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Weekend Edition (29-30) The Week Ahead: A Pregnant Pause CIBC PDF To Pause, or Not To Pause Mauldin Betting on a pause CNN Time to pause? Noland Dollar starts the big slide against major currencies Times Online Dollar Posts Biggest Monthly Drop Since 2003 on Federal Reserve Comments BL Treasury 10-Year Yield Reaches Highest Since May 2002 on Data BL Economy's growth is strong, but workers wouldn't know it EPI If No One Whispered 'Housing Bubble,' There'd Be No Worry NYT Don't Settle For 0% Return WSJ
Gold: Much More to Go Aden Copper hits all-time high Asia Times Are we doomed for inflation-adjusted 1980s prices? CBSM Under pressure, how will Big Oil spend its billions? CBSM Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of Oil NYT Topic: Tough Times Ahead for Energy Financial Sense (Simmons interview) Iraq no help on oil Globe & Mail Restoring production to 1990 levels would require years and a $30-billion investment As Gas Prices Go Up, Impact Trickles Down IHT (NYT) Natural Gas Economy Is Losing Steam AP When the Dollar Zigs, These Mutual Funds May Zag NYT
Wal-Mart's April U.S. Same-Store Sales Rise 6.8 Percent, Exceed Forecast BL Tokyo rolls through Detroit Australian Aloha Says Goodbye to Pensions CFO An Insider-Trading Case With a B-Movie Plot NYT Nortel completes $1.5 bln revenue restatement Reuters After 35 Years, Amtrak's Future Uncertain AP Stock Options at Wholesale NYT Financial Firms Prep for Another 9/11 CFO Pink Sheets CEO to ‘Out’ non-disclosures NYP May IPOs off to quiet start CNN John Kenneth Galbraith, 97, dies IHT (NYT)
Indian Markets End Up in Special Session AP Stocks crash to 13-month lows Khaleej Times Auto Sales Boom Drives Fuel Demand in Asia AP Japanese raid RBS offices in crackdown on banks Times Online Loonie hits highest level since 1978 Globe & Mail Focus: Beware the bear Times Online Many are asking how far our new friends in Moscow can be trusted Rosneft cuts back size of London float Times Online Colombia Central Bank Unexpectedly Raises Overnight Rate to 6.25 Percent BL Iran to allow snap inspections -- on one condition CNN
Friday April 28 Nuclear Agency Says Iran Defying U.N. AP Microsoft Shares Drop Most Since 2000 on Higher Spending to Fight Google BL Gold futures rise more than $20 amid more tensions on Iran AP Gold up over $18 on day, up almost 12% for April CBSM Silver ETF begins trading CBSM Drivers fume as gasoline soars, pumps run short Reuters Bush rejects tax on oil companies' windfall profits CNN Stock futures weighed by Microsoft outlook CBSM U.S. Economy Expanded at 4.8% Annual Rate, Fastest in Two Years BL BEA Rebalancing Legitimized! Roach Macro Tightening, Property Bubble and Systemic Financial Risk Xie A host of problems Economist Would a second Plaza agreement make sense? More Evidence of a Top Cross Currents End to rate hikes could end rally CNN
Dollar continues slide after Bernanke testimony FT Dollar Poised for Biggest Decline in 18 Months on Rate Gap BL Gentle Ben handed the dollar bears plenty of ammunition BS PDF Bernanke's Cloudy Crystal Ball Comstock Bernanke Bets His Reputation Bloomberg Heavy-Metal Markets Cool as Bond Conundrum Fades Gilbert Bernanke Delivers `There May Come a Time' Speech Baum We Hardly Knew Ye, Conundrum; Now You're Gone Baum Foreign cenbanks huge sellers of Treasuries in week Reuters Many investors take on more risk; how far is too far? WSJ Hoisington 1Q06 Review & Outlook Hoisington PDF Northern Trust Daily Commentaries NT PDF Believe what you want, folks, but the shaky foundation of the housing industry is showing severe cracks. For now, housing appears to be safe Brimelow Two Views of the Real Estate Boom Business Week Lenders push home-equity deals WSJ 50-year mortgage debuts in California Bankrate New-home sales figures fell significantly in March Arizona Republic National real-estate expert says 2006 will be tough for PBC Palm Beach Post
Gold Heads for a Second Monthly Gain, Buoyed by Fund Interest BL UBS ups price forecasts for base and precious metals Reuters Oil sinks towards $70 Reuters Who's Afraid of $100 a Barrel? Only Politicians BL Profits, Prices Spur Oil Outrage WP Energy prices could drain energy out of the economy USAT Trucking industry once again slows down AP Rising Costs Throw Wrench Into Counties' Building Plans WP Japan Pension Funds May Join Commodity Rush With 500 Bln Yen BL Commodities hold key to economic power Reuters Copper recovers from losses, eyes new peaks Reuters Copper Heads for Biggest Monthly Gain Since 1987 on Disruption BL
Fed eyes Fannie/Freddie debt, next regulator named Reuters Microsoft Shares Tumble After Profit Forecast Misses Analysts' Estimates BL Is Microsoft Preparing Big Attack? NYT Intel eyes cost cuts amid tough market Reuters Gateway Loss Widens Chrysler incentives put drag on profits Det FP Detroit automakers expect losses in sales LSJ Chevron Reports First Quarter Net Income of $4 Billion PRN Prosecutor: Lay's son was selling Enron stock short; Lay sold shares in 01 USA Kenneth Lay Is Looking Less Like Good Old Granddad BL Vitesse Restates, Names Acting CFO CFO Judge Won't Dismiss SEC Charges v. Ex-Citigroup Execs AP Ex-Bronco accused of bilking investors Rocky MN Where Wall Street Meets to Eat, the Last Lunch NYT What do they make? Boston Globe A market bubble is still a bubble no matter how mean its pop Fort Worth Paperboys are old news AP
China PBOC advisor warns forex reserves face US dollar risks - report AFX China’s change of tack surprises economists FT China May Take Further Steps to Cool Economy After Raising Interest Rates BL China rate hike hits Asian stocks Reuters Yen Weakens as Japan's Abe and Takenaka Say Deflation Persists BL Japan's Consumer Prices Rise for 5th Straight Month BL IP Rises Japan's household spending down 2.1% in March Kyodo Jobless Rate 4.1% Reaganomics Hits Snag in Japan Amid Recovery Pesek European Executive, Consumer Confidence Climbed to Five-Year High in April BL BoE should consider preemptive rate hike next week - NIESR AFX Trade unions have won a victory, but their strength is still declining Economist 300 retirement funds in danger of collapse, warns watchdog Guardian David Dodge sounds inflation alarm Globe & Mail Putin Steps Up Gazprom Defense Moscow Times Japan to inject public funds into Howa Bank -paper Reuters It would be the first injection of public funds after the government imposed a cap on deposit insurance last April SEBI cracks the whip on biggies for IPO scam Times of India India probe sparks shares slump BBC Volkswagen Profit Misses Estimates on Costs to Eliminate Jobs BL FSA slaps SMBC with suspension order Asahi Canada, U.S. reach deal on softwood lumber issue Globe & Mail Russian chicken ban catches U.S. off guard AP U.S. Tries to Calm Fears In Europe on Using Bases WP
Thursday April 27 Microsoft Profit Rises 16 Percent; Revenue Trails Analysts' Estimates BL Silver bullet cocked and ready CBSM Mortgage rates hit nearly 4-year-high for 3rd week Reuters Bernanke: Fed May Pause Even If Risks Not Balanced BL Text $ Weakens U.S. Stock-Index Futures Fall on Concern China's Growth Will Slow BL Gold dips after China hikes interest rates CBSM U.S. initial jobless claims up 11,000 to 315,000 CBSM As GM Goes, So Goes the Nation PIMCO (Gross) Inflation May Accelerate Just as Fed Seeks to End Interest Rate Increases BL Economists: Fed will raise rates more than expected USAT The 'Get Bernanke' Music Video North WMV Market Calm Belies Fiscal-Policy Dangers WSJ ($) Waiting to act until financial markets lose faith in just-in-time politics is somewhere between foolish and irresponsible Preparing for the Economic Typhoon OpEd Recession Scenarios North PDF File Emerging debt-Risk hits record low for 3rd session Reuters Lex live: Emerging market equities FT The importance of manufacturing in balancing the U.S. trade deficit EPI Will stock markets collapse as baby boomers start liquidating assets? BW M3b, Repos & Fed Watching Bart
Yen gains after China surprises with rate hike Dollar on defensive, matches 7-month low vs euro Reuters $C jumps to 14-year high ~ $A strengthened by ailing USD Dwindling dollar: World may sneeze on US cold TofI E20/20 Globalization used to drive down prices. Not anymore Slate The Message of the Fed Cleveland Median CPI To A Stunning Display of Pricing Power by Guess Who? BL Fed inflation soars Washington Times
Think your home is a nest egg? Think again Reuters Many homeowners expect to retire ‘on the house,’ researchers say Number of unsold homes S-Florida balloons Sun-Sentinel FAR vs. NAR Mish Homes in Foreclosure Could Strain Colorado Housing Market KRT Mortgage rates expected to continue climbing PPG Foreclosures and Financial Ruin: How Bad Will It Get? Blog
Gold slides sharply as China raises interest rates Reuters What the Price of Gold Is Telling Us Paul Banks hoard gold on hopes of higher retail sales India Times Indians Purchasing More Gold Than Disclosed by the Numbers RI With oil at $70 a barrel, firms try coal, shale, even turkeys CS Monitor Second Thoughts in Congress on Oil Tax Breaks NYT Oil Prices And Cyclical Stocks BCA Research US lawmakers demand oil companies' tax records FT China, construction help copper shine USAT Copper prices attract U.S. dollars Miami Herald Time for King Coal to return Cincinnati Post
Exxon profit surges from a year ago CNN But oil behemoth misses analyst projections and cannot sustain record pace Bush to Meet Big 3 for Talks on Fuel Issues and Pensions NYT Accounting Skullduggery (Part 99) Schaeffers Yet Another Reason to Avoid the Usual Suspect Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Dow Chemical 1st-period net off 10%, revenue up 3% CBSM Dow Chemical Lagging Behind Peers TheStreet Have we already seen the peak of the cycle? That's what most chemical investors -- and an increasing contingent of sell-side analysts -- seem to be saying. Moody's Tumbles as Revenue Misses TheStreet Lay, prosecutor clash at trial CNN Lay describes hardships as jurors get antsy Crudele Arrest Warrant Sought for Hyundai Chairman AP T. Boone Pickens: Still Courting Controversy Business Week SEC Rolls Up Accounting Fraud CFO NYSE looking at broker, hedge fund CBSM Simplifying Accounting Is No Simple Task CFO Wall Street, Don't Let Customers Read This Book BL Wall St. Versus America
China Raises Benchmark Interest Rate to Cool Economic Growth BL European Stocks Head for Biggest Drop in 2-Weeks After China Raises Rate BL Asian Stocks Climb to 16-Year Highs on Earnings BL BOJ expected to let rates rise soon Asahi Japan's recovery raises the rents IHT Why the world's markets shrug off fears over global trade imbalances Inde The IMF may call for an orderly decline in the dollar but financial markets are not good at doing orderly. Derivatives trading in Thailand finally set to take off Standard Gazprom now world's fourth-biggest company AFP Gazprom's acquisition of Centrica is a bad idea Independent Soros is right to be scared of Russian monopolies Guardian Putin threatens to divert oil to Far East Times Online Inflation figures put rate rise heat on home owners SMH Colombia's Uribe Doesn't Want Bank to Increase Rates BL FSA hits megabank over loan coercion Asahi LSE chief warns Putin over banning of Russia's top fund manager AFP Iran, US in tug of war over Middle East Asia Times Iran oil bourse next week Iranian.ws A defiant Iran banks on a split at UN CS Monitor China urges cool heads over Iran Reuters
Wednesday April 26 Gold Closes at Highest in 25 Years on Comex as Dollar Declines BL Stocks Climb, With Dow Average Reaching Six-Year High on Earnings BL Fed sees steady growth, cooling housing market CBSM Beige Book U.S. March new home sales up 13.8% to 1.21 million CBSM PDF File Futures flatten out as data lifts bond yields CBSM U.S. March durable goods orders up 6.1% on aircraft BL Census ~ Ts Fall Oil Falls a Third Day as Bush Moves to End Gasoline Disruption BL Asian currencies fall again on intervention FT Fund buying hits record in March CBSM “Including March's record total, about $94 billion of new cash cascaded into funds in the first quarter of the year -- a figure topped only by the first quarter of 2000” Global shake-out of private equity coming -Merrill Reuters Sowing the Seeds of the Next Crisis Mises From My Perch... Schaeffers Mogambo China: Embrace the Competition Merk We are afraid protectionism may reign at the end of the day as the standard of living in the West is under pressure. Understanding the Chinese Consumer Globalist (Roach) The Predator State Mother Jones Enron, Tyco, WorldCom... and the U.S. government? Piece of Florida's Disappearing Past Saved by Munis BL Foreclosure Numbers at New Highs: Are Toxic Loans To Blame? Realty Times US home purchase demand at lowest since Nov. '03 Reuters For Sale: Record Number of Homes Voice of SD
Gold and silver steady Reuters Oil dips ahead of supply data CBSM Barclays' silver ETF could be OKed in days -source Reuters Top Ten Signs of a Precious Metals Bubble Schiff The 1980s gold re-run Daily Reckoning A Long Time Coming Butler Gold, Silver, Oil Bull Markets Now Look Frayed BL More investors take a shine to base metals USAT Hedge Fund Profit-Taking cause for Stall of Metals Rally? Hedgeco Copper rockets past $7,000 a tonne mark FT The oil party is finally over Japan Times BP boss blames spiralling oil price on action of speculators Times Online Oil companies cruise toward record earnings CBSM 3 largest U.S. oil companies combine for $16 bil profits AP Record oil prices and profits turn up heat in D.C. AP Does Expensive Gas Make Vacations Too Pricey? ABC Gas prices may hit $4 before falling back CNBC How to Ease the Pain at the Pump Business Week Stock picker Miller throws cold water on commodities Reuters
Babcock & Brown Infrastructure Agrees to Buy NorthWestern for $2.2 Billion BL Boeing Profit Rises 29% on Biggest Gain in Deliveries in 5-Years BL PEP Amazon.com 1Q Earnings Slide 35 Percent AP Strapped insurers flee coastal areas USAT EU warns Microsoft will stifle innovation AP Refco creditors sue BAWAG, judge freezes assets Reuters Lay: No Recall of ''Dire Straits'' CFO Citigroup Is Test Case for Australia's Insider-Trading Rules BL Hedge fund advisers face tough examination by SEC FT Portus faces new charges Globe & Mail One Last Local Enron Rip-off Seattle Weekly
U.K. Economy Grew 0.6 Percent in Quarter, Matching Fastest Pace in a Year BL China's central bank warns of risks in housing finance Xinhua Tanigaki calls for 'orderly' moves in forex markets Japan Times Japan firms eyeing bubble-level job offers for 2007 graduates TMCNet Euphoria for Korean Shares Continues in 2006 Korea Times Emerging debt-Yield spreads narrow to tightest ever Reuters Is The Clock Ticking For Emerging Markets Stocks? Capital Spectator Mini Boom As 'Hot Money' Set Kenya's Sleepy Bonds Market On Fire All Africa The Age of Economic Bubbles Has Not Come to an End Dar Al Hayat
Market rally sees bank loans landing in stocks Times of India The lure of quick bucks is pushing many people to avail of credit to pump into the booming markets... Sensex melts 268 in metal fire Retail presence in derivatives on rise ~ NSE hikes margins Bull Run? Beware of being scammed! Rediff Bank of Canada: Not Done Yet ... But is this Overkill? CIBC PDF Russia's red-hot IPO boom could end in tears Moscow Times Don't rule out a gas cartel; it makes sense to Russia Times Online The Coming Natural Gas Cartel Foreign Policy Few people talk about the looming U.S. dependency on imported natural gas, but it could be painful. 'Gazprom Is Good for the World' Moscow Times Gazprom deputy CEO Alexander Medvedev turned to the Bible on Tuesday to defend the gas giant's policy toward Europe U.S. to Investigate Gazprom’s RosUkrEnergo SPTimes India looks to Burma to slake growing thirst for gas CS Monitor Report: Turkmenbashi maintains slush fund ISN EBX, Expelled From Bolivia, to Move Pig-Iron Mill Across Border to Brazil BL Ireland's Housing Market Probably in a Bubble, Institute Says BL Experts: Global warming behind 2005 hurricanes Reuters Chernobyl: 20 years on, no end in sight to the suffering Guardian Iran 'will harm U.S. interests if attacked' Reuters
Tuesday April 25 Bush threatens to veto bloated war-funds bill Reuters Silver leads broad gains among metals futures CBSM Bush takes aim at rising gasoline prices CNN Treasuries extend losses on poor 5-yr TIPS auction Reuters Stocks Struggle -- 'Treasurys are getting killed' CBSM Chart: 10-year Yield Lay Says He Was Eager to Talk With WSJ AP Treasuries Fall as Consumer Confidence, Home Sales Increase BL U.S. April consumer confidence rises to 109.6, a 4-yr high Conference Board Home Sales Unexpectedly Rise O.3%; More Houses on Market BL Realtor The "Commodity Super Cycle" goes into Extra Innings 321 Bank of Canada raises rates Globe Investor Crude gains as Iran comes back into play CBSM Iran to shun UN watchdog if hit by sanctions Reuters Stock Futures Steady Ahead of Bell AP US investors pour $68bn into global mutual funds FT Or more than twice the amount allocated to US funds. Globalization's new underclass Roach The US-China trade 'disconnect' KWR Dollar decline won't hit stocks -- yet CBSM A brief look at why prices seem to fall faster than they rise Black Swan PDF U.S. consumer is key in global economy DiMartino Credit quality hit by LBOs FT Pension funds boost FX trading volumes Investor Global Greenwich Venture Capital Investments Up 12 Percent AP Convertible bond issues lift hedge funds WSJ Investor Actions Speak Louder Than Experts' Words Currier Uncle Sam Seeks Accounting Break CFO Emergency Spending Bill Grows by Some $15B AP War getting more expensive
Housing Slump? Horton, Toll, Pulte Bonds' Rally Shows It May Be Ending BL There are enough new homes on the market to satisfy demand for more than six months, the largest backlog in more than a decade. UBS tempers view on home builders CBSM Home foreclosures increase 72% BL The Housing - Inflation Connection Blog
NY Precious Metals Pre-Open:Gold $6 Higher; Silver Up 60c Dow Jones Marc Faber Says Gold May Rise 10-Fold If Dow Triples BL Gold's Real Fundamentals Dow Jones Gold's Message Saville Gold price hot but output cold Business Day ETF Securities Plans Silver, Gold Funds to Tap Demand BL Coming soon: Funds for trading in gold Mumbai Mirror The Soft Underbelly of Mining Stocks Texas Hedge OPEC concedes it can't rein in oil prices Reuters How High is Too High? AP Don't blame the Chinese for this nation's oil woes Seattle Times The pain ... and the gain USAT High gas prices propel a new 'moped madness' CS Monitor Scooters and mopeds see a rise in sales... As gas prices climb, wind power wins over new fans Knight Ridder Weary buyers look for fuel-sipping cars Detroit News Bush Orders Probe Into Gas Price Cheating AP In deregulation of electric markets, a consumer pinch CS Monitor Record commodity prices fail to stoke sea freight Reuters BDI versus CRB Commodity Price Rally Very Extended, But... BCAR Material Sector Shakeout Ahead? BCAR Copper: The Beginning of the End? CSFB PDF Risk appetite rose sharply last week and made a new 20-year high Copper Climbs to $7,000 a Ton for the First Time, Leading Rally in Metals BL
Reynolds American to Buy Conwood for $3.5 Billion, Enter Smokeless Market BL DuPont 1st-qtr profit falls, raises forecast Reuters BP's 1st-Quarter Net Profit Falls 15%. AP New AT&T boosts earnings by 63% Think Twice Before Purchasing These Seven Stocks Dorfman Kumar Pleads Guilty in $2.2 Billion Computer Associates Accounting Fraud BL Web Tycoon Turns The Tables on Touts NYP Once-admired Lay must persuade jury NYT It Wasn’t Me Crudele Words Could Hurt Lay on Stand Houston Chronicle LSE denies receiving bid offer from NYSE AFP Ford stock declines to a 3-year low Det FP Sun Chief McNealy to Step Down as Losses Mount at Company He Founded BL Gates buys into ethanol CNN Lament of the Profiteer Slate Why Halliburton wants the Iraq war to end U.S. Shell-Company Probes Hindered by States' Rules, Watchdog Says BL Raytheon CEO admits not crediting 1944 rule book Reuters Women still making less money than men WP
Hedge funds make big bets on China boom CNN China: Losing Control? Xie G-7 Appeals to IMF to Pressure China on Yuan BL Qatar buys euro for reserves AME German Business Confidence Unexpectedly Climbs to 15-Year High, Ifo Says BL BOJ’s 2007 CPI Forecast May Signal Early Rate Hike A Bernstein PDF South Korean Economy Grew 1.3% in First Quarter as Exports Climbed BL Arab Banks Vulnerable to Shocks in Real Estate and Equity Markets Arab News Bond Market Will 'Double in 3 Years' Moscow Times Fears over fraud as VAT receipts slump Guardian Telecom liability a tough number to call Times Online A cure for China's primary share phobia Asia Times Superior units drop 25% Financial Post Venezuela's Chavez Escalates Fight With Exxon, Oil Producers Over Control BL BP's Browne Says Venezuela Risks Oil Investment With Greater Demands BL As Zimbawe's economy collapses, a tiny few make huge profits Guardian Zimbabwe has the fastest shrinking economy outside a war zone, with unemployment pushing 80% and inflation a rampant 913%. But amid the meltdown a small minority - some legitimate investors, others crooks - is thriving Rumsfeld say Iraq, Afghan missions key to containing Iran AFP
Monday April 24 Stocks end lower; weak dollar in view CBSM Barclays deposits silver to back iShares trust Reuters Lay: Enron's Fall Caused 'Enduring Pain' AP Lay repaid more than $70 million in company loans with Enron stock throughout 2001...He didn't tell employees of those sales, however, as he encouraged them to buy more stock in September 2001. Time for a New Global Architecture Roach Bad Advice Berner
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