is First Bond Insurer to Lose AAA Rating After Downgrade by Fitch BL Ambac Downgraded, Cities Seen at Risk AP The downgrade likely means Ambac will not underwrite any more business Should You Invest in Bonds? Prechter The End of the Tribe of Housing: Breaking Down the National Housing Neurosis Dr. HB Where the Fed's Mortgage Fix Falls Short TheStreet Darling props up Rock with fresh £30bn guarantee Times Earnings Won't Bail Out Market This Time AP Sears to break into several companies - report AP US carmakers still on the wrong road Times Online New material pushes the boundary of blackness Reuters Bullion's back in the new bear market Observer Gold’s Rise: It’s Not Just Armageddon NYT 'Gold rush' grabs Chinese as prices hit new high Xinhua Real Silver Highs 2 Zeal The Political and Economic Agenda for a Real Gold Standard Mises Buy gold when governments print money Telegraph OPEC dismisses U.S. calls for more oil Reuters An Oil Quandary: Costly Fuel Means Costly Calories NYT China Eyes Latin American Commodities YALE Global European Stocks Fall for Sixth Straight Week; Longest Decline Since 1998 BL Rising bear mauls TSX Toronto Star Canadian benchmark stock index staggers to its steepest weekly drop in 7 years Massive demand for India's biggest share offering AFP Sinking Sterling Is Catching Dollar's Disease BL China absorbs $74.7b in overseas investment in 2007 Xinhua Chavez threatens banks over farm loans AP
International Market Roundup Citi PDF Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - 8-25 January 2008 Danske U.S. Stocks Post Steepest Weekly Decline Since 2002 Amid Faltering Economy BL Market Spotlight: Small-Cap Stock Plunge AP “They've just been torched. This has been our worst start ever."
Friday January 18 U.S. stock pressured by financials, economic woes MW Indexes end with weekly losses of at least 4%; Dow off 507 points in week Bush Proposes Stimulus Rebates of $800 for Individuals, $1,600 for Couples B Tours Factory Ambac Drops Plan to Raise Equity Capital After Stock Falls 70% in 2-Days - WaMu Cuts The Conference Board U.S. Leading Index Decreased 0.2 Percent CB Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Climbed in January, Michigan Survey Shows BL The Great Unwinding Cross Currents A delicate condition Economist Fears of both recession and inflation Looking Through the Valley to Recovery Schwab This economic cycle is likely to look like a fat “u,” not a tall “V.” Economic Presentation: Outlook 2008 CIBC PDF The Bear Market is Only Beginning Comstock Equities finally lose rosy outlook FP Rosenberg says U.S. stock markets are only halfway priced for a recession and that is with the proviso that this is, in his terms, a "plain vanilla" recession versus "rocky road." A long-time bull throws in the towel Hulbert Navellier nervous Brimelow Commentary: Dan Sullivan's model stock portfolio is now 100% in cash Bears stalk benchmarks Chicago Tribune Dow's 3-day decline worst in 5 years; problems intensify U.S. economy teeters on the brink G&M Biderman: “People are scared. They are taking their money out of stocks and running to the safety of cash." FX Trading – Where’s the Quilted Quicker Picker Upper When You Need It? Black Swan P The Great American Ponzi Scheme NY Sun The few billion needed to resuscitate the wilted Citigroup will pale when compared to the tens of trillions our federal government will need to borrow in coming decades. Bubble economics Guardian The Fed's relationship with Wall Street has led to a high-risk policy that is blowing up a recession Don’t Cry for Me, America Krugman Greenspan Put Takes New Shape as Sovereign Funds Pesek The invasion of the sovereign-wealth funds Economist Market Outlook 1Q08: Heightened Recession Risk Threatens Global Soft Landing PIMCO The Economic Outlook for 2008 FRBR (Lacker) Bush to outline stimulus plan AP Paulson predicts quick stimulus plan AP We're All Keynesians Now WSJ Ben Bernanke's Goldman-Sachs secret Salon Greenspan's Client List Needs Someone Like Me Baum Moody's cuts homebuilders' credit ratings AP Investors service slashes grades for Hovnanian, M/I Homes, and Meritage on likelihood of further losses Banks to suffer into '09 as credit crunch drags: S&P Reuters Sorting Out the New Housing Market NYT (Norris) Housing Downturn Takes A Toll On Land IBD Report: More Foreclosures Than Workouts AP $3 billion Cosmopolitan casino project faces foreclosure in Vegas AP Exposing the Southern California Housing Numbers and the DQ Special Dr. HB Wall Street’s Next Crisis: Bond Insurers? NYT Dealbook UBS Will Close a U.S. Fixed-Income Proprietary Unit After Subprime Losses BL UniCredit denies report of interest in Merrill Reuters Greenlight's Einhorn faults rating agencies on MBIA Reuters GE Fourth-Quarter Profit Advances 15% on Higher Sales of Turbines, Engines BL Schlumberger down 5% in pre-market trades after earnings MW Lehman to cut 1,300 mortgage jobs Reuters Sprint to cut 4,000 jobs GM expects $5B labor cost reduction by 2011 AP Berkshire increases railroad stake AP Wall Street Bonuses Hit Record $39 Billion for 2007 BL Insight: Anthropological insights into banking behaviour FT (Tett) Californians set to vote on massive expansion of Indian casinos CS Monitor The measures on the ballot are being hotly debated. Officials say the state needs the revenue Gold falls as dollar bounce slows demand Thomson The Panic Starts Sinclair Soaring gold price sets stage for a correction G&M Gold ETF Ramps Up Selling TheStreet China now world's largest gold producer MW Gold Futures Trading Fever Grips China Resource Investor The global grain bubble CS Monitor As prices soar, riots rise. But it's not for lack of crops. The cause? A rush to biofuel and grain-fed meat. Copper gains on inventory drawdowns G&M The end of oil is just a game CNN Retail sales fall to 13-year low on festive slump Times Online Sterling falls as consumers feel the pinch FT Failures' debts up a first time in seven years Kyodo Asia Deals: Is the Party Over? CFO Investor Pessimism Rattles Chinese Stocks Caijing China at a Policy Crossroads: Domestic Stability & the Future of Globalization B P The Rise of China and the Future of the West FAffairs Reconsidering Revaluation China property prices in major cities up 10.5% in December Xinhua China planning to launch Nasdaq-style exchange by June MW London Stock Exchange to open office in Beijing: agency AFP HSBC to seek China stock exchange listing Times Online US contagion forces Sweden to lower forecast FT Italy Backslides to Pre-Euro Economic Malfeasance Gilbert Australian stock market drops $147bn in 18 days Australian Harper dampens hopes for relief measures G&M
Thursday January 18 Washington Mutual Posts First Loss Since 1997 After $1.6 Billion Writedown BL Worst stock day of the year MW S&P slumps 3%, Dow sheds 2.5% and Nasdaq's off 2% in bloodletting Russell 2000 index drops into bear market territory Reuters Cramer Rages on Banks: 'Where's the SEC?!' CNBC When Ross Perot Calls… Newsweek “We have to go around the world with a tambourine and a tin cup." Bush, Bernanke Support Stimulus Package AP Bernanke Says Fiscal Stimulus `Could Be Helpful,' BL Testimony - CSPAN MBIA, Ambac Default Risk Rises to Record on Ratings Concern; Shares Plunge BL Philadelphia Factory Index Plunges to a 6-Year Low - Philly Fed - JClaims Down U.S. Housing Starts Drop More Than Forecast, Capping Worst Year Since 1980 BL Census Are The Levees Starting to Break? Wakefield Flashback: April 10, 05: An Economy On Thin Ice Volcker I don't know whether change will come with a bang or a whimper, whether sooner or later. But as things stand, it is more likely than not that it will be financial crises rather than policy foresight that will force the change. March 8, 1982: A Tough and Thankless Task TIME “We have handed this it, an almost impossible task, and he's doing a magnificent job of it. The people who are picking at him wouldn't know how to sit at his desk." The Education of Ben Bernanke NYT (Lowenstein) Volcker: “Too many bubbles have been going on for too long. The Fed is not really in control of the situation.” Federal Reserve Plays Russian Roulette with US$ Dorsch How Greenspan's policies hurt you MSN (Fleck) Most Americans are likely to be worse off for years to come because of the bubbles created when the former chairman ran the Federal Reserve. Bernanke Aims to Avoid Greenspan's Stimulus `Regret' BL Bernanke Is Said to Support Stimulus Measures NYT An Effort to Stem Losses at Citi Produces a Renewed Focus on Risk NYT Ben Bernanke, meet Gary Crittenden. While you’re easing credit, he is tightening it. Company analysis in a downturn FT Recession looming in US housing-boom states FT California and Florida - the biggest and fourth biggest state economies in the US - are either in recession or on the brink, many economists now believe. Under the downgrade shadow Asia Times A downgrade of US government debt, as Moody's recently indicated might be advisable, would be disastrous. America For Sale Nightly News With Brian Williams The Good News About the Recession Slate (Gross) Merrill Posts Record Loss on $15B Writedown for Failed Investments B PR Bank of NY Mellon profit plunges on exposure to assets backed by mortgages AP First Horizon swings to 4th-period loss, cuts payout 34% MW CIT Swings To 4th Quarter Loss Of $123.2M, Hurt By Charges MW Comerica profit falls 34% - PNC Net Drops 53% Novartis Profit Falls 45% - “weak performance is exclusively due to the U.S.” AP When former Harvard president Summers speaks, Congress listens AP The Economy: Five Signposts to Recovery Business Week Great Depression blogging ~ Presidential hopefuls need Econ 101 Krugman Monetary Trends, February Issue FRBSL Special Commentary: Housing Outlook 2008 Wachovia PDF The Home Equity Crisis Ahead Business Week Even banks that dodged the subprime bullet face losses from loans based on homes now at risk Americans Pay for Housing Boom's Excess AP U.S. Banks Seeing Higher Delinquencies on More Than Just Mortgage Payments Convicted Appraiser Exposes Toxic Debt Connection to Inflated Home Values BL Ambac, MBIA Face New Scrutiny From Moody's, S&P as Subprime Losses Grow BL Subprime losses widen at MUFG Asahi Bad loans threaten big Canadian banks' growth Toronto Star Wealthy may be next in line in U.S. home crisis Reuters Lenders Rethink Home-Equity Loans WSJ Mortgage meltdown: Now the rents CNN Mortgage Borrowers Voted Off Fantasy Island American Chronicle Glut Of Mall Space Headed Our Way Mish Marketing Your Home To Overseas Buyers WSJ Housing Crisis? How About Buying a House You Can Afford! My Budget 360 BlackRock's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Rise 90% After Hedge-Funds Fees Climb BL EU probes drug companies Reuters What Does Goldman Know That We Idiots Don't? Lewis No bailout for Ford, Flaherty says G&M Could U.S. bank dividend contagion spread north? G&M SWFs shopping for financial services providers worldwide DB Research Green stocks get whacked FT Goodbye Facebook, hello cheek swabs G&M High-Rise Anxiety NYP The Manhattan real estate mogul has been pounding on doors all over the world during the last eight months, trying to round up several billion dollars to refinance a massive slug of short-term debt that comes due next month. Gold Gains as Investors Return to Commodities; Platinum Rises BL Consultant GFMS predicts $1,000 gold this year MW Investors Seized by Gold Fever amid Economy Worries Spiegel The gold rally FT Sharp increases in speculative "longs" propel prices upward, but many will be waiting for a sell signal. Beware Crowds UBS We believe precious metals, agriculturals and energy all to be crowded trades - the recent performance of these three sectors has likely pulled in some momentum buyers. Deutsche Bank to Expand Commodities Staff Up to 25% BL Commodity flight in 2007 stalls at year end BMO PDF Moderating Chinese Growth: Bearish For Global Materials Stocks BCA Research One Hundred Years of Middle Eastern Oil Brandeis PDF Oil Profits Could Spark Some Backlash AP World equities heading for bear territory FT Bears prowling the FTSE 250 as it drops 21pc since May Telegraph Canada's benchmark stock index is officially in the throes of a "correction" TStar “As far as I'm concerned, the bear has begun” Australia loses $40B in sub-prime wipeout Australian Stocks close lower for a ninth day The Short View: Decoupling FT Why Europe should thank China Taipei Times China hikes bank reserve ratio to 15% Xinhua Asia Ponders Its Astounding Foreign Exchange Reserves Asia Sentinel The greatest shift of capital in world history, now washing across Asia, poses a dilemma for policymakers China up close: Understanding the Chinese economy and fi nancial system Moscow PDF Stock market plunge rattles Japenese PM Telegraph Japan's PM Yasuo Fukuda pledges to intervene if necessary to stop recession India's biggest share offer oversubscribed 13.85 times AFP China to lead IPOs again in 2008 Financial Standard Government's court order plan to protect borrowers from debt spiral Times Canadian Economy: Slower Growth in 2008 Morgan Stanley Mersch Warning of `Downside' Growth Risks May Signal Shift in ECB Stance BL Market comment: UK bankrupt despite 15 years of growth Telegraph India Is Right to Avoid Western Bank Fire Sale BL Gulf states’ foreign assets to top $2,000bn FT Xceed Mortgage swings to loss G&M The banks' £4bn protection racket Independent Ex-Yukos Executive Tells of Blackmail Moscow Times
Prices spiked 4.1 percent last year, the highest increase in 17 years CS Monitor U.S. consumers strained by price surge last year Reuters Despite signs of a slowing economy, foreign investors continued to pour money into U.S. investments. TIC
Wednesday January 16 Fed Says Economy Slowed at End of Year, With Holiday Sales `Disappointing' BL BBook Builder Confidence Virtually Unchanged In January NAHB Gold tumbles more than $20 as dollar gains MW Butler Futures Movers: Oil falls as U.S. inventories rise more than expected MW Wall Street needs to take its medicine Harrison How Wall Street broke the free market Salon U.S. December Factory Output Unchanged as Exports Offset Housing Weakness BL FED U.S. December Consumer Prices Rise 0.3%, Signaling Inflation May Be Easing BL BLS JPMorgan Profit Falls 34%, Missing Estimates, After $1.3 Billion Writedown BL PDF Wells Fargo Profit Declines 38% as More Borrowers Miss Home-Loan Payments BL Another round of earnings from banks and brokers will be arriving today Street Black boxes full of bad debt G&M “Everyone who thinks they know with any precision what any of these earnings are going to be is just kidding themselves.” Slash In Rates Expected FP Interest-rate futures are now pricing in a 54% chance of 75 basis points of cuts by the meeting at the end of the month...The Fed has not slashed rates by 75 basis points since it began announcing rate moves in 1990. The Fed's 20-Year Misguided Monetary Adventure Fake Ben Recession Theorists Confront Recession Reality Baum Chief Executives' Confidence is at a seven-year low Conference Board Comfort Index dives How January goes, so goes the year? Hulbert Bear Market In Force -- C-YA! Barbera Drop puts U.S. stocks in reach of bear market's claws Reuters For investors who worry about "head and shoulders" patterns and long-term trend lines in the three major U.S. stock indexes, U.S. stocks are on the cusp of falling into the abyss. Washington's hard case: How to juice economy WP Asian stocks lower on talk US Fed holding emergency meeting Thomson S&P hikes mortgage loss expectations, ratings eyed Reuters IndyMac Laying Off 2,403 Employees AP Ambac Will Cut Dividend, Raise $1 Billion in Capital; CEO Genader to Leave BL MBIA's Capital Need Grows as Derivatives Show Waning Confidence BL 3 risks Merrill investors face Fortune Citi's credit hangover Citi's Standing Starts To Slip Amid Losses NY Sun “Basically, the reputation of American financial firms is going to be shattered. Banking is just another industry we are going to lose our dominance in, just as we did in manufacturing." Citi and Merrill issue bail-out convertibles Finance Asia Buddy, Can You Spare a Billion? NYT Japanese banks to bail out US firms Times Online After Citi bail-out, what about UK banks? Independent Sovereign Wealth Funds: Saviors or Saboteurs? NY Sun SIV Asset Values Fall to 53% of Capital, Moody's Says BL Gordon Brown says Rock may be nationalised Times N.Rock sinks to record low on nationalisation fear Reuters Centro savaged as chief quits Australian East Europe warned on subprime fallout FT Big banks consider defying rate cut G&M Some of Canada's big banks are contemplating holding their prime rates steady in the face of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada, a move that could destabilize the country's monetary policy. Is It Safe to Buy Asset-Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP) Again? Standish PDF Shiller: New York Housing Market to Crash, Too Blodget Southern California home sales dive as buyers exit Reuters As baby boomers retire, home markets will hurt USAT The next housing downturn is already on the horizon — and it looks like it's going to be a long one. Trader Made Billions on Subprime WSJ Real Homes of Genius: Today we Salute you Calabasas Dr. HB New Job Cuts Heighten Recession Fears CFO Here comes the earnings recession Reuters A transatlantic recession in corporate earnings is an increasing possibility for 2008, setting up further disappointment for equity investors. Industry inflows slowed during fourth quarter: HFR MW But 2007 still saw record amounts of money poured into hedge funds When Blackstone Goes Private, It's Time to Buy BL Homestore CEO's fraud conviction overturned SF Chronicle SEC: Ex-PwC Pals were Inside Traders CFO Bankrupt Art Dealer Asks to Sell House for Millions NYT The current credit crunch is more than the bursting of a ‘bubble’ The Hindu “People entering the industry who want to bluff their way through a interview for that high-paying derivatives job love the Guns book – it’s a great Bluffers Guide to Derivatives” Gold in retreat from record high BBC The appeal of gold Econoday Whither India? Kitco Oil Falls on Signs of U.S. Economic Slowdown, OPEC May Increase Production BL IEA:Global Oil Market Tightening On Stock Fall,Firm Asian Demand Dow Jones More good news about Peak Oil, on the demand side Fabius Maximus Rising diesel prices smack businesses Philly Inquirer Wheat Rises as Freezing Weather May Damage U.S. Winter Crop BL Pork prices soar 70pc Standard Saudi asks SABIC not to raise fertilisers prices Reuters US recession fears hammer Asian stocks FT Hong Kong Stocks Have Biggest Drop Since Sept. 11 Attacks BL Quotable: “American financial mismanagement has brought us to this economic meltdown. Asian stock markets are all suffering; nobody has escaped.” Subprime crisis again, Sensex sheds 712 pts India Times Australia closed heavily in the red today – its eighth negative day in a row Herald Sun Footsie plummets towards 6,000 barrier ThisisMoney The recent sell-off now means UK mid-cap stocks are now officially in a bear market. House prices drop 'at fastest rate in 15 years' Telegraph Recession risk as British bills come due Reuters (Saft) Many of the excesses of the debt boom in Britain have been on par with, or even worse than, those in the United States Japan's Current-Account Surplus Widens on Investment, Exports BL Machine Orders Fall Dollar at 2 1/2-Year Low Against Yen on Widening Credit Market Losses BL China and India: New Vision, Old Tensions Business Week It's Scary We Know Nothing About Chindia Prices BL Labor unrest growing in China: activist AFP India’s chance to overtake China Asian Investor Huge demand for India's biggest share offer: banker AFP Low-income sole traders dominate stock market Xinhua Middle and low-income earners accounted for 70% of China's 136 million investors last year Bubble squared? $21.7 trillion seen in EM infrastructure investment FT Alphaville After a stellar 2007, the emerging markets are being fingered as the next emerging bubble.
Investors flee to safety as recession fears mount USAT The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index's 11.8% decline from its October high, which includes Tuesday's 2.5% plunge, is tame compared with the declines suffered in past recessions. Investors Show a Deepening Pessimism NYT
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