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Tuesday January 15 Intel Feeds the Bear Street Stocks in U.S. Tumble on Citigroup Earnings, Unexpected Retail-Sales Drop BL Wall Street to Fed: Cut rates now! CNN Bank of America Will Cut Additional 650 Jobs at Investment Banking Unit BL Buy Citigroup for a Rainy Day? Kass Applied Materials To Cut Global Staff By 1,000 Jobs, Or 7% MW Williams-Sonoma Declines Most in Five Years After Cutting Profit Forecast BL Merrill, Citigroup Get $21 Billion From Outside Investors to Boost Capital BL Wall Street banks have now received $59 billion, mostly from investors in the Middle East and Asia, to shore up balance sheets battered by more than $100 billion of writedowns Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall 0.4%- Worst Year Since 02 BL Census - PPI - Empire State Wholesale inflation shot up in 2007 by the largest amount in 26 years Citigroup Posts Record Loss, Cuts Payout, Will Get $14.5B Infusion - PR - Notes from Call The fourth quarter may be the worst earnings period for the financial industry since the Great Depression. ECB warns crashing dollar may stop Fed cuts Evans-Pritchard How To Survive In An Artificially Maintained Market Saut The inflation iceberg Livemint Economic stagnation in America results in inflation elsewhere and finally washes up on the shores of the US, too The beginning of the end of the beginning State Street PDF A contrarian take on inflation risks Hulbert The word on the Street is stagflation USAT U.S. Recession Is Bigger Risk Than China Slowdown, Malkiel Says BL Running Numbers New Yorker Subprime Nation Buchanan Too late to rescue U.S. economy? Toronto Star The rescue brigade has finally arrived, but does it know what to do? And isn't it already too late? Bush, Congress Return to Faltering Economy... BL Bernanke could be caught in tug of war over stimulus plan USAT Bernanke Backs Some Stimulus, Democratic Aide Says BL If the Fed is busy mobilising its economic weapons, why is the Bank holding back? King IMM positioning - Largest net long JPY position since end of 2004 Danske PDF What can we expect from the greenback if a U.S. recession hits? NB Financial PDF The U.S. dollar’s performance varies widely during U.S. recessions. On average it tends to weaken slightly. Greenspan joins NY hedge fund FT Paulson: “Few people, if any in the world, have the experience with, and depth of understanding of, global financial markets [of Mr] Greenspan.” Greenspan Sees U.S. as Likely In Recession, or Soon to Be WSJ Tears on Wall Street Hutchinson Recession? Stelzer Sub-Prime, Consumer and Commercial Debt will weigh on Markets in 2008; Roseman Blog The Piper Comes Calling by 2009 This is not your father's recession Kellner Stocks: Any Relief Will Be Brief Business Week Insight: The fire threatens credit insurance FT The next lot to ignite will be credit insurance in the form of credit default swaps and monoline insurance contracts. Moody's lament: Our job is too hard Salon Merrill Lynch Receives $6.6 Billion Investment From Korea, Kuwait, Mizuho BL Citi plans 'sizable' dividend cut, Journal reports MW State Street Earnings Fall 28% on Legal Costs for Subprime Mortgage Losses BL California's $49 Billion of Debt May Be Cut by Fitch BL Countrywide bankruptcy 'a malicious rumor' AP Subprime lender to file for bankruptcy AP CIBC braces for new hit G&M CS Cuts “Bigger-than-expected offering ‘does suggest that clearly there are further writedowns that are going to take place'” Credit crunch trickledown G&M Gowlings Trendwatch Centro Chief Scott Quits, Leaving U.S. Head to Refinance Mall Owner's Debt BL BOJ head: Subprime mortgage crisis had bigger-than-expected impact on Japan economy AP From credit crunch to hedge credit strategies Asian Investor Subprime or Bubble: What's the Bigger Problem? Baker Bill Ackman on MBIA & bond insurers YouTube (Bloomberg TV - Jan 11) Mortgage lending to fall 16 percent AP Real estate: Darling of 2006, busted in 2007 Asian Investor Good news and bad news for earnings CNN Sprint to lay off thousands: Report CNN Intel Faces Demand Doubt TheStreet 14 winning strategies for a bear-market recession Farrell Stocks on My Short List Kiplinger (Glassman) Ten worthy investments for 2008, culled from some of the best stock pickers in the industry. Gold, platinum near historic highs; uptrend intact Reuters Gold could soon pass the US$1,000 level Embry PDF LBMA forecast contributors see average price of $862 for gold in 2008 LBMA PDF Gold Sector Update: No Speculative Froth, Yet Saville Barbera Gold in the time of economic cholera Mogambo No austerity in Italy jewelry despite gold rise Reuters Most Commodities Overbought Bespoke Blog Chinese and U.S. Demand Drives Commodities Surge NYT Can the global commodities boom survive a U.S recession? IHT Ethanol Plant's Bust Offers a Preview to Bond Buyers Mysak From cradle to grave in one year? Quite an accomplishment! Bush urges OPEC to increase oil output G&M Saudi Arabia Will Increase Production of Crude When Justified, Naimi Says BL SEC takes fresh look at oil sands reserves G&M “It's pretty tough to get the word out [on your reserve base] if you can't recognize it on the books.” Freight Index Falling UBS Cloned Animals May Be Used to Produce Milk, Meat for U.S. Market, FDA Says BL Tokyo, Hong Kong stocks lead Asian retreat MW UK high street has echoes of 1990s recession Telegraph Food and fuel drive fastest rise in industry's costs for 16 years Times Online Food cost increase adds £750 to annual bill Telegraph “We now have falling real take-home pay, soaring food and fuel costs and rising commodity prices, which are made worse by the slide in the value of the pound” German Investor Confidence Falls More Than Expected to Lowest in 15 Years BL Japan's central bank dilemma: Raise interest rates, or lower them? IHT (Reuters) Money For Nothing Newsweek Asians are once again battling massive cash flows, but unlike in 97-98, the tide is coming in. Yuan breaks 7.25 mark against dollar Xinhua China's slowdown FT China: Thoughts at the start of 2008 Goldman Sachs PDF China's Consumer Is Stymied by Lack of Credit BL Canadian Business Outlook Survey: Losing Altitude BMO PDF China’s Holdings of U.S. Securities: Implications for the U.S. Economy CRS PDF The unsettling zeitgeist of state capitalism FT SKorean investigators raid Samsung head office: officials AFP What the Iraq war will cost the U.S. Lawrence Lindsey Discovering China on a Bicycle Platinum Quarterly PDF
Monday January 14 U.S. stocks end higher, investors cheered by IBM results MW Who Is Buying Gold? UBS IBM Rises Most in Five Years as Sales, Profit Top Estimates on New Markets BL Kass Katch: Buy the Financials. Yes, Buy TheStreet China may block $2B Citi deal - report AP Sears Lowers 4Q Outlook, Shares Fall AP Talk of emergency rate cut hits dollar FT Gold hits record above $910; platinum, silver surge Reuters FX Trading – New dollar low in the cards? Black Swan PDF The US dollar is getting smoked this morning... Interest Rates for Dollars Drop Before Fed Auction by Most Since Sept. 19 BL The Fed is offering cash in the first of two $30 billion emergency-cash injections. It is Hard to Imagine What Markets Are Hoping For Wells Fargo PDF Past, Present and Future Hussman We've run out of bubbles MSN (Fleck) The US economy and Bernanke's economics Jackson Is 2008 the year the markets crash? AME The scent of a rat: 2008's nasty side G&M The deflation time bomb Whitney Americans Cut Back Sharply on Spending NYT There are mounting anecdotal signs that beginning in December Americans cut back significantly on personal consumption Group Sees Slower 2008 Retail Growth AP NRF Press Release The final 2007 figure will not be known until Tuesday Goldman sees more softness in US consumption Reuters The Recession’s Regulatory Causes Rozeff A perfect storm door against a U.S. recession? CS Monitor President Bush Evokes President Bush in Considering Stimulus or Stalemate BL Kyl: “I am not aware of any time that rebates, just dropping money out of airplanes, have done any good” Responding to Recession Krugman Whiz's 'Surprises' May Come True Dorfman Deriding Deriving: Theory versus Reality Sprott PDF Two new data points have recently been released that lend credence to our belief that the global growth of financial derivatives continues to run out of control. Catching Falling Daggers Winter Blog Collision Course! Investech (Free sign-up required) This is not merely a subprime crisis FT Wall Street's Latest $35 Billion Writedown Puts Squeeze on Profits in 2008 BL Citigroup write-offs could reach $24 billion, 20,000 jobs at risk MW MBIA, Ambac: Dead Men Walking Naked Capitalism Countrywide employees are nervous LA Times Kuwait's $200 billion fund keeps mum on Citi, Merrill Reuters MBIA Forced to Pay 14 Percent Yield on Surplus Bonds BL Passing The Devalued Buck Schiff Bush's mortgage-freeze plan sets a disturbing precedent. What's next, a moratorium on car payments? American banks set for further big write-downs Independent Big lenders begin to find stable ground CS Monitor Stronger financial institutions are purchasing weaker ones. Behind Bank of America's big gamble WSJ Spain feels the credit squeeze pain FT £50bn bill to 'nationalise' Northern Rock Telegraph Banks gloomy on debt outlook FT Anna Schwartz blames Fed for sub-prime crisis Telegraph U.S. mayors face test of spreading foreclosures Reuters Current market leaves home sellers nostalgic for 2006 LA Times Housing gridlock in Will County: Buyers are scared, sellers stuck Chicago Tribune So what's the incentive? Builders ask Chicago Tribune Cleveland sues 21 banks over wave of foreclosures AP Lennar's New Homes Fetch 60% Less as U.S. Market Slump Deepens BL FBI: Housing scams more than double USAT IBM impresses with earnings CNN Analysts increasingly wary on 4Q07 earnings results: survey Reuters Credit Suisse, for first time this decade, overweights U.S. MW Painful effects of a powerful force FT The simple reason why investors in both funds lost pretty much everything is that the debt taken on by the funds to boost their returns is barely a fraction of the leverage story. So We Thought. But Then Again . . . NYT Bill Gross: 5 Picks for 2008 - Barron's Seeking Alpha Options Bonanza Grows on Record Trading as U.S. Stocks Nosedive BL SEC probing Merrill on "front running": report Reuters Can Accounting Principles Survive the Mortgage Crisis? CFO 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb warns traders to look out for the improbable Chicago Tri The Second Great Depression? CNN Video -- The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression Amazon Gold, Platinum Rise to Records in London on Declining Dollar; Silver Gains BL Gold rush on despite high price Times of India Gold demand low as prices soar to alltime high Reuters Gleam in gold investors' eyes hints at mania AP “Nobody knows what the next target is for gold” BBC I like silver Russell Why We Can’t Stop $100 Oil Newsweek (Gross) The Spillover Effect of $100 Oil Business Week Oil Prices Rises Above $93 a Barrel AP Oil price: it's all about the supply MoneyWeek Myths About Breaking Our Foreign Oil Habit WP Gas prices back up a dime CNN Copper gains on supply tightness in China, stockpile decline Thomson Chicago corn soars above $5 on bullish data Reuters Asia ends mostly lower after volatile session MW Euro Rises to Six-Week High on Bets Fed to Cut Benchmark Rate Below ECB's BL Britain's Producer-Price Inflation Accelerates to Fastest Pace Since 1991 BL Bonello Says Inflation May Slow to 2% by End of Year BL China's Growth-Slowing Efforts May Kick In at Worst Time for World Economy BL China Makes New Anti-Inflation Move AP Ex-minister warns on German economy FT UK high street has echoes of 1990's recession Bootle China and India are heading for the top of the world Independent But along the way the climb will become treacherous Brace for a bubble India Times Saudis urged to revalue riyal FT China + Citigroup + Alwaleed = Brave New World Pesek Sovereign Wealth Funds to see another boom in 2008 Xinhua Dubai's $600m hub in US 'corridor of shame' FT Firms face toxic mix of rising prices and falling profits Times Online EADS chief looks to US to avoid euro 'torture Evans-Pritchard Business scandals teach lesson few in Japan learn Japan Times Chinese cars headed for Canada at cut-rate prices G&M
Economists see no quick fix for U.S. downturn IHT (NYT) Economy's stable leg starts to totter WSJ Odds Are Growing for Economic Recession AP
Weekend Edition (Jan 12-13). Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Bank earnings to be hit as mortgage woes spread MW Mortgage Crisis to Corporate Debt Crisis Noland What are They Thinking? Mauldin PDF It's Inflation Stupid Schiff The Economy and Inflation Nuveen PDF So - Where Is the Fed? Harding Some Debt Trends Are Good. This Isn’t One of Them NYT (Norris) Symptoms of Global Transition Hahn PDF Paulson: Economy Slowed `Materially,' Stimulus Package Should Be Quick BL Some Fear Economic Stimulus Is Already Too Late NYT The Need For An Open-Ended Commitment BCA Research Compass Maritime: “The tanker and bulk charter markets have followed the USA stock market with big declines during the past several weeks.” Monetary Policy Flexibility, Risk Management, and Financial Disruptions Mishkin U.S. Financial Data, January 11 Issue FRBSL FS Newshour Financial Sense (Audio Files) Larry, Curly, Moe and the Economy NYT (Stein) U.S. Home Prices: How Low Will They Go? BMO Focus PDF We estimate a “fair” price by assuming that values, instead of soaring in the 2002-05 boom and falling in the 2006-07 bust, rose at a “normal” long-run rate relative to inflation and income. A Historical Perspective on Housing Downturns FRBB Fears About Economy Increase WP Debt Crisis Grows; Top Mortgage Firm Sold at a Bargain Bill Ackman, Up 22% in 2007, Boosts Bet Against MBIA BL Stock slump the latest of Beazer's woes Charlotte Observer Hovnanian: Housing Slump Is Nearing Bottom CNBC Centro lenders jumpy on talks Australian Shares suspended from trading amid concerns its listed shopping centre empire is on the verge of collapse. Law Makes Debt Relief Harder for Homeowners NYT Mozilo of Countrywide May Collect $83 Million After Takeover Is Completed BL Bank of America’s Chief Makes Big Bet NYT Rolls-Royce to axe up to 2,300 jobs worldwide AFP Inquiry Focuses on Withholding of Data on Loans NYT Jury convicts ex-pastor for luring investors to illegal hedge fund Rocky MN The time to buy stocks is now - Buffett MoneyWeb HUI and Stock Bears 2 Zeal Five Things: Gold G&M As gold traders eye $1,000, inflation stirs the pot MW Commodities soar as cash wave hits Times Commodity run has legs, guru says Edmonton Times The crude fact: Everyone's thirsty G&M EU Regulators Say Meat, Milk From Cloned Animals Safe to Consume BL Recession fears as manufacturing drops Times Bankers throw in the towel over Rock Telegraph The pitfalls of China's rough capitalism AP Index plunges after Beijing freezes prices Standard Japan: Risk is on the downside for our consumption outlook CSFB PDF Pound falls to all-time low against euro ThisisMoney More gloom ahead for sterling FT How Much Assets Could SWFs Farm Out? Morgan Stanley GCC equities: The paradigm shift Bahrain Tribune
Stocks in U.S. Decline on Growth Concern in Worst Start to Year Since 1982 B U.S. Dollar Themes for 2008 Citi Global Economy This Week CSFB PDFs Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - 11-18 January 2008 Danske PDFs
Friday January 11 Saudi Prince, China bank to invest in Citigroup: report MW Stocks Take A Tumble MW Homepage Dow industrials down 5%, Nasdaq off 8% since start of year Kass: They Have No Idea How Weak Economy Is TheStreet Gold tops $900 on rate-cut speculation MW What next for gold? MW Stop obsessing about us, Fed's Mishkin pleads MW Ex-Fed Moskow-FOMC likely to be bold on rate cuts Reuters Weak December retail sales spark 2008 concern MW U.S. Trade gap widens on surge in oil imports MW Census Consumer Confidence Sinks to Record Low AP Recession talk is rising Economist Global Economic & Capital Markets Forecasts 2008 IIF PDF File Poll: Bears Exceed Bulls by Most in 17 Years BL AAII The Stages of a Bear Market Comstock Generally bear markets go through three psychological phases - denial, concern and capitulation. Grandich predicts long bear market FP Poor Start For S&P 500 In 2008 May Echo 1973 Decline FP Merrill says stocks won't stabilise until second quarter Reuters Dugan reckons its clients should retain cash in their portfolios to buy undervalued assets next year. The Dreaded 'P' Word Is Cropping Up Dorfman Market action speaks louder than words Toronto Star A morsel to feed the bears FT Uncle Sam's credit FT Imagine a world in which US Treasuries, the global benchmark for yields, were not regarded as absolutely rock solid. ECB and Fed lay out sharply different paths IHT Central Banks Dance in Denial on Stagflation BL Democrats Push Economic Stimulus Plan AP Citigroup’s Rubin supports $100B stimulus plan USAT Rubin Rethinks If, When, How: A Primer on Fiscal Stimulus Brookings Stimulus Unlikely to Counter Rise in Oil Prices WP Fed Chief Bernanke Signals Rate Cut to Rescue Wall Street Dorsch The governor's budget cuts nearly every state department SF Chronicle Minsky’s Cushions of Safety: Levy Systemic Risk and the Crisis in the U.S. Subprime Mortgage Market Giant Write-Down Is Seen for Merrill NYT The $15 billion loss would far exceed the $12 billion hit many on Wall Street are forecasting BofA to Buy Countrywide for $4B in Stock AP Countrywide Credit Risk Plunges After Bank of America Agrees to Buy Lender B Countrywide seeks rescue deal WSJ “From the Countrywide stockholder perspective, this is manna from heaven” Powerhouses Look Abroad to Raise Capital AP Sovereign wealth funds already have invested about $27 billion in Merrill, Citi, Switzerland's UBS AG and Morgan Stanley. The fact Merrill and Citi are going back for seconds indicates that the credit crisis might be taking a bigger toll on Wall Street than initially expected. UBS Predicts Difficult Year, Asks Investors to Back $12 Billion Investment BL Bank May Buy Troubled Giant in Home Loans NYT Northern Rock sells assets to repay Bank Reuters Darling: Rock faces nationalisation Times Housing: No room for bulls CNN Stepping beyond subprime Economist Only Panglossians think that the sector is over the worst US sub-prime mortgage crisis Yam Orlando-area home prices drop 10.4% in a year Orlando Sentinel Lex: US property rents FT How a nasty rumour can ruin an investor's day G&M Man suffers high redemptions FTA LBO Firms Paid Wall St. Bankers 38% Less in Fees as Takeovers Dried Up BL Hedge funds square off with Nexen G&M Slow Death for GAAP: Cox CFO Buffett Resumes BNI Stock Buys, Adding to Stake Every Day This Week CNBC The rout in REITs spells opportunity for investors G&M Government seeks to restore a conviction HChron Gold steadies above 890 usd after hitting record high overnight Thomson Gold Forecasts Raised by Goldman Sachs on Weaker Dollar Outlook BL Shanghai market for gold futures off to a flying start FT Traders warned that the Shanghai premium was a reflection of the lack of connectivity betweenthe Shanghai market and the London-based over-the-counter gold market, rather than a signal of the likely direction of world prices. Good news about Global Oil Production! Fabius Maximus Blog Commodities: Boom or Gloom? Business Week Commodities to Remain `Supported,' Goldman Says BL Incredible Inedible Ethanol Mogambo Japan’s Cheese Cake Factory forced to close by churning price of milk Times East Asian dairies are trying to cope with the soaring cost of milk. Investors melt down Alumina Australian The latest victim of a strong Australian dollar and weak aluminium prices Losses accelerate in Tokyo, Seoul on subprime fears MW China's 2007 trade surplus soars to $262.2-billion G&M Boom-bust line raises worries of contraction Kyodo Japan's Merchant Sentiment Falls to Five-Year Low BL Japan's forex reserves hit fresh all-time high: government AFP Revaluation by Stealth Economist China is allowing its currency to rise more rapidly. Why? China Can No Longer Procrastinate on Rates, Yuan Pesek BOC: China's economic growth to slow down in 2008 Xinhua Canada Unexpectedly Shed 18,700 Jobs on Factories BL Rising risk of a US recession – time for caution AMP Capital PDF Saudis search for inflation scapegoat FT Saudis Boycott Products to Fight Price Rise Arab News Who's Afraid of Mideast Money? Business Week The real insanity in our financial crisis ThisisMoney
Thursday January 10. U.S. stocks rally as Bernanke talk settles in MW American Express To Take 4th Quarter Charge Of $275M Charge MW Countrywide Shares Soar on Speculation Bank of America Will Acquire Lender B Move might come before next formal meeting, economists say MW Gold rallies to new record high on Bernanke comments MW Bernankke: More `Policy Easing May Well Be Necessary' - Text “Based on that evaluation...we stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks.” Rate on 30-year fixed's at lowest in over two years: Freddie Mac MW Retailers Had Weak Sales in December AP Wall St. on Bernanke watch CNN JClaims Drop For Bernanke, a Question of Toughness NYT Prices edge up ahead of Bernanke speech Reuters Bernanke May Be Forced to Lower Interest Rates by 50bps B The Fed's Message Is Getting Lost in Translation Baum Blue Chip: Recession fears are growing Reuters Camilli: “100% certainty" America is in a recession NY Sun Recession or Depression? Rockwell Economists fret about rerun of that '70s show: stagflation Star-Ledger Possible Recession Winner: The Dollar Forbes S&P: Time to Play Defense S&P BCA's "Outlook" For 2008 & Beyond Investor Insight Economy Weakening; Are More Rate Cuts Far Behind? John Burns Recapping GDP Data for 2001 Northern Trust PDF The $1.4 Trillion Question The Atlantic The Chinese are subsidizing the American way of life. Are we playing them for suckers—or are they playing us? Emerging markets hold key to oil and dollar moves FT FX Crossroads: New year, new worries Danske PDF A Scary Tidbit Naked Capitalism Jittery? Mistrustful? Join the club G&M Greenspan's 'Superstar' Status at Risk as Recession Risks Grow BL Citi sees “terminal decline” for banks ‘modern business models FT Alphaville Credit Card Debt Soars as House Prices Plunge Baker “The current rate of house price decline will destroy $2.2 trillion of wealth this year." Credit and The Real Economy: Interplay and Risk, Part II Wachovia PDF Freddie's Financial Strength Rating May Be Cut by Moody's Amid Losses BL Citigroup, Merrill seek fresh capital injections MW Subprime Folly's Lasting Effects on Wall Street BL Bear Stearns Is Closing Asset-Backed Hedge Fund After 39% Loss Last Year BL Bank of America's Countrywide trap Fortune Capital One Slashes 2007 Profit Forecast by 20% as Loan Losses Increase BL Hapoalim Writes Down $380 Million on SIVs, Bonds, Expects Quarterly Profit BL Regulators start informal probe into MBIA MW Tarnished credit rating firms cut jobs Guardian Search for Middle East cash to rescue Northern Rock Guardian Slump in confidence hits Persimmon Independent ASIC summons Centro for talks Australian $1bn hit to banks from US Australian How a credit crunch may hurt the world economy CS Monitor The health of banks has become one of the biggest financial uncertainties for 08 Britain ‘at particular risk from credit crunch’ Times Credit crunch squeezes finance firms at fastest rate for 16 years icWales Swan discusses credit crunch with Paulson West Australian Ghost Malls Slate (Gross) Is retail real estate about to crash? New Blows Hit Housing Industry WSJ Will foreclosures spark an arson boom? Fortune Foreclosures strain condo buildings Miami Herald Keeping the Housing Slump at Bay NYT Lex: Calpers and Silver Lake FT The credit crunch has raised legitimate questions about the future for private equity, but Calpers is having none of it. Among V.C.’s, Talk of a Bubble Arises NY Dealbook Tony Blair joins JP Morgan BBC Buffett’s Berkshire Insures First Bonds Bond Buyer Toyota sales rise challenge to GM BBC Air Travelers’ Woes Likely to Worsen This Year NY Times Sears asks workers to take unpaid leaves G&M UPS CEO says risk of recession looms AP Accounting backlash FT Dolly Parton dinner theater suddenly closes, angering employees AP Money makes this museum go 'round USAT Gold falls but holds near record high; targets $900 Reuters Gold futures add luster to Shanghai China Daily A new gold rush may be in the offing as its price skyrockets Winnipeg Sun Ron Paul: Get Back to Gold TheStreet “Our central banks around the world colluded over the last 10 to 20 years...” Why oil prices are stubbornly high CS Monitor Tough to pump more oil, even at $100 Reuters Oil price to stay above $100 in the long-term Asian Investor An Interview With Matthew Simmons Casey The Geopolitics of Energy: From Security to Survival Brookings PDF Oil 'supermajors' 10 years on FT Tata Car will pressure crude prices upwards Livemint Copper prices slip on recession fears G&M Chile Says Copper Price to Slide Amid Global Surplus BL BOE Holds Times Online ECB Holds MW Japan, Hong Kong Fall, But India Sets Record Dow Jones Inflationary threat looms as tide of cheap Chinese goods dries up Times Online China Commands the Economic Waves to Stop Asia Sentinel Goldman Says Japan Recession Risk at `Danger Level' BL Once avid savers, Japanese saving less: government AFP Architect of Hong Kong dollar peg defends the policy Asian Investor Ecuador President Correa Says Using Dollar as Currency Has Slowed Growth B The pain in Spain will fall mainly on the South Med coast FTA Slump in Canadian housing triggers warning G&M Canada could ride out global gloom FP Chilean Stocks Tumble on Inflation, Pension Selloff BL Chile, the world's biggest copper producer, met the definition for a ``bear'' market, as the index fell more than 20 percent from an October peak. PM tells banks to pass on rate cuts ThisisMoney Despite the unprecedented warning, lenders said they were under no obligation to pass on the cuts. Lone Star Chief to Testify in Stock Manipulation Trial Chosun Pakistan's paradox: bombs, blood and record profits Reuters
Wednesday January 9. Alcoa Profit Increases 76%, Beating Estimates, on Gain From Sale of Unit BL Stocks Bounce, but Recession Fears Linger S&P Gold futures end up after setting new record high MW Crude falls on concerns U.S. may fall into recession MW Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway May Invest in Bond Insurers, Ajit Jain Says BL Goldman warns of worse newspaper fate in recession Reuters Auto Companies Tumble to New Lows on Worries About Recession AP Home-builder stocks hammered again MW Money Supply Trends Are Deflationary Mish Kass: Help on the Way? TheStreet Countrywide Concerns Mount TheStreet Poole: Let’s review the five major mistakes creating the subprime mess FRBSL Corporate Default Risk in U.S. Rises for Sixth Day as CDX Reaches a Record B MBIA Slashes Dividend, Plans to Raise $1 Billion to Stave Off Ratings Cut BL Goldman Says U.S. Economy Slipping Into Recession BL How to Cure a Debt Hangover Fleck 4th Quarter Review and Outlook Hoisington PDF Declines stir talk of bear market LA Times With most major stock indexes now down more than 10% from their 2007 highs -- the sharpest such "correction" in at least five years -- some veteran analysts are raising the specter of a full-on bear market. Stocks off to worst start ever USAT Nearly 1,000 of the stocks in the broad S&P 1500, which contains shares of small, midsize and large companies, are in a bear market Fed divisions over discount rate WSJ Bernanke Has a Volcker Moment RealClear Fed talk leaves investors no less fearful about a US recession BofNY Policymakers Face New Dilemmas to Control Global Inflation in 2008 ABernstein Stagflation: Have We Got It Again? ING Weekly U.S. stimulus: Consumer cash or business breaks? Reuters “It took Congress 51 weeks to pass an alternative minimum tax patch that then expired 10 days later. No way this Congress could enact meaningful economic stimulus in a timely manner" FX Trading – Stimulus coming, but a mixed bag still BSwan Why Washington Can't Stop Recession Forbes Stimulate the Economy, Don't Play Politics With It WP Schwarzenegger wants amendment for budget powers AP Warns of painful cuts Small Business Optimism Falls to 1993 Low Reuters Poorer Countries to Offset US Slowdown AP World Bank “Developing countries, if you add them all up now, are basically the same size as the United States” Global Risks 2008 World Economic Forum PDF Elephants and Market Stabilisers Saville The cornered rat defense Mogambo Will Work for Taxes This Credit Crunch Has Bite: Part I - Part II Minyanville (Das) U.S. MBA's Mortgage Applications Index Surged 32% BL Housing: A Fresh Jolt of Bad News Business Week As housing slumps, realtors quit CS Monitor 'House Lust' Hits Home WP Hub Fed chief: Housing prices might plunge Boston Herald Housing Slump to Continue: Fannie CEO AP Ambac Now Has a Municipal Bond Issue to Worry About Mysak Will there be an Ambac if or when this particular municipal bond issue taps out? E*Trade Financial sells $3 billion mortgage securities Reuters Citigroup Combining Mortgage Operations Into One Unit NYT Barclays ousts co-president of investment bank Times Online Investors brace for bad bank earnings as credit crisis rolls on CNN Morgan Stanley, Citi, Merrill Spun by Reality BL Whither Bear Stearns FT Alphaville May become takeover target amid unrest Moody's Cuts Ratings On 46 Tranches Of Bear Deals Calculated Risk Credit squeeze woes open the way for Buffett FT Leverage levels unsustainable Financial News DuPont Says 2007 Earnings at `Upper End' of Forecast, Raises 2008 Outlook B Buffett Makes 1st Foray in Muni Bond Insuring-Sources Reuters Regulator urged Berkshire to enter bond insurance FT Vulture Fund Founder Singer Helps Back Giuliani Bid BL Morgan Stanley to withdraw from China joint venture: report AFP Trouble at Starbucks Economist Lex: US corruption crackdown FT Retirement tips for Bill Gates FP YouTube Clinton, McCain score stunning wins in New Hampshire MW China's gold futures jumps to daily limit up upon debut Xinhua The flipside of gold's record rise G&M Insight on gold's record, with Dennis Gartman CNBC Video Advice for cashing in on gold's rise AP Platinum hits new record high at 1,561 usd an ounce Thomson Another Nail in the Coffin of the Case Against Peak Oil Simmons PDF Oil Prices Rise to Near $97 a Barrel AP Rubber futures fall on weak global market Reuters Diamond find in Nunavut sparks trading frenzy FP China to Cap Energy, Utility Prices to Cool Inflation BL Asian Stocks Rise Most in Six Weeks; Miners, Drugmakers Climb BL Yen Declines Most in 2-Weeks as Japanese Investors Seek Higher Returns BL Asia's Self-Inflicted Wounds May End the Fun Pesek From Seoul to Bangkok, Asia is awash in instances of policy failures that may imperil the region's ability to withstand a global recession. Asia to follow serfin' USA? Asia Times Downgrading India and China: Tigers or Kittens? IHT Warning on shockwaves from US crisis Australian Is America Slouching Towards Protectionism? Spiegel Inma Bank seeks $2.8 bln in largest Saudi IPO Reuters Early Hong Kong placements attract solid demand Finance Asia Macquarie re-opens Chinese IPO fund Asian Investor Competition for Chinese IPOs Heats Up Business Week China Drives IPO Upswing CFO The number of Chinese IPOs nearly quadrupled from 2006 to 2007, Russian Growth Is Stalked by Inflation Demons Lachman Marks & Spencer Plunges Most in 19 Years on Holiday Sales Drop BL Revealed: a new bank rip-off Independent Europe's little 'Smart' car to hit U.S. streets CS Monitor Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 Car NYT
Jan 7: Recession a reality Merrill PDF
Tuesday January 8. Gold breaks new ground AP Bloomberg: ”Gold is acting like the currency of last resort. There's no place to go with that paranoid money. Gold is attracting that paranoid money. Gold is sexy to own.” Globe & Mail: Bullion, which is closing in on the $900 an ounce level, gets a lift after being labelled the new global currency Stocks plunge in late trading; Dow down 238 ~ Street. Market sinks as AT&T stirs recession fear Reuters Airline stocks, sensitive both to rising oil prices and signs of economic slowdown, were hammered. Nov. consumer credit up $15.5 billion FRB AT&T Faces `Softness' in Consumer Unit as Economy Slows BL Countrywide Denies Bankruptcy Imminent AP Countrywide Shares Decline Most Since 87 Amid Speculation on Bankruptcy BL E-Trade at All-Time Low Amid Fears Brokerage Needs More Capital Avon Calling for Layoffs TheStreet Dow, S&P treacherously close to major trendshift MW Realtors Group Sees Flat Sales in '08 AP NAR Pending Home Sales Drop More Than Forecast as Slump Deepens BL NAR KB Home sees tough '08 for industry AP Bush convenes Plunge Protection Team Evans-Pritchard Paulson hints at more mortgage aid AP Paulson Says `No Evidence' U.S. Housing Decline Is Bottoming Out BL America's inflated asset prices must fall FT (Roach) Pyramids Crumbling PIMCO (Gross) Stagflation waiting in the wings Stiglitz Economists who make the recession call Independent Is Recession Now in the Price? Berner Recession in the US 'has arrived' BBC Recession Naysayers Hold Out TheStreet Stocks: The Bear Is Growling Business Week S&P thinks the Fed is running out of time to prevent a real decline in the equity markets The S&P 500 and Economic Recessions NTrust PDF Uncertainty Reigns Stelzer A stormy economic forecast, at least for the first half of the year. Eroding Western living standards Hutchinson Economy Headed Towards Stagflation Bonner Is Hank Paulson as Bearish as Roubini? Roubini Blog Plosser: Economy to improve before rate cuts hit MW Speech Don't be a sitting duck or the bear will eat you MW US credit cards FT NA Outlook: New Year, Old Baggage BMO PDF The April AMT Shock Levy Many middle-income earners will find themselves unprepared for the coming surprise in April. Bond Issue Could Spark Credit Markets Back to Life CFO Junk Bond Defaults to Rise Fivefold in 2008 From 26-Year Low, Moody's Says B BOJ's Fukui calls for central bank cooperation at time of turbulence AP Warning that a crisis in one country could now easily spill over into others Mortgage-Related Losses: Banks In For Rough Times? CNBC Citigroup May Take $16 Billion Subprime Writedown, Merrill Analyst Says BL Credit turmoil engulfs Jefferies BL Victoria Finance SIV Debt Cut to Junk After Asset Values Tumble BL Lawsuit by city targets lender Baltimore Sun TD shares hit by subprime speculation G&M KB Home posts fourth-quarter loss Reuters Hedge fund piles pressure on Northern Rock board Guardian Bankrupted company leaves buyers homeless NYT Massive Inventory Decrease in S.California. Is This the Fabled Bottom? DR. HB Housing on the Way Up, Why Not the Way Down? EW The question of bailouts begins to hit home Orlando Sentinel Bear Stearns CEO Cayne Plans to Resign After Subprime Losses BL Starbucks sacks chief executive BBC Microsoft bids $1.2 billion for Fast Reuters Circuit City Sales Tumbled in December Dow Jones JPM, Renaissance Hedge Funds Fell in '07, as Rival Managers Rose 10% BL Executive suite not afraid of bears yet Hulbert GM: Gentlemen, start your turnaround Fortune Fraud Trial Focuses on Insurance Giants NYTD Gold Climbs to Record on Higher Oil Prices, Weakening Dollar BL Gold is off to its best start to the year since 1980. Russell “There's extraordinary investor appetite for gold which seems relentless†Reuters Chinese investors favour gold, but fear futures Reuters Gold is the new global currency FT Global Economy: The Oil Tax BCAR Long Term Oil Price Forecast DnB NOR PDF Squeezed food producers FT Iron Ore Prices May Gain on Vale Halt to Shipments From Port BL Palm oil panic buying sparks new year fears Times Tokyo switches course; Hong Kong, China end lower MW Japan: Credit Crunch Coming Morgan Stanley UK house price growth slowest for a decade Times India's Future May Depend on Eggs and Condoms BL India's benchmark share index crosses record 21,000 points AFP The Sensex story: From 1K to 21K Rediff US recession will hurt us: analysts Australian The Australian economy could be harder hit by the faltering US economy plunging into recession than first thought, analysts warned yesterday Economy may be doubly damned SMH Among the many things to be thankful for this new year is that you're not a central banker. Dodge flags `downside risks' Toronto Star Sting in the tail of roaring Asian dragons Times December CPI likely to slow down Xinhua Chinese Currency Exchange Impacts the Supply Chain Industry Week Emerging Markets Briefer - US recession fears Danske PDF UK living standards to overtake the US for the first time in over a century Oxford P
Monday January 7. Stocks End Mixed in Shaky Trading AP Bush, Paulson Detect `Mixed' Signals as Stimulus Steps Considered B U.S. economy in recession, Merrill's Rosenberg says MW No quick announcement of fiscal stimulus: Paulson MW Citigroup Seen Cutting Work Force by 5%-10% CNBC CIBC Ousts Top Investment Banker, Risk Manager Following Writedowns BL Krispy Kreme CEO Resigns AP What's Ahead – More Selling or Rock Bottom? Schaeffers Minding the Hinges on Pandora's Box Hussman Jim Rogers Predicts U.S. Will Enter Recession, the Worst One `in a While' BL Japan Ghosts of Bubbles Past Haunt U.S. in 2008 Pesek Feldstein Says Odds of Recession Are More Than 50% After Jobs Report BL Fed's `Inflation Problem' Gets Some Ad Hoc Help Baum Why America must have a fiscal stimulus FT (Summers) Stephen King: It's the economy again, stupid ... here we go again King Not even a Bush New Deal can hold back the post-bubble tide Evans-Pritchard As economy lags, what levers to pull? CS Monitor Three reasons why the US faces recession in 2008 MoneyWeek Market Bears See Problems for Start of 2008 Dorfman Will the bull market survive the storm? CS Monitor The Great Depression and forecasting -- still getting it wrong Jackson Courting disaster Mogambo Some Big Turkeys Revisited Winter Blog Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? NBER PDF An International Historical Comparison CDS report: Gloomy market takes a breather FT Alphaville Credit crunch hits financial incomes Independent Subprime disease a traded infection Asia Times 'Subprime' named US word of the year AP Hawaiian Homes developer bankrupt Honolulu Advertiser Housing reversal shoves economy to brink Palm Beach Post Watchdog Probes Wall Street's Role in the Mortgage Industry WSJ US housing market and recession: Robert Shiller gets it wrong Jackson Burt Reynolds Again Slashes The Price for His Florida Home WSJ The Market Braces for the Boomers WSJ Will the baby boomers' retirement cause the stock market to go bust? Wall Street Peddles Blank-Check IPOs With Returns Trailing S&P 500 Index BL Goldman BRIC Strategy Is Full of Potential Traps BL Warren Buffett and the insurance case Telegraph The reputation of the Sage of Omaha looks set to be dragged though the courts this week Testing Investors' Faith in State Street NYT (Free Reg) The McLatte? McDonald's Tries to Tackle Starbucks Reuters Hedging Their Way to Billions NYT DealBook Wikipedia founder launches search engine FT Gates bids farewell to tech gathering MW Flight to gold as investors lose faith in money Telegraph Gold bugs savor Christmas cheer Brimelow Oil $200 Options Increase 10-Fold in Cheapest Bet on Higher Crude Prices BL Commodity price surge powered by supply-demand tension AFP Solar power systems arrive in more stores USAT Commodity stocks lead sharp declines throughout most of Asia MW Taiwan Stock Index Plunges 4 Percent AP U.K. Commercial Property Investors May Suffer Biggest Losses in 25 Years BL Lex: China’s monetary policy FT China stocks going for gold as Olympics loom MW Crackdown on illegal share issues China Daily Banner year for emerging market inflows Asia Investor Net inflows to emerging market funds nearly doubled to $40.83 billion in 2007. Economic Confidence in Europe Falls to 21-Month Low; Inflation Accelerates BL Is this the big one? Guardian It is 15 years since Britain last suffered a recession. But... ’Invest in Bonds in Times of Financial Turbulence’ Korea Times Sainsbury’s misses targets Times Online Tuna sells for record 55,700 dollars in Japan AFP Iranian boats "provoke" U.S. Navy ships in Hormuz: CNN Reuters
Weekend Edition (Jan 5-6). Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Forecast 2008: Recession and Recovery Mauldin PDF Eyes Wide Shut Schiff Issues 2008 Noland Critical Macro Investment Themes for 2008 Berner Pimco's Gross Says Fed May Not Avoid a Recession BL Former Fed Official Reinhart Says Jobless Level May Prompt Bigger Rate Cut B Fed policy views split due to uncertainty: Kohn Reuters Goldman, JP Morgan see Fed cutting 50 bps in January Reuters 8 Big Questions for ’08 BMO Focus PDF Schwab Market Perspective Schwab Not a Good Start to the New Year! Harding Restest Still In Progress Swenlin Have You Got the Hesitation Blues? North From the horse's mouth: Financial forecasts a mug's game G&M Administration Considering Tax Cuts AP How Bush may boost the economy ECB Trichet: Money Market Tensions Receded But Still Significant DJ Bank of Canada sees credit squeeze easing G&M Statement California Leads Borrowing Cost Rise on Housing Slump BL Real estate means real economic risks OCRegister Manhattan home prices: Still crazy CNN Subprime meltdown Washington Times Analysis: Greenspan off the beam on subprime mortgages AP Investors May See Dividends Disappear AP Dividends in Financial Services Sector Likely to Be Casualties of Tightening Credit Markets What will we do if big two go bust? Baltimore Sun How Long Will Corporate Profits Slump? NYT The Appetite for Securities Turns Less Hearty NYT (Norris) Citi's Dividend Under Pressure TheStreet Negroponte on Intel's $100 laptop pullout Fortune Alaska taps TransCanada for pipeline G&M Charlies sue the chocolate factories AP Man admits Ponzi scheme Baltimore Sun Rep. Baker considers leaving Congress AP ETFs Stoke Investors' Gold Fever WSJ US$1,100 gold will look like a bargain, analyst says FP Call It Heavy Metal Forbes Forget oil, the new global crisis is food FP OPEC Producing Adequate Oil, Can't Be Blamed for Record Price, Khelil Says B Goodyear raising tire prices 7% in North America Reuters U.S. Commodity Markets: What's Hot and What's Not Global Insight Interest Rises In Uranium Recovery Ledger Gloomy economic outlook Japan Times TSE chief warns Japan losing appeal among investors AFP China Autos: Chery Keeps Accelerating Business Week China's consumption to hit record low Xinhua French Inflation Poised to Accelerate, Fueled by Commodities, Lagarde Says BL Chancellor to limit BoE to advisory role Telegraph Darling to hand Bank of England's intervention powers to FSA after perceived failings during Northern Rock crisis Say so long to diversification in the new global market FP Girding for bear market Toronto Star Meet one of Bay Street's biggest bears. Dollar pegging risky: Experts Bahrain Tribune Gulf investors buy 29 percent of Victoria Oil Reuters Fiddling the Stradivarius Market Spiegel In Chinese Factories, Lost Fingers and Low Pay NYT Macau's big gamble Toronto Star It's already topped Las Vegas with $7 billion in casino revenue, and the sky seems to be the limit... M&S reveals Christmas blues Times Losing an Edge, Japanese Envy India’s Schools NYT Kenya's crisis another blow for African investments Reuters The Invisible Hand of Globalization YALEGlobal
International Roundup: Three Transitions in China Citi PDF Stocks Tumble on Economic Concerns in Worst Start to Year Since 2000 BL Weekly Trends Scotia Weekly Focus - 4-11 January 2008 Danske PDFs
Friday Janaury 4. U.S. stocks pressured by jump in unemployment MW “Since 1949 the unemployment rate has never risen by this magnitude without the economy being in recession.” Global Insight: “We have not seen a 0.3-percentage-point jump in the rate since the 2001 recession.” Fed Ups Auction Amounts to Aid Banks AP PR Ford Falls to Lowest Since 1986 After Being Passed by Toyota in U.S. Sales BL S&P may cut $6.42 bln CDOs affecting 149 tranches Reuters Currencies: Dollar off lows but still pressured after dismal U.S. jobs data MW Is '70s-style stagflation returning? Jubak SWF'S - Saviours of Harbringers of Economic Apocalypse? Financial Sense Treasury Two-Year Note Yields Fall to Lowest in 3 Years on Payrolls Report BL Dollar Drops as Speculation Grows Fed Will Cut Interest Rate by Half-Point BL Payrolls Rose 18,000 in December; Unemployment Rate Increases BL BLS Bush Will Meet Paulson, Bernanke to consider economic stimulus package BL This will be the first time in his presidency that Bush has met with all members of the financial working group State of Union Speech May Detail Proposal WP Jobs Report Fuels Recession Talk TheStreet Labor Market Sends Troubling Signals, Further Confirmation Awaited NT PDF We're Not Immune Pearlstein Many Signs Point to an Economic Downer for the Region in 2008 Fed's inflation fears might trump calls for another big rate cut WSJ Don't Bank On Deflation Forbes A not so Happy New Year! Faber PDF Doom-and-gloom predictions, Part One G&M Enter 2008: The System Breaks Willie Revaluation of the Dollar Caijing (DeLong) Consumer Bankruptcy Filings Rose 40% in '07 WSJ U.S. Financial Data, January 3 Issue FRBSL Mortgage applications down 11.6% last week: MBA MW New Year Brings Another False Dawn for Housing Baum Where's the incentive to buy a home if the real cost is high, inventory is plentiful, prices are falling and credit is harder to come by? Deadbeat America: Late Payments Soar AP ABA Delinquencies on Car and Home Equity Loans Hit the Highest Point Since 2001 Credit Crisis Finds New Victims CFO The list of suffering companies keeps growing and growing. BOE warns on mortgage defaults BBC Credit Conditions Survey Global property sector feels heat FT Spain's house of cards has started tumbling down FT Testing the waters Economist Mortgage securities sales under scrutiny AP Owning vs. renting: still not close WSJ (Ip) U.S. house prices would have to fall "considerably" to return to a normal relationship with rents, a study found Credit Derivatives Markets Are Headed for Worst Week in Almost Two Months BL Recession, Employment Concerns Trigger Worst Week for Credit in 2-Months BL Now You See Those Securities, Now You Don’t NYT (Norris) Sovereign wealth fund wants Greenspan Fortune China Investment Corp. wants to add Alan Greenspan to its board China's Wealth Fund Gets More Than 100 Applicants, Person Says B Have Sovereign Wealth Funds bought into banks too early? AME Sovereign Funds Invest Where Buffett Won't BL China forex arm buys stakes in Australian banks Reuters Whither the great wave? Economist The greatest ever merger wave is changing shape—but it may not be breaking yet Ex-Goldman Associate Sentenced to More Than 4 Years for Inside Trades NYT Talbots to exit Kids, Mens units, close 78 stores Reuters Bed Bath & Beyond falls after profit warning MW Citibank limits ATM cash in city NY Daily Obama, Huckabee win in Iowa CNN Bullish on bullion: Investors seeking safety push gold ever higher FT (R) Gold stocks regain their glitter G&M As oil passes $100, the question: will it stop? CS Monitor Oil Price Could Hit $200, Says German Institute Spiegel New power brokers hold lock, stock and $100 barrels FP The economics of energy is challenging the world's traditional hegemonies Venezuela sees "good" 2008 oil price: official Reuters Economy and Geopolitics Decide Where Oil Goes Next NYT Oil: The power to shock Independent Transport spending plans have oil at $50 Times Iraqi oil FT China Looks to Coal Bed Methane Business Week Inflation to fuel commodities: Coxe FP Flurries in Florida, but No Crop Damage AP Plastics products price rise “inevitable” PRW Japanese stocks plunge on concerns about U.S. economy G&M Shanghai Up Japanese companies see slowdown in economy - surveys Thomson An old Chinese myth Economist Contrary to popular wisdom, China's rapid growth is not hugely dependent on exports China to Take More Steps to Cool Economy, Inflation BL The Short View: Emerging markets FT Emerging Market Decoupling To Persist Into 2008 BCA Research Chinese funds expand more than two times in 2007 Xinhua U.K. Services Index Unexpectedly Advances, Damping Rate Cut Speculation BL Déjà vu Economist The euro area is not immune to the ills that afflict America and Britain Estate agents suffer as LSL cuts back Times PC World owner warns after weak Christmas Telegraph Companies seen further cutting pension benefits IHT
Fed discount window borrowing largest since 9/11 Reuters
Thursday January 3. Toyota Tops Ford in U.S. Auto Sales as Asian Automakers Hold Record Share B Asset-Backed Paper Rises First Time Since August as Borrowing Costs Fall BL U.A.E. Decides to Maintain Its Dollar Peg Following Review, Suwaidi Says BL ”In 12 months I can say to you that the U.A.E. will maintain the peg” Americans Sold Out to Foreign Companies at Record Rate in Fourth Quarter BL I am not using the R-word this time FT Mortgage rates plunge BankRate Freddie: 6.07% Factory orders up 1.5% in Nov. Census Excluding the 15.9% rise in petroleum orders, new orders fell 0.2% Private-sector job growth slows to 40,000: ADP MW JClaims Down Layoff plans fall 8.5% in 2007, Challenger says MW Single trader behind oil record BBC The man behind the record rise in oil prices to $100 a barrel was a lone trader, seeking bragging rights and a minute of fame... U.S. Yield Curve Is Steepest Since 2005 on Bets for Rate Cut BL Fed ‘caught off guard’ by rate of US slowdown Times Minutes “Some members noted the risk of an unfavorable feedback loop in which credit market conditions restrained economic growth further, leading to additional tightening of credit; such an adverse development could require a substantial further easing of policy.” Bernanke, King Risk Inflation With Bid to Keep Party Going B Student of the Depression Lachman Danger ahead: The prospect of recession again confronts America FT ETFs and Bear Markets: Unsuitable Bedfellows? Hahn PDF Stagflation Jungle: “Survival of the Fleetest Wealth” Era Hahn PDF Mood Sours as Recession Talk Does the Rounds BofNY Wall St will ignite, but not before more pain Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Santa Cigarettes Caper - Well worth the 20 bucks Mogambo Stagflation cometh Stiglitz Is a Recession Certain? TheStreet Why the Ratings Agencies Flunked TheStreet Beware of Falling Knives Slate It's tough to make money off the credit bubble—even for daredevil billionaires. With Builder in Bankruptcy, Buyers Are Left Out NYT The collapse of the fabled Levitt & Sons, the first big home builder to fail in the current slump, illustrates how the real estate turmoil is spreading far beyond subprime borrowers. Leveraged Loans Lose $28 Billion While Carlyle Gets Punished BL A total of 179 North American companies have a high risk of default or may need to change details of their debt agreements State Street Records $279 Million Charge BW Asset Management Chief Quits After Charge BL Thain Makes Like Komansky in Pledge to End Mother Merrill's Subprime Orgy BL Commerzbank removes three top credit bankers Times Online Ghosts of Subprime Past May Continue to Haunt NYT DealBook U.K. Banks Plan to Reduce Supply of Credit, BOE Survey Shows BL Fixes made in 2007 not enough to halt foreclosures Boston Globe Real Estate: How Far Will It Fall in 2008? WSJ Reversal of fortunes for the giants of private equity Independent Auto makers expected to detail rough year for sales MW No manufacturer, not even Toyota Motor Corp. was immune to the harsh economic headwinds that roiled the industry through the end of the year. In Unforgiven Margin Call, Bear Funds Foundered on Merrill's Subprime CDOs BL It paid to be wrong in 2007 MW Ex-E*Trade CEO Leaves with $11M TheStreet Monsanto Profit Doubles on Seed Sales in Latin America; Forecast Boosted BL New York IPOs eclipse LSE offerings FT Gold shines at new record high near 868 US dollars AFP The "Commodity Super Cycle" - Ready to Rumble in 2008 Dorsch Gold Draws China Higher TheStreet Oil, Gold Near Record as Dollar Drop Boosts Appeal of Commodities as Haven B The road to $100 oil – and beyond WSJ Oil price forecast to stay close to $100 a barrel Times Online Asian shares slump on US recession fears FT China a big, but not only, contributor to record oil prices: analysts AFP China to see 6th year of double-digit growth in 2008 China Daily German Growth Forecasts Lower for 2008 Spiegel German Unemployment Falls to 15-Year Low; Companies Hire to Process Orders Risk is the game in 'Wild West' of emerging markets Telegraph How can Japan avoid catching U.S. cold? Yomiuri China faces a second land revolution Asia Times Short Sellers Will Make Indian Market Stronger BL Westpac branch in Shanghai opens Australian Inmobiliaria Colonial shares suspended Telegraph Once the darling of the Madrid bourse, it joins a string of Spanish property groups that have either run into severe trouble or gone bankrupt over the past few months. The sovereign wealth put FT Chávez, China cooperate on oil, but for different reasons CS Monitor Pakistan's economy takes a hit Asia Times The Afghani Way of Banking Asia Sentinel Poker players, oil traders and a disguised lottery all flourish in Afghanistan’s fledgling banking sector
Dow makes its worst new-year debut since 1983 USAT Year of the Bear? Portfolio It's just one day, sure, but rising oil and a slowing economy may a take greater toll on stocks. A nice apocalyptic start to the New Year Brimelow If there's a market slump in '08, here's how to deal with it DMN
Wednesday January 2. U.S. stocks fall as prices of commodities rise MW REIT, Hotel Stocks Knocked Down TheStreet Crude Hits $100 for First Time as Record Demand Pushes Prices Higher B Gold rises to new 28-year high on weak dollar, geopolitical fears Thom Monster online jobs index falls in December Reuters 2-Year Ts Gain the Most in Three Weeks as Manufacturing Declines BL ISM: U.S. factory sector contracted in December ISM Weakest Reading since April 2003 U.S. Nov. construction spending rises 0.1% Census Retail Sales Rose 2.3% Last Week as Consumers Pared Holiday Spending BL National City Will Slash Payout 49%, Cut 900 More Jobs as It Curbs Lending BL Will The Truly Efficient Market Please Stand Up? Contrary Investor Recession risks FT Boating Industry Slump Could Signal Recession NPR In the Land of Many Ifs NYT A Happy New Year! Stelzer New Year, Same Problem TheStreet Our Economy’s Boiler Room Trumpet 2008 outlook: Fasten your seatbelts CNN Kass: 20 Surprises for 2008 TheStreet A wild ride into uncertainty LA Times Investors reintroduced to volatility Chicago Tribune The Solvency Crisis Prospect A Recession Shouldn't Be in Your 2008 Forecast Berry Is the Economy Plunging or Drifting into a More Challenging Year? UOBGroup P Economists turn doomsayers as turndown shakes faith in forecasts BrisbaneT Dollar stumbles into 2008 FT Credit-card issuers sock late payers with 30%-plus default rates MW Customers, Not Brokers, Profited in an Odd 2007 NYT An Ottoman warning for America FT More US mortgage mayhem looms FT Alphaville Citigroup May Write Down $12 Billion, Bernstein Says BL Credit crisis to put the squeeze on growth around the world Times PHH Scraps $1.8 B Sale as Blackstone Fails to Get Funding for Deal BL Q2: How does the credit squeeze change the job of central banks? FT Reinsurance renewal prices fall FT The price of reinsurance fell across the board at the crucial Jan 1 renewal, amid few signs that the crisis in credit markets is affecting reinsurers' appetite for risk Centro Puts Itself Up for Sale as $3.4 Billion Debt Deadline Approaches BL Japan offers a salutary tale in banking crises FT 'House Lust' Hits Home Samuelson Lender Lobbying Blitz Abetted Mortgage Mess WSJ 2007 Year in Review: Subprime Explodes, Prices go Negative, and Captain Credit Crunch Enters the Sea of Housing Dr. HB More Aid Needed for Housing Market: White House Reuters Malls For Sale, Mortgage Firm Sale Fails Yahoo Newsbits Corporate Bond Yields Drop as Citi, AT&T, Companies Refinance $557 Billion BL Bank Warnings Cast Cloud on '08 TheStreet GM, Ford December U.S. Sales Likely Fell, Capping Slowest Year Since 98 BL Buffett's Bond Insurer Is Good News for Ambac, MBIA Mysak Cheapest Stocks Since 1974 Make Phone Shares Cheaper BL How a bank fell victim to loan fraud LA Times Gold futures rally to trade near $850 an ounce MW Crude Hits $98 Golden year predicted as yellow metal closes in on all-time high Inde Almost nothing is as good as gold Australia Stocks better bet than gold in 2008 Hulbert Energy costs could rise more in '08, analysts say AP Oil Rises Above $97 a Barrel on Speculation U.S. Stockpiles Fell Last Week BL Peak oil theories FT Industrial Commodities Update Saville China starts 2008 with gains, Pakistan down again MW 2008: The year a new superpower is born Independent Year of living expensively looms as prices soar Standard China's Hu vows forceful measures to curb inflation AFP Worst outlook since dotcom bust FT House prices to fall for first time in 15 years Telegraph Kuwaiti fund eyes US subprime bargains FT The KIA has already made huge profits on its $700m stake in Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. But Asian banks are also expensive... Kenyan Stocks Drop on Disputed Vote; Currency Trading, Tea Auction Halted BL
Tuesday January 1, 2008. Dollar May Extend 2-Year Decline Versus Euro B Home prices: Where's the bottom? CS Monitor 2008 outlook: Fasten your seatbelts CNN FSA forces LSB to seek cash injection Times Online The consumer lender became the first London-listed bank to admit that it had been ordered by the FSA to increase reserves dramatically Darker 2008 for Detroit’s Automakers NYT City faces tough times as recession threat grows and era of easy money comes to an end Times Ten resolutions that will help you survive the coming bear market Farrell Buffett May Not Be Called in General Re Trial, Government Says BL Analysts see prospect of 100-dollar oil in 2008 AFP Biggest drop for sterling since '92 Telegraph Economists warn of a '50-50 chance' that Britain is heading for a recession. Credit record defies rate hikes Australian Upward pressure on SKorean prices: finance minister AFP Chavez Revives Historic Coin to Reduce Latin America's Fastest Inflation BL Taiwan President:US Caving To China Pressure By Opposing UN Bid AP 2008: A Look Ahead CS Monitor
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