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Wednesday December 31, 2008 Stocks in U.S. Advance, Trimming Worst Yearly Drop Since Great Depression BL Mortgage rates hit fresh 37-year low CNN U.S. SEC chief regrets short-selling ban G&M U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fall; Unemployment Rolls Jump to 26-Year High BL The Fed Makes History AEI (Makin) Fed aims to buy $500 billion in MBS by mid-year Reuters FED Paulson: US lacked the tools to tackle crisis FT Looking ahead to the new year with hard lessons of 2008 Harrison Don't hold breath waiting for bounce Hulbert The Most Distrusted Institution In America Forbes Consumers Know A Bad Economy When They See One Wachovia PDF Jim Rogers Says He's Buying Chinese Company Shares in Hong Kong, Singapore BL John Paulson Blasts Hedge Fund Managers Who Restrict Clients' Withdrawals BL Kevin Bacon, Kaufman latest hurt in Madoff scheme-reports Reuters Madoff Spotlight Turns to Role of Offshore Funds NYT Housing swaps gaining popularity in slow market USAT Speculation about Microsoft cutbacks heats up MW Instant Info Is a Two-Edged Sword WSJ Texaco's Toxic Past in Amazon Haunts Chevron as $27 Billion Judgment Looms BL Copper Heads for Biggest Drop in 21 Years in London as World Growth Slows BL IMF Agrees to Provide Emergency Line of Credit of $2.5 Billion to Belarus BL Hong Kong, Sydney up on last day of gloomy 2008 MW Market turmoil slices Ł65bn off pension funds Times Online Sharp says to book extra loss of nearly 500 mln dlrs AFP
Dollar Heads for Biggest Yearly Drop Against Yen Since 1987 on Recession BL
Tuesday December 30, 2008 SEC Halts $23 Million Made-off Ponzi Scheme SEC GM offers 0 pct financing in big sales push AP December Consumer Confidence Hits All-Time Low Conference Board Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Dropped 18% From Year Ago, Case-Shiller Says BL S&P All In PIMCO (McCulley) ‘This is economic war!' Jarislowsky warns Financial Post Merrill’s Rosenberg Inspired by Farrell in Foreseeing Crash BL The Bezzle Saut PDF Dr. Doom: Short Treasurys, Buy Hard Assets CNBC Making money the lazy way Farrell Gloomy New Year? Stelzer 10 key trends for investors in '09 Jubak Capitalism Is Worst System Except for the rest Baum The undeniable shift to Keynes FT The collapse of financial globalization... Setser One on One with William Lockyer, California's Treasurer NBR Transcript Is Social Security a Ponzi Scheme? Business Week FX Strategy: GBP - To parity or not to parity? Danske PDF Essay: The Global Credit Crisis as History Berkeley PDF Prospects for the U.S. and the World Levy A Crisis That Conventional Remedies Cannot Resolve Fannie Mae’s Last Stand Vanity Fair The long, vicious war that helped propel one of the world’s most successful companies off a cliff A Crack in The System (AIG) WP Fed says 169 Mortgage Finance Companies Failed Last Year BL Implode-O-Meter Downturn Ends Building Boom in New York NYT “Even the banks who want to give us money can’t” Close to Home: Prices in Reno down 40% from peak USAT As More US Retailers Fail, Malls Could Be Next Victim CNBC Ominous problems face officeholders Stateline It’s almost impossible to exaggerate the political and financial challenges facing state governments in coming months. In housing fall, breaking up is harder to do IHT Chesapeake Files for Bankruptcy, Sells Units to Investors for $485 Million BL Banks to Post a Rare Quarterly Loss WSJ First Red-Ink Period Since '90 Is Likely For U.S. Lenders as Bad Loans Mount The Ultimate Bubble? Vanity Fair At a lavish conference in Monaco, the game was guessing which big private-equity firm will be first to go bust. Sextant invested tens of millions in Icelandic glaciers Macleans The OSC found no independent valuation to substantiate the claim that these icefields are now worth close to 10 times what Sextant paid for them. Citigroup Shares Plummeted as Shareholders Suffered `Figurehead' Chairman BL AIG bailout: $127.7B and counting CNN Macy's, Gannett Face Debt Hangover From Stock Buybacks During Good Times BL Grim new year in store for retailers LA Times Can Junk Bonds Get any Junkier? CFO Corporate Bonds Still Beckon Barron’s M&A Looks Grim for 2009 Business Week The Good Times Stop Rolling: Vegas Meets the Recession TIME Even fashion giants Chanel and LVMH forced to economise Times Online Congress to examine Madoff case on Monday Reuters A gentle helping hand for laid-off hedge fund managers IHT Dow Jones Worst Years: 2000-2008 BeSpoke Gold timers more bullish than they've been in five months Hulbert Gold regains shine with weary investors Financial Post The Real Price of Gold National Geographic Print For Big Oil, a Day of Reckoning Business Week Tempers rise over oil-heat lock-ins USAT China energy chief: crisis chance to up reserves AP Japan stocks end worst-ever year AFP Japan’s Economy May Shrink 12.1% This Quarter, Barclays Says BL Japan's carmakers slashing production DetNews Japanese banks could receive $110bn bail-out Guardian Global growth seen weak as lending stagnates Reuters World Economy in 2009: Three priorities for recovery FT (Münchau) House prices fall 12.2 percent year-year in Nov Reuters A Black Hole in the Banking Bailout Spiegel Does the IMF have sufficient resources to bail out the emerging markets? DB Research Money may be root of evil, but regrettably we are stuck with it Warner Less Than Meets the Eye to Yuan Liberalization Asia Sentinel Chery sales down 8.9% on low demand China Daily Italian business mood lower than early 1990s FT
Monday December 29, 2008 Treasury to Buy $5 Billion Stake in GMAC, Increase Loan to General Motors BL Treasury Kerkorian's Tracinda Has Sold Entire Ford Stake Reuters Bankruptcies, Store Closings Loom at U.S. Retailers Amid Holiday Debacle BL As if Things Weren't Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S. WSJ Lehman bankruptcy filing wiped out billions: report  Reuters Monday Morning Outlook: Is This the Calm Before the Storm? Schaeffers Brief Holiday Update Hussman Humbled By Our Ignorance WP (Samuelson) Fifty Herbert Hoovers NYT (Krugman) Say Goodbye and Good Riddance to 2008…  WSJ Weaker Dollar Worries Japan, Germany WSJ Some economists worry that countries could actively seek to weaken their currencies in an effort to gain an advantage over their trading partners, setting off a round of devaluations... Cash at 18-Year High Makes Equities Irresistible to Leuthold as Doll Buys BL The eight previous times that cash peaked compared with the marketâ€s capitalization the S&P 500 rose an average 24 percent in six months Where Dragons Lurk Barronâ€s Stocks now have several good excuses to rally. So if they don't, brace for more pain. There's No Pain-Free Cure for Recession WSJ (Schiff) Obama's spending spree won't rescue the US economy from recession Jackson I'm afraid Americans are stuck with what is going to be a highly inflationary policy that will have disastrous consequences Obama's Down Payment Summers Not All Stimuli Are Created Equal Lindsey Challenging Group Thinking Economists on Budget Deficits and the Dollar Baker The housing bubble deniers are now warning that large budget deficits could send the dollar plummeting. Fed's Balance Sheet Is Ballooning Fast Luskin The Fed Cannot Create Economic Growth Forbes Some lessons from the Nixon days. Only full disclosure of toxic debts will get the West moving again Telegraph Formerly soaring global trade suddenly comes to a halt USAT Index Likely to Show Further Fallout From Burst Bubble WSJ Investing for the Future: The American Housing Market Dr. HB U.S. Corporate Profits Probably Fell for Sixth Quarter as Spending Plunged BL Group of investors close to buying IndyMac Reuters KBC Says Writedowns on Investments Will Reduce Earnings by $1.28 Billion BL Kuwait scraps joint venture with Dow Chemical G&M The move came just days before the Jan. 1 startup date for the joint venture. Accounting Standards Wilt Under Pressure Washington Post World leaders have vowed to help prevent future financial meltdowns by creating international accounting standards so all companies would play by the same rules, but the effort has instead been mired in loopholes and political pressures. Hospitals ill from more bad debt, credit troubles AP Nest eggs getting hit with double-whammy AP Defensive Stocks Lose Stature WSJ A Preference for Preferreds Barronâ€s Madoff probe widens to middlemen WSJ New York University sues fund exec over Madoff Reuters Credit Suisse clients may have lost $925.9 mln on Madoff: report Reuters $10K statue stolen from Madoff's Florida estate CNN How to hold money managers accountable CS Monitor Oil Rises for a Second Day After Israeli Attacks on Gaza Roil Middle East BL Gold RIses Rise and fall of commodities gives hints for 2009 Reuters Gas prices: Five-year low and falling CNN Steel output set for historic drop FT According to the gloomiest projections, it could be at least four years before output returns to the levels of 2007. Venezuela to Start Seizing Gold Concessions as Oil Falls AP Catalytic converter thefts plummet HTA Easy come, easy go after China ICBC's gold glitch Reuters Paulson's Progress With China Evaporates as Recession Reopens Trade Rifts BL 2009: worst year for employment for 20 years Times Online London House Prices Led Declines Across U.K. in 2008 and May Fall Further BL Next to go? Commercial property in crisis as City faces a chill winter Guardian British banks may face second credit crunch in the New Year Independent Russia Devalues Ruble, Sending Currency to Record Low Level Against Euro BL Russian economy: The Putin defence FT Russia braced for unrest Asian firms cut staff costs with forced leaves G&M Wave of layoffs dashes Japanese myth of job for life AFP The Isle That Rattled the World Tiny Iceland Created a Vast Bubble, Leaving Wreckage Everywhere When It Popped Single currency to increase clout Gulf News Hedges sapped by cash outflows Australian 60% of investors suffer 70% loss on stocks China Daily Ukraine Deficit Flouts IMF Terms Moscow Times
Weekend Edition (December 27-28, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events GI Weak demand seen dragging down manufacturing Stock mutual funds crunched in 2008; only bear funds positive for year AP Bargain-Hunting Shoppers Fail to Rescue Holiday Season for U.S. Retailers BL After a Season of Cutting, Stores Sweeten Discounts NYT The Reckoning - By Saying Yes, WaMu Built Empire on Shaky Loans NYT Boom, Bust, Repeat NYT (Gross) The Year of Living Gloomily WP Contemplating the Boobs We Were NYT Stocks' wild ride: 8 days to remember CNN Investments for 2009 Harding Earnings Summary Swenlin Foreclosures Donâ€t Spare the House of God NYT Madoff Must Reveal Assets by Year-End BL Madoffâ€s Clients NYT They Told Me That Madoff Never Lost Money NYT (Stein) Bailout of Long-Term Capital: A Bad Precedent? NYT Economic crisis has small car sales making a U-turn  USAT Hospitals ill from more bad debt, credit troubles AP
Gold Fundamentals 2 ZEAL What happened to gold in 2008? Phillips NCDEX to launch global contracts in gold & silver Commodity Online Burning Coal at Home Is Making a Comeback NYT
British banks may face second credit crunch in the New Year Independent Stampede for sales after frenzy of price cuts as shops fear worst Times SKorea's economy may contract in first half of 2009: president AFP Trickledown meltdown G&M A brick works in northeastern Bangladesh is about as far from Wall Street as one can get. Doors close at about 200 Woolworths in Britain AP Israel Hits Gaza Strip for Second Day in New Phase of Conflict With Hamas BL
Week in Review NTrust
Friday December 26, 2008 GM Advances as Fed Approval of GMAC Bank Bid Helps Ease Default Concerns  BL Retailers slash prices to entice holiday shoppers AP R: “...probably one of the most challenging holiday seasons we've ever had in modern times” U.S. Retail Sales Fall as Much as 4% in Holiday Season, SpendingPulse Says BL Amazon says 2008 holiday season was 'best ever'  AP Treasury Yields Hold Near Record Lows as Holiday Consumer Spending Slumps BL Treasuries Walk, Talk Like an Old-Time Bubble BL The Reckoning: Dollar Shift: Chinese Pockets Filled as Americans†Emptied  NYT An ugly, unrecognizable recession MSN (Markman) California Bond Yields Rise to Four-Year High on Budget Impasse BL Are We Becoming A Nation Of Wussies? Forbes The grimmest of years Independent New York University Sues Merkin, Hedge Funds Over $24 Million Madoff Loss BL Hedgies†newest gambit: Keepng investors in NYP Solar Meets Polar as Winter Curbs Clean Energy NYT ABCP investors to get access to money early in 2009: committee G&M The 10-bagger pick for 2009 MW Stephen Roach: The American Economy Will Look Very Japanese Roach Video China to begin yuan-settlement trials China Daily Could be the first step on the road to making the yuan an international currency. Senior official: Renminbi likely to be used as currency for FX reserves X Chinaâ€s Yuan Stocks May Rebound in 2009 BL Yuan Devaluation Is Unlikely Xie Yuan faces depreciation pressure - China official Reuters Japan's Recession Deepens as Industrial Production Falls Most in 55 Years BL Japan auto production marks worst drop since 1967 AP Japan to Have Bear Market Rally, Slump in 2009, Strategists Say BL Output in recession-hit Singapore down 7.5 pct in Nov: govt AFP China Industrial-Company Profit Growth Cools on Economy, Commodity Prices A Worst-Case Scenario for China Asia Sentinel Chinese industry hammered Australian Chinese banks to feel full crisis impact in 2009 China Daily Recession will 'set economy back five years' Telegraph Land Prices Drop for First Time in 8 Years Korea Times 50% of property developers put plans on hold Khaleej Times 'Economic Hardship Likely to Fan Social Unrest in 2009' Korea Times Housewives Join FX Margin Trade Korea Times
Thursday December 25, 2008 Santa Claus Bailout Hearings Blip TV Asian Stocks Gain on Oil, U.S. Spending; Gulf Shares Decline BL Wall St Santa rally small comfort after grim year FT Once Trusted Mortgage Pioneers, Now Pariahs NYT Schwarzenegger's $42 Billion Crisis Makes Judges Homeless, Derails Bridges BL Tips slow to trickle for city's doormen NY Daily China to begin yuan-settlement trials China Daily In what could be the first step on the road to making it an international currency. BOJ May Consider â€Extraordinary Steps,†Kamezaki Says BL
Weekend Edition (December 24, 2008) Stocks advance in light, Christmas Eve trading AP Unemployment lines longest in 26 years MW DOL Initial jobless benefit claims rise 30,000 to 586,000 U.S. consumers' spending down 0.6% in November MW BEA Durable goods drop 1 percent in November Census Mortgage Applications Index in U.S. Jumped 48% Last Week on Drop in Rates BL Get Ready for a Lost Decade WSJ Obama closing in on stimulus plan CNN How many to change a light bulb? A key remaining issue is the size of the package. Obama's Job-Creation Program Flunks Basic Math Baum Keynes offers us the best way to think about the financial crisis FT After boom year, risk of 2009 Treasuries bust Reuters Financial meltdown averted Oxford Economics PDF But how deep and how widespread will the recession be? When $14 Trillion Hit Wall All Hell Broke Loose Pesek Itâ€s hard to ignore how far the U.S. government got into the insurance, auto and banking businesses in 2008, while China pledged to stay the capitalist course. Recapping the 10 major themes for '08 Harrison Can America spend its way to economic recovery? CS Monitor Data That Could Induce the OPPOSITE of Insomnia EW States set to impose bevy of new taxes Washington Times Treasury Summary of Receipts and Outlays for Government MyBudget360 Jim Rogers Plans to Short U.S. Long-Term Bonds, Buy Yen BL Video AIG's $150B bailout is just a start Fortune When will the government's long and costly bailout of the deeply distressed insurance giant be over? Don't expect it to be anytime soon. Treasury: $4.7 billion to local banks CNN Treasury Bringing the total amount dispersed to $172 billion. Lehman Bankruptcy Roils Municipal Swap Market as Failure Triggers Payments BL Recession, Tight Credit Compound Housing Woes WSJ 2009 Real Estate Forecast: Troubles Spread Business Week Slideshow: Towns Hit Hardest by Foreclosure in 2008 BW Riding the housing bust Fortune Reserve's Bent May Be Charged by SEC Over $63 Billion Money-Fund Collapse BL Itâ€s the End of the Line for S.U.V.â€s NYT Even a federal bailout could not save three of the last remaining plants in the United States still making sport utility vehicles Bushâ€ss auto plan will test Obamaâ€s union loyalties Morici Honda suspends 700 workers due to slow sales Reuters Pondering Madoff as we enter 2009 Cumberland Madoff dealings tarnish a private Swiss bank IHT Bank Medici Ensnared by Madoff Losses After Winning Fund Award BL In Madoff Scandal, Jews Feel an Acute Betrayal NYT Private equity deals at five-year low Reuters Google hands out dogfood instead of cash Times Online Silicon Valley Braces for More Firings as Technology Companies Feel Pinch BL Wal-Mart agrees to pay workers up to $640 million AP Gold: the glitter vs. the tarnish STLtoday Oil Falls Below $37 on Forecasts U.S. Supply Rose a Third Week BL More declines for oil on latest batch of bad news AP Gas states meet in Russia amid 'gas OPEC' fears AFP Cocoa hits 23-year high on supply fears FT Russia's Central Bank Devalues Ruble for Third Time in a Week as Oil Drops BL Germanyâ€s faltering bank bailout program - Bottomless Pit Spiegel Worst crisis for a century - Hurley RTE 'House price fall will be 35% before a rise' ThisisMoney Karachi Stock Index May Extend 25% Drop in Month as Brokers' Defaults Loom BL Pawnbrokers Beat Banks in Lending to China Small Businesses as Credit Ebbs BL “The interest rate they charge is high, but they are so fast and easy” Sanlu Declared Bankrupt by China Court After Sale of Melamine-Tainted Milk BL Hundreds line up for an hour at Osaka McDonald's for Quarter Pounder debut Japan Today
Tuesday December 23, 2008 U.S. stocks fade as investors fret over autos, GDP MW Madoff Fund Operator Who Had $1.4 Billion Invested Found Dead in Suicide BL Consumer Sentiment in U.S. Rebounds From a 28-Year Low in Michigan Index BL U.S. Existing Home Sales Fall 8.6%, More Than Forecast, as Prices Plunge BL NAR New Home Sales Decline to 17-Year Low as Consumer Confidence Sinks BL PDF File A Daily Snapshot Of Market Moving Developments Rosenberg Thacher Proffitt, 160-Year-Old New York Law Firm, to Close Down on Dec. 31 BL U.S. Economy Contracted 0.5% Last Quarter, the Most Since 2001 Recession B BEA Frozen Ports From Long Beach to Singapore Presage Bleak 2010 BL HFA Tumbles by Record After Halting Redemptions From Three of Its Funds BL Another Great Depression? Town Hall Not Your Grandfather's Depression Kasun Demand transparency Bear’s Lair Your 'Noah's Ark' survival kit Farrell Gala Issue: Biggest Sea Change of Our Lifetime! Weiss Does recession threaten to become deflation? Oxford PDF Our society is unused to economic pain Forbes Watch that printing press Kellner While virtually no one is raising prices in today's depressed economy, all this liquidity will soon become an accident looking for a place to happen Bond markets predict the worst is yet to hit MoneyWeb Light at the end of a dark tunnel (Roubini Interview) FT Government and Fraud Paul Merrill Lynch Strategists on the '09 Outlook for Stocks TIME Turning Point? Saut Even the bears are turning bullish MSN 2009 Outlook: A World of Challenges BMO PDF More companies lining up for piece of bailout fund AP Commercial real estate may be next seeking government funds MW Moorlach Sees Up to 10 Municipal Bankruptcies in Coming Year BL Official says Calif. could be broke in 2 months AP Reeling South Carolina City Is a Snapshot of Economic Woes NYT Federal Reserve’s liquidity injections: a review NB Financial PDF IMM positioning: Speculative investors reduce USD longs significantly Danske PDF Madoff investor warned its clients FT Madoff's Victims May Have to Return Up to Six Years of Profits, Principal BL “Right now there are Madoff winners and Madoff losers. Before this is over there will be nothing but Madoff losers.” Who is Bernie Madoff? Many Investors Didn't Ask TIME Goldman denies Madoff due diligence role Naked Shorts The fallen giants of finance FT GM Stock, Bond Investors Bet It Won't Stay Afloat Even With U.S. Lifeline BL Car Slump Jolts Toyota, Halting 70 Years of Gain NYT Tiremakers cut back capacity amid automotive slump Purchasing India's Car Market Offers No Relief for Automakers Business Week Gov't to Bail Out Car Industry Indirectly Chosun Record number of M&A deals cancelled in 2008 FT The Consumer Electronics Inventory Glut Business Week Inventories pile up for makers of computers, cell phones, and TVs, signaling a worse-than-forecast fourth quarter Irregularity Uncovered at IndyMac NYT Two months before IndyMac Bancorp collapsed, a federal banking regulator allowed it to backdate a capital infusion Unisys to cut 1,300 jobs, consolidate plants AP Fujitsu to Cut 400 Jobs at Japanese Chip Plants as Recession Cuts Demand BL Losing Faith in Gambling's Allure Business Week 'Repo man' urges frugality in these economic times Post Star Hard-up Athletes Pawn Championship Rings for Cash CNBC 'Lipstick effect' in full swing, economists say Telegraph Warren Buffett Fans Explain Why They're Keeping the Faith CNBC WH on Times: 'Gross negligence' Politico NYT Gold May Drop in London as Lower Oil Diminishes Hedging Demand BL Scotiabank Commodity Price Index Scotia PDF Gas exporters to create "gas OPEC" at Moscow meeting Reuters Economic crisis hits Africa's mines AFP Refiner, retailer Flying J files for bankruptcy AFP U.K. Economy Shrank Most Since 1990 in Third Quarter, Exceeding Estimates BL Gloom spreads to emerging markets Reuters Default by Kuwaiti investment house hits Gulf's reputation as financial hub Independent Analysts had expected the Kuwaiti government to meet the obligation in order to save face in the international debt markets. Iceland `Like Chernobyl' as Meltdown Shows How Anger Boils Into Protests BL SKorean shipyards and builders face forced restructuring AFP Macau's Venetian sacks further 500 staff as credit crunch bites AFP Chavez orders halt to construction of Caracas mall AP Alberta targets old adversary G&M
Monday December 22, 2008 Shoppers haggle for deals from frantic retailers AP “You'd have to be a moron not to ask for a discount” Chicago Fed Index Well Into Recession Territory HAVER Oil prices tumble below $40 on dour economic news AP Ratings agencies downgrade GM, Ford MW MetLife, Prudential, Lincoln Plunge as Commercial-Mortgage Defaults Loom BL Modified Mortgages Fail 55% of the Time in Sign U.S. Efforts Falling Short BL Bankruptcy Risk Remains High for U.S. Automakers, Standard & Poor's Says BL Textron to Cut 2,200 Jobs in Exit From Financial Units, Slashes Forecast BL Faber Says 2009 to Be `Catastrophic' for Global Economy BL Video Monday Morning Outlook: Examining Key Support Levels for the S&P 500 Index Schaeffers The Dollar Crisis Begins Hussman Is the Medicine Worse Than the Illness? WSJ (Grant) IMF chief warns 2009 may be 'even darker' AFP A recession the Fed can't easily fix MSN (Fleck) TED Spread Narrows to Least Since Lehman Collapse on Rates, Cash Flood BL Lowest Treasury Yields Lure FAF Advisors, Hoisington BL Grant: “People are piling into Treasuries now, as if they were, they’re like a Cisco Systems in 1999. I don’t know what they’re priced for, but they’re not priced for life as I know it in this economy.” Money market funds reel as yields near zero FT Following the Fed cannot save the world FT Federal Reserve balance sheet EconBrowser Cashing In on the Cash Bubble FT Life Without Bubbles NYT (Krugman) Junior Asks Daddy, Where Do Bailouts Come From Baum Saving Capitalism No Sure Thing as Statism Undermines Economy BL Economists missed the brewing crisis Boston Globe The US economy is sinking in an ocean of newly-created money Jackson The central bank flight to safety Setser Dr. HB Now in vogue: saving CS Monitor Attitudes change as Americans take financial hits. Trade Barriers Toughen With Global Slump WP US drags China to WTO over 'protectionist' policy AFP Fischer Says Madoff Shows How Smart Investors Missed Crisis BL Accounting sleuths on the trail of Madoff money CS Monitor Tremont Investors Learn Tough Lesson NYTD Madoff's auditor under ethics probe by CPAs group Reuters NYP: Shell-shocked investors - even those with no exposure to the Madoff madness - are beginning to pull their fortunes out of hedge funds at a stepped-up pace. Goldman’s d-e-e-e-e-p look at Madoff Naked Shorts Expect to get dirty when a name is mud FT Mr Madoff is not alone among disgraced businessmen in having a name that gives the game away. Take the case of Anurag Dikshit... Feds: More market fraud yet to surface after Madoff scam NY Daily Despite emergency loan, automakers far from safe USAT Toyota projects 1st ever operating loss for year AP Money Given To Banks Went Toward Bonuses, Stock Options, Country Club Memberships AP Wall Street still flying corporate jets AP Six financial firms that received billions in bailout dollars still own and operate fleets of jets to carry executives to company events and sometimes personal trips Financial turmoil drives 'scared' customers to smaller banks USAT Bank of China furious at Deutsche debt move Independent Bank of China has told banks that "any non-call by a given institution will result in that institution's debt being ineligible for future investment consideration". DBS to Sell $2.8 Billion of Stock at 45% Discount as Provisions Increase BL Struggling to Survive at the Mall Barron’s Some retailers won't survive the downturn in consumer spending -- at least not without a trip to bankruptcy court. How to spot problems on the balance sheet and at the mall. Buffeted "quants" are still in demand Reuters Polaroid in Bankruptcy Again, Cites Petters Charges BL More Companies Are Cutting Labor Costs Without Layoffs NYT Recession causing repair shops to flourish St. LToday As hunger rises in US, so do creative ways to help CS Monitor $700 Billion Bailout Celebrated With Lavish $800 Billion Executive Party Onion Gold rises as safe-haven buying continues MW Saudi Arabia's Naimi Says OPEC `Determined' to Bring Oil-Market Stability BL Price of gas hits lowest point in nearly 5 years AP Coal outlook dim as prices fall Australian China's Central Bank Lowers Benchmark Rates for Fifth Time in Three Months BL Ireland Will Spend $7.7 Billion to Bail Out Nation's Three Largest Banks BL Japan's gloom deepens as exports suffer record drop AFP Yen Falls Against Euro as Carmaker Loans Revive Confidence in Carry Trades BL China's forex reserves fall for first time in five years: report AFP Divergence Grows Between China and the West - Part I Asia Sentinel Details of real-estate stimulus package unveiled Xinhua China urges help for redundant migrant workers AFP Chinese manufacturing giant outgrows its cradle AP Oligarchs Seek $78 Billion Loans as Credit-Market Squeeze Empowers Putin BL Brown prepares bailout worth millions for Jaguar Times Online Insecurity drives farm purchases abroad CS Monitor Wealthy countries seek land in Cambodia, Madagascar, and Brazil Domino Effect on Korea's Economy Chosun Trouble in China's toy industry China Daily
Weekend Edition (December 20-21, 2008) Key U.S. Data Releases and Events Global Insight Canada, Ontario to Give GM, Chrysler C$4 Billion Aid BL Biden: U.S. Economy in Danger of 'Absolutely Tanking' ABC Just Call This Deal Hoosier Baroque NYT (Morgenson) I Meant to Do That Mauldin PDF 2008 Review: Now That’s a Bear Market BMO PDF The Big, the Bull, and the Bankers Wakefield with Hill PDF Confessions of a Money Manager: How to survive a bear (market) attack Capital Times Krugman: Monetary policy at its limits MW Lessons From the Great Inflation Samuelson Q3 2008 "Flow of Funds" Noland Earnings Summary Swenlin The strange new world of ZIRP and QE Finance Asia History Repeats Itself in Different Hues - Japan vs. United States NTrust PDF Inflation Chartbook: December 2008 Wachovia PDF Grapes upon the vine? State Street PDF Global economic downturn is picking up speed MW Some pickup seen in second half, but right now that's only a forecast The View From the Executive Sweet? Pretti S&P 600: That's Gary Shilling's Forecast for 2009, Not an Index Tech Ticker The Fed, Gold, Stocks, And China … Edelson Why 4.5% Mortgages Rates will do Absolutely Nothing for these Toxic Assets Dr. HB Foreign Investors Trade Safe for Safest NYT (Norris) The Reckoning - White House Philosophy Stoked Mortgage Bonfire NYT Schwarzenegger Orders Unpaid Leave for State Workers BL NY gov: Goldman's move on bonuses cost state $178M AP In Need of Cash, More Companies Cut 401(k) Match NYT U.S. Judge tightens restrictions on Madoff Reuters Madoff Scheme Kept Rippling Outward, Across Borders NYT Hedge funds may be targeted by activist investors MW As more managers lock up funds, investors consider ways to take control Pimco Muni Funds Down as Much as 60% to Buy Back Auction Shares BL S&P cuts American Express long-term ratings MW Gold Stock Panic Ends Zeal Ash Commodity Slide Continues BMO PDF Battered commodities could rebound in late 2009, analysts say MW January contract tumbles under $34, but February delivery jumps past $42 a barrel MW Such a wide gap between near month contracts is unusual. Petrobras Delays Five-Year Investment Plan Amid Oil Tumble, Credit Crunch BL Oil at $40 a barrel will cause 'price explosion' in future Telegraph Ore prices set for big fall Australian Japan unveils record budget to bolster economy AP China May Need Second Stimulus Package to Aid Poor, Spur Consumer Spending BL China Offers Taiwan Assistance Amid Financial Crisis, Urges Stronger Ties BL How India Avoided a Crisis NYT (Nocera) Shirakawa Prepares More Cures to Prevent Japan's Recession From Deepening BL Germany and France prepare to pump in more money as recession deepens Guardian Mortgage rationing leaves borrowers stuck ThisisMoney Bank of America Sees Emerging-Market Currency Rally BL 2009 as Bad as It Gets, CEOs Predict Chosun Exporters face payment risks China Daily Economic Conditions in Korea and Japan: A Monetary Policymaker's Report Yellen Mass Corporate Default Looms in Ukraine Following Hryvnia Plunge GInsight
Week in Review NTrust Weekly Focus Danske Weekly Trends Scotia PDF Treasurys end euphoric week on down note; yields tip up MW
Friday December 19, 2008 U.S. stocks end another week mostly higher MW Stephen Roach Says Economic Recovery Would Be `Anemic' BL Video Herald hedge funds suspend redemptions on Madoff exposure MW Madoff Misconduct Said to Date Back to 1970s as Client List Reached 4,000 BL GM and Chrysler Will Get $13.4 Billion in U.S. Loans BL White House Paulson Asks Congress for Rest of $700 Billion TARP Funds After Auto Plan BL FOX Sues Treasury for Failure to Respond to Freedom of Information Act Requests FOX Out of Touch With Reality Cornerstone PDF The Madoff Economy NYT (Krugman) A Year of Chaos in Finance NYT (Norris) â€Tis the Season to Be Jolly? Schwab The Fed's Big Experiment Comstock Helicopter Ben Goes ZIRP! Roubini The Fed Lady Sings Morgan Stanley Federal Reserve is damned either way as it battles debt and deflation Pritchard It's dramatic! It's sensational! It's the Fed rescue Times Online Fed Rate Cuts Dull Perceived Safety of Dollar BL What The Fed Giveth The Rating Agencies Taketh Away BeSpoke Financial crisis: Free money coming your way! Telegraph Fisher Says Fed Programs Will Restore Credit Flow WSJB Keynes Revival Makes Cato a Lonely Hearts Club Baum Obama Takes First Shot at Reshaping Fed by Naming Board Member WP This Year Hot Buy -- 2% Treasuries???? Barronâ€s High Noon for State and Local Budgets Berner More Cuts on Horizon as D.C. Faces New Budget Gap of $127 Million WP More California Towns Face Bankruptcy WSJ "California's fiscal house is burning down” Municipal bonds are a great deal, if they don't default USAT U.S. Financial Data, December 18 Issue FRBSL Tax Break May Have Helped Cause Housing Bubble NYT 'Pretty alarming': One in 7 owe more than their home is worth USAT Painful loans forcing more to walk away from mortgages AP Southern California Current Home Price Decline vs. 1990's HousingBB Paulson: 'Orderly' auto bankruptcy might be best AP GM, Chrysler Said to Be About to Receive U.S. Loans to Survive Into March BL While They Wait for a Bailout, Big Three Woes Mount TIME Toyota may post first parent operating loss in 71 years Reuters Credit-Card Users Feel Pain as U.S. Banks Reap Gain BL FED Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Eight Institutions Are Lowered by S&P BL S&P says GE triple-A could be at risk Reuters Bank of America's Balance-Sheet Risk Barronâ€s General Growth Properties can't handle its debt MW JPMorgan Adds to $14 Billion CLO Bet as Buyout Loan Downgrades Punish KKR BL Mass. investor saw inside Madoff scam AP Wall Street insiders had shunned Madoff for years Independent Madoff Hosed Uncle Sam, Too: $17 Billion Going "Poof" Blodget Madoff Strategy Dwarfed S&P 100 Options in Trades That Were `Never Done' BL Banker used 'golden goose' wife in trading ring Times Online Parmalat's founder is sentenced to ten years' jail Times Online Bill Clinton's Million-Dollar Donors Include Investor Facing Bribery Probe BL JPM's Dimon, Citi's Rubin Won't Ask for Bonuses CNBC Credit Suisse to pay bonuses in toxic debt Independent Gold Drops Most in Three Weeks as Stronger Dollar Saps Demand BL OPEC Losing Its Muscle Business Week Texas Braces for an Oil Bust TIME Dubai gold sales suffer 'slump by up to 80%' Arabian Business Uncle Sam May Grab Your Gold if You're Not Careful Benson Bank of Japan Cuts Rate to 0.1%, Adds Funds to Ease Credit Woes BL Yen Keeps Rising on Bets CB Unable to Turn Tide - Yen: Guesswork Vs. Forecasting EW Foreign banks set deadline for ABCP deal G&M Ruble Falls Most Against Euro Since 1999 on Double Devaluation BL Russia's Economic Woes Spur Unrest WSJ The drop in oil prices is eroding the Kremlin's ability to replenish its gold and foreign-currency reserves just when it needs them most. World Bank: Russia may need help if oil falls more AP Three more Russian banks lose licences Reuters China central bank downplays influence of US rate calls AFP Global economy to contract in 'severe' 2009 recession: banking group AFP IIF Global Outlook 2009 - financial market expectations Danske PDF Sarkozy Considers Spending More to Aid Growth as Economy, Confidence Slump BL Sterling slide is worst since 1931 Telegraph Banks 'use rate cuts to turn screw on savers' ThisisMoney Mobius Sees Emerging Markets Bottoming, 2009 Bull Market After Rate Cuts BL Japan launches first solar cargo ship AFP
Thursday December 18, 2008 Oil futures tumble 10% to end below $37 a barrel MW S&P says chance GE could lose "AAA" in 2 years AP Turning Japanese? Puplava Obama Pledges Schapiro, Regulators Will Crack Down on `Greed and Scheming' BL New SEC chief gave Madoff's son a job Times Online IBM, Sun, and SAP Face `Reckoning' as Budgets Shrink - Chip equip spending to fall 32% 30-year mortgage lowest in 37 years of Freddie Mac survey MW Mortgage Rates Left in Dust by Treasuries, Failures BL Bush Considering "Orderly" Auto Bankruptcy AP Leading Economic Indicators Index Falls 0.4% as Outlook Deteriorates BL JClaims Drop Paulson May Seek Next $350 Billion in Bailout Funds as Recession Deepens BL Beware - “Quantitative Easing” is Hallucinogenic Dorsch States Squeeze Cities, Spreading the Economic Pain WSJ Debts increase as consumers fall further behind AP The Current Account Deficit Shrinks in Q3 Northern Trust PDF Declining Trend of Foreign Investment Poses a Threat to the Dollar Investors continue to dump stock and bond funds MW Stocks: What the 'Lost Decade' Means Business Week Prophet of Boom (and Bust) Fort Worth Weekly Now will they listen to Ravi Batra? The Fed's 'Don Quixote Fight' Spiegel Obama looking at $850 billion jolt to the economy AP Special Report: 2009-10 Economic and Market Outlook Scotia PDF Commercial Real Estate Quarterly: Third Quarter Wachovia PDF Calpers To Report Losses of 103% on its Residential Investments Mish 55% of SoCal home sales were foreclosures Lanser From Detroit to Taiwan, everyone wants a bailout Leonard The 10 worst bailout boondoggles MSN More are moving out of California than in LA Times Chrysler, Ford idle factories; GM delays new plant AP Madoff Scandal Shaking Real Estate Industry NYT Madoff scheme hits Palm Beach country club hard AP Madoff Victims May Recoup Some Investment Losses Through U.S. Tax Refunds BL Bernieâ€s Bravado NYP Madoff demanded that friends and investors pump even more funds into his failing firm right up until the feds put the cuffs on him... On Wall Street, Bonuses, Not Profits, Were Real NYT Western Digital to cut 2,500 jobs, lowers outlook MW A Reprieve for Sumner Redstone Business Week Banks appear to be indefinitely extending Redstone's Dec. 19 debt repayment deadline... Obama to Name Schapiro SEC Chairman as Agency Seeks to Restore Reputation BL FDA Clears Use of Herb As Sweetener WSJ A Christmas Poem: The Year of the Grinch WSJB Oil Falls Below $38, Lowest Since July 2004, on Signs OPEC Cut Inadequate BL Warren should've listened to Daddy Buffett Russell Cash crunch may usher in consolidation wave for oil companies MW Emerging funds suffer worst year yet FT Ukraine's Hryvnia Declines 15% as Official Says Half of Loans May Default BL Bank's Bean says zero interest rates possible Reuters Fresh warning on banks' capital FT German Business Confidence Drops More Than Estimated to Lowest Since 1982 BL The Ghost of Christmas Future Asia Sentinel Additional Notes The first quarter of 2009 is going to look frightening to Asia's exporters Missed Mortgage Payments Up 6-Fold Moscow Times Dividends to be frozen Australian Hope Grows for a Taiwan Chipmaker Bailout Business Week Container shipping: A long-lasting boom comes to a sudden end DB Research Rough seas ahead for shipyards China Daily Arab banks urged to brace for new world financial order Business 24/7
Bush: I'm a free market guy. But I'm not gonna let this economy crater in order to preserve the free market system.
“There was a-- a meeting in the Roosevelt Room, which is right outside the Oval Office. And Chairman Bernanke and Secretary Paulson were there briefing me on the state of the economy. This is after we had made, you know, some serious decisions like on AIG and-- Freddie and Fannie. And they said the market's just so frozen that if we don't do something-- the-- the upcoming depression could be greater than the Great Depression...” Fox Transcript
Wednesday December 17, 2008 Oil Slides 8% to Below $40 as Size of OPEC Cut Disappoints Reuters Chrysler to Idle Full Manufacturing Operation for a Month as Demand Erodes BL Toronto Stock Exchange continues to be halted due to technical issues... TSX Constellation Energy takes EDF's bid, scuttling deal with Buffett MW MidAmerican will receive a hefty termination package valued at more than $600 million. Madoff Put Under House Arrest as SEC Admits Failure to Act on Allegations BL Dollar No Longer Haven After Fed Interest-Rate Cut, State Street, CMC Say BL Gold futures end higher as dollar falls sharply MW OPEC Will Reduce Crude Oil Output by 9% in Attempt to Stem Worldwide Glut BL Ten-Year Treasury Yield Falls Below 2.15% for First Time on Rate Outlook BL Marc Faber Says Madoff Case Shows Investor Gullibility BL Video Monetary Trends, January Issue FRBSL China says lending to US will not go on forever AFP Angst as Asian central banks buy dollars FT Global Chart Panorama Q4-2008 Hahn PDF Review and Preview Wieseman Fed Fights to Weaken Dollar Merk Fed cuts dollar, Fire sales and F.I.R.E. sales, Duh-flation... iTulip Treasury and Fed Determined to Destroy Dollar and Force Savers to Spend MyBudget360 Fed unleashes greatest bubble of all Reuters (Kemp) Like the sorcerer's apprentice, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and his predecessor Alan Greenspan have unleashed a series of ever-larger asset bubbles they cannot control. Economists give Bernanke good mark on handling crisis Reuters FOMC December Meeting: To Boldly Go... Wachovia PDF Banks Show No Signs of Easing Credit in Step With Fed’s Rates BL Fed Targeting Zero Isn't the Same as Doing Zip Baum Interest rates: Bernanke correctly judged the risk of deflation Pritchard Bernanke's Japanese edge G&M US pushing world economy to redeflation Steinbock Kiss the dollar rally goodbye CNN Maund - Mogambo In Madoff We Trust Schiff The US's gigantic Ponzi scheme may well catch foreign debtors Paulson: No Plans to Seek the Rest of TARP Fund CNBC Madoff's Fraud is Nothing Compared to U.S. Treasury's Kitco SEC chairman says agency failed to probe Madoff AP SEC Put Madoff In Charge of Social Security WSJ Madoff Enjoyed $50 Pedicures, 9.8 Handicap, 55-Foot Boat Named `Bull' B The Big Lie theory Hulbert Madoff fraud could burn those who pulled out early Reuters Madoff Crisis Hits Europe Hard Spiegel Madoff tries to stay out of jail as probe widens Reuters Wanted: Super-human technocrat to run New York Fed Reuters Paterson unveils dire New York State budget that includes new taxes, layoffs and cuts NYD Budget gap could widen to $200 billion Stateline States face their worst fiscal challenge in 25 years Refinancings continue to surge, Mortgage Bankers' data show MW Morgan Stanley Posts Wider-Than-Estimated $2.2 Billion Loss as Fees Slide BL AIG Writedowns Seen Increasing $30 Billion on Swaps Unaddressed by Rescue BL Apple Loses Some Shine as Mac Sales Slow WSJ Johnson Controls girds for tough times JS Online Newell Rubbermaid to cut up to 2,000 jobs AJC Honda to cut earnings forecast for third time: reports AFP Nissan cuts 500 jobs as demand falls AFP Fending off bankruptcy, Nortel gears up asset sales G&M Billionaire Gerald Ford Shops for Bank Bargains as U.S. Encourages Buyers BL Buffett: People Thought I Was Running Ponzi Scheme CNBC OPEC eyes production cut of 2 million barrels a day MW Merrill Lynch Oil Guru Blanch Changes From $150 Bull to $25 Bear and Back BL Declining energy prices extend to electricity USAT Flight To Safety First Butler Nervy investors spur rush at Swiss gold refiners Reuters "People used to buy certificates, now they want physical gold." A global trade decline? CS Monitor In a rare alignment, most of the world's big economies are expected to shrink. Russia Accelerates Devaluation; Ruble Declines by the Most in Three Months BL U.K. Unemployment Rose at Fastest Pace Since '91 as BOE Weighed Deeper Cut BL Taxpayers face new pain as Brown`s bank bail-out fails to stop credit crunch Telegraph Sterling slips to new euro low Indpendent Bold Fed move prompts other cuts G&M Call for 0% UK interest rate after Fed cut ThisisMoney Experts: China likely to follow suit as Fed cuts rate China Daily Shock Fed rate cut puts focus on Bank of Japan Reuters What if deflation threatens Canada? FP China's economy is still heading downward Finance Asia After longest boom, Japan faces longest bust Reuters Iraq signs $3bn power deal with GE FT
Tuesday December 16, 2008 FOMC cuts rates to record low range of 0 to 0.25% MW Text Depression possible: Canadian PM AFP Saudi Arabia Says OPEC Will Cut Output 2 Million Barrels to End Oversupply BL Madoff Books in `Disarray,' May Take Six Months to Unravel, SIPC Head Says BL Bank Medici of Austria Invested $2.1 Billion With Arrested Manager Madoff BL Madoff once boasted about profits, advised government on protecting investors from scam AP U.S. Housing Starts Drop 18.9% in Sign Slump Will Extend Into Fourth Year BL PDF Consumer Prices in U.S. Fall 1.7%, Most on Record BL CPI U.S. Treasury 30-Year Bond Yields Fall to Record Low Before Fed BL Bernanke Prepares to Buy Assets as Rates Approach Zero, Economy Contracts BL Are Bernanke and Paulson Bankrupting America? Fool Bernanke battles ‘depression’? Dean’s FX Semi-Annual U.S. Economic Outlook: Collapsing On Schedule Investors Insight (Shilling) 2009 Dollar Outlook Morgan Stanley 2009 Outlook—Markets Measure; They Don’t Forecast Cumberland Investment Bulletin Bedlam PDF Evidence that the Fed Caused the Housing Boom Mises The 2008 market will be one for the history books MW This bear market ended up smashing record after record China’s Dollar Millstone, Part 5 ATimes (Lui) Restoring China's national destiny Experts Can Only Guess As We Head into the Unknown Stelzer Let's Spend and Spend, but Avoid Bad Spending Baker Turmoil in the Cash Markets PIMCO Did Enhanced Cash and Money Market Strategies Overdo Risk? Chart of the Month Cross Currents Sorry, there's no Santa Claus Hulbert Walter Reuther Lives?! Saut PDF Economic Freedom or Socialist Intervention? Paul Saville - Hook - Econbrowser FX Strategy - IMM positioning: Speculative investors reduce overall positions Danske PDF IMF head warns of violent unrest Times Online Global economy facing worst year since 1945 Oxford PDF Krugman: 'Merkel and Steinbrück Are Wasting Crucial Time' Spiegel Japan's 'lost decade' could be preview of what's ahead for the U.S. Statesman Deflation strikes hard! What to do … Weiss Weiss Q&A Economic crisis has made safety net for poorest families even weaker PPG Downturn spurs 'survival panic' for some in U.S. Thomson Home buyers stirring in some markets CS Monitor A Second Mortgage Disaster On The Horizon? CBS Madoff unlikely to oust Ponzi in lingo Reuters "Madoff" is up against a strong incumbent if it is to become part of the American vernacular and earn a spot in the country's dictionaries. Madoff Victims Claim Conflict of Interest at SEC CNBC Shana Madoff is married to a former SEC compliance examiner named Eric Swanson. Swanson was at the commission in 2003... Madoff debacle reveals stunning failure of due diligence G&M You're not pressing Colonel Sanders for the secret blend of 11 herbs and spices...You're simply asking managers to explain just how they generated the returns they claim. A Look at Madoff Trading Records NYTD The man who conned the world Independent Madoff’s Country Clubbers Smiled $50 Billion Ago BL Wall Street fraud leaves charities reeling IHT Tremont hedge fund index hit by Madoff scandal MW Madoff's scam may be the first of many Evening Standard Inquiry Finds No Signs Family Aided Madoff NYT One Retired Couple's Plight: We Lost Everything CNBC Hedge fund body wants help for Madoff victims Reuters Madoff’s Victims Madoff Implosion Is No 'Tragedy' TheStreet Mean Street Goldman Sachs Has $2.12 Billion Fourth-Quarter Loss, First Since 1999 IPO BL Best Buy Offers Workers Voluntary Severance, Will Slash Capital Spending BL Car Czar or U.S. Treasury May Get Power to Force GM Bankruptcy, Levin Says BL Toyota delays Mississippi assembly plant AP Carmakers cut output as Europe sales fall 26% G&M Toshiba to slash memory chip output due to supply glut AFP Global chip market to shrink 16.3%: Gartner G&M Bank of America stock could sink to $9: analyst Reuters Morgan Stanley downgrades Credit Suisse Reuters Daiwa Securities Says It May Raise Up to $1.1 Billion to Replenish Capital BL Constellation Said to Favor Stake Sale to EDF Over Buffett Takeover Deal BL Casinos rolling snake eyes in bad economy MSNBC Lotteries, horse racing also suffering as gamblers sit on their wallets Siemens pays $1.3 billion to settle corruption probe Reuters Supreme Court rules smokers can sue over 'light' cigarette claims CS Monitor PartyGaming co-founder said to plead guilty Reuters National Lampoon Chief Faces Charges NYT How the Fed Reached Out to Lehman NYT OPEC president wants "much more" than 1 million bpd cut Reuters Supertankers used to store 50m barrels of oil FT Big Oil Projects Put in Jeopardy by Fall in Prices NYT The Risk Of Misjudging Peak Oil: A Real Physical Crisis Simmons PDF 2 ~ PDF 3 China's Growth in Factory Spending Slows as Exports, Property Prices Fall BL Cosco shares fall after $577 million derivative loss MW Japan's household assets hit 3-yr low on falling share prices AP Citigroup bullish on debt-laden Dubai WSJ Flash Comment - Russia: Industrial production collapses according to IFAX Danske PDF 'Crisis' a word best said quietly in Russia Reuters Thailand's Economic Wreckage Asia Sentinel Home Loans Biggest Concern for Kookmin Bank Korea Times Canadian banks told to bulk up reserves FP
Monday December 15, 2008 AIG Sells Mortgage-Backed Securities to Fed Vehicle BL GMAC Wins Agreement From Bondholder Group on Revised Debt-Exchange Offer BL Foreign investors fled agencies after Fannie, Freddie bailout MW TIC Dollar Weakens to Two-Month Low Against Euro BL Gold hits two-month high November industrial output falls less than expected AP FED Monday Morning Outlook: Triple Witching, a Nightmare Before Christmas? Schaeffers Recognition, Fear and Revulsion Hussman Forecast: A Long, Cold Winter Barron’s Stephanie Pomboy, Founder and President, MacroMavens The market's misplaced optimism MSN (Fleck) First the Chinese accumulated dollars, now everyone is joining the stampede King Treasury's Record Low Borrowing Rates Failing to Benefit Corporate Debtors BL Companies are paying an average 10.8 percent on their debt, up from 6.53 percent in January If Fed mimics BOJ, Treasury yield drop could be big Reuters As Rates Race to Zero, Printing Presses Gear Up CNBC Nobody really knows how these policies will work out. If it were another country, the U.S. should probably declare bankruptcy. Fed funds rate cut seen as 'mostly ceremonial' G&M Fed’s Words May Speak Louder Than Actions Now Berry The Fed Still Has Plenty of Ammunition WSJ (Mishkin) Ponzi Nation Business Week Obama stimulus could reach $1 trillion: report Reuters Obama and his advisors won't know what hit them when the economy finally tanks Jackson Has the dollar peaked? Setser MyBudget360 ~ Economicrot Funnies Thousands of small banks still waiting to qualify for $700 billion rescue program AP Where's your bailout? Hold on, it may be coming LA Times If Citigroup Inc. and GM are too big to fail, what about California? Home values to lose well over $2 trillion during 2008: Zillow Reuters Three days that shook the world Fortune Exactly three months ago, the collapse of Lehman triggered a global financial panic... The Man Who Is Unwinding Lehman Brothers NYT Fleeing Investors Put a Strain on Funds NYT Investors are fleeing h-funds and using the cash to cover losses on their other investments Third of Hedge Funds Face ‘Wipe Out’ After Slump, Godden Says BL Reuters: Bernard Madoff has single-handedly turned an already very bad year for hedge funds into a catastrophe. The 17th Floor, Where Wealth Went to Vanish NYT Madoff Said to Have Managed Money in Unregistered Side Business BL Bernard Madoff: Wall Street's Wizard of Oz Telegraph Bernard Madoff's delighted clients sometimes joked that if he was a fraud, he'd take down half the world with him... Bernie Madoff's Victims: The List Not just super rich caught up in $50B Madoff case AP Three European banks announce exposure to Madoff Reuters Asian financial giants may be exposed to Ponzi scheme Forbes Bank Of Spain Says Investigating Madoff Impact On Spain Bks Dow Jones Madoff, as consistent a golfer. . . Naked Shorts Goldman faces $2bn loss -- its first since 1929 Independent Pension Costs Could Shave Company Results WSJ Banks and consumers brace for new credit card rules Reuters Northern Trust plans to cut 450 jobs MW Schwab to Cut 100 Jobs, Take $20 Million Pretax Charge in Fourth Quarter BL Electrolux to cut 3,000 jobs due to downturn Times Saudi's Prince Alwaleed lost $4B this year AP Queen Elizabeth II reins in extravagance as credit crunch grips AFP Tech faces tougher times Barron’s Wal-Mart CEO sees recession change consumer habits Reuters Analysts expect more discounts as Christmas nears AP Christmas trees still selling USAT Dollar's decline to drive gold? Brimelow Backwardation That Shook The World Fekete A titanic struggle is taking place right now, out of earshot and out of sight: the bull fight at Comex. OPEC to Make Severe Cuts to Output CNBC Gas prices up after 86-day decline CNN End of the oil sands' building frenzy? FP Ireland plans €10bn investment in banks FT Irish bank shares jump Reuters Tories set to add forestry, mining to bailout list ~ Quebec, Alberta spurn ABCP action G&M Ruble Is Devalued for Second Time in Three Days as Russia Weakens Defense BL Asia's consumers snap their wallets shut G&M In the past few weeks, governments have used every trick in the book to persuade them to head out shopping....There is one problem: Asians are the world's most-dedicated savers. China's president warns of 'grim' job market: state media AFP China's Industrial Output Grows at Weakest Pace Since 1999 on Export Slump BL Japan business sentiment dives Reuters House prices to crash 30 per cent, Barclays chief executive John Varley warns Telegraph CBI: Taxpayers face public sector pension black hole of ÂŁ1 trillion, CBI warns Telegraph Trichet warns on fiscal indiscipline FT Pound 'buying less than a Euro' BBC Ecuador Default May Hit `True Monsters' Harder Than Argentina, Bonds Show BL The default is Ecuador’s second in a decade and seventh in its 178-year history The coming of age of Islamic structured products Finance Asia NZealand watchdog takes 13 airlines to court over alleged cartel AFP Livedoor arm hid earnings in Swiss bank account Yomiuri In final visit to Iraq, Bush dodges a shoe IHT
Weekend Edition (December 13-14, 2008) GM Moves Closer to Bailout as CEO Wagoner Holds Talks With Bolten, Paulson BL Blank Check for Banks, Pink Slips for Detroit NYT (Morgenson) Global car crisis far from over, executives say Reuters Key U.S. Data Releases and Events GInsight Georgia, Texas Banks Seized as Foreclosures Push Failures to 25 BL Sanderson State Bank ~ Haven Trust Bank Georgia's community banks feeling the pain AJC Credit squeeze beyond banks FT Some Things That Just Should Not Be Mauldin PDF Stock Panic Volatility ZEAL Time Running Out On Rally Swenlin Market statistic of the year (or maybe the half-century) LA Times A Nightmare Before Christmas Schiff Harding Investors find a middle way State Street PDF Money managers brace for unorthodox Fed Reuters Younger Job-Seekers Have It Worse NYT (Norris) To Build Confidence, Aim for Full Employment NYT (Shiller) Golden years tarnished as bear market mauls target-date retirement funds MW A Possible Drag on Bank Lending NYT Before the Fear, There Was Foolishness NYT (Stein) FSN Broadcast for Saturday, December 13 Financial Sense Real Homes of Genius: Today we Salute you Riverside Dr. HB Citadel Halts Withdrawals From Two Hedge Funds After 50% Drop BL List of potential victims grows in NY fraud case AP Madoff Case Puts Fund-Of-Hedge-Funds Model In Spotlight Dow Jones News of the alleged Madoff fraud heightens the potential for jittery investors to ramp up their requests to cash out of hedge funds Questions Are Raised in Trader’s Massive Fraud NYT Madoff Was Made Up Kass Madoff's Strategy Was Just Too Good To Be True NYP Standing Accused: A Pillar of Finance and Charity NYT Madoff fraud case raises questions about SEC AP 'Superwoman' stung by hedge fund guru's '$50bn trading scam' Independent Lessons For Madoff Investors From The Bayou Fund Ponzi Scheme Forbes Fleeced Madoff Investors Face Cold Winter Forbes What's worse than getting caught in a Ponzi scheme? Getting caught in a long-running Ponzi scheme Madoff Sued in Investor Class Action, Lawyer Says BL Sextant manager to fight allegations G&M The End of Hubris Portfolio Ackman's Mall Gamble Pays More Than Double NYP Ackman had piled up an ante of 25.6 percent of the company in the past three weeks, paying the equivalent of 71 cents a share... Trader’s $1bn loss bodes ill for Deutsche Times Online Analysts warn the German bank is likely to make a substantial loss, hit by the performance of its credit-related assets AIG Said to Offer Retention Payment to Bigger Group of Workers BL The retention bonus equals as much as a year’s salary and recipients were ordered to keep the payment secret The consumer dream gears down G&M Toyota to suffer 1.1 billion dollar loss for 2nd half: reports AFP Forget $200, Goldman Now Sees $45 Oil in '09 Reuters Mobius says liquidity remains the biggest challenge Asian Investor China to Increase Money Supply 17% in 2009, State Council Says BL Recession risk 'worse than expected': NDRC China Daily China's Chery Gets Closer to Being a World Player Business Week The Gaijin Stumble in Japanese Banking Asia Sentinel It doesn't look like Wall Street is any better at saving the sun than the Japanese Japan Housing Agency to Drop Fannie, Freddie Model BL Roubini on Rouble trouble in Russia MoneyWeb The inconsistent trinity at work and the need for a 20-25% currency depreciation Russia chief econ planner in trouble over "R" word Reuters Sovereign Wealth Funds Taste Bitter Losses Spiegel Real estate markets still in grip of financial crisis DB Research Santander to cut 1,900 jobs UK banking jobs RTE Emergency rescue plan for UK motor industry Times Online How high-risk mortgages crept north G&M Bridges Versus Bridge Financing CIBC PDF In what seemed like a parody article but was instead a sign of the times, business press reported this week that Italy’s parmesan cheese producers were getting a government bailout, much to the chagrin of mozzarella makers... What Would Keynes Do? BMO Focus PDF Supermarkets' emergency plans to keep shelves full Observer Fears that scores of supermarket suppliers will go bust next year have led the country's major chains to draw up emergency plans to replace them Gambling Thriving Amid Economic Slump Korea Times
Week in Review NTrust Weekly Focus Danske Weekly Trends Scotia PDFs
Friday December 12, 2008 GM, Chrysler May Win Reprieve as Treasury Considers Using TARP For Bailout BL Arience to Shut Hedge Fund, Return 95% of Money on `Incompatible' Markets BL The Coming Commercial Real-Estate Crash Tech Ticker Ecuador Won't Make Bond Payment, Goes Into Default, President Correa Says BL Treasury Says It's Ready to Assist Automakers Until New Congress Convenes BL White House considers using TARP for auto bailout MW Consumer Confidence in U.S. Rises From 28-Year Low as Gasoline Prices Fall BL Producer Prices in U.S. Fall 2.2%, More Than Forecast, as Fuel Costs Drop BL SEC Charges Bernard L. Madoff for Multi-Billion Dollar Ponzi Scheme SEC Madoff told these employees that he was "finished," that he had "absolutely nothing," that "it's all just one big lie," and that it was "basically, a giant Ponzi scheme." Madoff’s ‘Big Lie’ Hits Hedge Funds BL -- Defense lawyer Dan Horwitz. “He’s a person of integrity.” -- Investors Who Entrusted Funds to Firm Are Shaken by Arrest WSJ U.S. trader arrested over massive fraud Reuters May rank among the biggest fraud cases ever. Bogle Says President Will Intervene to Prevent GM From Failing BL “We were about three words away from a deal...” AP Treasuries Rally, Pushing Yields to Record Low, as U.S. Auto Bill Rejected BL GM assessing options after Senate bailout vote Reuters GM board hired advisers to consider bankruptcy Reuters ‘Already Bankrupt’ GM Won’t Be Rescued by U.S. Loan BL Chapter 11 is the right road for US carmakers FT (Stiglitz) Auto Suppliers Share Anxiety Over a Bailout NYT Bubblicious bond days are here DMN Fed Refuses Bloomberg Request to Name Recipients of $2 Trillion in Lending BL Bernanke Talked to Obama Twice in September, Hosted Meeting With Wagoner BL Risks to the Global Outlook: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly Berner It’s Aso Versus Bush in the Big Debt Sweepstakes Pesek It’s conceivable that the U.S. will knock Japan from its biggest-debtor perch. Jeffrey Joerres, CEO of Manpower Offers His Outlook On Employment NBR Transcript U.S. Financial Data, December 11 Issue FRBSL California faces financial meltdown as debt grows by $1.7m an hour Times The state of California, one of t he top ten largest economies in the world, will run out of money by February, causing “financial Armageddon”, according to dire new budget projections. California's credit rating gets battered LA Times Why home values may take decades to recover USAT Housing Chartbook: December 2008 Wachovia PDF Lessons from the Great Depression National Post JPMorgan Chase Is Having A 'Terrible' Quarter: Dimon CNBC Bank of America to cut up to 35,000 jobs Reuters Jim Rogers calls most big U.S. banks "bankrupt" Reuters Fury Builds Over Crisis at Banks NYT (Norris) The hedge-fund industry imprisons its clients and weakens its appeal Economist Cramer: The Market Is Rigged CNBC Why bubbles are so hard to see Marketplace (Blodget) Red alert on China, Wall-Mart Asia Times Riding the rollercoaster Economist Six firms in cyclical industries battle excess debt Prospects for the container shipping industry DB Research PDF America’s universities have seen billions of dollars go up in smoke Economist U.S. Senate approves bear-market pension relief Reuters We Need a Bailout Exit Strategy Cox Let's not forget that free markets made America strong. Official warns Russia already in recession AP Taiwan's central bank announces biggest rate cut in 26 years AFP South Korea, China Form $28 Billion Currency Swap Deal to Ensure Stability BL Yuan set to weaken for 6 months MW China faces its old demons Finance Asia China's auto sales fell 14.6 percent in November AFP No relief as China dips Australian China: Is deflation back on the agenda? Danske PDF Japan to boost economic stimulus to 40 trillion yen: report AFP Rising Japan office vacancies time bomb for developers Reuters Cracks in the crust Economist Iceland’s banking collapse is the biggest, relative to the size of an economy, that any country has ever suffered. Broad-Based Weakness Pushes Italy Into Recession During Q3 Global Insight
Thursday December 11, 2008 Oil up 12% on OPEC-cut fear MW Fed: household debt, net worth post declines AP Flow of Funds Households reduced their debt levels by 0.8 percent at an annual rate in the July-September period, the first drop on records that go back more than 50 years. Jobless claims jump to 26-year high MW DOL Import prices plummet 6.7% on global slowdown MW Fear triggers gold shortage, drives US treasury yields below zero Pritchard 8 really, really scary predictions Fortune Dow 4,000. Food shortages. A bubble in Treasury notes... The Credit Rating on a Benevolent Counterfeiters Debt - Infinity A? Kasriel PDF Treasury Market Bubble Talk Grows Louder as Investors Give U.S. Free Money BL Deflation Says Buy Bonds; Supply Flood Says Sell Gilbert Central Banks Can Do Better Than Just Mopping Up Baum Chinese currency undervalued: US Treasury AFP Treasury 2009 Annual Outlook Wachovia PDF When Will This Horror Show Come to an End? It's Gonna Take Time & Money Puplava Signs suggest we may have seen worst of bear market Brimelow UCLA economists expect dismal 2009 LA Times Deflation a risk Business Outlook Survey: Rock Bottom CFO CFOs predict cuts across the board as they brace for a long recession. Slumping economy hits prosperous states Stateline Muni bond yields soar, signaling buyers' wariness LA Times Global trade is shrinking, fast Setser MyBudget360 Whitney: Banks On Life Support Next 18 Months CNBC Financial groups’ problem assets hit $610bn FT Foreclosure activity drops to June levels AP “We're going to have a pretty significant spike in January” Foreclosure Storm in 2009 May Force 1 Million Homeowners From Properties BL Regulator sees mortgage rates below 4 percent AP Some owners may intentionally fall behind on mortgage USAT Some money market funds could close as rates plunge USAT Who Is To Blame? Newsweek “I believe Alan Greenspan sold his soul to the devil.” Dear Hank and Ben: About that check ... MW The fiscal cure may make the patient worse FT Auto rescue bill in peril, opposed by GOP senators AP GM Suppliers Said to Seek Payments in Advance as Automaker's Cash Dwindles BL Hedge Funds Shrink by $64 Billion Amid Global Recession, Eurekahedge Says BL Ben Graham Would Buy Pfizer, Tiffany, Grant’s Says BL Buffett's Burlington Northern Stake Rises to Almost 20% CNBC Ackman Raises the Stakes on His General Growth Bet WSJ ($) While Detroit Slept NYT (Friedman) Office Depot cutting 112 stores, 2,200 jobs AP Newsweek plans staff cuts in makeover: report Reuters $35B buyout of Canadian telecom company dead AP Lawsuits awaiting collapse of deal Do the SEC's New Rating Agency Rules Have Any Bite? Wharton Americans Oppose Bonuses for Wall Street Beneficiaries of Treasury Rescue BL The Financial Crisis Reaches a New Arena: Professional Sports Wharton 'Illegal' glacier investment juiced returns: OSC G&M Mortgage fraud is booming business for prosecutors Business Week Gold futures rise 2.5% on weak dollar, rising oil MW Commodity crash tests faith in supercycle Pritchard World oil demand to grow in 2009, shrink in 2008: IEA Reuters IEA Russia Volunteers to Join an OPEC Cut in Oil Output NYT Water will be trillion-dollar business by 2020 Water Tech FNX Mining cuts 307 Sudbury jobs G&M Swiss National Bank lowers interest rates Reuters ABCP Committee goes begging to Ottawa FP Bailout panel seeks bailout of up to $10-B Ottawa would be called upon only in extremely dire circumstances. “It would have to be worse than the Depression” Russians Buy Jewels, Hoard Dollars as Ruble Plunge... B “No one wants to be left with pieces of paper.” Russian Devaluation Gathers Pace as Central Bank Loosens Control of Ruble BL Ruble Roulette Forbes Slumping trade a sign of great fall for China LA Times China's Nov CPI drops to 21-month low China Daily Exports, FDI plunge Reality Check for China Barron’s The currency's decline could dampen foreign speculators' enthusiasm. China Dares Deflation Asia Sentinel Japan is too shocked to drown sorrows in beer Times Online Germany questions UK rescue plan BBC South Korea Cuts Benchmark Interest Rate to 3%, Record Low, Amid Slowdown BL Australia Loses 15,600 Jobs, Adding to Signs Economy May Enter a Recession BL India's Stimulus Package: More Help Needed Business Week Canadian Portfolio Strategy (December 2008) CIBC PDF Tycoon's Fall Is a Warning WSJ Sanahuja Patriarch Loses Control of Metrovacesa; the Perils of Heavy Debt More Credit Lines Set for FX Loan Borrowers Korea Times Violence continues in Greece for sixth day Reuters
Wednesday December 10, 2008 Gold futures rally above $800 an ounce as oil gains MW Government spills more red ink in November MW Gross Says Treasuries Overvalued, Bills Have `Bubble-Like' Characteristics BL Treasury sells $28 billion in 3-year notes at record low MW $60.275 billion in bids were tendered for $28 billion bonds available Washington Maps Pact for Bailout of Big Three WSJ Volcker touted as car tsar GMAC Fails to Meet Capital Requirements to Become a Bank Holding Company BL The Inevitable Dénouement Cross Currents Fed Weighs Debt Sales of Its Own WSJ 'Very Close Cousins to Existing Treasury Bills' Bernanke’s GM Rejection Aimed at Re-Establishing Rescue Limits BL Ben Bernanke's Pretense of Knowledge Mises Worse than the Great Depression Bear’s Lair Obama White House is in for a Nasty Surprise NYP (Crudele) Worst Spending Slump Since 1942 Extends ‘Scary’ U.S. Recession BL 'Risk free' rate going way of free lunch Reuters (Saft) That role of the benchmark of benchmarks, which greases the wheels of finance making it more "efficient" but more prone to spectacular error, is now under attack from a number of directions. Treasuries bubble danger FTA Deflation virus is moving the policy test beyond the 1930s extremes Pritchard A Picture Of Treasury Yields Is Worth One Word: DEFLATION EW BIS warns of collapse in global lending Pritchard BIS Quarterly Review December 2008 Dire Forecast for Global Economy and Trade NYT The world economy is on the brink of a rare global recession, the World Bank said, with world trade projected to fall for the first time since 1982. Economic recovery not seen until 2010, Chapman University forecast says LA Times A change is gonna' come Middleton Fundamentals, Valuations, and Technical Trends Ciovacco Valuation model shows stocks to be most undervalued since 1974 MW Q Ratio Signals ‘Horrific’ Market Bottom, CLSA Says BL The S&P may plunge another 55 percent to a trough of 400 by 2014 5 Reasons Why The US Market May Be Past A Bottom iFAST Should you jump in now? Sloan A Wall Street Job Can't Match a Calling in Life Lewis Capitalist Fools Vanity Fair (Stiglitz) Behind the debate over remaking U.S. financial policy will be a debate over who’s to blame. It’s crucial to get the history right, writes a Nobel-laureate economist Review and Preview Wieseman Bonner - Saxena - Mogambo Recession prompts some couples to delay having kids LA Times At last, Treasury gets its bailout inspector Politico As a federal prosecutor, Neil Barofsky made Refco Chairman Phil Bennett cry on the stand...Financial services companies, get your tissues ready Congressional Panel Overseeing U.S. Bailout Criticizes Treasury BL Week-over-week mortgage filings down 7.1% MW Applications for refinancings make up nearly 75% of all activity Mortgage Troubles Are Moving Downtown NYT Investors in commercial real estate are concerned about a growing number of loan delinquencies. The Rise and Fall of the Southern California Housing Empire Dr. HB Even strong hedge funds may go under Reuters One-man protest mocks bailouts for massive firms Toronto Star Office Depot to close 112 stores, 6 distribution facilities MW AIG owes $10 billion for soured trades: report Reuters Eastman Kodak withdraws full-year 2008 forecast AP Toyota to cut more production in North America AFP Rio Tinto to Cut 14,000 Jobs, Eliminate $5 Billion Spending to Lower Debt BL Sweden's SKF to lay off 2,500 workers globally AP Nortel explores bankruptcy, government aid scenarios: report Reuters The Newspaper Bubble, Too, Has Burst NYT How the Tribune deal went so bad, so fast Gross World chipmakers face most difficult time ever: Hynix AFP Dark Days for Mall Dynasty WSJ The Bucksbaums' stake, worth $3.2 billion just six months ago, is now worth $116 million. What's next for Wall Street? Harrison China Will Be Happy Geithner Isn't a Goldman Guy Pesek A Storied Investor's Big, Bad Bet WSJ William H. Miller spent nearly two decades building his reputation as the era's greatest mutual-fund manager. Then, over the past year, he destroyed it. Fear of Investing Kiplinger Broadway hit by downturn Telegraph Pequot's Puzzling Payments Portfolio Monrad Regrets Not Testifying on GenRe Fraud as Prison Looms BL Illinois Governor’s Arrest May Cause Collateral Damage to Obama BL Oil rises to near $43 as investors await OPEC cut AP The End is Near for Benchmark Iron Ore Prices Global Insight Maersk Line warns shipping industry needs a lifebelt Times Alberta to seek tax breaks for oil sands G&M China Wholesale Inflation Plunges, Deflation Risk Reuters BOJ’s Nishimura Sees No End to Financial Turmoil BL Interest rate of 0% looms as economy slumps Times Online Britain worse credit risk than McDonald's Independent Estate agents offer ‘bargains’ in Christmas sale Times Australian central bank: China slowing quickly AP Chinese IPO capital drops 70% China Daily The Chinese export train goes off the tracks Leonard Japan machinery orders down 4.4 percent in October AFP Euro protects Ireland from economic pneumonia MW Hong Kong banks repay 30 million HK dollars in mini-bond scandal AFP Sharp, LG Display to plead guilty to price fixing Reuters
Tuesday December 9, 2008 Treasury Bills Trade at Negative Rates as Haven Demand Surges BL Money for nothing: Government sells short-term bills to yield zero MW Top Senate Democrat sees auto bailout by Wednesday AP Bernanke Opposes Auto Aid Without Congress, Suggests Bankruptcy as Option BL U.S. Could Take Stakes in Big 3 WSJ Bank of Canada makes deep cut G&M Another 14,000 job cuts CNN Fedex and Con-way warn and UPS is downgraded at J.P. Morgan MW Pending Sales of Existing U.S. Homes Fall 0.7% Amid Credit-Market Freeze BL Ex-Fannie, Freddie Officials Blame Congress, Regulators for Financial Woes BL Raines: “It is remarkable that during the period that Fannie Mae substantially increased its exposure to credit risk its regulator made no visible effort to enforce any limits” Recession Hits Small Business Owners CNBC If the Fed Wants to Stimulate Bank Lending, Keep Its Target at 1.00% Kasriel PDF Leading up to the FOMC meeting NF Financial PDF Bernanke `War Powers' Undermine Fed Presidents, Risk Divide on Next Steps BL Surfing an Economic Tsunami Mesirow PDF “Festivus” Saut PDF Insight: Return-free risk FT (Grant) Bystanders to this financial crime were many FT (Taleb) World economy could be depressed beyond 2011: Krugman AFP New bubble building in U.S. Farrell Getting Out of the Credit Mess WSJ The last thing we need is policy that encourages or incurs more debt. Economists Ratcheting Up Job Loss Estimates CNBC WORST Market Panic in 101 Years! Money & Markets Stock markets' upturn doesn't mean bear is dead USAT China: Carpe Diem! Merk FX Strategy - IMM positioning: Continued build-up in net long JPY positions Danske PDF Benedict XVI is magnificently right Spengler Hedge Fund Adviser Tozai to Close After Losses, Redemptions Reduce Assets BL Lehman, Tribune ... beginning of Chapter 11 deluge? MW Investment Banks Are `Gone', Former Bear Stearns CEO Alan Greenberg Says BL Sony Will Eliminate 16,000 Jobs, Curb Investment, Drop Unprofitable Units BL RBC turns to investors to raise $2-billion cash FP Merrill CEO drops $10M bonus bid CNN Fans bid farewell to Polaroid film CNN Transcript: Ron Muhlenkamp Forbes SEC charges N.Y. lawyer over 'stunning, brazen fraud' FP World's oldest profession, too, feels crisis IHT Another false gold rally? Hulbert China's Exports Shrink, Industrial Output Cools, Central Bank Adviser Says BL Policymakers ponder ways to spur consumption China Daily Fed approves Chinese bank CCB to open office in US AFP FED Foreign Banks in China Feel Liquidity Heat Caijing.com On Effective Stimulus Caijing (Xie) The low interest rate caused the problems that are haunting us. Now, governments say the solution is further lowering interest rates. Somehow, this doesn't sound right. Japan's recession worse than thought: official data AFP Japan’s Tankan Business Confidence May Plunge Most in 34 Years BL Asia set to recover quicker than other regions Finance Asia Shops' outlook worst since 1965, says Verdict Times Online Seoul Real Estate Deals Nosedive Chosun S&P Cuts Russia For First Time Since '98 Moscow Times
Monday December 8, 2008 Tribune Files for Bankruptcy Protection AP Stocks Rally Worldwide on Obama Stimulus; Dow Average Hits One-Month High BL Auto Rescue Bill Lets Bush to Appoint Supervisor, Offers Seven-Year Loans BL Zell's Tribune Files for Bankruptcy Protection as Advertising Sales Slump BL Obama stimulus package could exceed $1 trillion ~ Meet The Press “How much it's going to cost? My economic team is examining that right now.” Obama to the Rescue? CIB Magazine (Xie) How to Do Public Works Right WJS It could become prohibitively expensive for the feds to borrow as debt levels skyrocket. Spending is not investing... Obama says Big Three automakers must not fail MW This Wasn't Quite the Change We Pictured WP Illinois Halts Business With Bank of America Until Factory Receives Credit bl Comptroller Dugan Highlights Re-default Rates on Modified Loans OCC “After three months, nearly 36% of the borrowers had re-defaulted by being more than 30 days past due. After six months, the rate was nearly 53%, and after eight months, 58%” Monday Morning Outlook: Searching For Support in the Market's Maelstrom Schaeffers David Tice Says Stock Market Could Fall Another 50% BL S&P Bottomed, Investors Should Get Out of `Bunker Mentality,' Birinyi Says BL Ambiguous Conditions Warrant Moderation Hussman In String of Bad News, Omens of a Long Recession NYT “We’ll be lucky if the unemployment rate is below double digits by the end of next year” In rush to embrace Keynes, are we forgetting the vital role of markets? King Deflation virus is moving us beyond the 1930s Pritchard The Fed can acquire houses, stocks, or a herd of Texas Longhorn cattle if it wants Enter, Pursued by a Bear New Yorker Some Money Managers, Analysts Detect an End to Bear Market (Again) WSJ The Long Road to Nowhere Newsweek The Japan parallel implies that the S&P index will tread water, trading within a broad but firmly capped range. Why China will recover first MSN (Fleck) A Leading Bear Turns Bullish, Sort of Barron’s Investor fear drives US Treasury yields to near zero AFP The Dollar Powers Through the Turmoil WSJ State budget gaps balloon to $97 billion Stateline Beware: Another wave of ARMs is cresting over housing Arizona Star U.S. housing crisis also hitting the wealthy Reuters Home Sweet American Bubble Investing Pie Dr. HB Dow Chemical to cut 5,000 jobs, close 20 plants AP Company crashes set to hit record next year FT The US will see 62,000 companies go bust next year, compared with 42,000 this year and 28,000 last year M&A to Drop 30% in 2009 as Government-Forced Takeovers Dictate Dealmaking BL SUVs at altar, Detroit church prays for a bailout Reuters Tribune Co. Taps Lazard,Weighs Filing for Chapter 11 WSJ NY Times Co to borrow against building: report Reuters How mortgage giant Freddie Mac waged a war of influence that co-opted Congress AP Merrill's Thain seeking 2008 bonus of $10 million Reuters When the Lavish Cut Back NYT The first recession in luxury-goods sales in nearly 20 years has forced companies like Bulgari to economize. Leucadia's Unmined Potential Barron’s Leucadia.com Downturn creates drama at NBC LA Times Low Quality's Round Trip Hussman The bubble in low-quality stocks is the third to deflate Confessions of a Wall Street analyst Finance Asia Economic downturn will be felt in ballparks, too G&M Crude Contango Pays Most Since 1998 as Shell, Koch Supertankers Store Oil BL Cost of gas is approaching a five-year low AP New Ridership Record Shows U.S. Still Lured to Mass Transit WP Chinese iron ore contracts in jeopardy Australian Reports: Chinese companies want to terminate agreements 3-months earlier than scheduled. Oilsands Stocks Whipsawed by Merger Speculation as Nexen, Opti, UTS Tumble BL Back at Junk Value, Recyclables Are Piling Up NYT The precipitous drop in prices for recyclables makes the stock market’s performance seem almost enviable. India Spending May Be Too Little to Prevent Slowdown BL PM tells Australians to go shopping to clear financial gloom AFP Office space set to halve in value Telegraph ’Factory of the world' hammered on all sides G&M JPMorgan warns against yuan mismanagement Reuters China `Highly Unlikely' to Devalue Yuan, Former Central Bank Adviser Says BL Lee exudes optimism amid gloom Standard China to invest $22B on railways in north province AP Japan's current account surplus plunges in October AFP BOJ May Need to Get Bolder to Stem Credit Crunch BL Fed, BOJ Signal We Are All Islamic Bankers Now Pesek Is Dubai’s Party Over? Newsweek The glitzy façade shows some cracks. Euro Dreams Shattered for Poles, Hungarians, Czechs as Currencies Plumme BL 'March Crisis' Fears Point to Deepening Market Jitters Chosun 'Korean Banks Destined for Relapse' Korea Times Northern Rock accused of selling repossessed homes at 'knockdown prices' ThisisMoney Asia's Top Tycoons Take a Haircut Asia Sentinel
Weekend Edition (December 6-7, 2008) FDIC shuts bank in Georgia, 23rd bank failure this year AP FDIC Democrats Set to Offer Loans for Carmakers NYT Key U.S. Data Releases and Events GInsight Obama Pledges `Largest Investment' in U.S. Roads, Hospitals to Create Jobs BL U.S. in Danger of Worst Recession Since World War II as Job Losses Deepen BL Trying to Kill the Credit Crisis Beast Schwab Market Perspective Debt Watchdogs: Tamed or Caught Napping? NYT (Morgenson) The Velocity Factor Mauldin Good News - Conditions Resemble Those of 1973-74! Harding From Bad to Worse Barron’s (Abelson) Low Rates, Big Problems Schiff Middleton - North The Biggest Bubble of All: Long-term Treasuries? Larson Interpreting Market Indicators iFast Mid-winter solace StateStreet PDF Broken Record(s) BMO Focus PDF Record books are being re-written on virtually every chapter of the U.S. economy and financial markets today. Review of 2008 and outlook for 2009 AMP Capital PDF American shopping spree led to global economic crisis Shanghai Daily How the Credit Crisis Will Change the Way America Does Business WSJ Unretired: Retirees are Back, Looking for Work Business Week Credit Crunch Watch Oxford PDF 3M cutting 1,800 jobs around world in 4th quarter AP Chrysler hired bankruptcy counsel FP GM, Chrysler May Need Twice Their Bailout Requests to Finance Bankruptcies BL “Unfortunately, this traditional loan, even for $18 billion, is inadequate and is destined to fail in the current environment and will likely be followed by additional requests for more rescue funds or a bankruptcy petition” Chrysler’s Friends in High Places NYT U.K. carmakers look to government for help MW Argentine automakers to sell at cost, protect jobs Reuters Behind the Delay on Coke's Juicy China Deal Business Week Harvard selling bonds to pay debt Boston Globe Motorola rating falls into junk status WSJ REITs batterd down to eye-catching levels G&M Value fund managers begin to find equity bargains Reuters U.S. sports leagues prepping for worse 2009 Reuters Angry laid-off workers occupy factory in Chicago AP Meltdown weakens NYC as global financial capital AP The Case for Gold Hasn't Lost Its Luster Luskin Precious metals funds losing their lustre G&M Real Rates and Gold 10 ZEAL Five junior miners that could be bargains G&M Here are resource plays with strong management and plenty of cash Red Alert: Gold Backwardation!!! Fekete Mexico strike shuts world's top silver pit Reuters Interview: OPEC head predicts output cuts AP Global Crisis Hits Shipping Industry Hard Spiegel India central bank slashes key interest rates AFP More "world coordination" on rates needed Reuters China fund says won't bail out Western firms Reuters “On the one hand, the U.S. needs us; on the other hand, they're suspicious toward us. They want us to invest at their will. That's not sincere cooperation” Beijing holds key to prosperity Asia Times Can China`s savers save the world? Telegraph China's car sales slump 10% in Nov China Daily House prices falling in two-thirds of countries ThisisMoney The bankers will die a thousand deaths Times Online Russia Rocked by Financial Crisis Business Week Central Banker Out of Touch Korea Times Container producer cuts production, 22,000 employees on leave Xinhua Vauxhall plea to save 5,000 jobs Times Online
Week In Review NTrust Weekly Focus Danske Weekly Trends Scotia PDFs November Employment Report: More Grim News from Labor Market NTrust PDF NYT: As bad as the headline numbers in Friday’s employment report were, they still made the job market look better than it really is. Consumer Credit in U.S. Decreases by $3.5 Billion BL Record 1 in 10 homeowners in mortgage trouble AP
Friday December 5, 2008 O.J. Simpson Is Sentenced to 16 Years in Prison for Armed Robbery at Hotel BL Oil, Copper, Corn Lead Commodities to Six-Year Low as Recession Takes Toll BL 533,000 ~ BLS ~ White House 'very concerned' Record Number of Part-Time Workers Prevented a Bigger Jump in Jobless BL HAVER Legg Mason Cuts 8% of Jobs to Save $120 Million a Year in `Severe' Market BL U.S. mortgage foreclosures, delinquencies hit record high MW GM to lay off 2,000 more workers at 3 factories AP CMI cutting 500 jobs Bundesbank: German economy to shrink in 2009 AP Canada loses most jobs in 26 years G&M Job recovery could be slow and weak CNN Dodd, Frank Say Treasury May Not Get More TARP Funds, Echoing Republicans BL Fed Takes a $3 Trillion Gamble to Spur Lending Berry Profiles in Panic Vanity Fair Do Dead Cats Bounce? Absolute Return Letter PDF Guidelines For a Market Bottom Comstock You too can forecast recessions! Secrets revealed! Here’s how! iTulip Only New Thinking Will Save the Global Economy El-Erian Crisis is still to come Spectator State bail-outs in response to the credit crunch could lead to yet another massive shock: a widespread collapse of currencies, and a new inflation The Parable of the Mustard Seed Kass When the golden eggs run out Economist A decade of poor returns and the onset of recession are likely to make investors cautious. That would be understandable, but mistaken Is US now stuck with irrational pessimism? CS Monitor Phony inflation numbers hid crisis Jubak Where have all your savings gone? Economist Investors may draw the wrong lesson from history Wearing Shorts in an Economic Winter Mogambo Investors drain $12B from mutual funds CNN Eyeing Opportunities in the Global Financial Crisis Investors Insight (Stratfor) A big, fat "I told you so" from Joe Stiglitz Leonard U.S. Financial Data, December 4 Issue FRBSL Popping sounds Economist House prices are falling just about everywhere Mortgage rates plummet after Fed action; 30-year near 5.5% MW Steepest weekly decline in 27 years for rates on 30-year fixed-rate loans Lower mortgage rates no silver bullet CNN Taxpayers: Furious over homeowner bailouts CNN Many Americans are outraged that their money is being spent to rescue irresponsible mortgage borrowers. Still, that probably won't stop government officials. Monitor: Financial crisis update Danske PDF Kashkari Says Treasury's Rescue Plan Working, Banks Are Obligated to Lend BL Trump Sees Act of God in Recession NYT “A depression is not within the control of the borrower.” Automotive Industry Crisis: Car Sales Crash across Global Markets in November GInsight The Detroit Delusion Slate The enormous gap between the Big Three's self-image and reality. US auto industry troubles could spill over to Nissan AFP A cautionary tale from within the fund-management industry Economist Ex-WorldCom chief Ebbers seeks clemency from Bush Reuters Sales of champagne decline along with the economy Economist Who's the world's worst banker? MSN (Gross) S.E.C. Charges a Venture Capitalist With Fraud NYT Countrywide Threatens to Countersue Investor CNBC Buffett Calls The Market Again...And He's Never Been Wrong Blodget Jim Rogers Says Commodities' Fundamentals `Unimpaired,' Prices to Rebound BL Oil Heads for Biggest Weekly Drop Since March 2003 as Recession Cuts Use BL OPEC has its work cut out to stop the oil price from sinking further Economist Oil industry adjusts to lower prices CS Monitor Will solar power ever be as cheap as coal? CS Monitor Some predict that within five years, it could rival fossil-fuel energy. Banks refuse to pass on cut to homeowners Times Online When interest rates reach zero, what does the Bank do then? Warner Bank of England mulls "nuclear option" Telegraph House prices falling faster than 90s crash ThisisMoney House prices tumble 80s-style Changing My Call on the Chinese RMB Morgan Stanley (Jen) China: Will China allow CNY to depreciate? Danske PDF Loan shrinkage keeps Yam watching banks Standard Full Text Japan's Government Imperils Economy, Banks, Ex-Regulator Says BL Bleak Global Economy Weighs Down on Korea Chosun Ruble Drops as Russia Allows Greater Devaluation on Decline in Urals Crude BL Rio plummets on debt fears Australian Carnage on the high street as retailers feel the chill Independent The Pier and Envy chains collapse into administration
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