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Friday April 30 Crude Oil Rises on Concern of Possible U.S. Gasoline Shortfall Bloomberg Winn-Dixie to Cut Up to 10,000 Jobs Reuters Chicago manufacturing grows CNN Michigan index revised higher March Personal Spending Rises 0.4%; Incomes Gain 0.4% Bloomberg BEA Trouble Brewing in Asia Morgan Stanley (Roach) Technical and Anecdotal Evidence Says Financial Sense It Feels and Smells Like a Nasdaq top A Major Transition Comstock Strike Two Longboat Fed May Have Acted on False Alarm Dow Jones Alan Greenspan Tiptoes Up to China's Bubble Bloomberg Greenspan faces task of raising rates without hurting recovery Knight Ridder Inflation hits the family dinner table CS Monitor After years of stability, prices rise on key items, hitting pocketbooks and economy U.S. Trucking Companies Increase Freight Rates Dow Jones Brent crude edges close to fresh 13-year high FT 30-year mortgage rates top 6% for first time in 2004 USAT SEC Hedges on Hedge Fund Rules TheStreet Disgraced Pitt Lambastes SEC Board-Nomination Plan CFO SEC Probes Bally; CFO Resigns, Returns CFO Google Files to Sell Shares, Seeks to Raise $2.72 Bln Bloomberg Ingram: Be frugal with Google Globe & Mail Google's auction a snub to Wall St Times Online Google Cites Buffett as Role Model in IPO Pitch Bloomberg Gateway to Cut 1,500 More Jobs Reuters Warren Buffett Living Humbly in Nebraska AP Board Gives Martha an Extra $500G NYP J.P. Morgan Cuts Emerging-Market Debt Citing Rates Bloomberg China may raise rates by 50 basis points AFX China's central bank is understood to have decided to raise interest rates after an emergency meeting was held yesterday to discuss measures to curb investment growth... China: Reasserting Control Morgan Stanley (Xie) China halts steel project in crackdown CBSM China has stopped construction of a huge steel project near Shanghai and punished several bank and local government officials as the campaign to rein in runaway investments and avoid an economic hard landing moves to a more aggressive phase. China’s Great Wall of Worry SavilleT The specter of a new Asian financial crisis Asia Times When these and other structural deficiencies converged in 1997 Asia went into a financial meltdown that would ultimately erase a decade of growth from the young tiger economies of the East. Nikkei Down 2 Pct on U.S., China Worries Reuters Japan Refrained From Selling Yen last Month BL Monthly FX Outlook CIBC Japan exporters brace for higher yen in 2004/05 Reuters Stocks Plunge on UES Fears, Potanin Rumors Moscow Times Australia: Record loan figures renew rate speculation ABC EU Builds ‘Hit List’ For Latest Trade War NYP Barclays faces accusations of 'binge lending' Independent House price surge brings new warning of collapse Independent Inflation and the French Revolution: The Story of a Monetary Catastrophe Mises
Q1 Real GDP Growth Is Strong, But Decelerating Trends Should Be Noted NT Inflation rears its ugly head CNN/Money Don't look now, but the Fed's favorite inflation number just posted its biggest gain in three years. Bears Rip Stocks As GDP Slips NYP
Thursday April 29 8 US soldiers killed by car bomb Xinhuanet Poll: Growing Doubts On Iraq CBS 1Q04 GDP up 4.2%, Missing Forecasts Bloomberg BEA - J-Claims Down Employment Costs Mount, Benefits Jump, Wage Gains Modest Reuters Dollar Firms Broadly Reuters (4:26 AM) Gold Hits 6 Month Low on Concern China Lowering Demand for Metals Axcess Citigroup Uses Mutual Funds as `Dumping Grounds' for Clients BL “The wall between fund managers and investment bankers can't survive scrutiny” Reports: China bank officials deny halt CBSM China economy zooms ahead, but growth might be too fast USAT U.S. won't probe complaints on China Baltimore Sun ...diplomatic efforts promise greater payoff Mortgage monsters falling? CBSM Interest rate fears spooked stocks and bonds again Wednesday -- and two especially interest-sensitive stocks seem really spooked Ready for the Next Bubble? Fool A bubble is forming in real estate, and when it bursts, the impact on the U.S. economy will be detrimental, significant, and widespread Inflation Can't Rise on Expectations Alone BL (Baum) Fed May Drop ‘Patient’ Sell in May and go away! AME "The Road to Ruin" - Fiat & Credit - The Anglo - American Nemesis Goldseek 3-years after recession starts, most metropolitan areas mired in job deficit EPI Are you ready for this? CBSM Medical costs in retirement reach astounding proportions Oil hits 13-year high amid low US inventories FT Adios, cheap oil, bring on the big bucks Asia Times OPEC talks of raising oil target price 30% Bloomberg Nat-gas prices may not drop as expected Reuters Triple-A loses some of its allure FT In 1990, 11 per cent of telecoms companies rated by S&P were triple A but by 2001 none remained in the sector. The search for investment paradise Economist As the world’s leading search engine prepares to announce its stockmarket flotation, some words of caution Mega-IPOs: What You HAVEN'T Heard Elliott Wave Sell-Side Analysts Dropping Small-Caps CFO VFC Picks Up VANS SM XOM - G - Nortel Scandal looks uglier than thought G&M Ingram on NT - Moodys May Cut How greed took down Nortel Financial Post No End in Sight to Wild Ride TStar Nokia slashes prices in battle for market share FT Dairy costs may lift Starbucks prices R Milk price surge predicted Desert S Newmont loses glitter Rocky MN Adobe investors back expensing of stock options Seattle Times Quattrone says he might have 'misspoken' USAT Trial Provides Fresh Glimpse Into Wall St. Ways NY Times (R) A Bigger Net Newsweek Eliot Spitzers probe into Dick Grassos pay package may be widening to include other Wall Street bigs New Zealand Raises Key Interest Rate to 5.5% Bloomberg Copper Falls to 12-Week Low on Concern Chinese Demand May Slow Bloom South Korean Won Falls; Finance Minister Says It's ‘Overvalued' Bloomberg UK housing boom in renewed surge BBC Japan: Jumping Out of Sick Bay NYT (R) (Friedman) The big test is: Can Japan continue to grow, based on domestic consumer-led demand, if and when the overheating Chinese economy starts to cool? Key ministers admit ducking pension fees Japan Times 'Perfect storm' lashes loonie Toronto Star Sebi probing market crash Rediff “We want to know whether there was any concerted attempt at bringing down the market or whether it was just panic selling”
The Labor Market Holds the Key to Near Term Monetary Policy NTrust PDF
Wednesday April 28 China Banks Stop Lending Until May Bloomberg EXCLUSIVE: China's Wen Tough on Economy Reuters Wall Street in broad-based decline CBSM COMEX gold falls under $390 as metals tumble Reuters Nortel fires CEO in financial probe CBSM Who pays for big banks' risks? Star Tribune The nation's largest banks have become so big that there is now an implicit assumption that taxpayers will bail them out if they fail. As a result, banks are taking on unnecessary risk... Too Big to Fail: The Hazards of Bank Bailouts Amazon Excerpt Stock Market in a Top Formation Comstock Markets Flirting with 200 DMAs Refinancing demand lags again Reuters MBAA The Fed’s Folly Forbes (Grant) Greenspan Is to Blame Moscow T The Fed’s Debt Engine Paul You can't keep borrowing forever -- even if you print the world's reserve currency Goldilocks Returns Auerback Might the Fed Rate Increases Stop at Only 2.5%? Bloom (Berry) The color of money [M3] CBSM Russell On The US Dollar & Gold G-E Median Price of a Home in California Increases 22 Percent in March PRNews Greater Cincinnati went on a home-buying spree in March Enquirer Refining shortfall threatens to drive prices up Gulf-News Lawmakers Voice Doom and Gloom on W.T.O. Ruling IHT (NYT) First successful challenge of a wealthy nation's domestic agricultural subsidies. Congress probes GSE loan deals FT Janus to pay $225 million in fund trading scandal settlement AP Mutual Fund Investors Appear Unworried AP "People really don't know what's going on and they're not that concerned about it overall" SEC Sends Message to Muni Issuers: Sweat the Details Bloomberg Feds Widening Boeing Probe Reuters Ex-investment banker testifies in his retrial IHT (BL) Waksal: ImClone Founder May Profit In Jail Forbes Kmart, Martha Kiss and Make Up Fool US seniors go south - way south CS Monitor There were more than 400K beneficiaries abroad in 01, the latest figures available Short-selling on the rise Reuters ADB warns of possible new Asian banking sector crisis AFP “Non-performing loan ratios are reaching all-time highs in these three economies, even as the reported figures are still thought to underestimate the actual levels” Asia's ‘Huge' Reserves Pose Risk to Its Economies, ADB Says Bloomberg The battle to sell mortgages hots up Independent WBBS’s decision to hand out free cars with their mortgages left some experts wondering yesterday whether the mortgage market has flipped from being highly competitive to just plainly mad British Boom Driven by Personal Debt NY Times (R) Japan I-Production Less Than Expected; Retail Sales Fall Bloomberg Property prices in Shanghai face fresh curb FT Around Asia's Markets: Growth to spark currency upswing IHT (BL) $18b to recreate roaring 1920s Shanghai NZH (Reuters) Asia Freight-Rates tumble on poor demand before holidays Reuters "The (freight) markets are in a state of panic" Coal price peaks threatened: AME Age Is Thai Economic Miracle Fizzling -- Again? Bloomberg U.S. Senate panel probes World Bank Reuters The U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee has started to investigate allegations of corruption in projects funded by the World Bank and its affiliates Markets close at 3-year low, Sensex down 213 points Economic Times Bears showed no mercy on Tuesday as they continued to pound hard on the indices even during the final hour of trade Putin determined to finish off Yukos UPI Protest as student debt hits $7 billion New Zealand Herald Many faced hardship and even poverty while they studied, setting themselves up for a lifetime of debt We US Ł1 a day Chinese Labour as well Daily Record U.S. gives penalized companies Iraq contracts AP Cheney Task Force Records Can Be Withheld, Court Told Bloomberg
Fed warns of dramatic rise in oil futures FT Remarks
Tuesday April 27 Syria explosions spark late Treasury rally FT Global Crossing dives on fiscal woes CBSM More Crude Oil Needed, U.S. Official Tells Saudi Bloomberg Mexico Central Bank Moves to Raise Rates in Surprise Step Between Meetings B Consumer Confidence Improves in April Conference Board U.S. existing house sales still strong UPI Paradise Lost AEI (Makin) The Bear's Lair: The awakening conscience UPI Housing market expected to heat ... USAT "You're going to have anybody and everybody who was ever interested in even thinking of buying a home jumping in as rates rise” Lenders push consumers into ARMs USAT The new economy's biggest product: an enduring underclass? CS Monitor Intervention VS Maiden Flight Financial Sense Rates and politics Townhall (Bartlett) When Nixon became president in 1968, he vowed that he would not let the Fed screw him again... Alan isn't likely to play politics with interest rates? Standard Fed Wizard's Policies Not Economic Magic Insight Greenspan's Choice: Scylla or Charybdis? Gold-Eagle Fed Speaks With One Voice (and It's Greenspan's) BL (Baum) Will the "Stupendous Scheme" Hold? Elliott Wave OPEC May Raise Its Target Price for Oil, Purnomo Says Bloomberg Crude up on Iraqi oil supply concerns FT Milk to hit $4 a gallon AP On Gold Shares... Russell Birch bullish on gold despite fall Citywire The Race for China's Gold Axcess Is the tech rally over? CNN/Money Computer Associates Restates $2.2 Billion CFO Beware The Monster IPO Forbes A Google IPO could be a headache LAT Goldman Sachs Trial Shows Up Firm Full of Softies Bloomberg Janus close to settling market-timing charges Reuters NASD concerned about variable-annuity abuses NYP West faces a sixth year of epic drought CS Monitor U.S. Unveils New $50 Note With Background Colors MoneyFactory America's new export boom: Jobs Det FP House prices and the last crash... This is Money Just as in 1988 - those at the heart of the housing market remain sanguine...Anyone buying in 1989 had to wait nine years to see the money value of their house restored Base rate may top 5% warns MPC member Times Online China to quadruple GDP by 2020 to $4 trillion: President People’s Daily China Rejects Wider Elections For Hong Kong WP "This is terrible news, absolutely awful. They're telling the whole world that Beijing will now run Hong Kong. They're not even hiding it or pretending anymore." WTO Decision Denounces U.S. on Cotton AP The US will appeal if the final version isn't changed when it is issued in June The Saga of South Africa's Economy Mises A Vision of Power Krugman (NYT) US to hold detainees at Guantanamo indefinitely BG
Monday April 26 Fed should contemplate small rate moves CBSM (Keller) Wal-Mart's sales lagging forecast CBSM Sinclair Snaps: I Am Right On The Price Of Gold Or I Am History! JSinclair U.S. Home Sales Rocket to Record in March Reuters PDF Fireworks at Boao Morgan Stanley (Roach) Dollar May Advance for a Fourth Week - Gold May Gain Bloomberg Survey Interest rates wonâ€t rise until itâ€s too late MSN (Fleck) Thatâ€s the real message in Alan Greenspanâ€s testimony to Congress last week. The Fed and the Fed's boss are in serious denial about inflation Market Climate - Increasingly Fragile Hussman Rate rise could spark mortgage liquidity crisis FT Fannie Mae Is Still the Biggest Boat in Town, but Some Fear It's Sinking WP (R) Market's quiet ... too quiet CNN/Money Equity investors are more complacent than they've been in years. Is it time to get worried? U.S. gasoline up another 3 cents per gallon AP US: Procuring the world's oil Asia Times Milk price to jump after boost in minimum U.S. pays to farmers AP Bursting Bubbles Business Week Billionaire Paul Allen on investment lessons learned the hard way and how the losses changed him For-ex, for all CBSM More small investors tap into currency trading The US$ Short Position Saville Watch out for companies that buy their growth MSN Sharply higher health insurance deductibles may hit workers in the next 2 yrs U Google IPO: All hope, but few are chosen IHT (NYT) A $25 billion market value would instantly make Google worth more than Lockheed Martin, Federal Express or Nike. Big names prepare to cash in on Google Independent Harmony, AngloGold, Gold Fields May Cut Costs as Profits Fall Bloomberg Gold! Pebble sparks a rush Anchorage Daily The only question is if it's a really big mine or an off-the-charts, mammoth one Headed For A Crisis? BW China's economy is overheated, its banks are shaky, and hot money continues to pour in. Can the new leaders rein in a runaway financial system? 'G7 powers underestimate China risks' AFP China Hits the Brake, but Maybe Too Softly NYT (R) Central bank official calls for curbing investment overheat Peopleâ€s Daily Investment in steel industry went up by 172.6% in the first 2 months of this year, while investment in cement industry increased by 133% in the same period Should China listen to the IMF? IHT (Bloomberg) How can China be expected to even listen when the fund has very little credibility on exchange rates and other economic issues? China "gravely worried" by American protectionism: Vice Premier AFP Little Red Corvettes Smart Money GM's 1 Quarter China Sales Up 70 Percent Reuters Chinese dotcoms seek $1bn in US listings FT Fencing the West CFO Discordant trade relations with the United States are only making Asia stronger, not weaker Brazil may be next big default, says Calif.-based consulting firm EMedia When will 'Asian Dollar' come true? PD New currencies make waves in forex market Business Times Time for caution in emerging markets FT Say, Let's Sell Some Gold Business Week Europe's governments are eyeing their stocks as a quick source of revenue Greenspan's Rate Warnings Big Risk for Japan Bloomberg The disconnect between supply and demand has many fearing Japan's bond market is a pressure cooker that might explode. 'The Bank is potentially on a collision course with the UK government' In (King) Ministers attack ECB chief over refusal to cut rates Times Online Leaked details of the behind-closed-doors meeting of the G7 finance ministers and central bank governors revealed that talks were marred by heated exchanges Brown denies creating 'pre-election boom' Times Online Banks 'stealing by finding' says MP BBC Zimbabwe police hold finance minister in corruption crackdown AFP Indonesia still mired in wreckage of Asia's financial crisis of 1997 ST (WP) Tonga plunged into financial crisis AFP Bank of America Helped Misrepresent Parmalat Loans Bloomberg Ballarat Gold looks to home SMH Ballarat Goldfields has rekindled hopes that its namesake goldfield can make a production comeback after an 86-year break
They're stuck with two mortgages Straits Times 'We thought it could sell fast...We have now lowered our expectations a lot. We are prepared to sell below valuation, which means we won't get back what we put into the renovation.' HDB home owners caught in sale trap ST
Weekend Edition (April 24-25) Will They Raise or Will They Stay? Frontline (Mauldin) Bond traders turn to 1994 for rate clues FT The Relative Dollar and Gold 2 Zeal Fannie and Freddie to the Rescue? PBear (Noland) Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis SH (TII) Are we headed for a stock market crash? Google fails to answer the $25bn question Times Online Wall Street Shifting to On-Demand Model Enterprise SBC sues AT&T over internet phone fees FT Spitzer Opens Probe of Insurance Brokers Reuters Money Managers, Money Owners, & "The No. 1 Concern" Elliott Wave CEO perks remain popular, often hidden AP Perversely, with all the outcry against excessive pay in the past few years, the SEC's rules also might entice executives to take as much extra pay in the form of perquisites as possible. Chinese President Vows Controls to Manage Growth Bloomberg U.S. tells Japan to halt interventions Kyodo Bank bill seen unlikely to stabilize financial system Japan Times Surge in retail sales points to rate rise Independent Mitsubishi in trouble after partner DaimlerChrysler opts against cash help AP A very British kind of scandal: why Shell is no Enron Times Online Police shut NAB forex fraud probe Australian Bremer announces moves to reinstate some former Baathist members AFP
Friday April 23 Durable Goods Orders Rise 3.4%, Almost 5 Times Forecasts BL Census Debtor Nation The Nation When will this hemorrhaging debtor nation be compelled to pull back from profligate consumption and resign its role as "buyer of last resort" for the global economy? The Wise Men of China Morgan Stanley (Roach) Fed Probably Won't Raise Rates at a Rapid Pace Bloomberg (Berry) Tax Defaults Soar as Homeowners Struggle NY Post New York City homeowners appear to be on the verge of a meltdown. IMF chief issues rate warning Bloomberg “This is an opportunity to batten down the hatches ahead of an upturn in interest rates” Commodity prices and the very bullish case for oil AME (Faber) Oil holds firm after gasoline-fired gains Reuters Is the worst over for gold? 321 (Russell) Gold to climb on renewed dollar weakness -economist Reuters Broad Market Crash and Collateral Effect on Precious Metal Stocks 321 Nothing Had Changed Aden Goldcorp stock slides as 2 key executives quit Reuters Bank chief issues warning to oil producers FT Google seen announcing IPO plan within days - WSJ Reuters Cell phone chip designer rides high in IPO CNet Celestica to cut 5,000 jobs G&M Did the Oracle [Greenspan] Paint Himself into a Corner? Elliott Wave SEC in U-turn on oil reserves reporting Times Online Aon subpoenaed in Spitzer investigation FT Quattrone II: $120 Million Man Reuters Skilling: Go Directly to Jail? CFO Venture Capital: Investing nears high not seen in 2 years Seattle PI Insider trading charges Dow Jones Transcripts show rationale for 1998 interest rate cuts BG FED Latest Buffett Book Distills Lessons From Master Bloomberg Miles quotes Buffett as saying that you shouldn't hold a stock for 10 minutes unless you plan to hold it for 10 years. Warren Buffett Wealth Amazon Warren Buffett Biography About Big investment bubble for China Taipei Times Why China cannot easily cool an overheating economy Reuters The last time the Chinese economy overheated, in 1993, economic supremo Zhu Rongji fired the central bank chief and reportedly threatened to chop off the heads of unruly local officials. The Coming Credit Boom Smart Money American credit-card companies are making inroads in China. Perhaps at their peril. China's gold market posts shining growth Business Weekly Another boss disappears TheStandard The latest in several disappearances by mainland bosses amid financial problems. Another Bailout in Japan? CBSM U.K. GDP, Retail Sales Growth Bloomberg Collapse would kill 24,500 jobs: Stelco Globe & Mail Investors hit pot of gold in IPO offerings Indian Express Russian tax officials raid Yukos offices FT Pakistan to cut foreign debt to 29pc of GDP International News IMF more self-critical - acknowledging mistakes in Asian, Argentina AP House OKs Speedy Elections if Attacked AP
Alan who? Stocks surge as investors shake off rate worries AP
Thursday April 22 A High-Tech Edge Helps Keep Earnings Near Estimates NYP (Crudele) What few realize is that the costs of technology workers can also be amortized... Snow not worried about inflation - Bernanke: No sign of overheating CBSM Producer Prices Rise 0.5%; Core Rate Gains 0.2% Bloomberg BLS Jobless Claims Drop Less Than Expected Reuters Don't bet big on Wall St bull Business Times There is justification in the notion that a recovery built almost entirely on consumer spending, tax cuts and cheap money is not sustainable. Will 11 more deficits push us over the edge? CBSM We've become addicted to 'living beyond our means' in many areas Global economy set for best years in decade, IMF says Times Online IMF Commentary: Weakness to accelerate in second half CBSM Fund Flows: Demand is Likely to Decelerate for the Balance of 2004 BofA PDF Market's at a critical juncture -- really CBSM Rate Hikes Threaten Bank Income Source TheStreet No Big Hurry Mecury (NYT) Fed won’t have to raise rates right away, Greenspan Hints Deflation Dead? Yeah, Sure G-E (Ackerman) CBPP Despite the turnaround in the national economy, many states continue to face gaps in their fiscal year 2005 budgets The Economics of Outsourcing Mises Chip maker shifts design to India BBC Outsourcing didn't pay off for Conseco IndyStar In recent weeks, such names as Capital One, Dell, Lehman Brothers and British-based insurer AXA have "repatriated" similar work... From Rothschild to Wong North Gold: the Anti-Dollar Fool Gold's Indian rope trick to the rescue? CBSM Gold is back below $400 - but it may be about to perform its version of the Indian Rope Trick. Again The Race for China's Gold Axcess Gold and Silver Massacre? FSU Silver: A "Parabolic" Rise .... and Fall Oil eases as gasoline stockpiles top forecasts FT LME copper sags under profit-taking Reuters Rising Earnings, Rising Costs PBear (Hudson) Scuffle at Coca-Cola Annual Meeting CFO Shareholder activism has apparently become a contact sport Airline exec gets golden parachute AP Ex-Duke Trading Workers Get Indicted TheStreet Taser Holder Sells NYP 5-Day Chart Baxter to slash up to 4,000 jobs Reuters Greenspan Endorses Expensing Options CFO Fitch warns on US stock options FT NYSE: Short Interest Increases NYSE China provides glimpse of future FX regime Reuters Daily Currency Insights FX Japan's Tanigaki sees more intervention if needed Reuters Japanese welcome Wal-Mart AP Brown backs rise in interest rates as IMF endorses growth forecasts Independent Mortgage spree drives lending higher Times Online Brazil Central Bank Raises 2004 Inflation Estimate in April Bloomberg Bond king, Gross, likes Canada G&M J.P. Morgan sees earlier BofC rate hike G&M
Wednesday April 21 Fed’s Beige Book FED Greenspan: Rates Will Rise Eventually Reuters Rates hint dulls gold Age Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan FED As I have noted previously, the federal funds rate must rise at some point to prevent pressures on price inflation from eventually emerging. As yet, the protracted period of monetary accommodation has not fostered an environment in which broad-based inflation pressures appear to be building... Greenspan May Define Limit of Fed ‘Patience' on Rates BL Fed mostly silent as inflation creeps back in AP $ Rises Against Euro as Greenspan May Signal Higher Rates Gold, Silver Plunge in London Bloomberg Greenspan: Deflation Dead R “It's fairly apparent that pricing power is gradually being restored and, as I'll indicate tomorrow, threats of deflation, which were a significant concern last year, by all indications, are no longer an issue for us.” One Hint and a Stumble Comstock Prediction: The Future of the USA Stock Market Sornette Warnings to be ignored Economist American banks continue to make vast profits. Will the good times end when the Fed raises interest rates? 1987 Warning Signs Gold-Eagle Stock Market on Edge Saville Refinancing demand falls another 11% Reuters MBAA Global price rise boon to inflation-linked bonds Reuters Deficit hawk Snow faces a tough job of explaining Baltimore Sun The stingy, self-described "deficit hawk" has been made to look ridiculous by his extravagant president, so he's seeking respect from the only people who'll give it: a bunch of fifth-graders. “Protecting Investors" from the Latest Scandal? Elliott Wave New Shell chief knew of problems in 2002 Times Online Goldman aide convicted of theft IHT Ex-Boeing executive pleads to conspiracy AP SEC is probing EMI Sales Figures NYP Quattrone Lawyer, Judge Spar; E-Mail Eyed Reuters US Airways seeks cuts, says discounter wants 'to kill us' USAT Budget cuts are setting convicts free CS Monitor Serious Internet flaw discovered AP India experiencing artificial boom Rediff What the Indian economy is experiencing today is an artificial boom and is the result of what is commonly known in economic parlance as the Political Business Cycle Theory India, China, Japan will have 57% of world's GDP Express India Hang Seng Index Has Longest Losing Streak in Year Bloomberg Japanese 20-Year Bonds Fall; Yields Gain to Highest in 2 Years Bloomberg Saudis: No oil price, election tie AP Dodge sees rates rising globally next year CP Abbey to warn on mortgage crunch Guardian Pensions 'black hole' falls Ł60bn BBC Basra blasts kill dozens AP
Tuesday April 20 Testimony - Chairman Alan Greenspan Fed “Many banks indicate that they now either are interest-rate neutral or are positioned to benefit from rising rates...both the size and the number of bank failures in recent years have been exceptionally small. Last year, for example, only two banks, with combined assets of just $1.5 billion, failed.” Inflation's broken verse? CNN/Money McTeer has long been known as a big believer in the notion that the economy can grow rapidly without causing inflation. So when he says he's worried about inflation it's time to sit up and take notice. Australia to lead gold hedge resurgence -analyst Reuters "Hedging will not be a dirty word for much longer” Waiting For The China Gold Explosion Mineweb Bonds: 1994 All Over Again? Business Week Speculators are playing the same dangerous game in the face of a certain Fed rate increase. It could get ugly soon Investors eye Greenspan R G to unveil latest high-wire act MSNBC -- Treasuries up in Asia on Central Bank Buying - 6:48 AM Reuters -- Gold prices slide as dollar resumes rally FT -- Emerging Debt-Rate fears rule, Dominican Rep. eyed Reuters Booming Commodity Prices, but... Faber The Bear's Lair: The day of commodities UPI Russell On Stocks & Gold G-E Dissonance & Euphoria PBear Questions of Interest NY Times (R) (Krugman) My calculations keep leading me to a 10-year bond rate of 7 percent, and a mortgage rate of 8.5 percent -- with a substantial possibility that the numbers will be even higher. Falling Dollar PBS The buck also rises CNN/Money A Monetary History of the United States After 40 Years Various (CATO) Commentary: Dare To Be Wrong Fool Just because a risk has yet to manifest itself doesn't mean that it doesn't exist. Are Taxes Too High? CBPP Federal Tax Burdens Have Fallen to Lowest Levels in Decades, Casting Fresh Doubt on Wisdom of More Tax Cuts In the Face of a Looming Fiscal Train Wreck Higher rates, stock prices pummel real estate trusts USAT Will rising rates deflate housing prices? Bankrate With mortgage delinquency rates at 4 percent, and both credit card delinquencies and personal bankruptcy filings at record-highs, there just isn't a lot of room in many household budgets. Housing prices soar, but how much longer? SF Chroncicle “Houses turning over within a day” The Dispatch Americans perceive real estate as the "new gold" - a store of stable wealth CSM Is Real Estate Defying Financial Gravity? Realty Times Manhattan apartments near $1M each UPI The number of deals that closed over the asking price was 57% in the first quarter, up from just 23% in the same period last year. ‘The Donald' imparts real estate success Inman Without his real estate, Trump would be a nobody and you never would have heard of him. Trump: How To Get Rich Amazon Computer appraisals may overstate home value-Fitch Reuters Gas price hits record high for 4th week Reuters Beleaguered Computer Associates fires 9 AP Fannie Omits Shareholder Equity TheStreet Mirant cuts staff after another huge loss AP US Airways chief abruptly quits Philly Hurdles ahead for makers of chips IHT (Bloomberg) "History shows the semiconductor industry is headed for stagnation next year and a crash in 2006” Bankruptcies No Bother for Underwriters CFO MCI emerges from bankruptcy R Industrial Bank Plans to Reduce Stockholder Roster WP It is one of the strangest transactions Washington investors will ever see. Bre-X trial resumes in December -- maybe CP Mouse House Voted 73% vs. Eisner NYP Getting Trumped: I saw hair, opened mouth, inserted foot NYP (Crudele) Why Are Americans So Fat? Forbes Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble Time Asia Beijing must take some air out of China's super-buoyant economy before it wreaks global havoc Hang Seng slips to 2004 low CityWire Beijing considers rate rise FT Will Asian Bond Fund Foil Crisis, or Cause It? Bloomberg German April Investor Optimism Drops for Fourth Month Bloomberg UFJ shares plunge on report of bad-loan increase IHT (Bloomberg) On balance, Japan's so-called "lost decade" not so bad EPI Lies, cover-ups, fat cats and an oil giant in crisis Independent Average house price rises by Ł150 a day Times Online U.K.'s Housing Market Boom May Threaten Economy as Rates Rise Bloomberg Israel stock exchange hits record high Maariv The IMF at 60: Reform Still a Long Way Off CEPR Spaniard Is Favorite to Head IMF WP Russia revels in US's woes Asia Times French wine plummets in U.S. The Advertiser
Monday April 19 Oil futures top $38 for first time in a month CBSM The Well-Known Relationship Between The Output Gap And Inflation NT PDF Married to the Model, Or Output Gap to Get Test Bloomberg (Baum) Saudis said to boost oil output in effort to help Bush CNN Northrop documents indicate coverup Reuters March Leading Economic Indicators Index Rises 0.3% Bloomberg TCB US warned to prepare for interest rate rises FT Talk grows CNN Greenspan keeps world in suspense Herald Sun Greenspan's High-Wire Act Business Week Bonds May Be In For A Shock BW TBills Set for This Week Can the Fed engineer a gradual rise in rates without setting off a stampede? Game over for stocks and real estate MSN (Fleck) Second Thoughts on Rates Hit Dollar Reuters Inflation! And deflation UPI Inflation Dichotomy Morgan Stanley (Berner) Of guns, butter and inflation: Is this a flashback to 1968? JSOnline Party's not over for commodities, strategists say Globe & Mail Perception is reality Hussman Asia Needs a New Consumer Morgan Stanley (Roach) There’s nothing wrong with relying on trade as an engine of economic development. The problem arises when there is undue reliance on such external demand. That’s a clear risk in Asia today. America and China can't carry us forever Independent Emerging Debt Hostage to U.S. Rate Fear Reuters Fear Of Loss Drives Bob Rodriguez To Head Of Pack IBD “The '74 bear market was a good one for me because I learned how truly stupid I was.” Small-cap stocks might have reached their peak State (WP) Market's worst months on way? Charlotte Observer Economists' missed trends may indicate sea change Knight Ridder Fuel-Cell Stocks Cooking As Oil Prices Rise NY Post The Trouble With Gushing Oil Demand Business Week Raising the roof: The price of lumber has more than doubled in the past year AR “There've been increases in electrical, because copper's going up, and drywall costs more. But not as bad as lumber.” Gold Slips Amid Inflation's Revival TheStreet Rallies To Begin Week Kitco Bullion vaults 'are at their fullest' and the price rise speaks for itself FT MineS Silver To Get Back On Track After Pit Stop Dow Jones Wal-Mart: How Big Can It Grow? Economist Fannie Mae Net Income Declines as Loan Growth Slowed Bloomberg Rule may compel Google to open books Mecury News Price war taking a big bite out of memory makers' stocks Smart Money Into Thin Air Forbes Phone calls now flit over Wi-Fi networks at little or no cost to the callers. It is the story of the telecom industry--hundreds of billions of dollars are evaporating into the ether. The Shrimp Wars: U.S. shrimpers fighting for survival Miami Herald Shrimp from Asia and Latin America now feeds 88 percent of the American shrimp market. Asleep At The Switch NYP (Byron) How did the SEC miss all this? Easy. It wasn't (and isn't) looking... Bubble Lives on at Broadcom, Where Options Still Rain Down SLedger (NYT) Just when you thought you had seen the most outrageous transfer of shareholder wealth to executives through stock options, along comes a company that tops them all. Tech worker body count reaches 160,785 TheRegister OffShore Tracker Buffett again goes his own way Newsweek Buffett Bash Bids on Ebay NYP McDonald's CEO dies CNN/M Bank in D.C. may face fines over Saudi tie UPI The Stock Market Mark Cuban -- The Number : How the Drive for Quarterly Earnings Corrupted Wall Street and Corporate America Amazon How to earn $3.5 trillion and pay zero taxes CS Monitor The caffeine count in your morning fix Baltimore Sun Starbucks says that on average, its array of coffee drinks contains 320 milligrams in a medium cup. That's nearly double the caffeine in Folgers... Q&A Starbucks' Howard Schultz, on America's caffeine fix BG Why Is Europe Now Breaking Into Its Gold Vaults? Bloomberg Soros says new EU members face currency speculation threat Guardian Asia Oil Imports Hit All-Time High Reuters China: The envy of Asia, but some economists worry it could overheat UT The Big Red Machine Smart Money While Chinese stocks are like late-1990s dot-coms on amphetamines, the country's equity markets are rife with debt-plagued, corrupt companies on the brink of collapse. No plan for interest rate hike: central bank governor People’s Daily Bank of China needs a year to prepare for IPO IHT (Bloomberg) Japan's Jasdaq Market, New Leader in Pacific Rim, May Falter Bloomberg Asia poised for casino boom as governments look for safe bet AFP Put your hard hats on when housing topples Independent (King) Fresh fears of house-price crash This in London RBI cuts interest rates on NRE deposits India Info I'm glad Rothschild is giving up gold Telegraph Standard may bid for seat on gold fixing committee Business Report Nippon Mining raises copper price Reuter Raw material costs sting small firms Japan Times FSA joins investigation into 'fraud' at toolmaker Times Online Reserves crisis to claim third Shell scalp FT Shell cuts reserves again CBS NAB directors threaten resignation ABC Rice: Terror possible before November AP Bremer: Iraqi security forces will not be ready by June 30 AP Warriors for Hire in Iraq - Part II Brookings (Slate) Spanish Leader Pulls Troops From Iraq AP Israel's extreme measures CS Monitor
Weekend Edition (April 17-18) Gasoline Pump Price Sets Record Reuters Discount Punch at the Never-Ending Party North A Nation Chained to Rates WP As Borrowing Costs Rise, Repercussions Will Resonate Throughout the Economy Trying to Duck Inflation's Punch NYT (R) The Great Deluder SH (Richebacher) Golden Bull Buy Signals 3 Zeal Tightening Lite? PBear (Noland) Bull's Eye Investing Frontline (Mauldin) Profits Outlook: Dow 18,000 by 2010? Yardeni PDF The Outlook For Bonds From Gross of PIMCO Total Return Bond Fund NBR Whole Lot of 'Flation Going On Bonner Fed's patience tested by strong economic data MSNBC Ernst & Young Barred From Taking New Public Audit Clients WP Shell chiefs meet as new allegations emerge in US Times Online
Friday April 16 Greenspan's German Counterpart Quits Reuters Welteke’s Statement PDF “The trust between the Federal Ministry of Finance and myself has been irreparably destroyed.” Industrial production falls in March CBSM FED Consumer sentiment slips in April CBSM Pitfalls of Asian Central Banking Morgan Stanley (Roach) The Productivity Boom -- Fact or Fiction? MS (Brener) Housing Starts Rise 6.4% to 2.007 Mln Rate Bloomberg PDF Greenspan races the rate clock IHT (NYT) (Norris) Greenspan: punish the sinners Reuters Remarks Fed Is Likely Many Months From Raising Rates Bloomberg (Berry) Infectious Rate Fears CBSM Suddenly, everyone in the world is worried about inflation. But they could be right. Secular Bear Market Continuing Comstock 30-year mortgage rates highest since December Reuters Freddie Fewer Workers, More Production Mises How Option Adoption Is Changing the Economy ABC Printer Gold Heads for Biggest Weekly Decline in 3 Months Bloom Is the barbarous relic, as Keynes called it, crumbling to dust? Gold fix may rotate after Rothschild exit Independent China to Reduce Gold Import Tariff Asia Pulse The move is expected to further stimulate the consumption of gold in the country. India, China see gold demand rise despite weak global market OPEC Lifts 2004 Oil Demand Forecast Reuters IBM Sales Sweet, Service Signings Light TheStreet Nokia Warns R Calpers widens campaign to withhold proxy votes Reuters Dissidents: Eisner opposition up Reuters Scandal, Psychology, and $61 Billion... Elliott Wave Feds Level Charges in Two Investment Scams NYP Enron-Merrill Criminal Trial Date Moved Reuters Asian DRAM spot prices drop as Hynix dumps inventory in Taiwan DigiTimes Charts: Foreign Purchases of U.S. Securites $Bear Why Swedens Central Banker Was Beheaded - 1719AD SH Report to Congress on International Economic and Exchange Rate Policies UST U.S. finds no currency manipulation CBSM Treasury says China taking steps to float renminbi Inflation looks to be next export from China IHT (NYT) Forget China's rosy economic scenario Asia Times Savings intention fail to match reality Times Online Credit card debt keeps growing as indicators point to rate rise Independent Dodge warns of 'tricky period of adjustment' for economy Globe & Mail Vyugin Warns of Market Bubble Moscow Times The Central Bank's "protectionist" ruble policy is causing the stock market to overheat and is threatening to create an asset bubble... Russia: Taming the Rouble Morgan Stanley International investors head for showdown in Argentina FT GM soya 'miracle' turns sour in Argentina Guardian Oil chief quits over gas disaster IHT (Bloom) Parmalat Accumulated $2.1 Billion Loss Since 1990, Report Shows Bloomberg Brokers hanging sell sign on NAB SMH The Vietnam Analogy NYT (R) (Krugman) Bush, Blair look for help from United Nations on Iraq AP Rumsfeld: Iraq Toll Higher Than Expected Reuters Talks to avert Najaf and Falluja bloodbath Guardian
Thursday April 15 Regional Manufacturing Indexes Surge Bloomberg Philly Fed Jobless Claims Rise 30K to 360K, Biggest Increase in a Year BL NY Empire Why You Should Keep an Eye on Interest Rates NYP (Crudele) Today's Inflation May Cause Tomorrow's Deflation Morgan Stanley (Xie) When the global property bubble bursts, debtdeflation could ensue...It is always possible that the Fed could create another bubble to postpone the inevitable. Surging prices signal inflation Baltimore Sun Gas prices on the rise again RCKY Steel: A precious metal Star Telegram Steel Prices Start to Level Off DJ "I'm telling everybody I know, 'If you're planning to buy anything made out of steel, buy it now. We've never seen anything like this in our lifetime." Publication of Gold Survey 2004 GFMS PDF $450 Gold a possibility HomeP Using the Consumer Price Index to Rob Americans Blind G-E Treasury chief unworried by inflation Reuters Fed's Parry - Too early to judge Take a Few Steps Back Financial Sense Fiscal deficit in US threatens world economy, says the IMF FT IMF Treasury Checks and Unbalances Insight The good news is that most of the federal agencies and departments are making progress. The bad news is that the federal government still cannot balance its checkbook The Anatomy of Growth Mises Rothschild, the bank built on gold, quits market Independent Gold glisters a little less brightly for France's new finance minister FT Newsletter ad doesn't add up CBSM One of my informal indicators of an overvalued market is flashing warning signs. Tax refunds aren't as hefty as expected USAT The Tax Man Taketh CSE Michigan: Factory jobs stuck in doldrums Det FP Quattrone Judge Upholds Ban on Jury Names Reuters Tenet faces 2 more federal inquiries Reuters Putnam targets its cutthroat culture USAT Does "Diversification" Work? Elliott Wave China's GDP Grew 9.7% in 1st Qtr, Exceeding Target Bloomberg China faces pressure to revalue currency FT Yuan Peg Presents China With Monetary Dilemma Bloomberg Bank of China choosing IPO partners IHT (Bloom) U.S. backs tariffs on China TVs IHT (Bloom) China TV Makers To Appeal PD Asians fighting the next Asian energy crisis Asia Times Unlike prime minister Ohira's token 1979 gesture with energy-saving safari wear, the latest initiative will require tough decisions rather than loosening ties to assure Asia's energy security in years to come. Japan's recovery forces bond yield rethink FT Has Dr Doom spoken too soon? Guardian Is the house price bubble set to burst? BBC EU investigates £1bn 'illegal state aid' to BT Times Online Brazil Cuts Benchmark Lending Rate to 16 Percent Bloomberg Tsutsumi quits Seibu helm over payoffs Japan Times
Wednesday April 14 Stock speculation recently resurgent, igniting worries LA Times Report sees oil at $51 a barrel by 2025 AP EIA Consumer Prices Rise 0.5%; Core Gains 0.4% Bloomberg BLS Treasuries February Trade Gap Narrows to $42.1 Bln as Exports Rise BL Census Freight Rates Weigh Heavily on Bonds TheStreet How high can they go? USA Today Bond Market Implosion SH Rates on 10-year note climb, likely to boost loan rates, hurt stocks. Price of everything -- even money -- is going up CBSM Fed Officials Need to Get Out More, Go Shopping Bloomberg (Baum) Who says inflation is down? CNN/Money We're told inflation is low, so why is the price of everything from gas to healthcare going up? Good News is Now Bad News Comstock Fed Has No More Policy Options Nobody Can Stop This Runaway Train PBear Mortgage Requests Fall to 3-Month Low Reuters MBAA Release Preview: Profligate Pols Bode Ill for Stocks TheStreet (R$) Wall Street's Most Cherished Dogma Elliott Wave Intel Says Sales Growth May Slow Amid ‘Economic Uncertainty' BL SEC Orders Market-Timing Disclosures CFO Half say the overall taxes they pay have gone up during the last 3 years AP Cheney under fire for deferred pay Reuters Vice President's 2003 tax returns show he received $178,437 in deferred pay from Halliburton. President Benefits From His Tax Cut WP Deposed Shell executive breaks his silence FT Heavy selling swamps metals sector CBSM Prices of many mining stocks weaken by 5% or more New Book From Gold Guru Ruff Says Gold to Surge Past $1,000/oz PRN -- Safely Prosperous or Really Rich Amazon Silver? No Thanks, We Got Lots SH Everywhere, the China effect Times Online In China, Signs of an Overheating Economy IHT (NYT) Analysis:Interest rate hike in China next? UPI Around Asia's Markets: Tin prices to remain high amid shortage Bloomberg Japan wholesale prices post first rise since 2000 Japan Times Are house prices set to crash? Independent Dr. Doom #1 - #2 London's Property Bubble Doesn't Trouble the Rich Bloomberg Argentine Bondholders Counting on Better Debt Offer Bloomberg Zimbabwe's Inflation Rises Above the 600 Per Cent Mark All Africa
US: Deficit $299.5b in first half fiscal '04 AP PDF File
Tuesday April 13 Intel Misses CBSM Treasuries Decline on Speculation R-Sales Jump May Prompt Fed Rate Boost Retail Sales Rise 1.8%; Ex Autos Gain 1.7% BL Census Business Inventory Gain Continues in February Dow Jones Census Dollar Soars in London, Traders Eye Bank of Canada FXStreet ’Dow 10,000 hats still in style, even five years later SC Sentinel Ten detrimental deficits CBSM Connecting the dots on America's financial hole The Bear's Lair: The future that works UPI Economic dependence can be hard to quit Independent (King) Lopsided trends in profits and wages threaten to topple growth EPI Bears Attack The REITs Forbes Shares of real estate investment trusts have plunged 14% in five trading days Chart: The Mechanical Effect Longboat Will Creativity beat market bears? Financial Post Nanofrenzy a mini dot-com craze? CBSM Dot-Com IPOs Get Ready for Their Sequel AP Return of technology IPO WBJ Real estate bubble babble revisited Inman Lost Dreams in the Poconos NYT (R) Debt addiction fuels 'fabricated' property valuations Home prices up nearly 20% in metro area Baltimore S The Hottest Zip Codes The average sale price of homes in the Baltimore area jumped almost 20 percent last month Home Prices in L.A. Soar at Record Rate LA Times (R) US spells out fears over rise in energy prices FT Oil Holds Strong, Saudi Feeds Asia Growth Reuters Despite high gas prices, Americans keep on driving CSM Consumers to pay price for soaring steel costs AP The price of milk is expected to reach record highs this year CBSM Folgers Coffee Prices Perking Up Reuters Gold and Inflation Lee Hospital bills spin out of control USAT U.S. firms face little risk of tax audit IHT (NYT) Tax enforcement has fallen steadily under Bush, with fewer audits, fewer penalties, fewer prosecutions and virtually no effort to prosecute corporate tax crimes. High-tech humiliation helps states nab tax cheats Stateline Fears rise as jobs go abroad BS SEC preparing charges in AOL ad sales WP Quattrone to testify in second trial USAT SEC probes stock option grants Reuters Regulators are examining whether firms have timed stock grants to precede positive announcements. NASD fines David Lerner $120,000 Reuters Former top economist for Clinton chosen for Fed USAT Investors welcome rules on derivatives FT Citigroup Is Top Underwriter for Companies That Went Bankrupt Bloomberg PG&E ends 3 years of bankruptcy AP J&J posts higher 1Q earnings Reuters MER - BBT - PBG - DJ First-Quarter Results Least of Intel's Worries TheStreet French Finance Ministry, Bank of France To Mull Gold Sales: Report AFP Bank of Canada cuts overnight rate by 1/4 percentage point BofC What does China's GDP indicate? People’s Daily China vows war on inflation AP China's Spending Fury Points to ‘Moral Hazard' Bloomberg China hungry for electricity this summer PD Nonresidents buy stocks at record level Japan Times 'Dr Doom' says UK house prices set to crash FT “Everyone is hoping for a soft landing but no, we don't have soft landings in things like this, ever.” A little rates pain now will avoid agony later Times Online The British rush for Russian gold Times Online Where The World’s Gold Is Argentina set to buy extra dollars to rein in peso FT Russia could face a stock market collapse UPI Western Analysts Believe Russian Boom Is No Bubble MosNews Russian oil tycoon plans not guilty pleas AP Abizaid seeks more combat troops for Iraq FT Snares and Delusions NYT (R) (Krugman)
Monday April 12 Is Housing a New Bubble? Newsweek Treasury Prices Fall, Investors Leery Reuters Calpers Won't Vote for Citigroup's Weill Reuters On the record: Robert Parry SF Gate Oil prices soar on Iraqi resistance Reuters Nymex Gasoline Futures at Record Platinum hits fresh 24-year high FT Is Deficit-Financed Growth Limited? Levy U.S. fiscal policies adding crushing weight to national debt Dallas MN Rockefeller monthly comment Rockerfeller PDF Is Seagate's swoon bad news for all stocks? MSN (Fleck) Are the seeds being sown for a second-half sell-off? Shades of 1994 Morgan Stanley (Roach) The Chinese investment bubble may be even worse now than back then Should you buy what China buys? AME (Faber) Just like 1997 FT Dr Faber believes this market is overheating and will experience a severe slowdown in the near future. Hyperactive Sheep Hussman Trying to keep the market efficient is a lot like trying to keep a drunk, hyperactive sheep standing on a nickel. Effects of a Bond Market Plunge 321 The Face of Deflation CornerStone Watch the Hedgehogs NYT (R) Isn't this the time to shake the trees of Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue, to protect unwary pensioners and ultimate smaller investors? Are Traders Jumping the Gun on Government Reports? CFO One recent morning, stocks and bonds began to move just as they should have ''if someone knew the jobs numbers ahead of time.'' Blue Skies and Green Yards, All Lost to Red Ink NYT (R) Why Housing Is About to Go "Pop!" Business Week “...the collapse could have as much as twice the negative impact on the U.S. economy as did the stock market crash” Lender predicts disaster as interest rates go up PressT A bubble in housing, with worries of a pop MSNBC More senior citizens confront bankruptcy, credit card problems Atlanta JC Fed Loses Happy Inflation Hawk as Parry Retires Bloomberg (Berry) Stock Speculation Sees a Resurgence LA Times (R) Rocketing prices of relatively obscure companies could suck in small investors who are desperate to make up damage done to their portfolios in the long bear market. Dot-com bust isn't over for workers USA Today Shifting blame for manufacturing job loss EPI Effect of rising trade deficit shouldn't be ignored Thousands haven't paid their utility bills JSOnline Crude Oil Close to 2-Week High After IEA Raises Demand Forecast BL Why oil prices will stay high Asia Times Survey shows gas prices rise another 2.5 cents nationwide AP We all scream over the price of ice cream CS Monitor Scrap metal buyers relish price drop MJS Short-term slide may continue, but experts say China has transformed market. Higher Costs Hurt New York Times Profit Reuters Chemicals Maker DuPont to Cut 3,500 Jobs Reuters IPOs Slack Off; China a Concern NYP NYMEX gets bid of up to $980 million from fund Reuters Dow losing its relevance Toronto Star Disney Sues Disney for Voting Records CFO Institutional Investors Support FASB Options Expensing Proposal SmartPros Japan may need to diversify reserves with more gold JT Welteke's Son Says Bundesbank Head Clashed With Eichel on Gold BL AAA Manager Interview: Birch sees gold shining CityWire Dollar’s Purchasing Power Key To The POG Kitco UAE sells remaining gold reserves for higher price Gulf News Humble Argentine pie fo IMF BBC The IMF has owned up to making mistakes in dealing with Argentina's 2001 economic crisis, which pushed half the population into poverty. China Lifts Bank Reserve Ratio to Restrain Growth Bloomberg Chinese stock market can be risky business AP Be very careful when buying Chinese stocks AP China to overtake Britain in foreign trade Times Online Booming China's Crude Oil Imports Soar Reuters China Q1 soybean imports up 39.2 pct yr/yr Reuters China's hunger for oil, ore boosts trade deficit G&M Inflation threat looms as prices climb in Asia AWSJ Japan's Bust: An Austrian Critique of the Fed's Explanation Mises Spend now, suffer soon: debt will start hurting Times Online The Untold Story: India’s Forex Reserves Match Its External Debt FE Canada: Cut in interest rates expected M Gazett
Weekend Edition (April 9-11) Is it back to the '70s for gold? Financial Post Soaring steel prices may cost consumers AP Bush OKs Pension Aid to U.S. Companies AP One Good Month NYT (R) (Krugman) Consumer confidence slips amid economic, job worries AP SEC chief adamant on hedge fund managers FT Circling the Wagons Morgan Stanley (Roach) Relative Gold Bulls Zea lIdeologues and Quagmires PB (Noland) Policy Traction SH (Richebacher) Alan Greenspan Is No John Law Gold Sextant Employment Games and Other Silly Statistics Frontline (Mauldin) Employment mirage? Union Tribune Inefficient Market: Hitting the wrong target PBear Oil Consumption to Rise Faster Than Expected in 2004 Bloomberg IEA Supply fears prompt spike in crude prices FT Soybean prices hit consumers KC Star Senate passes pensions relief bill, sends it to the president USAT 'Pig Book' slams Congress for 630 wasteful projects Washington Times Yahoo chief nets $13m windfall FT Ex-Goldman trader gets 33 months in jail Crain’s Coca-Cola Says ISS Urging Buffett's Ouster From Board Bloomberg Ex-Enron CEO Skilling taken into police custody AP China: the new bubble? CNN/Money Yen Heads for Losing Week on Iraq Explosions, Japanese Hostages Bloomberg China funds are hot and U.S. investors are flocking to them. Intervention to continue, Tanigaki says Japan Times Bond traders perceive ECB rate cut by June FT What Brought on the French Revolution? Mises Deloitte unit 'buried' Parmalat irregularities FT
Thursday April 8 Putnam Investments to Pay $110 Million to Settle Fund-Trading Allegations BL Reliant Unit Indicted Over Manipulation 4 Injured As Blast Rocks N.M. Refinery AP Irrational exuberance again CBSM Glassman's optimism bias is so extreme that at the height of the bull market he was telling investors that stocks were actually "undervalued," recommending that they not bail out. Initial Jobless Claims Fell by 14,000 to 328,000 Last Week BL Investors' concern shifts to Iraq war USAT The Iraq Factor Boston G Questions mount on whether Iraq is becoming a quagmire Orlando S U.S. to send thousands more troops into Iraq IHT (NYT) Oil Firm on U.S. Crude Stocks Drop, Iraq Reuters DOE sees record average summer gasoline price of $1.76 CBSM - EIA FTC Says No Collusion Among Oil Companies Reuters Market for Speculators Forbes (Grant) (R) With the CPI rising at 2% a year, the bond bulls still are banking on less-than-zero readings. While their reward for being right is modest, their losses would be downright ruinous. Gearing Down CIBC PDF Fed may add to uncertainty: Goldman Globe & Mail Pension plans struggle despite gains in markets USAT A Blunt Warning In Plain English Elliott Wave The 75% increase in margin debt the past 12 months is "three times the average growth rate over the 1997-to-1999 period." The Big Tech Scramble Fool It's like the telecommunications market in the 1990s, where you had 10 different companies all going after being able to claim 25% of the market Winning Essay: The Run-Up in Housing Prices is Not a Bubble CEPR -- Response: Housing: Alan Greenspan’s Second Bubble CEPR The Risk of ARMs Prudent Bear What Drives Housing Price Dynamics: Cross Country Evidence BIS PDF Foreclosures up 14% in March American BJ Denver: Foreclosures soar Rocky Mountain News “It's the most we've ever done in one month. They just keep coming in droves." Philadelphia homeowners race to keep homes Inman "Borrowers get scared. They're intimidated, they're upset, they're depressed, and they don't open the letters from the lenders" Are lawmakers really serious about addressing the federal deficit? UPI Sraffa's Production of Fallacies by Means of Fallacies Mises More than 2/3rds plan to spend their tax refunds on everyday purchases Cam Intel Investigated by Japan's Competition Watchdog Bloomberg Intel offices raided in Japan on bad biz concerns TheRegister Wal-Mart March Same-Store Sales Up 6% Reuters YHOO - DELL - GE Martha Stewart trying to humiliate juror, say prosecutors AP Lea Fastow’s Plea Deal Rejected by Judge AP What a high-profile fiasco says about corporate-fraud trials Economist Pump'n'dump spam? Hooray! CNN/Money It may be criminal, but the return of e-mail-stock scam means the bull is back. A Bubble in Bulk Forbes China's appetite for raw materials is driving up shipping cost--and making speculators happy indeed. China, as Summer Nears, Braces for Power Shortages NYT (R) Intervention pushed forex reserves to record high in March Japan Times Chinese finance minister vows to keep currency policy stable People’s Daily British interest rates unchanged CNN RBA's McKibbin Ponders Fed Inaction Dow Jones “I think the U.S. economy is pump-primed like crazy...I think they [the Fed] have to start moving very soon” Mexico Peso Falls to Lowest This Year on U.S. Rate Concern BL Half of euro zone expected to break EU deficit rules AP German bank chief takes leave of absence IHT (NYT) Pressured To Quit BL Ignorance rules as property investors kept in the dark SMH Korean bank employees flee with booty AAP Oman's Oil Yield Long in Decline, Shell Data Show NYT (R)
U.S. Consumer Credit Increased $4.2 Billion in February Dow Jones G.19
Wednesday April 7 Rising rates could set off the debt bomb DMN Many consumers weighed down by debt loads don't have the flexibility in their budgets to face increased payments. March Import Prices Rise 0.9%; Ex-Petroleum Index Up 0.2% Bloomberg Cen M2 Money Supply Resumes Growth Despite Continued Money-Fund Decline NT The Bear's Lair: Lobbyists of fraud UPI Barrett goes on to claim that if options costs are expensed "no wise investor or professional analyst will pay much attention to the expense figure." In that case, his argument that expensing would reduce productivity, return on equity and the joys of motherhood makes no sense -- how can a figure to which nobody pays attention have any effect at all? Central Pranking Safe Haven Overlooked factor in oil hike: falling dollar CS Monitor Big, fast jump in Bay Area gas prices Mecury News Food makers choking on rising costs Financial Post US Swine Report - Strong Demand Pushes Prices Further Up PigSite Silver age looms for price of nickel Australian Rate rise dampens US mortgage refinancings Reuters MBAA A Concerned Look into General Electric Ahead of Earnings Schaeffers Seagate Shares Fall on Warning After Hours TheStreet Alcoa misses G&M IBM acquires Indian call-centre operator FT IBM Turns 40 MN Gen'l Mills reveals more on SEC probe CBSM SEC subpoenas MarketWatch execs CBSM Mamma.com being probed by SEC FP Tyco juror says she didn't flash OK signal USAT Black pilloried as 'a looter' Scotsman IMF warns financial stability at risk from terror Reuters Cheney Tax Plan From '86 Would Have Raised Gas Prices NYT (R) China: Bubble Stories Morgan Stanley (Xie) EU Trims Growth Forecast, Says Six States Breach Deficit Limits Bloomberg IMF Critisizes Bad Loan Problem Japan Times Japan foreign reserves hit record high, pace may slow Reuters Chinese steelmaker plans 50% rise in capacity FT Ford to set up second production base in China People’s Daily German central bank chief under pressure over hotel treat AFP Credit Risk of Small Firms Doubles in a Year Korea Times Taiwan parties hit deadlock on recount FT Fighting spreads to 6 Iraqi cities IHT (NYT)
Tuesday April 6 Nokia Pre-Trading Slumps After Outlook Reuters Government’s Jobs Data Will Cost You Money NYP (Crudele) Where are we now? CyclePro The Twin Bubbles Morgan Stanley (Xie) The risk of a global hard landing is rising rapidly. The trigger could be a policy action by China, a credit incident in the commodity market, or just the weight of the debt bubble in Australia. US business confidence seen at 20-year high Conference Board Snowdrifts of Debt Mises Debt level places US at risk Boston Globe Playing Favorites CFO Why Alan Greenspan's Fed lets banks off easy on corporate fraud Gas prices reach record, averaging $1.78 a gallon Bloomberg Natural Gas Supply, Demand and Pricing EnergyPulse North American Natural Gas Markets: Summer Surprise Ahead? U.S. Inflation May Accelerate This Year, Bloomberg Survey Says Bloomberg Recent jump in m-rates frustrates would-be buyers, those seeking refinancing BS In Study, Most Companies Reported No Taxes NYT (R) Tax Refunds Fall Way Short of Lofty Predictions Capital Hill Blue Employers check family ties to cut health care rolls USAT Americans are too optimistic about retirement, study finds Baltimore Sun EBRI Workers asked to train foreign replacements USAT Bank of America to Cut 12,500 Jobs Reuters Kodak employees get bonuses, fear layoffs AP Celestica axes 700 workers CP U.S. branch of French bank giant is probed IHT (Morgenson) Bank of America broker indicted This is London Another Tyco Trial Looms Next Week CFO Tyco Letter Writer Believed Mistrial -WSJ Reuters 4 Lucent Execs to Leave in Saudi Probe Reuters Former Tenet CEO gets $1.3 million in severance pay AP Gates ‘Richest’ Title In Dispute NYP Stock options are falling out of favor CFO John Law : A Short History of a Central Bankers Spectacular Fall SH Investors Cut Bets China Will Ease Yuan's Peg as Inflation Ebbs Bloomberg Nikkei Above 12,000, Highest Since Aug 01 Reuters Experts split on whether Asia is a bubble or a buy CC (NYT) China Life Said to Be SEC Target CFO China the world's 4th auto producer People’s Daily German Unemployment Rises 44,000, Most in One Year Bloomberg Pricey Japanese hotels spawn car-camping fad WSJ "For the price of one night in a hotel, I can sleep in my car for a week. Leisure is just too expensive in Japan." Netherlands: Next Country to Enter Excessive Deficit Procedure Morgan Stanley Look before you leap into a fifty year home loan Guardian Is Belgium the secret heart of the global economy? Slate Electricity shortages hit Argentina FT Defaulters tell woes to counselors, apply for 'bad bank' programs Korea Herald "Things got really tough last year. People seemed to think even fortune telling fees were a kind of extravagance" Muqtada pushes Bush to the brink Asia Times
Price Pressures Seen In ISM Non-Manufacturing Survey Also Northern Trust
Monday April 5 U.S. March ISM Services Index Rises to Record 65.8 Bloomberg ISM Treasury Buyers Most Pessimistic Since 1990 After Jobs Report Bloomberg Treasuries Slide Again; Supply a Burden Reuters A Fed Divided CIBC PDFThe Fed is Back in Play FX Street US needs sustained jobs growth, and lots of it Independent (King) Aristotelian Tragedy Hussman Pondering Asia Morgan Stanley (Roach) Where are the inflation vigilantes when we need them? MSN (Fleck) Bond traders used to push rates higher at even a whiff of inflation, but with signs of rising prices now everywhere, they're overwhelmed by our desire to borrow our way to prosperity. Second thoughts on the jobs jump? CBSM The stock market liked Friday's positive job surprise, but the bond market didn't. They can't both be right. Hidden news from the BLS PBear Presidents and employment trends American City BJ How banks balance the books Warsaw Business Journal The Relationship Between the Dollar and the Current Account Saville U.S. probing bond research for conflicts - WSJ Reuters They enjoyed it so much last time, they're blowing a hi-tech bubble all over again The problem with hangovers is that they are forgotten by the time the next party comes along. There Goes the Neighborhood Washington Monthly Why home prices are about to plummet--and take the recovery with them. Getting it right on recessions and the 'wealth effect' Brookesnews OPEC: Don't blame us Reuters Goldbugs dazzled by their own successes FT Geologists Claim Massive Gold Find in Altai Moscow Times Quit whining, tech industry, and help formulate new rules Knight Ridder The fat lady is singing on s-options Finance Execs Cash In on Options CFO $pecial Problem NYP Dutch trading firm Van der Moolen, charged by regulators last week with trading violations, is in such dire straits that it had to ask the Securities and Exchange Commission for an installment plan to pay its fines. Lucent retirees' losses often company's gains WSJ Nortel Says SEC Launches Formal Probe Reuters Sun Lays Off 3,300 as Fiscal Q3 Falls Short CBR Qwest CEO Got Huge Pay Jump Forbes Trump: Fire Yourself NYP Ikea's Kamprad Surpasses Gates as World's Richest, Reuters Says Bloomberg Black to sell more of his empire Guardian Bankerâ€s speech points to global problems WSWS Malcolm Knight Derivatives dealers warned on exposure FT ISDA OCC Bank Derivatives Report -- 4Q03 OCC PDF Glitch leads to overcharges on credit card transactions AP U.S. chip makers face risks in boosting manufacturing in China KR In 5 years, they will be the equal of anybody. Intel still hoping Japan Fires Shot Register Commodity Producers' Fate Tied To China's Growth Asian WSJ Everybody's bullish because they think, `We can sell as much as we produce, China will grab it " The bad news is when China slows down. Those people who are laughing today will end up crying." Four reasons why China will not revalue RMB People’s Daily Asian Central Banks and the Currency Traders Bloomberg The shine comes off for China offerings IHT (Bloom) Chinese demand for steel weighs on global industry AFP IBM enters Chinese real estate market PD What's That Sound? NYT (R) (Friedman) You have to feel sorry for the Mexicans: they are hearing "the giant sucking sound" in stereo these days How to Handle Two Giants? Carefully WSJ U.S. investors buying shares of Infosys on Nasdaq have paid as much as 60% more than the equivalent shares trading in Bombay. The unstoppable, surging yen Economist The yen is surging again. Will the Japanese authorities halt its rise? Can they? Looking to ease U.S. ire, Tokyo halts massive yen-selling Asahi Itochu forecasts 32 billion yen loss due to asset write-down Japan Times The fact that an increasing number of firms are introducing the new accounting rule earlier than required might be another indicator of the nation's improving business condition. It's not stable, and the growth is in deficits Guardian As the European Union's newcomers prepare to join they will find all is not well in euroland A tougher Bank must put an end to Britain's affair with debt Times Online Argentina's Power Shortages May Brake Economic Expansion Bloomberg Impact of the Weak Dollar on Gulf Economies Arab News Watchdog to pay for fraud Kathimerini 10 U.S. Troops Killed in Iraqi Violence AP
Weekend Edition (April 3-4) The Coming Generational Storm Frontline (Mauldin) Euro Gold Challenges E350 Zeal The Quest for Monetary Order PBear (Noland) CBO: Expensing Options Won't Hurt Economy Reuters PDF File Tyco Case Ends in Mistrial Reuters So Close, Jurors See Long Effort End in Nothing NYT (R) Given just a bit more time, several jurors said yesterday, the panel probably would have found the defendants guilty of at least some of the 32 charges against them Got extra money for a gallon of milk? IndyStar “This is one more catastrophe, especially for families that require milk” Are we heading for a crash? Independent Derivatives firm sues over alleged poaching Times Online Investor backs off deal with Air Canada Toronto Star
Friday April 2 Payrolls increased by 308,000 in March BLS Payrolls finally explode CBSM Home Is The Heart (Of The Matter) Contrary Investor Anything But Treasuries -- and JGBs Pimco (Gross) (The Last Vigilante, Part III) Fed Focus: Doctor, My Eyes Pimco (McCulley) India’s Awakening Morgan Stanley (Roach) “A Balance of Financial Terror" Comstock Wages of Bad Accounting: Bosses Got Rich While Companies Borrowed I-NYT The financial markets are leveraged for a crash... 321 Russell On Gold, Silver & the Dollar Gold-Eagle Gold futures close at a 15-year high CBSM Fall Hard After Jobs Report Kitco Silver at 16-year high; metal indexes log 6-session win Is Silver Being Manipulated? Kitco “A lot of traders are of the opinion that silver inventories are tight" Reuters -- Silver Warehouse Stocks NYMEX Malaysia tin jumps a hefty $730 on tight supply Reuters Natural Gas Set to Soar This Summer Financial Sense Gas Prices: A Rite of Spring Mises Fed's Kohn rejects criticism of rates policy FT U.S. Firms Keep Billions Overseas WP Negotiators Reach Accord on Pension Bill NYT (R) State-by-state data show disappointing job growth widespread JobWatch Global Chip Sales Reach Record Growth Reuters Gateway to close all stores, fire 2,500 USAT Microsoft to pay Sun $1.6B CNN/Money Dow sheds 3 of its oldest members USAT Harder Line On Fannie, Freddie WP Armando Falcon, JR on Fannie Mae Accounting Review OFHEO Back to the future? Assessing the deflation record BIS PDF File Euro jumps as ECB holds interest rates Independent House equity withdrawal worries Bank Guardian China phone firm slumps on debut IHT (Bloomberg) A `Comic-Book Curse' Hits the Japanese Yen Bloomberg Japan joins complaint over China tax breaks Bloomberg Falling metal prices fuel debate in China FT Has the Chinese boom driving surging world metal prices started to abate? Next stage opens in Yukos case IHT (NYT) Marks & Spencer to cut 1,000 jobs BBC
Is Alan Greenspan a Malignant Alien Life Form? Rockwell Inflation Indicators Are Sending Warning Signals Northern Trust PDF
Thursday April 1 US manufacturing grows for 10th month AP ISM Initial Jobless Claims Fell by 3,000 to 342,000 Last Week Bloomberg February Producer Prices Rise 0.1%, Core Rate Gains 0.1% Bloomberg BLS Ageing populations 'will create crippling debt' FT -- Aging Populations May Lead to Three-Fold Increase of OECD Government Debt Ratios by 2050 S&P Opps! Labor Department Lost 321,000 Jobs! NYP (Crudele) Investors worry about housing bubble CBSM Sprott's Canada Stock Fund Favors Gold Bars, Cash Bloomberg “There's going to be some carnage. That's what we're trying to protect against.'' Fed, Analysts Differ on Inflation Bottoming Out Bloomberg How a currency can fight the Fed PBear Here Lies Greenspan, Not for Considerable Period Bloom (Baum) Greenspan Manipulating Economy ‘Just for fund’ Mocking Word Accounting Board Wants Options To Reported As An Expense NYT (Norris) The Cost of Expensing Stock Options CFO The accounting change would retroactively reduce estimated 2004 earnings per share for the S&P 500 by 7.4 percent... Pay Attention To Valuation Gold-Eagle Light Market Volume Reflects Uncertainty IBD Be wary about merger mania Dallas Morning News SEC looks into Edward Jones' mutual fund sales USAT Many Older Americans Losing Homes After Struggling to Settle Tax Bills AP Lawmakers urge SEC rethink on fund trade proposal Reuters China Life IPO comes under US scrutiny FT The offering was the world's largest last year, with demand for the shares outstripping supply by about 25 times...The company has already been hit by a series of lawsuits, alleging it did not disclose to investors the irregularities. NYSE considers move into derivatives trading FT “They're going up in price" -- So Let the Chase Begin? Elliott Wave George Soros Hit With Glue, Water in Ukraine, Interfax Says Bloomberg Martha Stewart asks for new trial AP CBPP London silver hits $8.00/oz as speculators buy Reuters Gold Futures Close at Highest Level Since 1988 $ Declines Bloom Shorts Gone Wild - Gold & Silver Butler All the insider shorts can do is to stall and try to shake as many longs from the tree as possible. March yen-selling intervention hits 4.7 trillion yen Japan Times Tanigaki: "The basic position of the Finance Ministry remains the same" Traders Testing Tokyo's Commitment to the Dollar NYT (R) Japan loses battle to keep yen below 105 per dollar Reuters European Central Bank Keeps Benchmark Rate at 2% Bloomberg Sweden cuts rates to lowest level in a century FT Record borrowing fuels UK rate rise fears FT Gasoline price rise triggers inflation fears in China Business Times India's economic growth set to overtake China, latest quarterly estimate surprise analysts AP Equitable threatens further cuts to policies Times Online
Over a barrel? PBS Oil industry experts discuss how OPEC's decision will impact the U.S. economy and world markets. Oil futures fall on supply spike CBS
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